Not much analysis is needed to address today's topic. Bitcoin (BTCUSD) will close tomorrow not only the year (2025) but also the month (December). This is a critical closing as the 1M (monthly) candle is currently red and if it closes this way (i.e. roughly below $90300), BTC will complete three straight red months.
Why this s important? Because during its 2023 - 2025 Bull Cycle, it never had three bearish 1M candles in a row and that could be a definitive confirmation that the new Bear Cycle is already underway.
In fact it would be almost a perfect match with the first 3 months of the previous Bear Cycle, which were also 3 straight red ones (November 2021 - January 2022), also supported by the 1W MA100 (red trend-line). A lifeline of encouragement would be however that, following those first 3 red candles of the previous Bear Cycle, the market found support on the 1W MA100 and rebounded the next two months (but of course only to drop more aggressively in the later stages).
It has to be noted also at this point that 3 straight red months has historically been a strong feature of Bear Cycle activity. In fact only twice Bitcoin displayed 3 straight red months during Bull Cycles: April - June 2021 and July - September 2019.
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