King1O11

Markets focus on the $17T+ in Oil that Venezuela owns.
But what they don't know is that Venezuela one of the largest active $BTC holders in the world.
Similar in scale to both #MSTR and Blackrock.
Here's how this impacts markets and prices:
Intelligence reports indicate that the Venezuelan regime accumulated a "shadow reserve" of Bitcoin (BTC) and Tether (USDT) estimated at more than $60 billion. (HUMINT) his hoard was built through "gold swaps" and the requirement that oil exports be settled in USDT to evade sanctions.
Intelligence cited by Whale Hunting (authored by Bradley Hope and Clara Preve) indicates that the accumulation began in 2018, coinciding with the aggressive liquidation of the Orinoco Mining Arc’s gold reserves.
- The regime likely converted ~$2B of gold proceeds into Bitcoin at an average price of $5K, which would have been around 400,000 BTC. At Jan 2026 price of ~$90K, that specific tranche alone would be worth $36B.
As the "Petro" experiment failed, the regime pivoted to using Tether (USDT) as a proxy for the petrodollar during cruide oil sales. However, Venezuela began to "Wash" that into Bitcoin, recognizing that USDT retains the ability to freeze addresses.
Given market intelligence, we can estimate that Venezuela has roughly:
Gold Swaps: 2018–2020, Gold Bars, Value Now: ~$45B - $50B
Petro-Crypto: 2023–2025, Crude Oil, Value Now: ~$10B - $15B
Mining Seizures: 2023–2024, ~$500M
Giving a grand total between 2018–2026: ~$56B - $67B in Bitcoin, implied at 660K+ Bitcoin, with a floor at 600K in Bitcoin.
That does not mean US has full control of the Bitcoin yet. The days following today will be defined by a high-stakes interrogation to secure the Bitcoin.
The U.S. will likely offer plea deals, reduced sentencing, or protection for family members in exchange for the surrender of seed phrases. Given the severity of the narco-terrorism charges, the leverage is there.
So now the revelation of the $60 billion hoard fundamentally alters the supply/demand dynamics of the Bitcoin market for 2026, as the Venezuelan reserve is estimated at: 600,000+ BTC.
This is 12 times larger than the German sale and 2 times larger than the U.S. government’s entire pre-raid stockpile.
In 2024, the German state of Saxony liquidated ~50,000 BTC ($3 billion). This 50K BTC sale caused a 15-20% market correction and weeks of bearish sentiment.
"Now compare that to 600,000."

Here's the leading entity holders of Bitcoin:
1. Satoshi Nakamoto ~1,100,000
2. BlackRock (IBIT) ~770,791.5
3. MicroStrategy ~672,497
4. Venezuela (Seized) ~600,000
5. U.S. Gov ~325,293
6. Mt. Gox Trustee ~140,000
Now, here's what will likely happen from here:
The "Frozen Asset" (High Probability):
The assets are seized but immediately entangled in complex litigation Creditors file injunctions; the DOJ claims forfeiture. The keys are held in escrow by the U.S. Treasury, but the coins cannot move.
Short-term volatility due to uncertainty, followed by a bullish "supply shock" narrative.
Short-term volatility due to uncertainty, followed by a bullish "supply shock" narrative. The market realizes that 600,000 BTC (3% of circulating supply) have been effectively removed from the market for 5-10 years. This acts as a massive "lock-up," reducing liquid supply and supporting higher prices.
The "Strategic Reserve" Pivot (High Probability):
Influenced by the "Strategic Bitcoin Reserve" movement, President Trump orders the Treasury to hold the Bitcoin as a permanent U.S. asset.
This too acts as a massive lock up, reducing liquid supply and supporting higher prices.
The "Fire Sale" (Very Low Probability):
The U.S. DOJ declares the assets "perishable/volatile" and executes an immediate liquidation via Coinbase Prime or USMS auctions to fund the occupation costs.
However, this is unlikely due to Trump's positive stance toward Bitcoin "Reserves" from confiscating assets.
_
Results:
Markets have been looking at the massive oil reserve and beneficiaries, while ignoring the elephant in the room: Bitcoin.
The "second order effect" is likely a massive supply lock-up.
If the U.S. seizes these assets, they will likely move from "active liquid reserves" of a rogue state to "frozen sovereign assets" of the U.S. Treasury, reducing available supply and potentially acting as a catalyst for higher prices in Q1 2026.
There will likely be increased volatility. But for market participants shorting Bitcoin because of fears of "conflict", this event is generally seen as bullish for #MSTR and Bitcoin holders as this effectively locks up supply for many years to come.

