#BTC Let's chat about how wars impact the dollar and other fiat currencies. Historically, in regions where wars are a constant, fiat currencies eventually collapse, prices skyrocket, and it's the paper fiat that crumbles, while metal currencies tend to hold their ground.

Recently, the situation with Iran is a bit different from previous conflicts. Even though it's still in the Persian Gulf, the war with Iraq ended quickly due to the one-sided destruction of Iraqi weapons. Iran, however, finds itself in a conflict where the U.S. is entangled with Israel in a war that lacked preparation and a clear winning expectation, keeping the Persian Gulf under a constant threat of war. The military actions by the U.S. and Israel threaten maritime transport, which restricts oil trade. The Persian Gulf is a major hub for global oil exports, impacting oil prices significantly.

The U.S. primarily has light crude oil but lacks heavy crude, necessitating imports, which has led to a sharp rise in U.S. oil prices.

Oil has always been priced in dollars, and now that the U.S. is at odds with key oil-producing nations, these adversaries are forced to reduce their dollar-denominated transactions to avoid sanctions, opting for other currencies instead. Moreover, Russia is also steering clear of dollar sanctions by using alternative currencies. This situation puts the dollar in a precarious position in oil trading, reducing the demand for dollars to some extent, leading to dollar depreciation.

Currently, the world is under the threat of war and high expectations for conflict. In the future, to mitigate any potential threats from wars, governments and individuals are likely to turn to on-chain assets as a substitute for fiat in transactions. This shift aims to avoid and lessen the impact of sanctions and fiat devaluation caused by wars, ensuring that trading can continue smoothly. The Iranian government’s decision to allow Bitcoin payments for the Strait of Hormuz tolls is a reluctant but necessary choice.