CRYPTO MECHANIC
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CRYPTO MECHANIC
Binance චතුරශ්ර සත්යාපිත+Trading Crypto Since 2016 | X: @cryptomechanicX
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One of the biggest mistakes traders make is assuming that a bearish higher-timeframe chart means the market has to keep falling immediately.
That’s not how markets work.
A monthly or weekly chart can remain bearish while price rallies significantl on lower timeframe. Likewise, a bullish higher-timeframe chart doesn’t mean every day has to be green.
Higher timeframes provide context, not a schedule.
The real question is this:
If you believe the market could go lower eventually, should you ignore the opportunities that exist today?
Of course not.
Trading isn’t about proving your long-term prediction right. It’s about identifying high probability setups as they appear and managing risk accordingly.
Too many traders become obsessed with predicting the market’s final destination. In the process, they miss the opportunities the market offers along the way.
That’s not how markets work.
A monthly or weekly chart can remain bearish while price rallies significantl on lower timeframe. Likewise, a bullish higher-timeframe chart doesn’t mean every day has to be green.
Higher timeframes provide context, not a schedule.
The real question is this:
If you believe the market could go lower eventually, should you ignore the opportunities that exist today?
Of course not.
Trading isn’t about proving your long-term prediction right. It’s about identifying high probability setups as they appear and managing risk accordingly.
Too many traders become obsessed with predicting the market’s final destination. In the process, they miss the opportunities the market offers along the way.
Some packages just hit different. Appreciate this from Binance. 🙌
Bitcoin has never followed a negative June with a negative July.
Since 2013:
• 7/7 positive Julys after a red June
Let's see if 2026 keeps the streak alive.
Since 2013:
• 7/7 positive Julys after a red June
Let's see if 2026 keeps the streak alive.
$SOL Blasted through the major zone.
CRYPTO MECHANIC
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$SOL
The chart looks quite similar
$76-80 is a strong resistance in my opinion. This is where price spent the most time.
The chart looks quite similar
$76-80 is a strong resistance in my opinion. This is where price spent the most time.
$BTC Hold this reclaim and i think it will move to $63000 - 64500, Could be higher but that's the first lower tf zone.
CRYPTO MECHANIC
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$BTC
Sellers are struggling to push the price down.
If bulls reclaim this zone and holds above ( $59500- $60k )
There is a chance this go for a relief.
Sellers are struggling to push the price down.
If bulls reclaim this zone and holds above ( $59500- $60k )
There is a chance this go for a relief.
$BTC
Sellers are struggling to push the price down.
If bulls reclaim this zone and holds above ( $59500- $60k )
There is a chance this go for a relief.
Sellers are struggling to push the price down.
If bulls reclaim this zone and holds above ( $59500- $60k )
There is a chance this go for a relief.
I have been sharing bearish $TAO charts since it was around $300, and it’s been down only since then.
CRYPTO MECHANIC
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$TAO i still dont see anything interetimg on this chart.
සත්යායනය කළ
$ENA is always the first to make a new low even though most the altcoins are showing relative strength against Bitcoin.
I think the majority of the sell pressure come from their monthly token unlocks.
I think the majority of the sell pressure come from their monthly token unlocks.
$BTC New Lows on Higher Timeframes
I've been saying the same thing from the start:
"As long as we don't see a shift in market structure, the odds of a new low remain high."
Now we've seen another break in market structure, with the weekly and monthly close below the previous lows. There are still no clear signs that the bottom is in.
There will be countless rallies on the lower timeframes I’ve said that many times before. But when it comes to the higher timeframe structure, nothing has changed yet.
That said, I do believe we're getting closer to the market bottom, and Bitcoin is entering a phase where long term buying opportunities will start to present themselves.
We've already discussed three different strategies for accumulating Bitcoin for the next cycle:
Time-based
Price-based
Structure shift
I believe all three strategies will pay off well in the next cycle. The choice is yours decide which approach best fits your risk tolerance and investment style.
I've been saying the same thing from the start:
"As long as we don't see a shift in market structure, the odds of a new low remain high."
