Engineercryptox
Market insights 💎📈 | Breaking down crypto news so you can stay ahead of the game 🚀 | Not financial advice — just pas
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ترجمة
Gold Nears a Historic Monetary Level as #Bitcoin Tests Support
Gold, when adjusted for U.S. money supply, is challenging a level that has acted as resistance for decades. It was reached in 2011 and only decisively broken during the inflationary surge of the late 1970s.
Bitcoin, often compared to digital gold, is instead pulling back toward a defining support zone. That level coincides with both the April macro-driven selloff and the previous cycle high earlier this year.
Gold’s strength reflects rising concern around currency debasement. Bitcoin’s position reflects consolidation within its cycle, not the end of its long-term trend.
Markets are weighing the same problem through two different instruments.
Gold, when adjusted for U.S. money supply, is challenging a level that has acted as resistance for decades. It was reached in 2011 and only decisively broken during the inflationary surge of the late 1970s.
Bitcoin, often compared to digital gold, is instead pulling back toward a defining support zone. That level coincides with both the April macro-driven selloff and the previous cycle high earlier this year.
Gold’s strength reflects rising concern around currency debasement. Bitcoin’s position reflects consolidation within its cycle, not the end of its long-term trend.
Markets are weighing the same problem through two different instruments.
ترجمة
Trump Media Actively Managing Its Bitcoin Reserves
Trump Media moved about $174M in bitcoin across wallets a day after adding more BTC to its balance. A small portion was sent to Coinbase Prime Custody, while most remained under the same entity’s control.
This type of movement usually reflects treasury operations, not selling. Custody products are designed for long-term storage, not immediate trading.
Bitcoin’s price stayed flat despite the transfer, suggesting the market viewed it as neutral.
The key takeaway is institutional-style management of bitcoin, not speculative behavior.
Trump Media moved about $174M in bitcoin across wallets a day after adding more BTC to its balance. A small portion was sent to Coinbase Prime Custody, while most remained under the same entity’s control.
This type of movement usually reflects treasury operations, not selling. Custody products are designed for long-term storage, not immediate trading.
Bitcoin’s price stayed flat despite the transfer, suggesting the market viewed it as neutral.
The key takeaway is institutional-style management of bitcoin, not speculative behavior.
ترجمة
Bitcoin’s $70K–$80K range is one of its weakest historical zones.
BTC spent very little time there over the past five years, which means fewer positions were built and less structural support exists. Glassnode data confirms low supply concentration in the same range.
If price pulls back, this zone may require consolidation before acting as a true floor.
Strong trends are built where price spends time.
BTC spent very little time there over the past five years, which means fewer positions were built and less structural support exists. Glassnode data confirms low supply concentration in the same range.
If price pulls back, this zone may require consolidation before acting as a true floor.
Strong trends are built where price spends time.
ترجمة
🐳 Bitcoin Wallets Are Fewer - But Stronger
Something interesting is happening with $BTC.
📉 Since March 3, the number of wallets holding at least 1 BTC is down 2.2%. On the surface, that looks bearish.
📈 But here’s the twist:
Wallets with more than 1 BTC now hold 136,670 more coins.
🤔 In simple terms:
• Fewer wallets
• Bigger holders
• More accumulation at the top
This doesn’t look like panic selling. It looks like #Bitcoin slowly moving into stronger hands.
#BTC Price Analysis#
#Bitcoin Price Prediction: What is Bitcoins next move?#
Something interesting is happening with $BTC.
📉 Since March 3, the number of wallets holding at least 1 BTC is down 2.2%. On the surface, that looks bearish.
📈 But here’s the twist:
Wallets with more than 1 BTC now hold 136,670 more coins.
🤔 In simple terms:
• Fewer wallets
• Bigger holders
• More accumulation at the top
This doesn’t look like panic selling. It looks like #Bitcoin slowly moving into stronger hands.
#BTC Price Analysis#
#Bitcoin Price Prediction: What is Bitcoins next move?#
ترجمة
Why Bitcoin’s December Range May Be Ending Soon
Bitcoin holding between $85,000 and $90,000 for most of December has less to do with sentiment and more to do with derivatives structure.
Heavy options exposure near spot forced market makers to hedge aggressively, buying dips and selling rallies. This behavior suppressed volatility and locked price into a narrow corridor, even as macro conditions improved and risk assets moved higher.
That dynamic changes as year-end options expire. With roughly $27B in open interest rolling off and a strong call bias still in place, the hedging pressure that pinned price fades quickly.
Implied volatility remains near monthly lows, suggesting the market is underpricing movement just as structural constraints are removed.
