This chart highlights investor behavior and on-chain psychology rather than ETH's price itself. The combination of Accumulating Retail Addresses, SOPR, and NUPL provides important signals about current market conditions.
Accumulating Retail Addresses have surged to near record levels in late 2025 and early 2026. Historically, the strongest buying activity often comes from retail investors during the later stages of market cycles, while larger players begin distributing holdings. Therefore, rising retail accumulation alone is not necessarily a bullish signal.
SOPR has remained close to 1 for an extended period, indicating that investors are struggling to realize profits and that fresh capital inflows remain limited. Markets often become fragile when SOPR stays around this level. A sustained move below 1 could trigger an increase in loss driven selling pressure.
NUPL also suggests caution. While unrealized profits have declined, they remain above the extreme levels seen during the 2018 and 2022 bear markets. This means there is still room for additional selling if sentiment deteriorates further.
Another important signal is that accumulation continues to rise while market strength remains weak. Retail investors are buying aggressively, yet SOPR isn't confirming a strong bullish trend. When growing demand fails to push prices higher, it often suggests significant selling pressure on the other side of the market.
Binance User Deposit Addresses also remain below previous bull-market peaks, indicating that many investors are still holding ETH rather than sending it to exchanges for sale. This may be helping the current decline unfold more gradually.
Overall, retail investors are accumulating ETH at an exceptional pace, while whales appear to be selling into that demand. SOPR is not confirming a healthy bull market, NUPL still leaves room for further downside, and a break of SOPR below 1 combined with a weaker NUPL could increase the risk of a deeper ETH correction.

Written by PelinayPA
