macroeconomy

BOJ TĂNG LÃI SUẤT VÀ BTC GIẢM MẠNH: MỘT MẪU HÌNH KHÔNG NÊN XEM NHẸ
Lịch sử cho thấy mỗi lần Ngân hàng Trung ương Nhật Bản (BOJ) tăng lãi suất, Bitcoin thường đối mặt với các đợt điều chỉnh mạnh. Dữ liệu trong những năm gần đây ghi nhận BTC giảm khoảng 20–30% sau các lần BOJ thắt chặt, phản ánh sự co hẹp thanh khoản toàn cầu.
Cơ chế chính nằm ở yen carry trade. Khi lãi suất Nhật tăng, đồng JPY mạnh lên, buộc các vị thế vay JPY giá rẻ để đầu tư tài sản rủi ro phải đóng lại. Quá trình unwind đòn bẩy này tạo áp lực bán lên các tài sản “high-beta” như Bitcoin.
Nếu BOJ tiếp tục tăng lãi suất vào ngày 19/12, rủi ro ngắn hạn với BTC là có thật. Trong kịch bản tiêu cực, BTC có thể chịu một nhịp điều chỉnh sâu về 70.000 USD hoặc thấp hơn. Kịch bản trung bình hơn là điều chỉnh 10–15%, khi thị trường đã phần nào “pricing trước” thông tin. Chỉ trong trường hợp BOJ phát tín hiệu mềm mỏng, BTC mới có thể tránh được cú giảm mạnh.
Điểm khác biệt so với quá khứ là hiện nay đã có ETF BTC spot và dòng tiền tổ chức dài hạn, giúp giảm bớt biên độ điều chỉnh. Tuy nhiên, 19/12 vẫn là thời điểm rủi ro cao, đòi hỏi nhà đầu tư thận trọng, hạn chế đòn bẩy và chờ phản ứng thị trường sau quyết định của BOJ. #bitcoin #macroeconomy

Повышение ставки от Банка Японии✅️

Надвигается цунами в криптовалютном рынке, потому как японский банк готовиться к первому за 11 месяцев повышения ставок - медвежий рынок🤭

Япония в Шоке!!!!!

Япония, пожалуйста прояви хоть немного милосердия....🤯🤯🤯🤯❗️❗️❗️

Нас практически добились тарифы Трампа,Это двоной УДАР.😔😔

Крипиорынок просто ТОНЕТ в этом цунами!!!!

Спасите наши души....

$BTC
$ETH
#GlobalMarkets
#Bearish
#RiskOff
#MacroEconomy
#FinancialNews

🚨 JUST IN 🚨
🔥Institutions bought $100M+ in BTC ETFs, and central banks bought 70+ million ounces of Gold as hedges against instability.
#BTCVSGOLD #ETFs #CentralBanksOnChain #MacroEconomy #InflationHedge
$BTC $XRP $ETH

Institutions bought $100M+ in $BTC BTC ETFs last week. Central banks bought 70+ million ounces of Gold. Both are a hedge against instability. Which one wins?

#BTCVSGOLD #ETFs #CentralBanks #MacroEconomy #InflationHedge

🚨 FINANCIAL MAINSTREAM ALERT: BTC vs. GOLD HEATS UP! 📈👑
The Bitcoin vs. Gold debate is surging back to the center of global finance, fueled by $BTC 's new institutional highs and gold's reinforced role as a geopolitical safe haven ($PAXG tracks gold).
The central question remains: Is Bitcoin ($BTC ) truly taking over as the ultimate store of value? 🪙
The Key Clash: Digital vs. Physical Scarcity
Gold (The Classic): Time-tested, physical, and a stable hedge against global uncertainty. Central banks globally are actively increasing their gold reserves.
Bitcoin (The Digital Challenger): Programmable scarcity, highly portable, and inflation-resistant. Institutional adoption is accelerating with more companies adding it to their balance sheets. JPMorgan even recently estimated a theoretical price near $170,000 to reach risk-parity with private-sector gold investment.
What’s Next for the Financial Landscape? 👇
The "physical gold vs. digital gold" narrative will intensify as mainstream adoption continues.
Regulatory bodies are likely to finalize clearer positions on Bitcoin's role as an asset.
The market may see a temporary decoupling as capital rotates between the two based on risk appetite.
The dispute is no longer about one being absolutely "better," but which one fits the profile for this new era of global uncertainty and digital finance. The conversation is only just beginning.
#DigitalGold
#SafeHavenAssets
#CryptoAdoption
#MacroEconomy
#StoreOfValue $PAXG
$BTC