When positioning dominates price for weeks, the resolution often comes fast once those constraints disappear.
Bitcoin holding between $85,000 and $90,000 for most of December has less to do with sentiment and more to do with derivatives structure.
Heavy options exposure near spot forced market makers to hedge aggressively, buying dips and selling rallies. This behavior suppressed volatility and locked price into a narrow corridor, even as macro conditions improved and risk assets moved higher.
That dynamic changes as year-end options expire. With roughly $27B in open interest rolling off and a strong call bias still in place, the hedging pressure that pinned price fades quickly.
Implied volatility remains near monthly lows, suggesting the market is underpricing movement just as structural constraints are removed.
When positioning dominates price for weeks, the resolution often comes fast once those constraints disappear.
ترجمة
Strategic reserve or just hype? Hard to tell, but it’s definitely not being ignored anymore.
🚨BULLISH:
🇺🇸 TRUMP SAYS HE GOT INTO BITCOIN BEFORE HIS SECOND TERM, INSPIRED BY HIS KIDS.
HE CALLS IT A BIG WIN FOR AMERICA.
IF WE DIDN'T HAVE BITCOIN, CHINA WOULD HAVE TAKEN IT.
NOT ON HIS WATCH 🔥
$BTC
🇺🇸 TRUMP SAYS HE GOT INTO BITCOIN BEFORE HIS SECOND TERM, INSPIRED BY HIS KIDS.
HE CALLS IT A BIG WIN FOR AMERICA.
IF WE DIDN'T HAVE BITCOIN, CHINA WOULD HAVE TAKEN IT.
NOT ON HIS WATCH 🔥
$BTC
ترجمة
The divergence between spot and paper markets is wild right now. Do you think the real supply is finally starting to dry up?
🔥 $BROCCOLI714 Current Trend Consolidating with Bearish Bias
Hey guys, been watching BROCCOLI714.l closely today. Price is stuck in this tight range, but the vibe feels bearish to me right now.
*Quick volume check: Those recent red candles? Volume is drying up hard on the sell-offs. Latest one barely hit 222k vs the usual 180M average. Looks like sellers are running out of steam – classic exhaustion signal.
**Capital flow divergence: Super interesting – contract outflows are strong (-302k USDT in 24h), but spot inflows are positive (+7.5k USDT). This mismatch often hints at a reversal coming, especially when shorts get squeezed.
**My take $BROCCOLI714 : Cautious long setup for a quick scalp.
- **Entry**: Wait for a bounce near the lower Bollinger Band (around 0.01100m–0.0112 USDT). Confirm with 1H close above MA5 + volume pickup.
- **Stop Loss**: ~0.01050 USDT)
- **Target**: Middle Bollinger + R1 resistance at 0.0128 USDT.
{future}(BROCCOLI714USDT)
Not going all-in – market's tricky. What's your view? Anyone else seeing this divergence? Drop your thoughts below! 🚀🐂
#BROCCOLİ714 #BROCCOLI714USDT #czdog
Hey guys, been watching BROCCOLI714.l closely today. Price is stuck in this tight range, but the vibe feels bearish to me right now.
*Quick volume check: Those recent red candles? Volume is drying up hard on the sell-offs. Latest one barely hit 222k vs the usual 180M average. Looks like sellers are running out of steam – classic exhaustion signal.
**Capital flow divergence: Super interesting – contract outflows are strong (-302k USDT in 24h), but spot inflows are positive (+7.5k USDT). This mismatch often hints at a reversal coming, especially when shorts get squeezed.
**My take $BROCCOLI714 : Cautious long setup for a quick scalp.
- **Entry**: Wait for a bounce near the lower Bollinger Band (around 0.01100m–0.0112 USDT). Confirm with 1H close above MA5 + volume pickup.
- **Stop Loss**: ~0.01050 USDT)
- **Target**: Middle Bollinger + R1 resistance at 0.0128 USDT.
{future}(BROCCOLI714USDT)
Not going all-in – market's tricky. What's your view? Anyone else seeing this divergence? Drop your thoughts below! 🚀🐂
#BROCCOLİ714 #BROCCOLI714USDT #czdog
ترجمة
Why Markets Are Choosing Gold and Copper Over Bitcoin in 2025
This year’s market behavior tells a clear story. Investors are prioritizing assets they can touch, store, and rely on when confidence in financial systems weakens or when growth demands real infrastructure.
Gold has surged as fears around fiscal sustainability, currency debasement, and political instability intensify. Copper has followed, driven by the AI boom, electrification, and global infrastructure build-out. Both assets represent tangibility in a world questioning paper promises.