Everyone is talking about oil, Gold and silver, but the crypto market will benefit the most from it.
Let me tell you why:
The US-Venezuela event did not increase fear, it reduced uncertainty.
Markets react very differently to long conflicts vs. fast-resolved events.
In long conflicts (like Russia–Ukraine):
• Sanctions spread
• Trade routes get disrupted
• Energy supply becomes uncertain
• Fear stays high for months or years
That kind of environment pushes money into gold and silver.
This situation was the opposite.
The US acted fast.
Control was established immediately. There is no ongoing war.
Because uncertainty ended quickly, markets did not enter into panic mode.
You can see that clearly in price action.
Bitcoin did not crash.
That tells you investors are not rushing into safety.
Now let's take a look at different assets and how they could react next.
Starting with oil, Venezuela does have very large oil reserves, but oil production is not instant.

To bring meaningful oil supply into the market:
• It will take years, not months
• Spending could be from $30B-$50B

So there is no short-term increase in oil supply, which means oil won't experience much impact.
Talking about Gold and silver, they like fear and uncertainty. This event removed fear instead of creating it.
At the same time, precious metals already face pressure:
• CME is raising margins
• Momentum is fading into the new year
So gold and silver will most likely not get a strong bid here.
But crypto and stocks will do good.
Risk assets move higher when:
• Fear drops
• Liquidity stays available
• Growth expectations remain intact
That is exactly the setup now.
Crypto already entered 2026 with positive internal signals:
• People who sold in December for tax reasons are buying back
• Altcoins are stabilizing after long underperformance
• Bitcoin and several alts have broken multi-month downtrends
Now adding:
• More regulatory clarity for crypto in 2026
• Possible approval of Clarity Act in Q1 2026
• ETH staking and Altcoin ETFs approval
2026 is looking good for the crypto market here.
As I said before, if uncertainty gets low, crypto will be the fastest horse.

Venezuela deține 300 miliarde barili de petrol.
Are cele mai mari rezerve din lume, totalizând aproximativ 18% din oferta globală.
Deține de nouă ori mai multe barili de petrol decât SUA.
La aproximativ 58 dolari pe baril, aceasta reprezintă 17.4 trilion dolari în rezerve.
Chiar și la jumătate din acest preț, este 8.7 trilion dolari.
În span de câteva ore, SUA a revendicat controlul asupra petrolului în valoare de mai mult de jumătate din PIB-ul SUA și mai mult decât PIB-ul combinat al Germaniei, Japoniei, Indiei și Regatului Unit.
Cei mai mulți oameni nu își dau seama cât de mare este acest lucru.
Piețele de petrol se deschid duminică la 18:00 ET.

If the United States succeeds in asserting control over Venezuela and, by extension, the world’s largest proven oil reserves, it would mark a dramatic shift in global influence.
This would not be about restoring democracy or protecting human rights. It would be about reestablishing strategic dominance over energy resources, trade routes, and regional alignments.
In this scenario, Iran would likely become Washington’s top strategic priority.
Control over Venezuelan oil would reduce U.S. vulnerability to disruptions in Gulf energy supplies and provide a buffer against potential shocks in a confrontation with Iran.
With reliable access to heavy crude under its influence, the United States would be better positioned to absorb or offset damage to Persian Gulf energy infrastructure during a conflict, lowering the economic cost of escalation and making military pressure on Iran more feasible.
At the same time, this control would strengthen the United States’ ability to shape global oil flows and pricing, reinforce the central role of the dollar in energy markets, and help preserve the petrodollar system that underpins American financial power.
Expect immense volatility for crypto market......$BTC $ETH $SOL

MicroStrategy isn't just a company anymore…
IT’S A SYSTEMIC RISK.
They currently hold over 672,000 BTC, which is roughly 3.2% of the entire Bitcoin supply.
If you’re holding any amount of bitcoin, you need to pay attention to this:
Strategy (MSTR) just hit a fresh 52-week low of $151.83, wiping out nearly 50% of its value in 2025.
The Critical Divergence (YTD 2025):
– Bitcoin: -6%
– MicroStrategy: -49%
The Technical Reality:
The "NAV Premium" is over.
For months, Wall Street paid 2.5x the price of Bitcoin to own MSTR shares.
That was the leverage trade.
Now, institutions are dumping the proxy and rotating into Spot ETFs where they pay par value.
They are cutting out the middleman.
If you are buying here, you aren't buying the dip…
You are betting that Wall Street will voluntarily overpay for an asset they can now get cheaper elsewhere.
Watch the $150 support….
Because if that breaks, the liquidation engine turns back on.
Btw, I’ve called every major top and bottom for over 5 YEARS.
When I make my next move, I’ll share it here for everyone see.
If you still haven’t followed me, you’ll regret it. Trust me.

