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According to Odaily, Dragonfly's data director, hildobby, expressed dissatisfaction with the current public data sources available for Polymarket. As a result, hildobby has created a new data dashboard on Dune. This week, Polymarket's total trading volume reached a historic high of approximately $1.3 billion, surpassing the previous peak during the U.S. presidential election.

According to ChainCatcher, 21Shares has released its 2026 cryptocurrency status report, outlining several key predictions. The report forecasts that Bitcoin will transition from its traditional four-year cycle to becoming a mature macro asset, driven by structural capital inflows, macroeconomic adjustments, and regulatory clarity. It also predicts that the global cryptocurrency ETP assets under management will increase from the current over $250 billion to $400 billion, outperforming the Nasdaq 100 ETF. Stablecoin supply is expected to grow from $300 billion in 2025 to $1 trillion, a 3.3-fold increase. Additionally, the annual trading volume of prediction markets is anticipated to exceed $100 billion. The total locked value of tokenized real-world assets (RWA) is projected to rise from $35 billion to over $500 billion. Adrian Fritz, Chief Investment Officer of 21Shares, stated that cryptocurrency is shifting from the financial periphery to becoming a core infrastructure, with the industry becoming an integral part of the global financial system.

XRP retreated 4.3% on Wednesday, dropping from $2.09 to $2.00 as traders unwound risk following Bitcoin profit-taking — despite institutional flows into XRP ETFs surging well above trend. The move highlights a growing divergence between strong fundamental inflows and short-term technical weakness in the token.Institutional trading activity spiked 54% above the weekly average, signaling strategic selling at resistance, not retail-driven panic.What You Need to KnowXRP fell 4.3%, underperforming the broader crypto market by ~1%.Institutional flows jumped 54% above the 7-day average — consistent with distribution at resistance.ETF inflows remain strong, but XRP continues to fail at the $2.09–$2.10 ceiling.Exchange balances dropped to 2.6B tokens, the lowest in 60 days — tightening long-term supply.The rejection at $2.08 triggered a 205% volume surge (172.8M tokens), flipping the move into a clean failed breakout and driving price back to the $2.00 psychological support.Market BackgroundU.S. spot XRP ETFs added another $170 million in inflows this week — marking yet another week of zero outflows.Market makers report heavy layered sell pressure above $2.10, with persistent offers blocking upside.Exchange-held XRP supply dropped from 3.95B → 2.6B over two months, a structurally bullish signal despite near-term weakness.XRP lagged peers as the CD5 index fell 3.1%, suggesting the move was token-specific, not macro-led.The result is a market caught between strong long-term accumulation and short-term technical rejection.Price Action SummaryHigh → Low: $2.09 → $2.00Daily range: 5.4%Peak volume: 172.8M at 19:00 UTC (205% above daily avg)Resistance rejections: Multiple failures at $2.08–$2.10Late-session stabilization: Higher lows forming at $1.999–$2.005Technical AnalysisSupport$2.00: Psychological level and first defensive line$1.95: Secondary demand zone from prior accumulationResistance$2.09–$2.10: The key barrier; sellers defending aggressivelyA close above $2.10 flips structure short-term bullishVolume Structure54% above weekly trend → institutional flows, not retail breakdownVolume spike during the failed breakout confirms active sell wallsMarket StructurePrice remains inside a multi-month triangular compression, tightening as exchange supply falls.Short-term momentum bearish, with bounce attempts capped under $2.08.What Traders Are Watching$2.00 test #2: A breakdown exposes $1.95 quickly.ETF inflows: Continued inflows offset spot weakness; any slowdown would remove a key support pillar.Breakout confirmation: Requires multiple hourly closes above $2.10 with sustained >100M volume.Compression setup: Structure suggests the next breakout or breakdown will be larger than the last.Shrinking exchange supply: The wildcard — thinner supply can accelerate moves once direction confirms.

