三和社区-鱼崽仔的归零日记

#LAB
Heard LAB is flying on-chain????
The shorts are about to get wrecked.

Current price: 16.15U, 24h up +32.71%, market cap 4.95 billion USD
All-time high: 24.4U (June 2), rebounding 113% from the bottom of 7.6
Contract long/short ratio: 0.58 (shorts hold 63%), funding rate -0.039%
Circulation rate is only 1/3

Negative funding rate + shorts = short squeeze structure. Today's massive pump of 32% is a chain reaction triggered by short liquidations. If the rally continues, short covering will push it even higher. Currently, there's a 49% gap to the previous high of 24.4, with resistance at 18.8 and support at 14.0.

Longs: Look to buy the dip at 14.0-14.5 for stability, stop-loss at 13.0, target 16.5→18.8. The negative funding rate + crowded shorts means the squeeze isn't over yet.

Shorts: Look to short on the rise at 18.0-18.8, stop-loss at 19.5, target 15.0→13.0. Be cautious, the short squeeze risk is extremely high.

A deep correction after a failed squeeze, a 30% drop in a day wouldn't be surprising.
Low circulation rate, FDV is 3.2 times the market cap, high sell pressure at the top, low on-chain liquidity.

Short-term bullish, medium-term volatile, crowded shorts are the fuel. Wait for a dip confirmation to enter, don't chase the highs, and enforce strict stop-losses.

Not gonna get more precise, just look at the charts yourself.

#BTW
BTW, the whales in this game might have a bigger appetite than you think.

There’s a 2 million short position sitting there, with a funding rate of 0.2566%, and a long/short ratio of 559%. The average cost for longs is 0.065U, while it’s currently at 0.145U, showing an unrealized profit of 20 million U. The average cost for shorts is 0.080U, resulting in an unrealized loss of 2.92 million U.

We have an extreme long/short imbalance structure + an extremely positive funding rate. As long as the market maker keeps pushing, shorts will either have to add margin or face liquidation. Either way, the price is set to rise further.

The levels I’m calculating are: 192, 2405, 288. If we consider the altcoin at ten times leverage, the limit is around 48.

As I mentioned before, in this kind of structure, the market maker has no reason not to capitalize.

#reusdt
Yo, this trend is definitely interesting. It shot up from 0.4 to around 1 in just three days, and the 24-hour contract trading volume hit 3.1 billion. The hype is off the charts.

So why is it so strong?

It got listed on five major exchanges in one day, which is pretty rare for a new coin. The reinsurance narrative is appealing to institutions—think of it like the London Lloyd’s and Munich Re, tapping into a $1 trillion market. Coinbase Ventures has invested, and Re Protocol has already partnered with over 35 insurance firms, covering more than 700,000 policyholders, giving it some real business backing. The cost price was 0.05, and now it’s around 1, yielding a 17x return—early investors got in at a super low cost.

But here’s the kicker: only 16% of the supply is circulating.

With a total supply of 1 billion coins, only 159 million are in circulation. Early investors are still locked up, and when those unlock, the selling pressure could be a killer.

But I have a question: why did I calculate 108?
I put in a limit order at 1068, but it wouldn’t let me in (╥_╥)

If it holds around 1, the next resistance might be in the 1.6 to 1.8 range.

#beat #ETH
BEAT has been called out for a while before the mainstream crash, but no one followed.
I shorted beat from 11.46 down to 1.79, floating gains of 5000%+, using 10x leverage for 53x returns (over 300 bucks now, should've just gone in deeper instead of testing).

I've been calling eth from 2300, but how many people actually held on?? The recent rebound is normal; I believe the market has one more pump before we hit new lows again!!!!!!

But I just want to ask: Bro, can beat go to zero directly?

The project team blew the whistle, price decoupled, trust went to zero. The whale's entry cost is 0.07U, I shorted at 11.46, how many multiples can I float? Now it's crashing to 1.79, is there still 25x room from his cost??????

1.79 might not be the bottom, but I've mentioned the three conditions for going to zero: the project team completely gives up, there's no buy support in the market, and the exchange delists it.

#beat

Crushed this trade, the algorithm confirmed it once again.

A buddy in the group asked about BEAT, and I previously mentioned it around 11.5. I shorted at 11.468, now at 5.35, floating gains racking up 11x returns.

