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TL;DR: 長期持有者並沒有出售。
這並不是看跌。
持有超過6個月的幣種大多保持不變。
舊幣分配沒有重大激增。
如果聰明的錢想要撤出,
你會首先在鏈上看到它。
你沒有看到。
$BTC
BTCUSDT
永續
87,696.2
+0.34%
$ETH
ETHUSDT
永續
2,946.11
+0.03%
$SOL
SOLUSDT
永續
122.8
+0.02%
免責聲明:包含來自第三方的見解。非財務建議。可能包含贊助內容。
請參閱條款。
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@zerotoalll
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Something important is happening beneath the surface, and price hasn’t reflected it yet. First, spot vs leverage. Recent BTC moves are coming mostly from spot buying, not perpetuals. Funding rates stay close to neutral, even during upside pushes. This tells us one thing: traders are not overextended. No crowded longs. No forced squeeze narrative. At the same time, Open Interest is creeping up while volatility compresses. This is a classic sign of position building. Smart money prefers quiet ranges. They don’t chase candles — they wait for boredom. Now look at exchange flows. BTC continues to leave exchanges steadily. Not in panic spikes, but consistent withdrawals. This usually indicates coins moving into long-term storage, not preparing to be sold. If this was distribution, exchange balances would be rising. They’re not. Meanwhile, stablecoin balances on exchanges are increasing again. That’s fresh liquidity entering the system. Stablecoins don’t sit on exchanges for decoration. They sit there to be deployed. Macro context matters here. Even with rates still high, inflation momentum is cooling. Markets don’t wait for the Fed to cut — they price the expectation first. Liquidity conditions always turn before headlines do. That’s why BTC structure remains intact despite noisy news cycles. The market is absorbing supply instead of rejecting it. ETH is quietly sending similar signals. Price looks slow, but on-chain activity remains healthy. L2 usage keeps growing, gas demand stays stable, and ETH supply growth remains constrained. Historically, price lagging usage doesn’t last forever. Altcoins feel dead — and that’s exactly why they’re interesting. Low volume. Low attention. Low expectations. Rotation never starts when timelines are excited. It starts when nobody is watching. Retail waits for confirmation. Institutions position early. The chart moves after both. Right now, the market isn’t screaming bullish. But the data isn’t bearish either. And that’s usually when the real move starts.
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TL;DR: Market prices the future, not today. Macro already shifting. Inflation momentum is cooling even if rates stay high. Markets don’t wait for cuts — they front-run them. That’s why $BTC holds structure while headlines stay mixed. The chart listens to liquidity, not news. Trade the flow, not the feed. $ETH $BNB
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TL;DR: #altcoins look dead. That’s usually the setup. Altcoin volumes are low. Sentiment is worse. Attention is gone. Historically, rotations start when nobody cares. Not when everyone tweets rockets. If you’re bored, you’re probably early.
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TL;DR: $ETH price lags, activity doesn’t. That gap usually closes upward. $ETH gas usage stays stable while L2 activity keeps growing. Supply growth remains muted. Price is late. Usage isn’t. Markets eventually catch up to reality. $ETH
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TL;DR: Stablecoins are coming back to exchanges. Dry powder reload. $USDT and $USDC balances on major exchanges are ticking up again. That’s fresh liquidity entering the system. Stablecoins don’t move for fun. They move to be deployed. Liquidity always moves before price. $ETH
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