The U.S. Federal Reserve delivered a widely expected 25 bps rate cut on Wednesday, lowering the target range to 3.50%–3.75%, but uncertain forward guidance from Chair Jerome Powell dampened expectations for a near-term Bitcoin breakout.Analysts say Powell’s remarks — neither fully hawkish nor dovish — signal that the meaningful portion of the easing cycle may not begin until 2026, leaving crypto markets without a strong macro catalyst in the short term.Powell Warns of “No Risk-Free Path,” Signals Caution AheadAt the December FOMC meeting, Powell emphasized the complexity of the current economic landscape:“In the near term, risks to inflation are tilted to the upside and risks to employment to the downside — a challenging situation. There is no risk-free path for policy.”While the comments were softer than some feared, they lacked the clarity markets hoped for. According to Coin Bureau founder Nic Puckrin, Powell’s communication suggests only one rate cut may materialize in 2026 under his leadership.Puckrin noted that liquidity, not rates, will be the key macro driver:“Attention will turn to liquidity and the Fed’s balance sheet policy in early 2026. Despite the Treasury bill purchase announced today, quantitative easing isn’t coming until things start breaking — and that always means more volatility and potential pain.”Market Data Shows Traders Skeptical of Further Cuts Before 2026Bitcoin typically benefits from lower rates and increased liquidity, but futures traders remain cautious.Only 24.4% of the market currently expects another rate cut at the January 2026 FOMC meeting, according to CME FedWatch data.This uncertainty follows months of missing economic data due to the U.S. government shutdown — a gap Powell acknowledged during the press conference.Meanwhile, BTC traded around $90,375 following the announcement, holding within its recent range but lacking directional conviction.Inside the Fed’s Assessment: Growth Resilient, Housing Weak, Inflation StubbornPowell said consumer spending and business investment remain “solid,” while labor markets continue to show low layoffs and stable hiring.However, he emphasized that inflation remains elevated, and the housing sector shows persistent weakness, limiting the Fed’s room for aggressive easing.The lack of recent public economic reports has forced the Fed to rely heavily on market-based indicators — a point Powell admitted may complicate policymaking.Politics Loom Over Monetary Policy: Trump Signals Incoming Fed Leadership ShiftWith Powell’s term set to expire in May 2026, President Donald Trump has been openly weighing a replacement.Kevin Hassett, director of the National Economic Council and a former adviser to Coinbase’s Academic and Regulatory Advisory Council, is widely viewed as the frontrunner.Trump has already signaled that the next chair will be expected to accelerate rate cuts, adding political pressure to an already delicate macro environment.Bitcoin Rally Delayed, Not CanceledThe Fed’s December decision reinforces a familiar short-term setup:Rates are lower, but not enough to trigger a risk-asset surge.Forward guidance is mixed, limiting near-term conviction.Liquidity injections have begun, but QE remains off the table until conditions worsen.BTC derivatives show skepticism, with limited expectations of a breakout before 2026.In other words, Bitcoin may remain range-bound until clearer signals emerge from the Fed — or until the next phase of easing begins.

Bitcoin may benefit from the Federal Reserve’s latest rate cut and liquidity injections, but BTC options pricing shows traders see limited probability of a rally above $100,000 in the near term, even as macro conditions shift in favor of risk assets.Fed Cuts Rates to 3.75%, Opens Liquidity Valve With Bond PurchasesThe Federal Reserve delivered a widely expected 25 bps rate cut, lowering the upper bound to 3.75%, but the committee revealed an unusually split vote, with two members preferring no cut.Chair Jerome Powell maintained a cautious tone, citing labor-market softening and persistent inflation risks.More consequential for markets was the Fed’s announcement of a $40 billion short-term Treasury purchase program, reversing years of balance-sheet reduction. After peaking near $9 trillion in 2022, the balance sheet now sits around $6.6 trillion.The Fed’s re-entry into bond markets is designed to bolster liquidity, allowing banks more capacity to lend and stimulating investment during an economic slowdown.Bitcoin Options Market: 70% Probability BTC Stays Below $100K by JanuaryDespite improved liquidity conditions, Bitcoin derivatives traders remain cautious.The $100,000 January 30 call option trades at a premium of $3,440, implying roughly a 70% chance BTC stays under $100K through the end of January, based on Black–Scholes modeling.Just one month ago, the same call traded near $12,700, reflecting a sharp drop in bullish conviction.This expiration lies just two days after the next FOMC meeting on Jan. 28, adding macro uncertainty. According to CME FedWatch, markets assign 24% odds of another rate cut at that meeting, though visibility is limited due to the recent U.S. government data-release disruptions.Why the Fed Boosts Stocks More Than BitcoinEquities respond more directly to lower rates as cheaper financing supports earnings growth.Bitcoin, however, has lagged gold and has struggled to attract strong inflows from investors repositioning out of short-term bonds.S&P 500 is up 13% over the past six months.5-year U.S. Treasury yields dropped from 4.1% to 3.72%.Despite favorable macro shifts, whales and market makers remain unconvinced that Bitcoin can sustain a breakout, especially as store-of-value demand favors gold amid rising U.S. debt concerns.What Could Change the Outlook?Analysts note that a spike in equity risk premiums, especially in frothy segments like AI-related stocks, could redirect capital into alternative assets — including Bitcoin.But for now, BTC remains capped below $100K with derivatives positioning signaling skepticism toward a durable rally.