2010: free
2011: $0.3
2012: $5
2013: $13
2014: $770
2015: $314
2016: $434
2017: $1,019
2018: $15,321
2019: $3,794
2020: $7,193
2021: $29,352
2022: $47,025
2023: $16,630
2024: $42,660
2025: $93,500
2026: $87,500
Happy New year 2026 everyone.
$BTC

Buffett officially signed off as CEO of Berkshire Hathaway, closing a sixty year chapter that certainly reshaped American capitalism and did turn a struggling textile mill, which was Berkshire Hathaway, into a $1.1 trillion financial powerhouse.
At 95, Buffett handed day to day control to Gregory Abel but made clear he is not vanishing.
He does plan to remain chairman and stay involved, offering guidance while the next era begins.
Buffett exits with a message louder than any farewell speech.
Berkshire is sitting on roughly $381.7 billion in cash, a deliberate signal that he sees few worthwhile opportunities in today’s inflated markets.
That massive war chest now belongs to Abel, a longtime lieutenant who built Berkshire’s energy business into a global force and earned Buffett’s trust as a steady operator.
Berkshire now spans around 90 companies, avoids short term noise, and trades Class A shares near $750,000.
The system was designed to survive succession.
Buffett may be stepping away from the CEO title, but the philosophy remains unchanged.
Buy great businesses.
Hold them patiently.
Let discipline and integrity do the work.
Sources: Quartz, Morningstar, The Street, Business Standard

Dacă credeți că prețurile aurului se mișcă liber în funcție de cerere și ofertă, vă înșelați grav.
Ceea ce se întâmplă acum cu aurul și argintul are foarte puțin de-a face cu metalul real.
Totul are de-a face cu contractele pe hârtie, levierul și regulile de schimb.
În ultimele trei luni, aproape toate metalele prețioase au crescut: aur, argint, platină, cupru și altele.
La suprafață, acest lucru pare optimist.
Sub suprafață, structura pieței este extrem de fragilă.
Piețele aurului și argintului sunt dominate de contracte pe hârtie, nu de metal fizic.

Putin called Trump yesterday morning.

Said Ukraine hit his house with 91 drones.

Trump believed him. Got angry. Blamed Kyiv.

One problem.

Russia’s own Defense Ministry said 18 drones hit that region. Not 91.

Fourteen residents who live near Valdai told reporters they heard nothing. No explosions. No sirens. No alerts on their phones. Nothing.

Zero photos of debris. Zero video. Zero evidence of any kind.

When a journalist asked Trump if maybe the attack never happened, he said “it’s possible too, I guess.”

But he’d already told the world he was furious at Ukraine.

The damage was done in fifteen minutes.

This is the real story everyone is missing.

Russia just ran a live test. They wanted to know if one phone call with zero proof could blow up months of peace negotiations.

It can.

Whatever security guarantees the US promises Ukraine, they now have an expiration date of exactly one Putin phone call. He picks up the phone, invents an attack, plays the victim, and watches the whole thing collapse.

No evidence required. No verification needed. Just vibes and outrage.

This will happen again. I’d bet money we see the exact same play within 90 days, timed to kill whatever deal gets closest to the finish line.

The 91 drones that probably never existed aren’t the story.

The story is that we just watched a proof of concept for how to destroy Western security commitments using nothing but a telephone and a lie.

And it worked perfectly.

Am analizat asta în ultimele 6 ore și este FOARTE RĂU.

Producția mondială de argint: ~800M uncii
BofA & Citi shorts: 4.4 MILIARDE
Am petrecut 5 ani în macro, și am crezut că am văzut tot.
AM GREȘIT.
Iată ce am descoperit:
Ceea ce vezi nu este doar o poziție scurtă mare.
Este un eveniment de solvabilitate pentru întregul complex de mărfuri.
Să descompunem tehnicile de ce faptul că BofA are o poziție scurtă de 1B uncii și Citi de 3.4B uncii nu este doar o tranzacție proastă, ci este un dezastru sistemic.

I think #BTC is not lagging, it’s just a temporary decoupling and it’s telling us where confidence really is right now.

Gold & silver:
-Macro fear hedges
-Central banks & traditional capital
-Slow, defensive money

Bitcoin is still seen as:
-A risk asset during stress
-A hedge only after confidence returns

I don’t think Bitcoin is broken. Capital is there and investors still have money. They’re just not ready to take risk yet.

Right now, money is asking:

“What if inflation returns?”
“What if rates stay higher?”
“What if geopolitics gets worse?”

In this kind of situation, Gold & silver move first. Bitcoin waits.

Historically, Bitcoin doesn’t lead in fear. It leads after fear peaks. That’s why this phase feels slow and uncertain but definitely not broken.

To be honest, this is a battle of patience!

Silver +175%
Gold +73%
Copper +35%
NASDAQ +20%
S&P 500 +16%
Russell 2000 +13%
Bitcoin -6%
Ethereum -12%

Bitcoin and other cryptos are the only ones on sale right now!
$BTC $ETH