xrppriceanalysis

$XRP Prominent XRP community commentator Pumpius says XRP’s poor performance in Q4 2025 may actually be due to deeper institutional involvement.
Notably, while the XRP price has struggled, Pumpius believes positioning matters more than short-term price action. According to him, investors who understand this difference stay calm and prepare instead of reacting emotionally.
✨XRP Having a Difficult Quarter Despite Bullish Developments
For context, XRP has had a difficult quarter. In Q4 2025, the price has dropped 35.47%, putting it on track for its worst quarterly performance since Q2 2022, when the Terra collapse shook the crypto market. This decline has occurred alongside a wider market downturn that has dragged down most crypto assets.

Meanwhile, despite the price drop, Pumpius pointed out in his recent commentary that several positive developments have surrounded Ripple and the XRP ecosystem during this same period.
Specifically, XRP ETFs launched and recently crossed the $1 billion inflow mark. The Chicago Mercantile Exchange introduced XRP futures and spot-linked derivatives. In addition, Ripple acquired Hidden Road and rebranded it to Ripple Prime, a prime brokerage platform for institutional clients.
Moreover, the broader financial sector has shown growing interest in blockchain systems. For instance, the Depository Trust & Clearing Corporation (DTCC) approved steps toward tokenizing stocks and bonds.
Major banks have held discussions with U.S. lawmakers about the crypto market structure. At the same time, the XRP Ledger expanded into digital identity tools, zero-knowledge privacy features, and institutional settlement infrastructure.
✨How The Muted Price Growth Shows Institutional Involvement
Pumpius explained that, in a market moved mainly by retail traders, this level of positive news would likely push prices sharply higher. However, XRP did not see this reaction. Instead, the price has stayed range-bound, which he believes sends an important signal.
According to Pumpius, this means that XRP no longer trades like a retail-focused asset. He argued that institutions now influence its price behavior, and large investors do not buy after prices surge. They prefer to control price ranges while they build positions over time.
He called attention to the growing role of derivatives in determining XRP’s price. Pumpius noted the steady expansion of derivatives markets, strong liquidity at key price levels, and funding markets having more influence than spot trading. He also highlighted repeated resistance near clear breakout points as a sign of institutional activity.
Pumpius said crypto derivatives allow institutions to use leverage efficiently and manage short-term price movement. XRP suits this approach because it offers deep liquidity, global reach, and clearer regulation compared to many other digital assets. These features make it easier for institutions to take large positions without attracting unnecessary risk.
✨‘Price is what you see. Positioning is what matters
He stressed that weak price action does not mean demand has disappeared. Instead, Pumpius believes institutions continue to accumulate XRP quietly. According to him, they do this through OTC trades, ETF creation processes, treasury structures, and prime brokerage channels, while derivatives markets keep prices under control and push out short-term traders.
Pumpius compared this pattern to commodity markets, where prices often stay flat before major repricing phases. He believes many XRP holders feel frustrated because they still expect fast retail-style rallies, even though XRP has moved into an institutional phase.
Looking at the broader picture, Pumpius argued that major institutions do not build on networks they view as failures. He said governments do not develop digital identity systems on unstable chains, banks do not align regulation with assets they plan to ignore, and the DTCC does not move toward tokenized capital markets without reliable finality.
Pumpius concluded that XRP’s lower volatility alongside growing real-world utility suggests deliberate positioning by large players. “Price is what you see. Positioning is what matters,” he remarked, noting that investors who know the difference between both do not panic.

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$XRP A crypto commentator has pointed to a sharp decline in XRP holders’ profitability, arguing that the downturn could set the stage for a major price reversal.
Amid the market-wide sell-off, analyst Steph Is Crypto noted that 48% of XRP’s 60.57 billion circulating supply is now underwater, meaning those tokens were purchased at prices above XRP’s current market value.
Citing on-chain data from Glassnode, Steph stated that only about 52% of the circulating supply remains in profit. He emphasized that this share has steadily declined in recent weeks as XRP’s price action weakened.