It's not luck. On-chain token concentration, contract holding structure, funding rate inflection points, and whale positions are all signals from the market makers to exit.

Stacked up, calculated the position. Still needs fine-tuning, but the big picture is solid.

Let’s keep it going next time.

#HUSDT
The H project team has released a statement, and this hacker incident is more complicated than we thought.

Event Classification: The attacker is linked to North Korean hackers, and the admin rights on the BNB chain have been compromised, causing on-chain prices to struggle to gain traction. Token contracts on other chains have been safely frozen.

Market Signals: We are currently in a range-bound consolidation, with open interest holding steady. Smart money is balancing long and short positions. The project team is working hard to stabilize the coin price; otherwise, the contract price would have already tanked to zero like the chain.

Core Conflict: On-chain prices are nearing zero, but the contract can still rise—indicating someone is propping it up, yet the fundamental issues on-chain remain unresolved.

At this level, I only recommend going short
Around 312, that's my personal calculation—waiting for a spike to place a limit order.

#SPCXUSDTBINANCE
Long on SPCX!!!

The opening price was around 200. After the official trading today, the actual movement aligned closely with expectations—gapped up, significant turnover, but no extreme short squeeze.

Let's talk about the current situation

SpaceX's IPO price is $135, with a first-day gap up of about 29%. The ultra-low float of 4.3% is the core logic—there's a scarcity of shares in circulation, but over $150 billion globally is chasing, creating a supply-demand imbalance that will support the price. Polymarket predicts a 69% chance of a first-day market cap exceeding $2 trillion, translating to a stock price above 150.

Long strategy (two approaches)

Approach One: Buy on dip confirmation (conservative)

If the price dips to the 155-165 range with reduced volume and stabilizes, you can enter a small position long. This range reflects a 15%-22% premium over the IPO pricing of 135, which is a reasonable "scarcity pricing" area.

Entry: 155-165 in batches
Stop-loss: 145
Target: 190 → 210
Logic: Institutional accumulation zone + passive index funds buying later

SPCX is driven by "scarcity + narrative", not traditional value investment. My strategy is to place limit orders to go long at 155-165, and I won't chase if it doesn't hit. If it gets there, I'll test a small position, stop-loss at 145, first target at 190.

If it directly rallies above 200, I’ll pass and not chase. Better to miss out than to make a mistake.

Position size should be kept within 5% of total capital.

#Velvet
VELVET's on-chain dump!!! The whales' movements have been exposed.

VELVET shorting entry points reference

Strategy Entry Range Stop-Loss Logic
Aggressive Short Around 1.00 1.05 High-risk zone, small stop-loss gamble
Standard Short 1.20-1.30 1.30 hold firm Main battleground, best risk-reward ratio
Conservative Short 1.50-1.60 1.60 hold firm Extreme pump trap, highest certainty

Order references: 0.98 / 1.168 / 1.25 / around 1.52 for staggered positioning.

On-chain confirmation: Project team + market maker colluding to run away

Project related addresses: In the past 3 days, transferred 22 million VELVET to Bitget, Gate, KuCoin, worth about $19.8 million.

DWF Labs (market maker): In the past month, transferred 6.68 million VELVET to the same exchanges, worth about $6 million.

A total of 28.68 million VELVET (about $25.8 million) are flowing to exchanges. This occurred simultaneously during the price surge from 0.09 to 0.9 (10x increase). A typical "spot pump + contract harvesting" tactic—lifting the price to create FOMO while loading up exchanges to prepare for a dump.

Market data: The contract market is the main battleground

24-hour increase of 125%, peaked at 1.098, with a volatility of 153%
Trading volume of $1.17 billion, OI surged by 110%—new leverage funding pouring in
Total supply of 1 billion coins, around 420 million in circulation, FDV about $847 million
Circulation rate only 42%, with a lot of chips still in the project team's hands waiting to be unlocked

Use 5-10% of your position to place staggered orders, strict stop-losses!!!!!!!

#beat
Let's analyze Beat here.

From 1.43 to 4.91, it’s rocketed up 242% in just 5 days. Today’s washout was brutal—dropped from 4.27 to 3.37, then shot back to 4.91, and now sitting at 4.23. That’s a daily volatility of 46%, the whale's tactics are fierce.

