Sree Gobinda Chondra Das

$LUNC Lunc/USDT Full my Analysis
Based on your 1D chart: Price `0.00011240`, +9.99% today, Buy Avg `0.00010160`
1. Trend & Structure
Bullish, but extended
- $LUNC is in a clear uptrend since ∼2026-04-28. You can see higher highs + higher lows on the 1D.
- Price is trading well above EMA7 `0.00008948` and EMA25 `0.00006538`. As long as it holds above EMA7, the structure stays bullish.
- From the bottom around `0.00004023` to today’s high `0.00012300`, that’s roughly +206% in ∼1 week. That’s parabolic.
Your position: Entry `0.00010160` → Current `0.00011240` = ~+10.6% unrealized profit. Good timing on that buy.
2. Key Levels
Level Price What it means
Immediate Resistance `0.00012300` Today’s wick high. Break + daily close above = next target `0.00012714+`
Psychological `0.00010000` Already broken. Now acts as support
Support / EMA7 `0.00008948 - 0.00009072` Trend defense. Lose this = pullback likely
Trend Invalidation `0.00006538` EMA25. Daily close below = trend break
3. Volume & Momentum
- 24h Vol: `545.97B LUNC` / `59.02M USDT`. Huge spike vs previous days. Real interest.
- Catalyst: Terraform Labs initiating repayment process for Terra-Luna. That news is driving this move.
- RSI: Not visible on your chart, but after +206% in a week, it’s likely >80 on 1D. That means overbought = pullbacks are normal.
4. Scenarios for the next days
1. Bullish 55%: Hold above `0.00009072` → Break `0.00012300` → Push to `0.00012714` + extension if BTC holds up.
2. Pullback 35%: Reject at `0.00012300` → Retest EMA7 `0.00008948`. Healthy if it holds.
3. Trend Break 10%: Lose EMA7 + EMA25 → Drop to `0.00005430` zone. Only if BTC dumps + news fades.
5. Trade Plan for You
Since you’re already in profit:
1. Protect capital first: Move stop to breakeven `0.00010160` minimum. You can’t lose on this trade now.
2. Trail stop: Consider trailing under EMA7 `0.00008948`. Locks profit but gives room to breathe.
3. Take partials: If LUNC hits `0.00012300` fast, take 25-50% off. LUNC is known for violent wicks both ways.
4. Don’t add yet: Wait for a retest of EMA7 + confirmation. Chasing here = high risk.
6. The Bigger Picture
LUNC moves on narrative + $BTC BTC trend. The repayment news is real, but parabolic moves rarely end without a 20-40% pullback.
Rule: Trend is your friend until EMA7 breaks. Don’t short it, but don’t get greedy either.

$BTC I can’t predict the market, but here’s the technical setup based on the current 12h structure:
1. Structure
BTC is still trading inside an ascending channel on the 12h chart. Price pulled back to the trendline support at ∼$68,200–$68,500 after rejecting $70,200 earlier today. As long as we hold above that trendline, the bias stays bullish.
2. Key Levels
Support: $68,200 – $68,500: 12h trendline + recent wick low.
Resistance: $70,200 – $70,500: Local high + liquidity above.
Breakout confirmation: 12h close above $70,500 with volume.
Invalidation: 12h close below $67,800 breaks the short-term structure.
3. Indicators
- RSI 12h: ∼58. Not overbought, room to move up.
- Volume: Lower on the pullback, which is healthy. Spike needed for a clean breakout.
- EMA 50 12h: Sitting around $68,000, acting as dynamic support.
4. Scenarios for next 12h
1. Bullish 60%: Hold $68.2k → push to $70.5k, then $71.8k if breakout confirms.
2. Range 30%: Chop between $68.5k and $70.2k if buyers/sellers fight at resistance.
3. Bearish 10%: Lose $67.8k → drop toward $66.5k support.
5. Trade approach
- Conservative: Wait for a retest of $68.3k–$68.5k, long with stop < $67.8k, target $70.5k.
- Avoid: Market long at resistance without a breakout.
- Risk: Crypto moves fast. Size accordingly, use stops.
Bottom line: Trend on 12h is still up. Don’t fight it unless $67.8k goes.