BULLETIN: Altcoin Rally Remains Fragile Amid Macroeconomic Headwinds
GLOBAL MARKETS – December 8, 2025 – While the current enthusiasm around altcoin Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs) and institutional capital rotation suggests a potential "Alt-Season," market stability remains highly fragile.
Despite the recent optimism, many altcoins are still highly dependent on the sustained inflow of capital from these newly compliant ETF products and other institutional sources.
* Dependency Risk: If the influx of institutional funds were to significantly slow or cease, the altcoin sector, which is typically less liquid than Bitcoin, could face sharp and sudden price reversals. $BTC
* Macro Volatility: The greatest threat remains adverse macroeconomic shifts. Factors such as unexpected central bank interest rate hikes, persistent inflation, or general economic downturns (recessions) would likely trigger a global risk-off environment. In such scenarios, altcoins—being perceived as higher-risk assets—are often the first to experience severe selling pressure. $BTC
This inherent reliance on external capital and favorable global economic conditions means that while short-term gains are possible, investors must exercise caution. $ETH
The structural dependence on a continuous inflow of institutional assets highlights the continued volatility risk across the broader cryptocurrency market.
#AltcoinRisk
#MacroEconomy
#MarketVolatility
#CapitalFlow

SHOCKWAVE: Jobs Data Hits 2022 Low!

Initial jobless claims just plummeted to their lowest point since September 2022. This is a seismic shift. A rapidly strengthening labor market is about to unleash absolute chaos across financial markets. The ripple effect on crypto will be undeniable. Prepare for explosive volatility. This is the moment. Watch $BTC, $ETH, $BNB. Your window is closing.

This is not financial advice. Trade at your own risk.

#MarketUpdate #CryptoNews #FOMO #TradingAlert #MacroEconomy
🚀

🚨 IS IT HAPPENING?! Market Buzz for FedRatecut25bps in 2025! 📉

The whispers are turning into roars! 📣 Market sentiment is overwhelmingly pointing towards a potential Fed Rate Cut sometime in 2025! 📉 After months of aggressive hikes, could the Federal Reserve finally be ready to ease its monetary policy? 🤔

What does this mean for YOU and crypto? 🚀

More Liquidity: Rate cuts typically inject more money into the economy, making risk assets (like crypto!) more attractive.

Easier Borrowing: Lower rates mean cheaper loans, potentially fueling investment and innovation.

Dollar Weakness: A weaker dollar could make Bitcoin even more appealing as a hedge!

The game is changing! Traders are already positioning themselves for this potential shift. But remember, the Fed is data-dependent, so every economic report matters! 📊

What's your take? Will the Fed cut rates by 25bps next year? And how will it impact $BTC and the broader crypto market? 👇

⚠️ Disclaimer: This is market speculation and analysis. NOT financial advice. Fed decisions cause significant market volatility. Always manage your risks wisely! 🛡️

#FedRateCut25bps #interestrates #macroeconomy #CryptoNews #bullish

🇺🇸 #macroeconomy
مطالبات إعانة البطالة الأولية
191 ألفًا (المتوقع: 219 ألفًا / السابق: 216 ألفًا)
مطالبات إعانة البطالة المستمرة
1.939 مليون (المتوقع: 1.960 مليون / السابق: 1.960 مليون)

متابعة من فضلكم

$ETH

🚨 SHOCKWAVE HITS WALL STREET! US Treasury's $12.5B Debt Buyback: A Secret Signal? 🤯

BREAKING NEWS that just sent ripples through global markets!