Contract data to note: account long-to-short ratio at 0.44, with nearly 70% of accounts short. Classic retail FOMO setup right after a massive pump. If it breaks 4.91, the short squeeze will be violent. Funding rate has dropped from 0.15% to 0.005%, clearing out long leverage, reducing the cost of going long. The active buy-sell ratio has been consistently >1 for multiple periods; there are short-term buyers stepping in.

Resistance at 4.55-4.60, support at 4.10-4.15. Strong support at 3.37-3.45; if it breaks, the trend weakens.

For going long, look for a bounce around 4.10-4.15 to enter a light position, with a stop-loss at 3.90 and a target of 4.55-4.60. For going short, consider a high at 4.80-4.90, with a stop-loss at 5.00 and a target of 4.40-4.50.

70% shorts + thin liquidity means breaking new highs could lead to a cascading pump. The swing from 3.37 to 4.91 today could easily wreck standard stop-losses. This new coin has only been live for 5 days, so high leverage isn’t advisable. If you’re jumping in, take it easy and trial with a small position.

I’ll drop updates on this whale's movements later.

#币安人生 #CZ

Pump Logic: A Clear Fund Game

The core of this round of skyrocketing prices is one word: buy. Against the backdrop of AI and Meme tides receding and mainstream markets correcting, hot money needs an outlet. This "outlet" is Binance Life, and the play is quite aggressive.

On-chain whales are going on a buying spree: by the end of May, the address 0x82C withdrew 5 million USDT from Bybit and within half an hour bought 8.1 million Binance Life tokens on-chain.
Pump funds "increased investment": In the following 6 days, the same whale-controlled address accumulated an investment of 24 million USDT, continuously buying to accumulate.
The contract market added fuel to the fire: due to the extremely low circulation of on-chain spot, the whale's purchases directly triggered a series of liquidations in the contract market, creating a "short squeeze" effect that further pushed prices up.
Recent on-chain movements continue: as of today (June 7), the whale address is still conducting "dual-line positioning" through withdrawals from exchanges and on-chain purchases, with a total investment of about 38.77 million USDT, at an average price of about 0.687 USDT.

When "stories" and "expectations" cannot support massive profits, any hesitation from whale funds can cause the market to collapse instantly.

My Strategy: Place a Dream Short

So the range of "0.9968-1.04" is more of a speculative order based on a "huge integer threshold", making it a high-risk/reward setup. I have a plan for entry points, stop losses, and position sizes, which are my core risk management measures:

First Order Zone: 0.9968 - 1.04: Place short orders in batches. This range is a huge psychological barrier and a potential overbought zone, and placing orders here is a high-risk/reward gamble.

Add-on Zone: 1.15 - 1.2

Stop Loss Level: 1.35

This is within my personal risk control range. Position management is the bottom line – this part of the funds needs to be well-controlled.

The gamble here far exceeds the calculation of "precise entry points". Place the orders, set the stop losses, and leave the rest to the market to validate.

Currently, I can find around 35+ wallets, many of which are already inactive (but I must find them). This afternoon, I discovered traces of chip distribution with a considerable quantity spread quite widely, just not sure if it's direct selling or small buys continuing to push up.

#LAB #baby #链上分析
Just finished sorting out the trading data for LAB, my eyes are about to go blind.

Right now, I'm still offloading, cashing out small amounts. Too many wallets, I’m not looking anymore.

25+ are all running. The big bags haven’t moved yet, the whales are playing the slow boil game. Slowly selling off the small amounts, keeping the price stable. When the big bags decide to move, what do you think will happen?

Let's take another look at BABY (the leading token of the Babylon Chain ecosystem), this one is even more interesting. The official team dropped a countdown for the mainnet launch last night, and the market expectations shot up, today the candlestick shot straight down from the sky. Where did the liquidity go?

The circulation rate is extremely low, the contract market is dominating, and the depth is just not enough. When the big money comes in, it can break through, and with one announcement, the price can skyrocket several times; one sell order can smash it right back to square one. This is liquidity being drained while repeatedly stabbing with those sharp price movements.

The deep bear market hasn’t hit yet.
BABY won’t be the last one.

#三和社区
@神之三和 The boss said！！！！
Big things are happening in the community! We're giving away gold bars, 30 pieces of 10 grams each!