Bitcoin, despite being positioned as both digital gold and high-end tech, has not captured either flow. Institutions have largely priced in ETFs and regulatory clarity, while sovereigns continue to favor gold as their hedge of choice.
This divergence does not necessarily mean Bitcoin has lost relevance. Historically, gold tends to lead during periods of monetary stress, with Bitcoin reacting later and often with greater volatility.
The current market is not rejecting crypto. It is demanding proof, patience, and timing.
This year’s market behavior tells a clear story. Investors are prioritizing assets they can touch, store, and rely on when confidence in financial systems weakens or when growth demands real infrastructure.
Gold has surged as fears around fiscal sustainability, currency debasement, and political instability intensify. Copper has followed, driven by the AI boom, electrification, and global infrastructure build-out. Both assets represent tangibility in a world questioning paper promises.
Bitcoin, despite being positioned as both digital gold and high-end tech, has not captured either flow. Institutions have largely priced in ETFs and regulatory clarity, while sovereigns continue to favor gold as their hedge of choice.
This divergence does not necessarily mean Bitcoin has lost relevance. Historically, gold tends to lead during periods of monetary stress, with Bitcoin reacting later and often with greater volatility.
The current market is not rejecting crypto. It is demanding proof, patience, and timing.
ترجمة
🚨 $BTC Regime Score is flashing an early signal most traders miss…
Bull/Bear structure is compressing
Regime score hovering near the critical equilibrium zone (~16%)
This zone historically marks transitions, not trends
When the score stays below zero → distribution & downside volatility
Sustained break above the regime baseline → trend expansion & momentum return
Right now, $BTC is NOT trending it’s coiling
The longer the compression, the stronger the next impulse
Smart money doesn’t chase candles. They position before the regime flips.
#BTC Price Analysis# #OnChainAnalysis #MarketRegime
Bull/Bear structure is compressing
Regime score hovering near the critical equilibrium zone (~16%)
This zone historically marks transitions, not trends
When the score stays below zero → distribution & downside volatility
Sustained break above the regime baseline → trend expansion & momentum return
Right now, $BTC is NOT trending it’s coiling
The longer the compression, the stronger the next impulse
Smart money doesn’t chase candles. They position before the regime flips.
#BTC Price Analysis# #OnChainAnalysis #MarketRegime
ترجمة
funny
Crypto Insights
--
Nice weekend fam
$BTC
{spot}(BTCUSDT)
$BTC
{spot}(BTCUSDT)
ترجمة
FACT: XXI CAPITAL ACCUMULATED OVER 40,000 #BITCOIN$BTC WORTH $3,800,000,000 THIS YEAR
IT HASN'T EVEN STARTED BUYING. BULLISH 🚀
IT HASN'T EVEN STARTED BUYING. BULLISH 🚀
ترجمة
Honestly, I'm tired of staring at charts.
I've been in this market since 2017. I saw the euphoria when taxi drivers were telling me to buy crypto. I saw the despair when my portfolio bled -75% in a week. I thought I was used to everything.
But this... this feels different.
Everything seems to be going up, institutions are here, ETFs are live. Yet, there is this strange tension in the air. It’s not the easy euphoria of the last bull run. It feels like the calm before something massive, either a life-changing pump or... well, you know.
Last night, I closed the terminal and just went for a walk without my phone. Sometimes you need a reminder that life isn't just green and red candles.
Came back and bought a little more $BTC
Because despite the nerves, I believe in the long run.
How are you handling the pressure right now? Are you anxious or totally zen?
#BTC Price Analysis# #Macro Insights#
I've been in this market since 2017. I saw the euphoria when taxi drivers were telling me to buy crypto. I saw the despair when my portfolio bled -75% in a week. I thought I was used to everything.
But this... this feels different.
Everything seems to be going up, institutions are here, ETFs are live. Yet, there is this strange tension in the air. It’s not the easy euphoria of the last bull run. It feels like the calm before something massive, either a life-changing pump or... well, you know.
Last night, I closed the terminal and just went for a walk without my phone. Sometimes you need a reminder that life isn't just green and red candles.
Came back and bought a little more $BTC
Because despite the nerves, I believe in the long run.
How are you handling the pressure right now? Are you anxious or totally zen?
