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Strategy Maintains Nasdaq 100 Spot Amid 2028 Debt Pressure

Strategy has kept its Nasdaq 100 index spot despite a notable share price decline. While this provides near-term stability, attention is now turning to its 2028 obligations.

Research from Tiger Research highlights that $6.4 billion in convertible bonds come due in 2028. Since 2024, most capital raised has been allocated to Bitcoin purchases rather than cash-flow-generating assets, leaving limited liquidity for debt repayment. If refinancing options narrow, the company may need to sell roughly 71,000 BTC — a move representing 20–30% of daily trading volume.

This debt structure has steadily raised the bankruptcy threshold for Strategy’s Bitcoin holdings, reaching $23,000 per BTC in 2025. The risk is concentrated around refinancing events, rather than immediate operations, making 2028 a critical year.

Additionally, MSCI will review Strategy’s index inclusion in January 2026, adding another layer of scrutiny to its market position. Analysts emphasize that while the company remains structurally stable under normal conditions, concentrated debt and reliance on Bitcoin make it sensitive to market cycles and liquidity constraints.

Action Tip: Investors should monitor BTC market conditions and upcoming refinancing windows closely, as these will dictate Strategy’s ability to meet obligations without destabilizing its holdings.

FAQs

Why is Strategy’s Bitcoin focus a risk?

Holding Bitcoin instead of cash-flow assets increases exposure to market volatility and limits funds for debt repayment.

What happens if refinancing fails?

The company may need to sell tens of thousands of BTC, potentially affecting market prices.

Why does 2028 matter?

Most convertible bonds mature that year, creating concentrated debt pressure that could challenge the company’s financial structure.

Topic: Crypto-Linked Corporate Debt | Focus: Strategy & Nasdaq 100 | Level: Intermediate

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