Here's the prize list:

10-gram gold bars, a total of 30 pieces (this is real gold!!!!!!!)
Sanhe Capital merchandise galore
3 million in point red envelopes (you know what I mean)
5 mysterious info prizes (can’t say too much, value for yourself)

And the participation requirements (super simple):

1. BN rename format: Sanhe Community-xxx (don’t mess it up, or you're out)
2. Register an account on the official site and bind your info (takes a few minutes)
3. Be a good patriot and love the Party (this one doesn’t need an explanation)
4. Interact and share the BN lottery post, and three connects on Douyin (same name: God of Sanhe) Everyone can check it out to see what the boss is up to daily

Our community never plays around. The gold bars are real gold, the merchandise is legit, and the red envelopes are genuine.

#ETH #hype

Lately, it's all about those crazy multipliers!!!!?
I saw that @Canary made a few million, is that for real?
Is there a big player in the square who can teach me?????

I have this bad habit — when I see a setup, I trade it both live and on paper. In live trades, I'm scared to death, but on my demo account, I go all-in. And the result? My demo account's profits doubled while I bailed out of the live trade early.

I went short on ETH, entered at 2303 in live trading, and exited at 2200. For the demo, though? Same entry, and I'm still holding, raking in way more profit.

I went long on HYPE, entered at 55.8 and exited at 68, but my demo account is still holding strong.

I'm frustrated. The logic is solid, the levels are right, but I just can't hold on.

A buddy in the group asked me, "Yo, are you still in HYPE?" I said I bailed. He replied, "I’m still holding, thanks to you, bro." In that moment, I felt that frustration.

I know where the issue lies — someone who's been wiped out (got wrecked by Rave at crazy multipliers) becomes timid. After losing 1000U once, I restarted at 100U, and every trade feels like walking a tightrope. The demo account isn't real money, so I just go for it.

But starting today, I'm going to change things up. For the setups I trust, I’ll take a swing with real money too. No more cashing out too quickly; let the profits run a bit longer. I’ll accept losses and hold onto gains.

#LAB
LAB take profit is in!!!
Made enough, and I’ve closed my positions.

1. Take Profit Performance: One trade, fully loaded

Entered at 4.71, exited at 19.68, unrealized profit +2600%.
Utilized 10x leverage for a 26x gain.

On May 31st, LAB pumped from 10.49 to 16.49, shorts got wrecked for 16.5 million. I maintained my strategy and kept pushing my trailing stop up, took the whole body of the fish.

Left the rest for the brave ones, I’m not greedy for that last bite.

2. A wallet I marked for accumulation long ago suddenly received 100 million tokens.

That address I’ve been tracking for a while just received a transfer of 100 million LAB. After that, some tokens began to flow into exchanges like Bybit, KuCoin, etc., along with many small split transfers. This “low entry + high exchange small dispersal” structure is almost a clear signal. With 95% control by the whales, entering at this moment feels a bit deep.

This crazy coin
This method is quite similar to the RAVE trading team, but they’re hitting it harder. They’ll drop the price to bait shorts and trap retail investors; the rest of the operations, fees, etc., are almost the same.

ZachXBT has personally confirmed that the project team controls over 95%, and they change the public sale lock-up period at will, not giving you a chance to escape.

My algorithm is set around 13.5-15.6, 23.5, 46.
Strictly speaking, it’s already exceeded my expected range. The tail is left for others; I’m satisfied with the body of the fish.

3. There are still opportunities ahead, but I won’t participate.

For those who didn’t get in earlier, no need to rush. They are building large positions at high levels and diversifying; there will definitely be significant moves coming up.

Reminder:
I’ve added to my position and closed it, so this display is off. If anyone wants to challenge me, I’ll pin it in the chat room. Welcome to challenge my real trades.

#LAB
Big pump!!! Time to kick the shorts in the butt
LAB just pierced another needle today, hitting an all-time high of 11

Last night someone asked me, and I said, while unloading, it wasn’t a huge dump, just cashing out. The whale has nearly 500m in 5 original wallets, and the cash out I could find was only 5m

I calculated a few positions—13.5, 23, 46, including if 13.5 doesn’t crash, the next stop is 23, or even extreme 46

This coin is more ruthless than RAVE. Why is it crazier than RAVE? The leverage space is bigger, funding rates skyrocketed from -0.057% to -0.72%, annualized -789%. High leverage + extreme negative rates, the whale holds 95% of the circulating supply, they can pump it however they want.