✨Significance of Decline in Profitability
Notably, this decline in profitability matters because it directly affects investor psychology. As more holders slip into losses, market participants typically become increasingly sensitive to further downside movements.
Historically, such conditions tend to heighten the risk of panic-driven selling, particularly if prices continue to drift lower. Consequently, Steph suggested that already-underwater holders may feel compelled to exit their positions during prolonged weakness, thereby adding to short-term selling pressure.
✨Historical Performance Hints at Potential Rebound
Meanwhile, the market watcher drew on a historical parallel that adds nuance to the current outlook. According to him, the last time XRP’s profitability metrics fell to similar levels was in November 2024.
At that time, on-chain charts showed XRP profitability sliding to around 45% while the price hovered near $0.50. Shortly afterward, the post-election rally reversed the trend. Profitability surged to nearly 100% as XRP’s price climbed to almost $3 in early December 2024.
This sequence suggests that the sharp drop in profitability did not trigger a prolonged downturn. Instead, it paved the way for a substantial upside.
✨Can XRP Replicate Its November 2024 Performance?
With XRP profitability now slipping back to levels last seen in November 2024, Steph’s commentary suggests another major uptrend may be on the horizon.
His assessment comes amid the broader crypto market downturn that has weighed heavily on XRP. The token has traded below the $2 mark since December 16 and is currently hovering around $1.85.
While Steph hints that declining profitability could precede a rebound similar to late 2024, the broader context has changed. The key catalyst behind XRP’s previous rally was the re-election of Donald Trump, widely dubbed a “Crypto President.”
The momentum enabled XRP to record the largest gains as investors bet that Trump’s administration would resolve the Ripple lawsuit, which had weighed on the token. This outlook later materialized, driving XRP to a peak of $3.65 in July 2025.
For now, market expectations are driven by different factors. Investors are increasingly focused on the passage of the CLARITY Act and rising demand for XRP ETFs, which many believe could propel the token to new highs. It remains unclear whether these factors can spark a major rally comparable to the surge that followed Trump’s victory.

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$XRP 的價格走勢在最近幾個月保持低迷，考驗着交易者和長期投資者的耐心。儘管短期圖表繼續反映出猶豫和壓縮的波動性，但更高時間框架的指標開始講述一個截然不同的故事。對於經驗豐富的市場觀察者來說，往往是這些安靜的時刻預示着週期中最重要階段的到來。
最近由STEPH IS CRYPTO分享的觀察引起了對XRP長期技術結構的新關注。Steph強調了三週圖表上出現的一個罕見信號，這在XRP的交易歷史中只出現過一次，使這一發展成爲長期持有者無法輕易忽視的事情。

$XRP 達到了一個時刻，在這個時刻，紀律可能比樂觀更爲重要。隨着價格行動的壓縮和波動性的持續，市場再次考驗着交易者和長期持有者的耐心。
歷史表明，當信心分裂時，XRP往往會做出最重要的舉動，在這樣的時刻，過早行動可能和過晚行動一樣代價高昂。這就是爲什麼確認，而不是預測，正日益成爲技術觀察者中的主導主題。
這種觀點最近得到了ChartNerd的加強，他是一位廣泛關注XRP和山寨幣市場結構分析的技術分析師。他最新的評估專注於XRP與一個長期價格水平的互動，這個水平在多個市場週期中反覆塑造了該資產的趨勢行爲。

$XRP 加密分析師 Steph Is Crypto (@Steph_iscrypto) 在最近的一篇文章中透露，XRP 已經進入一個關鍵的技術區域。他指出 XRP 在 50 周簡單移動平均線附近的行爲，這是一種長期趨勢指標，通常在經歷了長時間的弱勢後，預示着劇烈的上行走勢。這個區域在過去的市場週期中多次標誌着重要的拐點。
✨增長的新窗口
他的圖表跟蹤 XRP 在每個週期中低於 50 周 SMA 的時間長度，以及該期間結束後發生的事情。每當 XRP 在大約 50 到 84 天內保持在這個移動平均線以下時，市場就會轉向強勁的擴張階段。這個窗口現在已經回來了。