Now we've seen another break in market structure, with the weekly and monthly close below the previous lows. There are still no clear signs that the bottom is in.
There will be countless rallies on the lower timeframes I’ve said that many times before. But when it comes to the higher timeframe structure, nothing has changed yet.
That said, I do believe we're getting closer to the market bottom, and Bitcoin is entering a phase where long term buying opportunities will start to present themselves.
We've already discussed three different strategies for accumulating Bitcoin for the next cycle:
Time-based
Price-based
Structure shift
I believe all three strategies will pay off well in the next cycle. The choice is yours decide which approach best fits your risk tolerance and investment style.
සත්යායනය කළ
President Trump reports $635,000,000 in royalties from meme coin and NFT license deal.
And his coin looks like this. Very understandable right?
And his coin looks like this. Very understandable right?
Crypto is not a serious industry
The second the market starts moving, everyone forgets about real projects and starts shilling memecoins again.
Influencers launch coins, dump on their own followers, and timelines get filled with paid promotions.
Then people ask why crypto can’t compete with the stock market.
How is the industry supposed to grow when all people see is memecoins and pump-and-dumps?
Until we start giving more attention to real use cases instead of chasing the next 100x meme, crypto will keep struggling to earn mainstream trust.
The second the market starts moving, everyone forgets about real projects and starts shilling memecoins again.
Influencers launch coins, dump on their own followers, and timelines get filled with paid promotions.
Then people ask why crypto can’t compete with the stock market.
How is the industry supposed to grow when all people see is memecoins and pump-and-dumps?
Until we start giving more attention to real use cases instead of chasing the next 100x meme, crypto will keep struggling to earn mainstream trust.
Q3 starts tomorrow.
We’re already halfway through this bear market.
The next few months will be full of opportunities, but only for those who stay patient and prepared.
Stay patient, keep learning, and when the opportunity comes…
Don’t let it pass.
We’re already halfway through this bear market.
The next few months will be full of opportunities, but only for those who stay patient and prepared.
Stay patient, keep learning, and when the opportunity comes…
Don’t let it pass.
$SOL
The chart looks quite similar
$76-80 is a strong resistance in my opinion. This is where price spent the most time.
The chart looks quite similar
$76-80 is a strong resistance in my opinion. This is where price spent the most time.
My thoughts on $BTC
Read if you missed 👇
Read if you missed 👇
CRYPTO MECHANIC
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Bitcoin Closed Below $60K: What Comes Next?
Bitcoin continues to show weakness, with the two major factors being ETF outflows and the situation surrounding Saylor's STRC and MSTR.
ETF demand has weakened over the past few weeks. Last week alone, $1.79 billion was withdrawn from Bitcoin ETFs.
The week is going to really important to watch for two reasons
Bitcoin trading around the key $60k zone despite all the FUD.Bitcoin's weekly candle closed under Feb low ($60k)
Let's go straight to the charts to see what's happening and what we can expect from Bitcoin this week.
The weekly downtrend continues
Bitcoin closed below $60k this week, confirming a new lower low on the weekly chart. That also makes $82k the latest lower high on the weekly.
Keeping it simple: as long as the weekly market structure doesn't change, Bitcoin can continue printing lower highs and lower lows.
There will obviously be plenty of rallies and bounces along the way, but they don't change the overall weekly trend unless the market structure shifts.
One thing to keep in mind about Bitcoin: if the market is truly shifting its structure, it shouldn't come back to test the key lows, let alone close below them.
Historically, once Bitcoin has put in a major bottom, it hasn't gone back to retest it.
This weekly close below $60k suggests there could still be more downside ahead.
Where Bitcoin could go?
I know everyone is sharing different downside targets, and I've always said this: as long as the market structure is bearish, you can make a case for lower targets because the trend gives you a reason to.
As long as the weekly structure remains bearish, the next major zone is $52k–55k.
Worst case scenario? $38k–45k.
Should you short based on the weekly chart? I don't think so.