Data shows that this whale's operator is more seasoned compared to RAVE:

10 new wallets withdrew nearly 100 million LAB from exchanges in 12 hours (32% of circulation), then there was a single-day 50% crash, with contracts getting liquidated in a chain reaction.
In the past 7 days, a whale controlling nearly 2% of the total supply deposited over 10.3 million LAB into the privacy trading platform Aster, getting stuck at the node where it hit a new high of $7.92
Pumping to switch exchanges, diversifying out, doing both pumping and dumping—this process is executed smoother than RAVE

Why am I eyeing 13.5?

The shorts around 10 have already been liquidated once, but the positions aren’t fully cleared yet.
The algorithm is capped around 13.5, once it hits, it’ll either crash or keep flying to 23
If 23 doesn’t crash, extreme acceleration could push it to 46—sounds ridiculous, but ZachXBT accuses insiders of controlling 95%, for a coin at this level of control, pumping cost ≈ 0, where it flies depends entirely on the whale's mood. It all comes down to how many players are in this game!!!

Right now, the whale is playing a "max funding squeeze + baiting" game. Going long makes money, going short burns cash, while pumping and unloading, the retail traders see shorts while getting liquidated.

#LAB
LAB is not for shorting right now!!!
Cash-out on-chain is still ongoing.

I mentioned before that RAVE's whale might be behind this; looking at their tactics, they're pumping and dumping, diversifying exits, pulling up while selling off, just like before. But the issue is, the price is steadily climbing with no signs of a crash. The dogs are unloading while propping up the price, this act is reminiscent of the previous RAVE.

Data support:

Looking at the chain, in the past 7 days, a whale wallet controlling nearly 2% of the total supply has deposited over 10.3 million LAB into the privacy platform Aster, perfectly timed when LAB hit a historical high of $7.92. Cashing out at the top to mix coins, isn’t that obvious? There’s also an insider address with 570,000 coins at 0.2U, recently moved to a CEX for profit-taking, netting a cool $1.13 million. Smart money is delivering at the peak while retail traders are left holding the bag.

In the futures market, the funding rate is -0.057%, shorts are paying but positions are still stacking up, this structure is ripe for big volatility. Retail long-short ratio is only 33% long and 67% short, the short positions have been mostly washed out.

There’s a wave of liquidation for shorts around 10. I have a target for this meme coin, algorithm cap sitting around 13.5, but it could go a bit higher, around the 13-15 range. If we don't see a crash in this range, the next target could be around 23. The 13-15 range is a high-probability pivot point; triggering the core algorithm cap + short liquidations + smart money's cost zone, these three conditions overlapping, it would be surprising if it doesn't drop.

My 3.977 long position is still in play, moving the stop-loss up; not breaking core support, I'm not exiting. At the same time, I'm starting to place shorts above 10, heavy shorts between 13-15.

#LAB
I got into this LAB long position at 338, added some more later, and now it’s sitting at 6.94, showing some unrealized gains.

First, let’s look at the on-chain data: there’s definitely some big players cashing out, but not too much. Over the past few days, the project team has been unlocking about 1.48 million LAB daily (around 0.15% of the supply), and some of these tokens are flowing into exchanges. However, whale addresses are still net buyers, indicating a split market; it’s not just a one-sided dump.

Now, checking the charts: the price is stuck between $5 and $7.77. The $5 mark is the lifeline for bulls, and breaking below that could be pretty risky; $7.77 is the previous high, and if we break and hold above that, it’s a whole new ballgame. Currently, the funding rate has turned negative with a long/short ratio of 0.37, showing a bearish sentiment, but the price isn’t dropping, which suggests there’s someone propping it up. This is often a precursor to a short squeeze.

Can the big guy just pump it double so I can grab a bite!!!

#ALLOUSDT
ALLO is still pumping, and my shorts are getting crushed.

Missed the aggressive short at 0.155, but I’ve set a conservative short at 0.165-0.17. As a result, the whale pushed it all the way to 0.24, now sitting on a floating loss of 16.88U, with RSI hitting 93—ridiculously overbought. This account isn't too deep in the red, but combined with the other one, it's almost 100.

