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#ChinaGoldDiscovery put into perspective. Multiple reliable reports, China discovered a massive undersea gold deposit, but the size is being widely misunderstood. - The discovery was made off the coast of Laizhou City in Yantai, Shandong Province - Described as Asia's largest undersea gold deposit. - 3,900 tonnes = 8.6 million pounds = 3,9 million kilograms = 125,4million troy oz = $560 billion $USDC at $4470/oz if all was mined and ready to enter circulation. - However we must put this into perspective as this is not newly mined gold, it's underground, not on the market. This distinction is everything. - Gold$XAU prices move based on supply that reaches the market, not supply that exists in the ground. - A discovery, even a huge one does NOT immediately increase supply MINING UNDER THE OCEAN IS: 1. Extremely slow 2. Extremely expensive 3. Technologically difficult 4. Environmentally regulated 5. Years (often decades) away from full extraction - So the market treats discoveries as long-term potential, NOT short-term supply shocks WHAT THE DISCOVERY MEANS FOR GOLD PRICES 1. Short term (0-3 years): No price impact. - No new gold enters the market from this discovery. - Prices are driven by: * Interest rates * inflation expectations * central bank buying * Geopolitical risk * Currency strength -A discovery doesn't change any of these. 2. Medium term (3-10 years): Minimal impact - Even if mining begins, the output will be tiny relative to global demand * Global gold demand is 4,700 tonnes per year. * China mines 377 tonnes per year - So even if the new deposit adds 20 - 40 tonnes per year, that's: * less than 1% of global supply * easily absorbed by investment and jewelry demand. 3. Long term (10-30 years): Slight downward pressure. - If China successfully extracts a large portion of the deposit, it could: * increase global supply modestly * reduce China's need to import gold * strengthen China's strategic gold reserves - But even then, the effect is small compared to global demand
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$BTC Share and #singleprints The latest comprehensive 24h liquidation figures across the entire crypto market (not BTC-only) have been reported in the $500M - $560M range, reflecting elevated leverage and fast swings. Examples include roughly $550M on 18 December as #BTC probed $85,000 and $561M on 19 December reportedly with BTC featuring the largest single liquidation according to a tweet. $BTC often anchors the largest single liquidation prints during fast moves. Last week the largest single order was a $6,19M liquidation on #Hyperliquid .These single-order figures show where stress concentrates, but are not the full BTC-only daily sum. BTC-only liquidation totals depend on methodology and timestamp windows across trackers and so far today no widely cited source has published a definitive BTC-only daily figure. Heatmap tools show liquidation clusters sitting below current price near $86,000 and $84,000 implying vulnerability to further flushes if those levels are tested.
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Great article! Thank you
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Beautifully stated
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