According to Odaily, trader Banmuxia has analyzed recent Bitcoin movements, noting a surge that occurred early in the morning, though it was not substantial. The increase from $80,500 appears to be forming a leading wedge pattern. Within the context of a major fourth wave adjustment, this leading wedge is likely the 'a' wave, suggesting that the current adjustment should not exceed the range of $93,100 to $83,800. The adjustment is nearing the 0.382 level, indicating a possible conclusion. Additionally, the $89,000 to $90,000 range serves as a strong support level. The market anticipates a potential rise to $103,500 to $112,500 over the next month, though the process may be quite volatile.

Binance announced today that Binance Alpha will be the first platform globally to feature BeatSwap (BTX), with trading scheduled to open on December 11. The listing marks another strategic expansion for Alpha’s early-access ecosystem, offering users the opportunity to engage with emerging, high-potential digital assets before they reach broader markets.Airdrop Claims Available Through Alpha PointsOnce BTX trading goes live, eligible Binance Alpha users will be able to claim their BTX airdrop directly through the Alpha Events page using their accumulated Alpha Points.Full details — including eligibility, claim mechanics, and distribution timelines — will be released shortly.

Binance announced today that it will fully support the upcoming BNB Smart Chain (BEP20) network upgrade and hard fork, ensuring uninterrupted service quality and optimal user experience across the ecosystem.To prepare for the upgrade, Binance will conduct scheduled wallet maintenance for the BNB Smart Chain (BEP20) network on 2025-12-16 at 06:00 (UTC). As part of this process, deposits and withdrawals will be temporarily suspended starting at 05:55 (UTC) and will reopen once maintenance is completed—expected to take approximately one hour.Network Upgrade & Hard Fork TimelineThe BNB Smart Chain (BEP20) network upgrade and hard fork are set to occur at 2026-01-14 at 02:30 (UTC). In line with standard protocol, Binance will pause deposits and withdrawals of all BEP20 tokens beginning around 02:25 (UTC).Key Points Users Should KnowTrading unaffected: Spot, margin, and futures trading for all BEP20-related assets will continue without interruption.No user action required: Binance will handle all technical adjustments necessary to support the hard fork and network upgrade.Services will resume automatically: Deposits and withdrawals will reopen once the network is deemed stable. No further announcement is expected.User funds remain safe: All assets on Binance will remain secure throughout the maintenance and upgrade period.

According to BlockBeats, a recent survey conducted by Reuters between December 2 and 9 reveals that a majority of economists expect the Bank of Japan to raise interest rates by 25 basis points to 0.75% during its December meeting. This move is anticipated to be the first rate hike since January, driven by inflation risks and the weakening yen. Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi's government is expected to tolerate this decision, considering the economic factors at play. The survey indicates that 90% of economists, or 63 out of 70 respondents, foresee the central bank increasing short-term rates from 0.50% to 0.75% next week. This marks a significant rise from last month's survey, where only 53% predicted such an increase. Furthermore, slightly over two-thirds of the participants, 37 out of 54, believe that by the end of September next year, interest rates will reach at least 1.00%. This expectation reflects growing concerns over inflation and currency depreciation.