$XRP 在最近的一篇X帖子中，加密貨幣專家Ripple Bull Winkle（@RipBillWinkle）分享了XRP年末的潛在目標。雖然他通常對XRP持非常樂觀的態度，但他在預測中採取了謹慎的方式，爲這一數字資產提供了廣泛的目標。
✨XRP在2025年底的表現
XRP在11月初承受壓力。由於代幣未能保持在2.2美元附近的關鍵阻力位之上，賣壓主導了大部分月份。這種疲軟延續到12月，XRP短暫下跌至1.80美元后找到買家。市場避免了劇烈崩潰，但也未能產生持續反彈。

$XRP 一個價值 $1.1 百萬美元的主要 XRP 空頭頭寸在 $1.98 價格水平附近被關閉，這標誌着隨着該代幣接近心理上重要的 $2.00 關口，交易者情緒可能發生變化。
✨ XRP 引起了交易者的關注，因爲鯨魚追蹤數據表明在早期交易中關閉了一個巨大的衍生品頭寸。數據顯示，一個標記爲 "Close Short" 的 XRP 空頭頭寸以大約 $1.979 的價格執行，名義價值爲 $1.10 百萬美元。此舉的時機引發了人們對大玩家是否在重新評估其在該價格區間的看跌立場的疑問。

$XRP 媒體名人Dave Portnoy再次密切關注XRP，因爲看跌壓力重返加密市場。
具體來說，Barstool Sports的創始人暗示在XRP跌向之前引起他注意的水平後會進行另一筆購買。

XRP目前的交易價格爲$1.84，在過去一週下跌了9.61%。在最近的拋售中，該代幣短暫跌至$1.77，然後略微反彈。
回調是在全球市場下滑的背景下發生的，比特幣的價格降至$84,000。XRP的下跌使關鍵心理水平再次成爲焦點，特別是$1.75區間。

$XRP 在關鍵的50周簡單移動平均線下方已經待了近70天，歷史數據觸發了對未來的看漲預期。
自10月初以來，廣泛的加密市場繼續面臨看跌壓力，全球加密市場市值在此期間損失超過1.38萬億美元。在這種下行壓力下，XRP也成爲了空頭的受害者，爲更廣泛的市場損失貢獻了716.6億美元。
在下跌趨勢的大部分時間內維持在2美元支撐位之上後，XRP最終在12月14日放棄了這一水平，導致更陡的下跌。然而，市場分析師Steph（@Steph_iscrypto）認爲，XRP可能只是爲突破積蓄力量，因爲它觀察到一種歷史上導致大幅價格上漲的模式。

$XRP XRP正經歷一段高度波動的時期，交易者在尋找潛在反轉的線索。在這種持續的下行壓力中，動量和價格結構的微妙變化越來越引起關注。這些技術信號通常比頭條新聞或短期情緒波動更能揭示近期市場動態。
最近，ChartNerd強調了這一更深入分析的重點，其關於XRP日線圖的更新考察了一個爲期數週的技術佈局。通過將價格走勢與動量指標進行比較，ChartNerd識別出可能暗示賣壓疲勞和短期反彈潛力的信號。

$XRP Levi Rietveld，Crypto Crusaders的創始人，對XRP的極端價格預測採取了堅定的立場。他專注於挑戰他認爲在數學上是不可能的預測，提醒社區保持腳踏實地，對XRP有合理的期望。
在最近的一篇文章中，他否認了XRP在2026年達到$10,000的想法。他的理由集中在資本可用性上。他表示，世界上沒有足夠的美元讓XRP在2026年達到$10,000。他接着做出了一個直截了當的評估，寫道：“這在字面上是不可能的。”

