Joao Wedson

Solana’s 30-day Open Interest change is about to turn positive.

The last two times this happened, $SOL moved slightly higher, but a sharp drop followed afterward.

A real liquidity hunt often happens across exchanges.

Also, when the monthly Open Interest change jumped by more than $2B compared to the previous month, the price marked local tops. In some cases, it did not even need to surpass that level.

Once this metric stays positive for a few days, some strategic selling to buy back lower later may be a good strategy.

Keep an eye on it!

⚠️This chart captured every historical top and bottom of Bitcoin Cash.

This shows the true power of Alphractal’s calibrated metrics and tools, such as the Workbench.

The most interesting part is that, even with this impressive track record, I would not be surprised if $BCH still falls further.

Right now, the bottom signal from this model would only appear below $100, which means there is still a possible downside of nearly 50% from here.

Will this actually happen? Nobody knows, and I cannot tell you that it will, because no market ever gives certainty.

But one thing is clear: if this drop happens, the region below $100 has a high probability of marking the bottom of this Bitcoin Cash bear cycle.

This is exactly what we are building at Alphractal:

Turning complex data into objective signals that help identify top and bottom zones with much more clarity.

Data comes first. Narratives come later. Make better decisions where real Alpha lives. Alphractal.com

If you are not worried about the short term, take a look at this. Ethereum is currently in one of its best phases for accumulation. The Net Unrealized Profit/Loss, NUPL, is in the red zone. This means unrealized losses are now significantly higher than unrealized profits across Ethereum’s history. Historically, this has marked excellent moments to DCA. So my answer on ETH is simple: Keep buying every week, or on any strong pullback that happens, because once $ETH leaves this red zone, it may not return to it anytime soon. Alphractal.com

Bittensor (TAO) was one of the most mentioned altcoins this week, with a strong weekly price recovery and growing market attention due to its position as a leading AI token.

However, until June 14, whales were heavily positioned in longs compared to retail.

Now, whales are predominantly positioned in shorts, while retail traders continue to persist in longs.

Stay alert, because the optimism around AI could trigger unexpected liquidations for many unaware traders.

🔥 Alphractal

New video is live.

In this one, I go through several important topics:

Bitcoin Fractal Cycle
Institutional Analysis
Accumulation and Distribution Theories
Buy/Sell Pressure Delta
Identifying Liquidation Levels
Final market view on ETH

The goal is simple: understand where Bitcoin is inside the cycle, where liquidity is concentrated, and what the data is really showing before the narrative becomes obvious.

Data first. Narratives later.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Y3s65KCanvc

Whales are showing more interest in $TON than retail.

The Whales vs. Retail Delta shows that, in the short term, long interest among big players has increased on OKX, Binance, and Gate.

Meanwhile, retail is not showing the same level of interest.

In other words, large players are positioning more aggressively, while retail remains far less engaged.

Litecoin is entering an important region of the cycle.

LTC is now revisiting the lower levels of the Fibonacci Adjusted Market Mean Price, a metric that uses the Market Mean Price as its base and builds Fibonacci proportional bands to map expansion zones, mean reversion areas, and accumulation regions.

Historically, during periods of stronger market stress, Litecoin’s price has reached the lowest band, highlighted in green. In other moments, it found support in the blue regions, which also marked relevant value areas across previous cycles.

At the current moment, LTC has just touched the first lower level of this model, entering a possible accumulation zone once again.

The upper bands are usually associated with overheated phases and distribution risk. The lower bands tend to represent regions where the asset starts to look discounted relative to its structural mean.

On a logarithmic scale, it becomes clearer how Litecoin is once again approaching zones that, in the past, required attention from long term investors.

$LTC is weak, but extreme weakness is also where cycles begin to form value.

Don’t waste time. Ask Alpha AI for free right now how your favorite crypto is doing and get incredible insights.

See more at Alphractal.com

The end of Bitcoin’s bear market may take a little longer than many expect. Like it or not, this signal has been highly accurate, and we need to keep watching it closely. I’ll record a video for everyone with a real overview of what we’re seeing and the story the data is telling. Stay tuned. Alphractal.com

New YouTube video: Alphractal Workbench!

I showed how to use one of Alphractal’s most powerful tools to explore data, create formulas, build signals, compare metrics across different assets, and create personalized analyses with much more freedom.

Workbench opens a new layer of analysis for those who want to go beyond traditional charts.

Watch here:

https://youtu.be/iUnFOhNoeGA

Google searches for cryptocurrencies are rising again in June. This is a sign that retail investors are starting to search more about different crypto assets and catch up with the market again. Spikes in Google Trends are also often related to moments of euphoria and fear. Track more sentiment metrics at Alphractal. com.

