Auralis︱第二幕

$BTW Binance free public group, first time calling trades, BTW0.083 entry pin, 0.097 take profit.

$BTC Bitcoin can fall this far— the market has already given its answer. The other day Micron (MU) released its earnings report and made a fortune—top-tier positive news: quarterly revenue of $41.4 billion. Yet when the market opened that night, it didn’t rise; it actually fell.
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​Tightening macro liquidity is the issue. Apple (APPL) even just raised prices, and the market panicked. So when the rate hikes and balance-sheet reduction come as a package, the U.S. stock market will at least pull back by 30%.
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​The crypto market is also in bad shape. Bitcoin has officially dropped to $58,000. The preferred share value of MicroStrategy has fallen below $100. This means that if the coin price probes further down to $30–40k, MicroStrategy faces the risk of being forced to sell Bitcoin at the bottom.
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​At that point, Bitcoin would trade in a long-term sideways range at the $30–40k bottom, with occasional sharp spikes—until MicroStrategy’s risk eases and liquidity returns.
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​No matter how Bitcoin’s price fluctuates, this is just part of the cycle. I still believe. Gold is a tool controlled by central banks to hedge against inflation. Bitcoin is a “citizens’ reserve asset.” The former is the ballast of the old system, while the latter is an escape pod for the new one. What everyone needs to do is preserve your existing cash reserves, increase new cash inflows, and get ready to add to your position at the bottom of the bear market for your belief!

$MU Micron stopped out; entered at 1205 and set a stop-loss at 1141. I clearly feel that macro liquidity is tightening, and the crypto market also has no money right now. If the Fed really raises rates again at year-end to fight inflation, the current Nasdaq plunge is only the beginning.

The main reason this trade is losing is that I went in and took the bait after Micron posted good news. For short-term speculators, the price is indeed already at a high level, and it’s easy to get stopped out. So from now on, whenever anything gets good news, you must think carefully before jumping in—ask yourself whether you’re about to FOMO in.

Hey fellow traders, I've set up a market chat group. If you want in, add me as a friend. It's exclusive to those following my trades.

When are you going to grow into a towering tree like AGT, $TA ?

0.078 is a strong resistance level; currently, the volume is lackluster, making it tough to break through and hold.

$M Trading is definitely a tough gig. Going light and shorting could double your gains, set at 0.45 for entry and 0.88 for stop-loss. I've lost profits over the last couple of days, time to reflect. When volatility is this high, it's not the right time to open a position, only to close one.

$M Another strong whale altcoin has pulled a rug.

$MU Micron's revenue is $41.46 billion, with a gross margin of 86%. That's insane, I'm all in on Micron. A company with a total market cap of just 1 trillion, making 4% of its market cap every quarter?

$LAB The whales are really malicious, huh? They’re gearing up to use funding fees to force the shorts to stop-loss at the double top high. No need to chase longs either; 18.5 is the daily double top, and the resistance is super strong. 24.5 is the weekly level resistance, the strongest resistance.

With this funding fee strategy for offloading, the whales are guaranteed to profit; they just need to keep the rate stable. During this time, they’ll gradually close their longs, force the shorts to stop-loss, and let the bulls take over, while they cash out nicely. If the funding rates don’t change, the retail traders in crypto will eventually get wiped out.

$H I shorted this coin yesterday, not because of some hacker or a project collapse, but because I clearly saw the same unloading tactics as with MYX and PLAY. Let me break it down for you👇

Coins like H, MYX, and RIVER are heavily manipulated by strong whales. The whales play the contract game because they already control 99% of the spot market. If they sell spot, they might dump a few million or even a billion and take it to zero, which isn’t worth it. So they’re harvesting from the contract side.

In the first phase, they enter long positions on contracts, then pump the price to attract shorts. In the second phase, they control the prices of both spot and contracts using funding rates, luring in longs and forcing shorts to cover, allowing their long contracts to exit smoothly. In the third phase, retail traders develop a habit of going long, believing that any dip will eventually rebound. At this point, the whales enter shorts, and you’ll notice H’s funding rate suddenly spikes to -1% to -2% at some random time, which seems odd. Even when the shorts are low and the price isn’t high, the whales are actually piling into shorts and using the funding rate to further bait in longs. Retail traders, hoping to catch the bottom for the funding, will hold on even as it drops, comforted by the funding rate. Finally, in the last phase, it steadily declines to zero. The whales’ shorts are eating into the funding rate; do you think they’ll let you off easy? They’ll aggressively dump the spot, and the funding rate will gradually normalize.

