Berta1983

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$SOL
{spot}(SOLUSDT)

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$BTC
{spot}(BTCUSDT)
$SOL
{spot}(SOLUSDT)

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Capital never sleeps! Tonight is destined to be a sleepless night!

The Federal Reserve's decision is in the final countdown, and global liquidity is holding its breath in anticipation. Meanwhile, the crypto market has already ignited: $BTC is closing in on 100,000, $SOL has strongly broken through 4000; this is not the climax, just the foreplay. The real critical moment is at three o'clock in the morning.

This time, the Federal Reserve is likely to cut rates by 25bp for the third consecutive time. But don’t be fooled by the words "rate cut"—this is more like a hawkishly packaged rate cut.

In the past few weeks, the degree of division within the Federal Reserve has reached textbook levels:

Doves insist: Employment can’t hold on much longer; we must continue to ease.

Hawks counter: Inflation is stubbornly sticky; we can’t give the market any more sugar.

The final outcome is likely to be a compromise: rate cuts to soothe, but with extremely tough wording to tell you—sweetness stops here.

What the market truly cares about are the following four things:

1️⃣ What Powell says is more important than what he does.

Every adjective will be magnified and interpreted by the market. Institutions generally judge that he will imply: "Another rate cut? The difficulty has greatly increased."

2️⃣ The dot plot will expose internal fractures.

This chart may present a "Three Kingdoms" scenario: those who insist on no cuts, those who insist on further cuts, and even those who demand a 50bp cut will appear.

3️⃣ Economic data is walking a tightrope.

Inflation remains resilient, and employment is significantly weakening—this is the most dangerous combination; the Federal Reserve dares not be aggressive, nor can it ease.

4️⃣ The balance sheet may quietly shift.

It just stopped tapering in October, and now it might secretly restart "buying bonds but not calling it QE" as a form of implicit easing.

My judgment is simple:

Tonight is not just about setting interest rates; it also determines next year's global liquidity roadmap.

If the Federal Reserve gives a "hawkish rate cut," the market will fluctuate violently, but for crypto, this will instead be the starting point of a trend, not the end.

Liquidity will either be released or expected to be released—both are enough to ignite the next round of sentiment in Web3.

Global capital is waiting for the Federal Reserve's "key words."

And I just want to ask one question:

Are you ready to welcome three o'clock in the morning?

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The Thodex exchange is one of the most significant cryptocurrency fraud cases in Turkey's history, which not only caused the assets of nearly 400,000 users to 'evaporate,' but also prompted changes in local cryptocurrency regulatory policies.

Faruk Fatih Ozer, born in 1994, founded the Thodex exchange in 2017. It was also the first global cryptocurrency exchange in Turkey to obtain the FinCen MSB license from the United States, peaking at around 700,000 customers, with a 24-hour trading volume reaching as high as $585 million. In April 2021, the platform first cited a cyber attack as the reason for trading malfunctions, and then on the 21st, it completely shut down trading and withdrawal functions, announcing that it would only be suspended for 4 - 5 days, which was actually a delay tactic before fleeing.

While shutting down the platform, Ozer absconded with approximately $2 billion in cryptocurrency assets to Albania. The Turkish police immediately launched a manhunt, issuing arrest warrants for 78 platform employees, detaining 62 people, and collaborating with Interpol to issue a red notice. On August 30, 2022, Ozer was captured in Albania and extradited back to Turkey in April 2023.

In September 2023, the court sentenced Ozer to 11196 years in prison for forming a criminal organization, severe fraud, and other charges, while his siblings and company executives were also sentenced to long-term imprisonment. On November 1, 2025, Ozer was found dead in a high-security prison cell in Turkey, with preliminary investigations pointing to suicide, and relevant investigations are still ongoing.

The scam affected nearly 391,000 customers, with Chainalysis subsequently estimating investor losses could reach as high as $2.6 billion. This incident also directly prompted Turkey to tighten cryptocurrency regulations, prohibiting the use of cryptocurrency for payments, revising anti-money laundering laws, and subsequently introducing amendments to capital market laws, adding new cryptocurrency licensing, reporting, and consumer protection provisions.