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HMSTR Rallies 200% — Recovery or Another Bull Trap?🐭
After hitting its all-time low (~$0.000120) on June 5, $HMSTR has staged an impressive 200%+ rebound, attracting renewed attention across the crypto market. What fueled the rally?
🟢Hamster DAO launched, giving holders real governance rights and helping restore community confidence.
🟢2026 FIFA World Cup marketing campaign boosted visibility and renewed interest.
🟢Trading volume surged dramatically, signaling fresh capital entering the market.
Despite the strong recovery, the technical picture remains uncertain.
On the daily timeframe, HMSTR has already produced two bull traps above resistance in the past, both followed by sharp declines. Now, after a 200% rally, price is once again approaching the key $0.0005 resistance level.
From my perspective, this level is unlikely to break on the first attempt. Combined with my broader bearish outlook on the crypto market, the probability of another rejection—and potentially a third bull trap—appears relatively high.
A confirmed breakout above $0.0005 with strong volume would invalidate this bearish scenario. Until then, caution is warranted.
Do you think HMSTR is preparing for a sustainable recovery, or is another bull trap about to unfold? #HamsterKombat
$BTC is currently trading above the resistance zone($62,000-$60,750). However, considering the relatively low trading volume behind this breakout, we still cannot consider it a valid breakout. Since we have entered the weekend and it is also U.S. Independence Day weekend, trading volume is typically lower than usual, which increases the probability of fake breakouts.
Currently, Bitcoin is trading near the resistance zone($64,750-$63,720), the Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ)[$62,960-$62,400], the resistance lines, the 200-SMA on the 4-hour timeframe, and the Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage($63,500-$63,120).
From an Elliott Wave perspective, Bitcoin appears to be completing its main wave 4, which may be developing as a Double Three Correction(WXY).
We can also observe a clear divergence between price and volume. While the price has continued to rise, trading volume has not increased accordingly, which could be an early warning sign of weakening bullish momentum. In addition, a Regular Bearish Divergence (RD-) can also be seen between two consecutive peaks on other indicators.
Since the S&P 500 index may begin a correction at the start of the new trading week, while the DXY Index and U.S. 10-Year Government Bond Yield may move higher, these factors could limit Bitcoin's recent bullish momentum and potentially trigger another bearish move.
I expect Bitcoin to struggle to break above the resistance line today (Sunday). Given the low trading volume, we should remain cautious of fake breakouts. I expect Bitcoin to resume its decline and at least move toward the Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage($60,960-$60,700).
What’s your view on Bitcoin? Can Bitcoin continue its bullish trend, or should we expect a correction?
Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage($58,300-$57,700)
Gold at a Major Reversal Zone — Is a Sharp Drop About to Begin?
$XAUt is currently trading near a major resistance zone ($4,274-$4,191), the key $4,200 level, and a Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ) between $4,217-$4,187.
From an Elliott Wave perspective, Gold appears to be completing sub-wave 5 of primary wave C inside a Zigzag correction. We are also seeing a negative Regular Divergence on the peaks along with negative divergence between price and volume.
Given the bullish momentum in DXY and the U.S. 10-Year Bond Yield, further upside in Gold looks limited. I expect a decline to at least $4,129 in the coming hours. A break below the $4,122-$4,091 support zone could open the door for deeper downside.
🎯 Target: $4,129
🛑 Stop Loss: $4,224 (Worst case)
Full chart with detailed levels and analysis here 👇
Gold Is Testing a Critical Reversal Zone _ What Comes Next? $XAUt testing PRZ $4,043–$4,068 + resistance lines Elliott: Main Wave 4 (Flat) completing → expecting lower low Target 1: $3,986 Target 2: $3,954 Target 3: Support lines Stop Loss(SL): $4,078(Worst) Possible Falling Wedge forming, but needs a confirmed breakout. Until then, short-term bias remains bearish. Can Gold hold above $4,000 this week? Full 1H charts & exact levels → tradingview 👇
Bitcoin Is Pressing Resistance _ But Bears Return $BTC testing resistance zone $60,750–$62,000 + short liqs $60,870–$61,240 Elliott: Microwave C of main Wave 4 completing → rejection likely Expect failure at this zone → drop below $60K toward long liqs $57,930–$58,300 Target: $58,429 SL: $62,503 SPX correlation high — watch for confirmation Full charts & exact levels → tradingview 👇 https://www.tradingview.com/chart/BTCUSDT/pTanXOEM-Bitcoin-Is-Pressing-Resistance-But-Bears-Return/
Bitcoin Roadmap: Is This the Buy Zone? $BTC is sitting in a major weekly support zone ($48,200–$56,600) + PRZ $52,350–$56,670 + long liquidation cluster Elliott suggests the downward wave is completing → potential reversal zone Expect a bounce toward $62,500 after filling the lower CME gap Target: $62,433 SL: $47,400 (Worst) Full weekly chart & exact levels → tradingview 👇 https://www.tradingview.com/chart/BTCUSDT/Jpf1RI5P-Bitcoin-Roadmap-Is-This-the-Buy-Zone/
Gold Reached $4,000 _ But This Bounce May Not Last $XAUt testing upper line of ascending channel + PRZ $4,051–$4,069 on 1H Elliott: Main Wave 4 (Zigzag ABC) completing → downside expected after breaking lower channel line Target 1: $3,987 Target 2: $3,967 SL: $4,081 (Worst) Will gold break below $4,000 or bounce? Full 1H charts & exact levels → tradingview 👇 https://www.tradingview.com/chart/XAUUSD/qzXDMVLH-Gold-Reached-4-000-But-This-Bounce-May-Not-Last/
S&P 500 Near a Critical Zone—Will This Support Finally Give Way? $SPX testing $7,326–$7,402 support and looks ready to break it Elliott Wave: Downward waves still in progress Expect further decline → Target 1: $7,411 Target 2: $7,273 Target 3: $7,235 Stop Loss(SL): $7,474(Worst) #BTC correlation high — if SPX breaks, crypto likely follows Full charts & exact levels → tradingview 👇 https://www.tradingview.com/chart/SPX500USD/3k1qOsJ6-S-P-500-Near-a-Critical-Zone-Will-This-Support-Finally-Give-Way/
S&P 500 Just Printed a Fake Break _ Now the Real Move May Begin $SPX rejected above the support zone $7,487–$7,533 with a fake breakout DXY & US10Y both bullish = strong headwind for equities Elliott: Next bearish wave expected after support break Target 1: $7,433 Target 2: $7,414 SL: $7,555 BTC & crypto correlation high — further SPX weakness = downside pressure Full charts & exact levels → tradingview 👇 https://www.tradingview.com/chart/SPX500USD/NFGTVBAg-S-P-500-Just-Printed-a-Fake-Break-Now-the-Real-Move-May-Begin/ #SPX #Macro Insights#
Bitcoin Near TRZ and Support _ A Rebound Be Loading $BTC testing lower ascending channel line + support zone $63.72K–$64.77K + long liqs $62.52K–$63.56K + TRZ Elliott: Corrective structure completing → another upward wave for main Wave 4 expected Target 1: $65,737 Target 2: $66,777 Target 3: Short liqs $67.41K–$68.65K SL: $62,887 Can BTC hold and rally, or drop below $60K? Full charts & exact levels → tradingview 👇 https://www.tradingview.com/chart/BTCUSDT/KVlTHjYd-Bitcoin-Near-TRZ-and-Support-A-Rebound-Be-Loading/