💥 The U.S. Treasury, in a completely unexpected move, just executed the BIGGEST DEBT BUYBACK IN US HISTORY—a staggering $12.5 BILLION! 💰 Markets were stunned, traders paused, and the entire financial world is asking: WHY NOW?! 🤔

This unprecedented action feels like more than just routine financial management. Whispers are spreading like wildfire: Is this a "secret signal"? A "financial plot twist"? Many are speculating this could be the quiet beginning of a major economic shift, a strategic move not yet fully disclosed by the government. 👀

And adding to the suspense, President Trump has quietly hinted at even bigger decisions coming next! 🚨 This is not just financial news; it's a macro event with potential far-reaching consequences for interest rates, liquidity, and asset valuations globally—including crypto! 🚀

What do YOU think this historic debt buyback truly signals? Share your theories! 👇

⚠️ Disclaimer: This is breaking news and market speculation. NOT financial advice. Such macro events cause extreme volatility. Always manage your risks wisely! 🛡️

#UStreasury #DebtBuyback #macroeconomy #CryptoNews #MarketShock

BTC Must Collapse To $40K Before The 2026 Blow-Off

The market structure is screaming for a painful reset. We are not charting a minor correction; we are charting a necessary flush down to the $40,000 region. This move is structurally designed to liquidate the weak hands and reset the underlying accumulation cycle. Do not mistake this inevitable pain for the end of the road. This deep retest is the precondition for the true parabolic move that will deliver $BTC to a fresh All-Time High by 2026. The next two years will separate the investors from the speculators. Prepare now, or watch the opportunity vanish.

This is not financial advice.
#CryptoAnalyst #BitcoinCycle #MacroEconomy #BTC
👁️‍🗨️

🇯🇵 Japan Alert!
Japan’s 30-Year Bond Yield has surged to 3.41% — the highest level in history! 🚀📈

This massive spike signals major shifts in global liquidity, risk appetite, and capital flows.
When long-term yields explode like this, markets don’t stay quiet for long… 👀

📌 Why it matters for crypto:

Higher yields = Big money reallocating

Volatility incoming across FX, stocks, AND crypto

Smart traders are already positioning 👇

Stay sharp. The next macro wave is forming. 🌊⚡

#Japan #BOJ #JGB #Bonds #Crypto #Bitcoin #MacroEconomy

🚨 Treasury Sec. Bessent: Fed Could Kick Off Rate Cuts in September — Eyeing a 50 bps Slash!
#FederalReserve #InterestRates #RateCut #FOMC #MacroEconomy #USD #CryptoNews #Bitcoin #Ethereum #Markets

The Fed signals a possible rate cut
Fed Board Member Waller has stated that he supports lowering interest rates at the next meeting. At the same time, the yield on 10-year US government bonds remains stable.
Key points:
Several rate cuts are possible, either consecutively or with pauses.
The goal is to protect the labor market from a downturn.
Inflation may fluctuate slightly, but is expected to return to 2% in the next six months.
For the crypto market, this means cheaper money = more liquidity for risky assets. So crypto may get an extra boost.
#Fed #MacroEconomy #BTC #ETH #CryptoMarket

⏳ Next 10 days critical

Fed UK Japan rate decisions + China economic data could decide whether alt season gets green light or pullback deepens #macroeconomy #CryptoOutlook

📉 Bitcoin Slips Below $105,000: Macro Headwinds Force a Weekly Dip! 😬
Bitcoin has taken a hit, dropping nearly 9% this week and sliding below the $105,000 mark. The culprit? Global macro uncertainty is weighing heavily on investor sentiment. 🌍
The primary pressures come from the ongoing US-China trade tensions and the unsettling US government shutdown, reminding the crypto market that it's not immune to traditional finance's problems.🇨🇳🇺🇸🏛
But there's a silver lining for the patient: Reports suggest this pullback, which includes a dramatic deleveraging and a reset in funding dynamics, is cleaning up the market. 📊
Analysts are calling the coming weeks a potentially favorable accumulation window as things normalize.
Is this the dip you've been waiting for? Or are the macro risks too big to ignore? Let us know in the comments! 👇
#Bitcoin #BTC #CryptoNews #MarketCorrection #Accumulation #MacroEconomy #Investment

THIS WEEKEND COULD BE DIFFERENT FOR CRYPTO

ZH has pointed out multiple times that whenever ETF hype dies down, the bear market narrative kicks in. Historically, Bitcoin always dips over the weekend, and this week is no exception—the price action has been delayed.

