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G a a h
164 පෝස්ටු

G a a h

Markets Analyses on-chain Data Trading, AI, Macro Insights
විවෘත වෙළෙඳාම
{ටෝකන්} දරන්නා
{ටෝකන්} දරන්නා
නිතර වෙළෙන්දා
{වේලාව} වසර
7 හඹා යමින්
60 හඹා යන්නන්
376 කැමති විය
පෝස්ටු
ආයෝජන කළඹ
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Fibonacci Retracement Cycle Zone #bitcoin at 100% Following the pattern #BTC cycles, this indicator calculates percentage price retracement from most recent ATH toward the previous cycle low, since lows tend to form near previous ATH. Historically, values above 78 have marked Bitcoin bottoming zones. The indicator reached 100% on three other occasions in history: 2012, 2018, 2022 — and now. #Onchain #CYCLE #Fibonacci $BTC {spot}(BTCUSDT)
Fibonacci Retracement Cycle Zone #bitcoin at 100%

Following the pattern #BTC cycles, this indicator calculates percentage price retracement from most recent ATH toward the previous cycle low, since lows tend to form near previous ATH.

Historically, values above 78 have marked Bitcoin bottoming zones.

The indicator reached 100% on three other occasions in history: 2012, 2018, 2022 — and now.

#Onchain #CYCLE #Fibonacci $BTC
STH Realized Price #bitcoin is currently in ~$73k range Historically #BTC bottoms have been formed when STH Realized Price Deviation reaches -40% region As the price moves further away from the STH RP, it forces this category of investors to capitulate — if it hasn't already done so #Onchain #sth #CYCLE $BTC {spot}(BTCUSDT)
STH Realized Price #bitcoin is currently in ~$73k range

Historically #BTC bottoms have been formed when STH Realized Price Deviation reaches -40% region

As the price moves further away from the STH RP, it forces this category of investors to capitulate — if it hasn't already done so

#Onchain #sth #CYCLE $BTC
STH Realized Cap Dominance #bitcoin is approaching 20% — a historical bottoming region Speculative capital evaporated from the market🩸 We've entered a phase of dormancy and quiet accumulation — only the conviction holders remain 💪 #BTC #Onchain #sth #accumulating $BTC {spot}(BTCUSDT)
STH Realized Cap Dominance #bitcoin is approaching 20% — a historical bottoming region

Speculative capital evaporated from the market🩸

We've entered a phase of dormancy and quiet accumulation — only the conviction holders remain 💪

#BTC #Onchain #sth #accumulating $BTC
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උසබ තත්ත්වය
MVRV-NUPL Composite Score #bitcoin hits 0.00 This happened only 1x in history during the 2015 bear market ⚠️ During all other bear cycles, this indicator got very close to its lowest point and #BTC formed floor in this zone. #Onchain #CYCLE #MVRV $BTC {spot}(BTCUSDT)
MVRV-NUPL Composite Score #bitcoin hits 0.00

This happened only 1x in history during the 2015 bear market ⚠️

During all other bear cycles, this indicator got very close to its lowest point and #BTC formed floor in this zone.

#Onchain #CYCLE #MVRV $BTC
IBCI Weekly remains at 4.76 points 🟢 The indicator is at this same level for at least 6 consecutive weeks. The last pending on-chain cycle signal is NUPL component to fall below 0 indicating a capitulation phase, based on this specific data. #bitcoin price ~$60k 🔻🔺 #BTC #Onchain #CYCLE $BTC {spot}(BTCUSDT)
IBCI Weekly remains at 4.76 points 🟢

The indicator is at this same level for at least 6 consecutive weeks.

The last pending on-chain cycle signal is NUPL component to fall below 0 indicating a capitulation phase, based on this specific data.

#bitcoin price ~$60k 🔻🔺

#BTC #Onchain #CYCLE $BTC
#bitcoin $54k price range concentrates large clusters of long liquidation orders It is an extremely important region with the realized LTH price situated in this range, in addition if #BTC reaches this price, the Strategy position will be at -30% unP/L increasing FUD around Saylor's strategy and attracting selling volume to market. Keeping an eye on $58k 👀 — the last key level in current subcycle. If broken, the price BTC will likely move towards the long-awaited ~$54k #Liquidations #Saylor #futuresignal $BTC {spot}(BTCUSDT)
#bitcoin $54k price range concentrates large clusters of long liquidation orders

It is an extremely important region with the realized LTH price situated in this range, in addition if #BTC reaches this price, the Strategy position will be at -30% unP/L increasing FUD around Saylor's strategy and attracting selling volume to market.