I’m begging you, whale, please don’t pump anymore. There’s so much unlock pressure on-chain, aren’t you worried? With a 20% circulation rate and new chips coming in every week. I know you’re painting the walls, so give me a break and pull back a bit to let me out.

Still holding the short, didn’t cut losses. RSI 90+ and MFI 90+—seriously overbought, historically this kind of extreme has an 80% chance of a pullback. Whale, I’m really pleading with you, I’m betting you’re painting the walls, okay?!!!

#ALLOUSDT
ALLO, this trade script is pretty interesting.

Going both long and short, this is what I did while watching the boss at @神之三和 's live stream, working with the crew there on real trades.

Current price is around 0.14, I’m currently in profit on my long position from 0.107 and I’m gearing up to aggressively short at 0.155 and conservatively at 0.165-0.17. The key to going both long and short is to buy near support and sell near resistance. Place your orders in batches, don’t go all-in at once. There’s strong resistance around 0.17; if we break and hold above that, the short logic goes out the window and we need to reassess.

Why can we short here?

ALLO has a total supply of 1 billion tokens, with about 200 million currently in circulation, which is a circulation rate of only 20%. On May 11th, about 17.25 million tokens (around $2.14 million) were unlocked, and there will be a linear release boosting supply every week. A small amount of buying pressure can pump the price, but the selling pressure from the unlock is on its way, which is the core risk from a supply-demand perspective.

From a technical standpoint, the price is around 0.14, with the upper Bollinger Band resistance around 0.127, and we're currently in the overbought zone. The MACD has formed a death cross and the histogram is widening negatively. RSI and MFI reached 94.65, indicating severe overbought conditions. A top divergence coupled with a death cross resonance is a classic pullback signal.

On the news front, ALLO has recently surged due to the revival of the AI sector, the heat around RWA, and rumors of a "14 million dollar AI restaurant system." However, there’s a fundamental contradiction in the project: improvements in AI reasoning and network usage haven’t effectively translated into token demand, creating a significant gap between network activity and token value capture. As the narrative-driven enthusiasm fades, the price faces cooling pressure.

Keep the total position size under 5% of total capital, with stop-loss set uniformly at 0.175 (for aggressive positions). The core defense zone is at 0.12-0.13. I wouldn’t rule out a whale running the price up to take out stop-losses before dumping. If we break 0.17 and hold with volume, the short logic fails, and it's time to exit and observe.

Place orders in batches, test the waters with a small position, and manage your risk properly.

#SEİ #WLD
I’ve been glued to on-chain data for a few hours now, and the AI + public chain sector has a few decent plays, at least the order books provide some reference. Let me mark these points.

sei:
Support/Entry: around 0.07
Small breakout confirmation: 0.0735, if it holds above, we’re likely to see more upside.
Trend invalidation point: 0.068 (if it closes below, I’m out).

Data logic: SEI’s current price is right at 0.07, with a market cap of $478 million. The project team is planning a Giga upgrade in Q2, aiming for 200,000 transactions per second, shifting to pure EVM—if this narrative picks up steam, 0.0735 won’t be the top.

WLD:
Going long: Confirm support on a pullback in the 0.35-0.36 range, enter with a small position, stop-loss at 0.33. Target first at 0.4060, if it breaks through, look for 0.4387.

Previously, whales were accumulating in the 0.26-0.29 range.

The slowdown of unlocks in July is a mid-term bullish signal, but the WLD team still has a few million U in inventory left to release, so don’t get too greedy. Going short: for now, I’m holding off on my position, waiting to consider shorting in the 0.4060-0.4387 range.
Positioning: Control 2%-5% of total capital, don’t chase highs, and don’t hold losing positions.

WLD has this narrative in the AI sector + expectations of reduced unlocks, making its fundamentals slightly stronger than pure sentiment tokens. However, an extreme long-short ratio means the market is too heavy, and chasing highs could get you washed out. My strategy—wait for a confirmed pullback before entering, if it doesn’t come, set a low limit order and let it ride.

Been on the road for 26 hours in a hard seat, my butt hurts, sorry for the lack of updates, I’ve been catching up on sleep (╥_╥)