Prețul de tranzacționare al DOT a depășit nivelurile critice de suport și a străpuns recent bariera de 2,05 $ pe 13 decembrie, continuând să exercite presiune descendentă. De la 6 decembrie (când prețul de tranzacționare era de 2,208 $), prețul DOT a scăzut la nivelurile actuale (1,854 $), ceea ce reprezintă o scădere de 16% în mai puțin de o săptămână.
Teza de Investiție & Strategie
Pe Termen Scurt (Următoarele 2-4 Săptămâni)
Presiunea continuă asupra DOT pentru a depăși zonele de suport de 1,78 $ - 1,95 $. RSI (24,7) este supravândut și sugerează că o revenire tactică poate avea loc, cu toate că convingerea în această revenire va fi dificil de confirmat fără o creștere a volumului. Evitați pozițiile lungi agresive până când există dovezi ale unei inversări prin 2,00 $.
Pe Termen Mediu (3-6 luni)
Zona 1,80 $ - 2,10 $ reprezintă o oportunitate convingătoare de a acumula acțiuni pentru investitorul răbdător. Reducerea ofertei în martie 2026 este un catalizator semnificativ pentru prețul DOT, iar slăbiciunea recentă poate fi rezultatul capitulării înainte de achizițiile instituționale. Mulți analiști au identificat această zonă ca o 'zonă de acasă' pentru deținatorii pe termen lung.
Recomandare Acționabilă:
Nivel de Intrare: O intrare conservatoare ar trebui să aibă loc în tranșe de 1,80 $, 1,70 $ și 1,60 $ dacă mediul macroeconomic se deteriorează și mai mult.
Obiectiv de Ieșire (Orizont de 6 luni): 2,50 $ - 3,00 $ (posibil rally pre-reducere a ofertei).
Stop Loss: Încălcarea zonei structurale de suport sub 1,70 $.
Dimensiunea Poziției: Datorită fricii extreme pe piață și a volatilitații ridicate a altcoin-urilor bazate pe fluxurile de retail, dimensiunea poziției ar trebui să fie limitată la 2-3% din activele totale. Pozițiile ar trebui gestionate cu precauție în această perioadă volatilă.
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