Like I said above, there will likely be multiple bounces along the way, and that's where leverage can get you caught.
Shorting at $60k based on a single weekly close isn't a good idea, in my opinion. The market can always fake people out, and most of you already know that.
I'm not into shorting, but if you are, I'd rather look to short into key resistance than at key support.
BTCUSD (Daily)
Each timeframe shows you a different picture and you should treat it differently.
Like I said earlier, this week will be important to watch because Bitcoin is still trading around the $60k area despite all the FUD.
The bears are struggling to push the price below $59k–60k. If you look closely, every dip into that zone is getting bought up. That's not something to ignore, and it's also why I said you shouldn't blindly short just because one weekly candle closed below $60k.
If Bitcoin reclaims $61k and manages to hold above it, you can expect a relief bounce.
And hold below $59k would mean Bulls have finally gave up on this zone.
It's only the first day of the week, so there's no need to rush into a long or a short.
The daily chart and lower timeframes will be the key ones to watch. Observe first, then execute based on whether the market shows strength or weakness.
That’s pretty much it for this Bitcoin update.
Let me know what do you think, your opinions are Always welcome
ETF demand has weakened over the past few weeks. Last week alone, $1.79 billion was withdrawn from Bitcoin ETFs.
The week is going to really important to watch for two reasons
Bitcoin trading around the key $60k zone despite all the FUD.Bitcoin's weekly candle closed under Feb low ($60k)
Let's go straight to the charts to see what's happening and what we can expect from Bitcoin this week.
The weekly downtrend continues
Bitcoin closed below $60k this week, confirming a new lower low on the weekly chart. That also makes $82k the latest lower high on the weekly.
Keeping it simple: as long as the weekly market structure doesn't change, Bitcoin can continue printing lower highs and lower lows.
There will obviously be plenty of rallies and bounces along the way, but they don't change the overall weekly trend unless the market structure shifts.
One thing to keep in mind about Bitcoin: if the market is truly shifting its structure, it shouldn't come back to test the key lows, let alone close below them.
Historically, once Bitcoin has put in a major bottom, it hasn't gone back to retest it.
This weekly close below $60k suggests there could still be more downside ahead.
Where Bitcoin could go?
I know everyone is sharing different downside targets, and I've always said this: as long as the market structure is bearish, you can make a case for lower targets because the trend gives you a reason to.
As long as the weekly structure remains bearish, the next major zone is $52k–55k.
Worst case scenario? $38k–45k.
Should you short based on the weekly chart? I don't think so.
Like I said above, there will likely be multiple bounces along the way, and that's where leverage can get you caught.
Shorting at $60k based on a single weekly close isn't a good idea, in my opinion. The market can always fake people out, and most of you already know that.
I'm not into shorting, but if you are, I'd rather look to short into key resistance than at key support.
BTCUSD (Daily)
Each timeframe shows you a different picture and you should treat it differently.
Like I said earlier, this week will be important to watch because Bitcoin is still trading around the $60k area despite all the FUD.
The bears are struggling to push the price below $59k–60k. If you look closely, every dip into that zone is getting bought up. That's not something to ignore, and it's also why I said you shouldn't blindly short just because one weekly candle closed below $60k.
If Bitcoin reclaims $61k and manages to hold above it, you can expect a relief bounce.
And hold below $59k would mean Bulls have finally gave up on this zone.
It's only the first day of the week, so there's no need to rush into a long or a short.
The daily chart and lower timeframes will be the key ones to watch. Observe first, then execute based on whether the market shows strength or weakness.
That’s pretty much it for this Bitcoin update.
Let me know what do you think, your opinions are Always welcome
If you're getting caught up in every 5-minute or 30-minute candle, zoom out.
Bitcoin has spent days doing nothing but chopping between key levels.
Until this range breaks, the lower the timeframe, the more noise you'll see.
Bitcoin has spent days doing nothing but chopping between key levels.
Until this range breaks, the lower the timeframe, the more noise you'll see.
තවත් අන්තර්ගතයන් ගවේෂණය කිරීමට ඇතුල් වන්න