The Bank of Japan just did what most thought was impossible: another rate hike, pushing JGB yields into territory the modern financial system has never had to absorb.
This isnāt a Japan-only story.
This is a global stress test.

š§Ø WHY THIS IS DANGEROUS ā FAST
For decades, Japan survived on near-zero rates.
That was the life support.
Now itās gone ā and the math turns brutal.
ā¢ šÆšµ ~$10 TRILLION in government debt
⢠Higher yields = exploding debt service
⢠Interest starts eating fiscal revenue
⢠Policy flexibility disappears
No modern economy escapes this cleanly:
ā Default
ā Restructuring
ā Inflation
And Japan never breaks alone.
š THE HIDDEN GLOBAL SHOCKWAVE
Japan holds trillions in foreign assets:
⢠$1T+ in U.S. Treasuries
⢠Hundreds of billions in global stocks & bonds
Those positions only worked when Japanese yields paid nothing.
Now?
⢠Domestic bonds finally pay real returns
⢠After FX hedging, U.S. Treasuries lose money for Japanese investors
Thatās not sentiment.
Thatās arithmetic.
š„ Capital comes home.
Even a few hundred billion in repatriation = global liquidity vacuum.

š£ THE REAL DETONATOR: YEN CARRY TRADE
Over $1 TRILLION borrowed cheaply in yen and deployed into:
ā Stocks
ā Crypto
ā EM assets
As Japanese rates rise and the yen strengthens:
⢠Carry trades unwind
⢠Margin calls trigger
⢠Forced selling begins
⢠Correlations go to ONE
Everything sells. Together.
ā ļø SECOND-ORDER EFFECTS
⢠U.S.āJapan yield spreads tighten
⢠Japan has less incentive to fund U.S. deficits
⢠U.S. borrowing costs rise
And if the BoJ hikes again?
ā Yen spikes
ā Carry trades detonate harder
ā Risk assets feel it instantly
Printing isnāt an option anymore:
Print ā Yen weakens ā Import inflation explodes ā Domestic pressure spikes
š This isnāt noise.
This is macro gravity reasserting itself.
Watch the next 48 hours closely.
$ENSO $SCRT $SENT
#Macro #BankOfJapan #Yen #carrytrade #GlobalLiquiditpy #CryptoMacro



