💣 The market is ignoring bad news. Usually, this doesn't end well.
I’d like to say, "Well, that's it, the bear market is behind us"… but honestly, it’s still too early 😅 The market is currently more reliant on statements and expectations than on real changes. Yes, the sentiment has improved — but that doesn’t mean a reversal yet.
That said, we can’t ignore what’s happening 👇
✔️ Twitter has seen a sharp increase in optimism — more and more talks about a rally✔️ The Fear and Greed Index has bounced from 14 to 46 — this is no longer panic.
Interesting point:📈 On news of a ceasefire, the market is rising briskly📉 On news of new escalation — it barely reacts.
And this already looks… atypical 🤔
But there’s a catch 👇 While this geopolitical series continues, the fundamental issues in the economy aren’t going anywhere. There’s a risk that when it all ends — we won’t see growth, but rather an awareness of the consequences → profit-taking → a dump.
🔎 By the way, if you compare the chart from 2020–2022 and the current cycle of 2024–2026 — it feels like déjà vu. If the analogy holds even partially, then we are currently somewhere before that final drop.
Minus 50%? Unlikely. But hitting new lows is a very plausible scenario.
I’d like to say, "Well, that's it, the bear market is behind us"… but honestly, it’s still too early 😅 The market is currently more reliant on statements and expectations than on real changes. Yes, the sentiment has improved — but that doesn’t mean a reversal yet.
That said, we can’t ignore what’s happening 👇
✔️ Twitter has seen a sharp increase in optimism — more and more talks about a rally✔️ The Fear and Greed Index has bounced from 14 to 46 — this is no longer panic.
Interesting point:📈 On news of a ceasefire, the market is rising briskly📉 On news of new escalation — it barely reacts.
And this already looks… atypical 🤔
But there’s a catch 👇 While this geopolitical series continues, the fundamental issues in the economy aren’t going anywhere. There’s a risk that when it all ends — we won’t see growth, but rather an awareness of the consequences → profit-taking → a dump.
🔎 By the way, if you compare the chart from 2020–2022 and the current cycle of 2024–2026 — it feels like déjà vu. If the analogy holds even partially, then we are currently somewhere before that final drop.
Minus 50%? Unlikely. But hitting new lows is a very plausible scenario.