Now, I was wondering earlier why M1 growth and retail sales didn’t move Bitcoin’s price. Turns out, it’s the long weekend slowing things down, exactly as I expected this morning. With Monday being a holiday, Bitcoin’s movements have stalled, which aligns with my analysis that sentiment is fading.

According to J Kendrick, a crypto analyst at Standard Chartered, Bitcoin’s slow movement on Friday now makes sense.

On 25 January, the market only reacted to the DeepSeek effect on Monday.
On 1 February, the Trump tariff news only impacted Bitcoin by Tuesday.
This isn’t normal—it’s unusual.
Kendrick emphasises that Monday and Friday are the key days when Bitcoin makes big moves, either up or down. Saturdays and Sundays? Dead.

However, with the 10-year yield dropping below 4.5% and recent tariff decisions, Kendrick believes:

The small-volume buying from BlackRock and Fidelity towards the weekend could be a signal that ETF demand will be strong on Monday, after ETFs showed negative flows all week.

From there? $100K, then straight to $102K.
At the end of the day, Bitcoin is a Giffen Good.

Kendrick believes that if BlackRock buys in small amounts over the weekend, they'll scoop up thousands of Bitcoin by Monday.

A Giffen Good is an economic term for a product that people buy more of even when the price rises. This defies the law of supply and demand, which says demand should fall as prices go up. Bitcoin? The higher it goes, the more people want it. Thats why it’s a Giffen Good.

Saturday, 15 February Market Outlook
$BTC $ETH #StandardChartered  #macroeconomy
source: @ZeroHedge 

GM 🍜
Market Briefing..

China's M1 money supply is up, but retail sales have dropped by -0.9%, and the RRP (reverse repo rate) is at zero. This means the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) has lost its momentum—at least for now, domestically in the US🤷🏻‍♂️🤬

Bitcoin is taking it easy on Saturday since institutions are off. "Taking it easy" means the closing price tomorrow, February 16th, won’t be too far from today’s closing price on February 15th, which ended at $97,287 at 00:00 UTC.🌊

As I mentioned yesterday, when Bitcoin closes higher, the next candle is usually green. Last night, Bitcoin nearly broke $99K.📈📈

I think I’ve discovered something new—just like all of you here, I’m always learning every day.😎RSI: 48☔

Market Outlook (UTC)
🟢00:00 – 07:00: → Green candles (This is due to China's M1 money supply increase, which also pushes altcoins up.)
🔴8:00 – 10:00: → Red candles (Short correction or profit-taking period.)
🟡11:00 – 15:00: → Chilling, low volatility
🟢16:00 – 00:00: → Wick formation (price fluctuation before settling)

If just using stimulus from a stable economy already causes inflation, imagine what happens when stimulus is taken from a declining economy—Bitcoin will pump hard next week... let see🚀🚀🌕🌕

Monday’s "early start" moves from Sunday, meaning today and tomorrow altcoins will perform well.🔥

The key is; If Saturday green, then Sunday will still green. and vice versa. Fundamental ALWAYS move the market, Technical is for timing the market.

$BTC $ETH #China #M1 #macroeconomy
source: @hoteliercrypto

WHY $BTC DUMPED and RECLAIMS 100k LAST NIGHT?

one of the key is about DXY, what is DXY?
DXY is an index that measures the strength of the US dollar against six major world currencies like (EUR, JPY, GBP, CAD).
so if DXY is up, it means the USD is strengthening relative to these currencies.

the key is here: DXY up => BTC down.
and vice-versa. look at the chart!! it is highly correlated to BTC, just look the similarity! same pattern right?

analyzing DXY is way more easier than analyzing BTC itself.
whats make DXY rise:
1. USD liquidty
just like yesterday news, US president announce about tariffs. it makes other non-dollar countries converted their currencies to USD, making DXY is up so BTC dumped to 93K.
2. US Interest Rates
if US interest rates rise, the DXY tends to rise as investors seek higher yields.it happens last week when FED announced they will cut-rate making DXY fall and BTC pump to 105k++
3. US Economy Fundamental
its about other data like GDP, PMI, JOLTS, NFP and etc that we'll discuss it later

Fundamental ALWAYS move the Market, while Technical is for timing the Market

read more=>JUST SIDEWAYS, NOT BEARMARKET
$ETH #MarketPullback #macroeconomy

thanks to: @hoteliercrypto