Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is quite possibly having the last rally before it starts the 2nd and final Phase of the Bear Cycle. Technically this Super Cycles chart shows that once the price breaks below the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), the Bear Cycle remains valid until it recovers it.
For now it is in effect and if we assume a -6% deceleration on the %rate of each Bear Cycle total decline from the previous, then the current one (2026) could bottom after a -72% drop, giving us $35000. We've shown in previous analyses why 45-40k is the most likely Buy Zone candidate and this is why it is a solid idea for long-term investors to start accumulating at $50000. Right now, we expect this 2nd and part of the Bear Cycle to deliver that final crash to breach 50k.
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