$O is a solid project. To cut to the chase, the contract has peaked in the short term and needs a washout. There’s way too much hype on Twitter about this project. If the whales want to control the market, they won't let everyone ride the wave together. So, I'm opting to wait for stability and a cooldown in interest before I jump in for a long.

On o1exchange, you can open contracts, predict events, play around with low-cap coins, and track wallets. For regular chain players, it’s a handy tool. But when going long, we still need to keep an eye on the intentions of the pumpers behind this coin. Right now, the candlestick data isn’t showing anything clear; I just can’t see the logic.

$SPCX
This recent pump is mainly driven by good news, just a brief price bounce, but honestly, it doesn't do much. The funds coming in are just here to catch the falling knife. With the current market cap, it's basically overvalued, purely an emotional premium, with no solid performance backing it up like the space dream.

Shorting half at 160.5, full short at 180.

$BTW pumped for ten hours, then a waterfall in just minutes. The whales are wild, huh? Bottom fishing to go long, locking in the 0.06-0.07 range, there's a hefty long position from the whales down here.

Looks like the bear market is still short on cash, not enough shorts out there. You can't have two mowers in the same patch of grass, and Binance is controlling over 30 coins, so where are all the shorts to take profits?

Last week, $SPCX dropped three or four posts right at the peak FOMO moment, shorting SPCX. The core logic is that as the hype cools down and unlocks hit, valuations will definitely get corrected. Those building positions now will be left holding the bag at the top for a decade.

I can’t even hold onto a position with a floating profit of a few tens of percent, while big players like Google and other angel investors are sitting on floating profits in the thousands of percent, with billions in unrealized gains. Are they really going to sell? Don’t they want to improve their earnings reports? It's a tough gig for those who bought at the top; they might be stuck for ten years. 😂😂

$BTW The main player has locked up 90% of the chips, while the remaining 10% is controlled by the exchange's whales to manipulate the price. It's hard to say how many chips they actually hold; it could be 95% or even 99%, but either way, it’s a coin that's extremely centralized. The price can be easily manipulated by the whales, and they’ll take advantage of whichever side has better liquidity.

A couple of days ago, there was a fivefold pump, but due to pressure from the funding rate, it dropped back down by 70%, landing right at 0.073. Smart money can see that there are still 15 million long positions at 0.06, so the 0.06-0.07 range is the strongest support zone. It’s tough to break below 0.06 in the short term. What could limit the upside? The funding rate is one factor; since the long positions have doubled from the bottom, and given Binance's mechanism, the funding rate tends to be high. It’s like a leech sucking your capital. If the funding rate spikes to 0.3% every 4 hours, you can go in lightly short and play against the main players. Secondly, we’re in a bear market, and there isn’t that much capital available for shorting. As long as there isn’t significant shorting capital, the main players have no reason to push for liquidation upwards.

In summary, if you’re looking to go long, just keep an eye on the funding rate. When the funding rate comes down, monitor that 90% of the chips haven’t budged and check if the smart money’s long positions around 0.06 are still intact. If you’re looking to short, watch the funding rate; once it hits above 0.3%, you can go in lightly short, as they can’t keep pumping the price indefinitely while facing high funding costs.

$NOM continues to HODL and farm, market cap is extremely small, trading volume surged today, clearly indicating accumulation at the bottom, aiming for a 30% gain before cashing out.

$BTW Strong players controlling the coin aren’t doing so hot anymore. My watchlist has 30-40 strong controlled coins now, but with this bear market, the shorters are getting chopped up time and again. Even the mysterious little candlestick, the top-tier shorters, have exited the scene. I miss those days a few months back when PIPPIN was raking in fees while pumping the price.

$UB These strong whales controlling the market are total scumbags, always leading us on, pretending to reverse like a V but as soon as I buy in, it's a waterfall.

$BTW repeatedly bouncing 20% up and down, long position stop loss? Is the whale human?

$BTW Yao Coin is no doubt a strong hold; don’t short it. This coin is at least 99% controlled in spot trading, and it's completely normal to see wicks in the contract charts.