According to PANews, Galaxy, a digital asset management and infrastructure company, has announced plans to establish a new office and business division in Abu Dhabi. This move is part of Galaxy's strategy to enter the Middle Eastern market. In a statement released on Wednesday, Galaxy revealed that it will set up an entity under the registration authority of Abu Dhabi Global Market (ADGM), the region's international financial center. Mike Novogratz, founder and CEO of Galaxy, stated that this initiative is part of the company's efforts to expand existing partnerships and business strategies. Prior to its Middle Eastern expansion, Galaxy reported its financial results for the third quarter of 2025, with net income reaching $505 million and equity valued at $3.2 billion.

According to the announcement from Binance, the platform is set to adjust the tick sizes for certain spot trading pairs by 2025-12-18 05:00 (UTC). This change aims to enhance market liquidity and improve the trading experience for users. The tick size, which represents the minimum change in the unit price, will be updated for various trading pairs. Notably, this adjustment will not impact existing spot orders, as orders placed before the update will continue to be matched with the original tick size.API users should note that tick size changes will also affect API interactions. Users can access the latest tick size information via the GET /api/v3/exchangeInfo endpoint. Binance advises users to adjust their trading bots accordingly to prevent any unnecessary impact on trading activities. The platform acknowledges potential inconveniences and encourages users to stay informed through the API Changelog for further details and updates.The specific adjustments include changes to trading pairs such as CGPT/USDC, CGPT/USDT, CVC/USDC, CVC/USDT, and many others. For instance, the tick size for CGPT/USDC and CGPT/USDT will change from 0.0001 to 0.00001. Similarly, the tick size for INJ/BNB will be adjusted from 0.00001 to 0.000001. These updates are part of Binance's ongoing efforts to optimize trading conditions on its platform. Users are encouraged to review the detailed list of adjustments to ensure smooth trading operations.Binance emphasizes the importance of these changes in maintaining a robust trading environment and invites users to adapt their strategies accordingly. The platform remains committed to providing a seamless trading experience and continues to refine its offerings to meet the evolving needs of its user base.

According to Odaily, Bitwise Chief Investment Officer Matt Hougan has expressed concerns over restrictions on stablecoins paying interest to users. Hougan likened such limitations to 'banning cars from going faster than horses,' suggesting that these measures could hinder industry innovation and the inherent value of stablecoins.

According to the announcement from Binance, the platform has successfully integrated Kava (KAVA) onto the BNB Smart Chain (BSC) network. This integration allows users to deposit and withdraw KAVA tokens on the BSC network, enhancing the accessibility and functionality of Kava within the Binance ecosystem.Deposits and withdrawals for Kava are now open, providing users with the opportunity to manage their digital assets more efficiently. This development is part of Binance's ongoing efforts to expand its offerings and improve user experience by integrating various blockchain networks and tokens. The integration of Kava on the BNB Smart Chain is expected to facilitate smoother transactions and broaden the scope of services available to Binance users.Binance emphasizes the importance of referring to the original English version of the announcement for the most accurate information, as there may be discrepancies between translated versions. The platform continues to focus on delivering reliable and efficient services to its global user base, ensuring that users have access to a wide range of blockchain networks and digital assets. This integration marks another step in Binance's commitment to enhancing its platform and providing users with diverse options for managing their cryptocurrency portfolios.

According to Foresight News, the film THE MUSICAL, developed and funded by the on-chain movie project Sequel, has been selected for the competition section of the Sundance Film Festival. The movie will premiere on January 25 in the U.S. Dramatic Competition category.

According to Odaily, the U.S. government has officially launched the 'Trump Gold Card' visa program, with applications open from December 10. Individuals can obtain U.S. residency by paying $1 million, while businesses are required to pay $2 million. Additionally, applicants must pay a processing and review fee of $15,000. The government also plans to introduce a 'Platinum Card' priced at $5 million, which is currently marked as 'coming soon' on the U.S. government website.