⚠️Selling pressure on $ETH has been exhausted. A price recovery attempt will likely be driven by renewed buying pressure. In addition, the last major liquidation pool has already been hit on ETH. Anxious bulls were liquidated, which means stronger hands may now be able to accumulate more calmly. Follow the Alpha. That is all.

I picked a few random altcoins like $ENA , $SUI , $SOL , and $NEAR to check the Whale vs Retail Delta. Across all of them, whales are showing a clear preference for short exposure. Retail probably believed months ago that this was a good time to accumulate altcoins. But whales are moving in the opposite direction. That is why I keep saying: price moves toward liquidity, not toward what people want to happen. And in moments like this, fundamentals usually take a back seat. Alpha Metrics - Alphractal. com

Bitcoin Market Cap / Global M2 Ratio has been marking Bitcoin price tops with impressive accuracy. And the trendline makes this very clear. Currently, Bitcoin’s market cap represents only 0.94% of Global M2. This means that even after multiple cycles, ETFs, institutional adoption, and more than 15 years of history, Bitcoin has still captured less than 1% of global monetary liquidity. But here is the key point: At the last major top in October 2025, Bitcoin represented exactly 2% of Global M2. In other words, this ratio helps us understand when Bitcoin is becoming overheated relative to global liquidity, and when it is losing monetary share again. It is a simple, visual, and powerful way to analyze the relationship between the crypto market and global monetary policy. Liquidity drives cycles. And this chart helps reveal where Bitcoin stands inside that cycle.

This chart helps define major bottoms and tops in Zcash (ZEC), making it very useful for estimating whether the asset is expensive or cheap. It is based on the CVDD model implemented by the Research team at Alphractal.

But another chart that stands out is the MVRV Z-Score, which recently made a pullback very close to 0. This happened because, during the latest drop, ZEC tested its Realized Price and then rallied more than 90% after the dump, showing that this on-chain level acted as a very strong support.

However, if $ZEC drops below $360, it will likely return to a more aggressive Bear Market phase.

This is a key region that bulls need to defend. Otherwise, we will need to analyze the CVDD Channel more closely again to identify lower on-chain levels, which currently range from $48 to $170.

The $48 level would be the most aggressive scenario, and interestingly, it was also the level that marked the bottom in the previous cycle.

In other words, ZEC needs to stay above $360. Otherwise, it may enter a strong capitulation phase.

Alphractal.com

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• Build from any metric
• Line, Area, Scatter, Bubble, Heatmap & Gradient charts
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• AI-powered chart analysis built into Workbench

No limitations. No predefined templates. Just your data, your charts, and your edge.

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The number of crypto influencers and social media posts is starting to rise again. This is happening across topics related to BTC, ETH, SOL, and many other cryptocurrencies. Usually, influencers appear in two situations: Bull markets and moments of euphoria Bear markets and moments of fear The most recent numbers are related to widespread fear. Track sentiment metrics and make decisions using a type of analysis that is not only powerful, but also helps you escape the herd effect. See more at Alphractal.com.

Bitcoin Update: Leverage Pressure Zone The chart shows that we have left the Extreme Leverage phase and moved into Moderate and Slight Leverage. In other words, from now on, the risk of forced liquidations has already dropped significantly, since many traders were liquidated last week. However, we have not yet reached the blue/purple zone, which represents extreme deleveraging. Historically, that is a fantastic region to gain exposure with greater safety. That phase has not happened yet, and it will probably take a few more weeks or months before we get there. Be careful with the derivatives market. If you do not understand its health, you can be liquidated at any moment. Focus on the Alpha.

For the first time in history, Ethereum’s market cap is now the same as Tether’s market cap. But what is even more intriguing is the Tether Market Cap vs Ethereum Market Cap Ratio, which has formed fascinating trendlines that have marked extremely precise tops and bottoms throughout Ethereum’s history. And right now, it is testing the lower trendline again. 🫣 Use this information however you want. #Ethereum $ETH $USDT

⚠️Crypto market sentiment is now in Extreme Fear and flashing “Very Bearish” according to sentiment metrics. And, as usual, Google searches related to crypto are rising again, intensifying the panic even more. We’re heading into a week of heavy volatility. Stay sharp. Follow the Alpha. Alphractal.com

⚠️Dogecoin is in a price bottoming phase!

This metric has been one of the most accurate throughout Dogecoin’s history. Every time $DOGE approached it or spent just a few days below it, major price bottoms followed.

The latest signal will be triggered whenever Dogecoin drops below $0.08.

The smartest investors will accumulate a lot of DOGE below $0.08.

And I’m warning you ahead of time.

So accumulate during the capitulation phase and hold this crazy memecoin for a long time!

Follow the Alpha on@Alphractal (https://x.com/Alphractal ) and thank me later!
Alphractal.com