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AnaChirica888
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Markets are not choosing a direction yet — Fed expectations and geopolitics keep volatility elevated. 👀
AnaChirica888
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🌎市場正在朝相反的方向發展。
儘管通脹減緩,降息預期上升,但美聯儲依然保持謹慎,美國美元依然強勁——使市場保持緊張。
📊 關鍵宏觀信號:
◽ 美國CPI同比放緩至2.7%,核心CPI爲2.6%
▪ 消費者信心減弱(密歇根指數52.9)
▪ 通脹預期(1年)上升至4.2%
▪ 美國失業率上升至4.6%,是自2021年以來的最高水平
👔美聯儲展望:
紐約聯儲的約翰·威廉姆斯認爲沒有迫切的降息必要,儘管勞動力數據有所放軟,但政策仍然略顯緊縮。
美元強勁:
美國美元指數(DXY)交易接近98.70,爲自12月11日以來的最高水平。
⚠ 地緣政治再次成爲焦點:
美國與委內瑞拉的緊張局勢抵消了對俄羅斯與烏克蘭和平談判的謹慎樂觀。
📌 總結:
市場仍然受到美聯儲預期、美元強勁和地緣政治不確定性的引導——這種混合繼續推動資產的波動性。
#宏觀 #CPIWatch #usd #MarketSentimentToday #地緣政治
免責聲明:包含來自第三方的見解。非財務建議。可能包含贊助內容。
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🌎Markets are being pulled in opposite directions. While inflation cools and rate-cut expectations build, the Fed remains cautious and the US dollar stays strong — keeping markets on edge. 📊 Key macro signals: ◽ US CPI slowed to 2.7% YoY, Core CPI to 2.6% ▪ Consumer confidence weakened (Michigan index 52.9) ▪ Inflation expectations (1Y) rose to 4.2% ▪ US unemployment climbed to 4.6%, the highest since 2021 👔Fed outlook: NY Fed’s John Williams sees no urgency to cut rates, stating policy remains slightly restrictive despite softer labor data. USD strength: The US Dollar Index (DXY) trades near 98.70, its highest level since Dec 11. ⚠ Geopolitics back in focus: Rising US–Venezuela tensions offset cautious optimism around Russia–Ukraine peace talks. 📌 Bottom line: Markets remain guided by Fed expectations, USD strength, and geopolitical uncertainty — a mix that continues to drive volatility across assets. #Macro #CPIWatch #usd #MarketSentimentToday #Geopolitics
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Consolidation above key moving averages often signals strength, not weakness.👀📈
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🟡Gold (XAU/USD) – Bulls Still in Control? Gold is trading at 4,352.69 USD, holding above MA 8, 21 & 55 📈 ➡A clear sign of short-term bullish momentum 🔎Key level to watch: 4,350 USD Former resistance → now acting as support A strong US Dollar is still limiting aggressive upside, keeping gold in a healthy consolidation phase rather than a breakdown. ✨As long as price stays above the moving averages, the bullish structure remains intact. Next move? 📌Consolidation above key MAs often precedes the next impulse. #GOLD #MarketUpdate #TechnicalAnalysis #trading #BTCVSGOLD
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Interesting to watch how JPY carry trade affects global liquidity.
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💥Japan bond yields hit decade highs Japanese government bond yields have surged to multi-year highs, signaling a potential shift in Bank of Japan policy. ▪ Rising cost of capital ▪ Yen carry trade becoming riskier ▪ Global capital repositioning 👉This is not panic — it’s volatility and market adjustment after years of cheap money. 📌Markets don’t move on news alone — they move on positioning. Source: Yahoo Finance #Macro #Japan #Bonds #MarketVolatility #MarketUpdate
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