According to the announcement from Binance, the platform is set to launch the 'UAE Exclusive Ready. Set. Binance.' promotion, running from 2025-12-09 to 2026-01-10. This initiative is designed for verified regular and VIP 1 - 3 users across the UAE, offering five distinct promotions aimed at onboarding, educating, and engaging users within the Binance ecosystem. Participants have the opportunity to win from a 1,000,000 AED rewards pool through various activities, including registration, first-time trading, Convert, Futures, Earn, and a city-wide social challenge. **Promotion Details** **Promotion A: New User Exclusive** - New users can earn 75 AED in USDT by completing a three-step process: registering a Binance account, completing identity verification, depositing at least 100 AED, and executing a trade on Spot or Convert of at least 150 AED. The first 5,000 users to complete these steps will receive rewards from a 375,000 AED pool. **Promotion B: Quest to Convert** - Users can earn points for Convert trades, with the top 2,000 scorers sharing a 200,000 AED prize pool. Points are awarded based on trade amounts, with rewards distributed within 14 days post-campaign. **Promotion C: Futures Accelerator** - Participants can compete for a share of up to 300,000 AED based on ROI performance. Eligible users must trade a minimum of 100 USDT equivalent on any USDⓈ-M Futures pairs. The prize pool distribution is based on ROI rankings. **Promotion D: Earn & Grow with Binance Simple Earn** - The first 2,500 users who stake at least 50 USDT for three days on Binance Simple Earn products can receive an 8 USDT reward. **Promotion E: Social Challenge – The Binance Hunt** - Users can participate in a city-wide challenge by engaging with Binance billboards and sharing creative content on social media for a chance to win rewards. The best posts will be highlighted weekly, with winners receiving 1,000 USDT each. These promotions are exclusive to UAE-based users who have completed identity verification. Binance reserves the right to disqualify participants engaging in dishonest activities and may modify the terms at its discretion.

According to PANews, the Ethereum Foundation announced on the X platform that BPO-1 has been activated, increasing the Blob capacity of each block to 15. This enhancement, which does not require a hard fork, provides additional space for Layer 2 networks on Ethereum. BPO-2, scheduled for release in January, is expected to further expand capacity.

According to BlockBeats On-chain Detection, a prominent cryptocurrency address known as the 'Whale' has demonstrated remarkable trading success since October, achieving 20 consecutive wins with an average holding period of approximately 88 hours and a win rate of around 85%. Since its initial trade on September 25, the address has accumulated profits of approximately $6.44 million. The trading strategy involves maintaining discipline by using low leverage and low margin ratios to earn stable returns, while consistently managing account funds around $12 million.Additionally, monitoring reveals that the address partially closed a long position in Bitcoin today, which had been held for about 37 days. Initially opened at a high price of approximately $98,700 on November 14, the position was adjusted several times to lower the average price to $86,100, resulting in a profit of $170,000. Currently, the address holds a Bitcoin long position with 3x leverage valued at approximately $370,000, showing a floating profit of $150,000, or 11%.

According to ChainCatcher, Polygon Foundation CEO Sandeep Nailwal has revealed that the recent Madhugiri hard fork upgrade on the Polygon network has increased its on-chain transaction processing capacity by 40%, reaching 1,400 transactions per second (TPS).Sandeep Nailwal stated that the team has outlined a clear technical roadmap, aiming to boost TPS to 5,000 within the next six months, positioning Polygon as one of the highest throughput blockchain networks in the industry. Additionally, a second phase upgrade is planned to further increase TPS to 100,000 within 12 to 24 months, with the goal of establishing it as the preferred blockchain platform for global payments.

According to PANews, Ondo Finance announced on the X platform that its stock tokenization platform derives liquidity primarily from the stock market, specifically from the Nasdaq and the New York Stock Exchange, rather than from Automated Market Maker (AMM) pools. This approach minimizes slippage during large-scale transactions. Each stock token is fully backed by custodial shares, utilizing a model similar to stablecoin reserves.