If the United States succeeds in asserting control over Venezuela and, by extension, the world’s largest proven oil reserves, it would mark a dramatic shift in global influence.
This would not be about restoring democracy or protecting human rights. It would be about reestablishing strategic dominance over energy resources, trade routes, and regional alignments.
In this scenario, Iran would likely become Washington’s top strategic priority.
Control over Venezuelan oil would reduce U.S. vulnerability to disruptions in Gulf energy supplies and provide a buffer against potential shocks in a confrontation with Iran.
With reliable access to heavy crude under its influence, the United States would be better positioned to absorb or offset damage to Persian Gulf energy infrastructure during a conflict, lowering the economic cost of escalation and making military pressure on Iran more feasible.
At the same time, this control would strengthen the United States’ ability to shape global oil flows and pricing, reinforce the central role of the dollar in energy markets, and help preserve the petrodollar system that underpins American financial power.
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