$XRP 加密貨幣市場常常違背傳統預期，讓交易者忙於解讀突發的波動。特別是XRP，表現出韌性和可預測的模式，這與市場處於熊市階段的想法相矛盾。雖然短期情緒波動，但嚴格的分析揭示了塑造XRP軌跡的更深層趨勢，暗示長期機會依然存在。
在最近的一篇X上的帖子中，加密分析師Dark Defender強調了他之前預測的準確性，並概述了XRP下一個預期的價格目標。根據Dark Defender的說法，細緻監測XRP的月度Wave 4模式使他能夠預測價格波動，並提供導航波動的路線圖。分析師的評論強調了結構化技術分析相較於反應性投機的價值。

$XRP The XRP market is once again at a psychological crossroads. Price volatility has returned, sentiment is divided, and traders are watching key levels with growing intensity. After months of sharp rallies, corrections, and consolidation, the token is approaching a phase where fear and opportunity tend to overlap. Historically, this is where decisive moves are born.
Against this backdrop, a bold forecast circulating across crypto social media has reignited debate. Crypto Bull, a widely followed technical analyst on X, recently shared a forward-looking XRP outlook that is gaining traction among market participants.
His projection outlines a near-term downside phase before a powerful upside expansion unfolds over the coming year.

✨Short-Term Weakness and Market Structure
Crypto Bull’s analysis places strong emphasis on market structure rather than emotion. According to his assessment, XRP remains vulnerable to a final corrective move toward the $1.75 region. This level aligns with historically significant liquidity zones and prior consolidation ranges on higher timeframes.
From a technical perspective, such a pullback would not invalidate the broader bullish trend. Instead, it would represent a reset phase designed to remove late leverage and weak hands. Similar corrective moves have occurred in previous XRP cycles before major price expansions followed.
✨Why a Deep Pullback Could Be Constructive
The projected dip is framed as a structural necessity, not a breakdown. XRP has already experienced rapid appreciation during the current cycle, and sustained rallies rarely occur without deeper retracements. A move to $1.75 would also coincide with key Fibonacci retracement levels monitored by institutional and algorithmic traders.
Market data continues to show strong long-term holding behavior, with large wallets maintaining positions despite volatility. This suggests that downside moves are increasingly viewed as accumulation opportunities rather than exit points.
✨The Case for a $16 XRP by January 2026
Looking beyond the correction, Crypto Bull’s outlook turns decisively bullish. His longer-term projection targets a potential rise toward $16 by the end of January 2026, contingent on cycle continuation and broader market strength.
This forecast is supported by historical XRP cycle behavior, where explosive rallies often follow extended consolidation and final shakeouts. It also aligns with expectations of renewed capital inflows into high-liquidity altcoins once Bitcoin dominance peaks.
✨Fundamental Tailwinds Supporting the Thesis
Beyond technicals, XRP’s fundamentals remain materially stronger than in prior cycles. Ripple’s expanding payment corridors, growing institutional partnerships, and increased clarity following the conclusion of its legal battle with the SEC have reshaped XRP’s market profile.
Additionally, the maturation of on-chain liquidity solutions and stablecoin infrastructure has improved XRP’s utility narrative. These factors provide a stronger foundation for sustained upside if market conditions cooperate.
✨Final Thoughts
While no price prediction is guaranteed, Crypto Bull’s projection reflects a disciplined, cycle-based approach rather than hype-driven optimism. A temporary drop to $1.75 may test investor conviction, but history shows that XRP’s most aggressive rallies often begin when sentiment is weakest.
As always, market participants are advised to monitor price action closely and separate long-term structure from short-term noise.

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$XRP 加密分析師ChartNerd (@ChartNerdTA)在XRP面臨明顯考驗的時刻引起了關注。在最近的一篇帖子中，他分享了一張周線圖，突顯出該資產仍然處於一個看漲的高斯通道內，但幾乎沒有。
其價格已滑落至一個關鍵迴歸水平之下，這使得多個月的支撐位變得更加重要，該支撐位在最近的波動中將市場保持在一起。
雖然整體趨勢仍然指向上升，但ChartNerd明確表示，未能重新奪回$2.15將使焦點轉向更低的支撐位。這爲未來幾周的決定性動作奠定了基礎。