Keeping an eye on $58k 👀 — the last key level in current subcycle.
If broken, the price BTC will likely move towards the long-awaited ~$54k

#Liquidations #Saylor #futuresignal $BTC
Saylor announced plans of selling up to $1.25b in #BTC to build a USD reserve to cover dividends If Strategy were to sell some #bitcoin to capitalize its USD reserve, it would be realizing loss by capitulating. Currently Strategy BTC position has an unrealized loss of -$13.26 billion 🔴 The magnitude Strategy unrealized loss was already much greater during the previous bear market in 2022 and yet the company survived with its #Bitcoin treasury strategy. However, the company’s BTC position during that period was 3x smaller than its current position. In addition, during that period, the company did not sell in loss to cover its obligations. This raises a question in the market: Is the #Saylor strategy profitable? 🤔 Buy BTC at any cost Don’t sell Bitcoin while it’s in the green Sell BTC at a loss 🩸 to build up USD reserves #MSTR #losses $BTC {spot}(BTCUSDT)
Saylor announced plans of selling up to $1.25b in #BTC to build a USD reserve to cover dividends

If Strategy were to sell some #bitcoin to capitalize its USD reserve, it would be realizing loss by capitulating.

Currently Strategy BTC position has an unrealized loss of -$13.26 billion 🔴

The magnitude Strategy unrealized loss was already much greater during the previous bear market in 2022 and yet the company survived with its #Bitcoin treasury strategy.

However, the company’s BTC position during that period was 3x smaller than its current position.

In addition, during that period, the company did not sell in loss to cover its obligations.

This raises a question in the market:
Is the #Saylor strategy profitable? 🤔

Buy BTC at any cost
Don’t sell Bitcoin while it’s in the green
Sell BTC at a loss 🩸 to build up USD reserves

#MSTR #losses $BTC
BTC+3.39%
MSTRonAlpha
MSTRUS+2.42%
G a a h
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#bitcoin ADCI Percent Change 30d has reached the historical accumulation zone (-20 | -30 percent)
 
This zone indicates a high probability of #BTC cycle funds.
 
Historically, every single time this metric compresses to these structural extremes — as seen in 2015, 2019 and 2022 — it marks the end of active sell-side distribution.
 
This period is characterized by supply being quietly absorbed by whales 🐳 amid a lack of retail interest and widespread market disbelief.

#CYCLE #Onchain $BTC #Whalestrap
STH Capitulation Composite Z #bitcoin fell below the Extreme Capitulation region at least 2x in the current bear market This indicator combines the SOPR STH weighted by the fraction of the normalized loss supply with a 365-day Z-score When short-term holders are selling at loss and the supply in loss zone is widespread, the composite indicator reaches -2.00 range, signaling capitulation of this category investors and indicating a high probability of bottom forming #BTC #Onchain #losses #CYCLE $BTC {spot}(BTCUSDT)
STH Capitulation Composite Z #bitcoin fell below the Extreme Capitulation region at least 2x in the current bear market

This indicator combines the SOPR STH weighted by the fraction of the normalized loss supply with a 365-day Z-score

When short-term holders are selling at loss and the supply in loss zone is widespread, the composite indicator reaches -2.00 range, signaling capitulation of this category investors and indicating a high probability of bottom forming #BTC

#Onchain #losses #CYCLE $BTC
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උසබ තත්ත්වය
G a a h
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උසබ තත්ත්වය
#bitcoin Supply in Loss MA7d hits a new high of 50% in 2026 🔥

Historically, when the indicator reaches levels above 50%, it signals periods of #BTC capitulation and formation of cycle bottom.

The last time indicator reached this range was in November 2022, when BTC was trading below $20k

#Onchain #BitcoinEndsSevenDayLossStreakAbove$63K $BTC
Strategy has not yet suffered as much as it did during #bitcoin 2022 bear market, for a moment the company's position was around -50% The position during that period was around 3x smaller than the current position #BTC The most important question is: This time Saylor able to withstand that much pain? #Onchain #Saylor #MicroStrategy $BTC {spot}(BTCUSDT)
Strategy has not yet suffered as much as it did during #bitcoin 2022 bear market, for a moment the company's position was around -50%

The position during that period was around 3x smaller than the current position #BTC

The most important question is:
This time Saylor able to withstand that much pain?

#Onchain #Saylor #MicroStrategy $BTC
Dormancy-NUPL Composite #bitcoin approaches bottom zone This indicator measures profit quality adjusted for the age of coins Positive values 🔴 above 2.00 = Speculative profit - STH euphoria Negative values 🟢 below -2.00 = Capitulation - signs of a market bottom #BTC #CYCLE #NUPL $BTC {spot}(BTCUSDT)
Dormancy-NUPL Composite #bitcoin approaches bottom zone

This indicator measures profit quality adjusted for the age of coins

Positive values 🔴 above 2.00 = Speculative profit - STH euphoria
Negative values 🟢 below -2.00 = Capitulation - signs of a market bottom

#BTC #CYCLE #NUPL $BTC
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