#BTC Price Analysis# #Macro Insights#
ترجمة
6$
❕Where do you see $ARB by 2026? 🔥🚀⚡
✅$2
✅$4
✅$6
✅$10
💭 My pick: $4 🙂
👉 Your guess? Higher or lower? Drop below! 🔽
#ARB #Arbitrum #Crypto2026to2030 #altcoins #CryptoMoon
✅$2
✅$4
✅$6
✅$10
💭 My pick: $4 🙂
👉 Your guess? Higher or lower? Drop below! 🔽
#ARB #Arbitrum #Crypto2026to2030 #altcoins #CryptoMoon
ترجمة
to the moon 🔥
🚀 $ARB (Arbitrum) – BIG OPPORTUNITY ALERT 🚀
ARB is trading near key accumulation levels with strong volume coming in.
Market cap is still undervalued for a top L2 project, and history shows these zones are where smart money positions early.
👉 $500 in $ARB today could potentially turn into $5,000 in the next strong market expansion if momentum continues.
Why #ARB🔥🔥🔥 ?
• Leading Ethereum Layer-2
• Strong ecosystem & adoption
• Low price compared to ATH ($2.39)
• Volume increasing → interest returning
This is accumulation, not euphoria.
ARB is trading near key accumulation levels with strong volume coming in.
Market cap is still undervalued for a top L2 project, and history shows these zones are where smart money positions early.
👉 $500 in $ARB today could potentially turn into $5,000 in the next strong market expansion if momentum continues.
Why #ARB🔥🔥🔥 ?
• Leading Ethereum Layer-2
• Strong ecosystem & adoption
• Low price compared to ATH ($2.39)
• Volume increasing → interest returning
This is accumulation, not euphoria.
ترجمة
📊 Brazil’s Largest Bank Recommends Bitcoin as a Portfolio Hedge
Brazil’s largest private bank, Itaú Unibanco, is advising investors to allocate 1%–3% of their portfolios to $BTC, framing it as a diversification tool rather than a speculative bet.
According to Renato Eid, head of beta strategies at Itaú Asset Management, Bitcoin should serve as a complementary asset, not a core holding. The focus is on long-term positioning, not market timing, with $BTC offering returns that are largely uncorrelated with domestic economic cycles.
The recommendation is closely tied to currency risk. After the Brazilian real hit record lows in late 2024, Itaú highlighted Bitcoin’s potential role as a partial hedge against FX volatility, alongside its function as a global store of value.
Itaú’s guidance references BITI11, a Brazil-listed Bitcoin ETF launched in partnership with Galaxy Digital. The fund currently manages over $115 million, providing local investors with regulated BTC exposure and international diversification.
The move reflects a broader institutional shift. Similar allocation ranges have been suggested by global banks, signaling that Bitcoin is increasingly viewed not as an outlier, but as a structured portfolio component in emerging-market risk management.
Question: Is a 1%–3% $BTC allocation becoming the new conservative baseline for institutional portfolios?
#BTC Price Analysis##Bitcoin Price Prediction: What is Bitcoins next move?# #BTC
#Brazil
Brazil’s largest private bank, Itaú Unibanco, is advising investors to allocate 1%–3% of their portfolios to $BTC, framing it as a diversification tool rather than a speculative bet.
According to Renato Eid, head of beta strategies at Itaú Asset Management, Bitcoin should serve as a complementary asset, not a core holding. The focus is on long-term positioning, not market timing, with $BTC offering returns that are largely uncorrelated with domestic economic cycles.
The recommendation is closely tied to currency risk. After the Brazilian real hit record lows in late 2024, Itaú highlighted Bitcoin’s potential role as a partial hedge against FX volatility, alongside its function as a global store of value.
Itaú’s guidance references BITI11, a Brazil-listed Bitcoin ETF launched in partnership with Galaxy Digital. The fund currently manages over $115 million, providing local investors with regulated BTC exposure and international diversification.
The move reflects a broader institutional shift. Similar allocation ranges have been suggested by global banks, signaling that Bitcoin is increasingly viewed not as an outlier, but as a structured portfolio component in emerging-market risk management.
Question: Is a 1%–3% $BTC allocation becoming the new conservative baseline for institutional portfolios?
#BTC Price Analysis##Bitcoin Price Prediction: What is Bitcoins next move?# #BTC
#Brazil
ترجمة
$BTC continues to exhibit volatility, with recent rallies encountering significant selling pressure near the intra-day range highs. This persistent resistance suggests that traders are cautious, particularly in light of macroeconomic factors influencing the broader financial landscape.
Market analysts are closely monitoring the implications of potential interest rate cuts from the Bank of Japan, which could further exacerbate downward trends not only for $BTC but also for various altcoins. The anticipation of these monetary policy adjustments may create a ripple effect across the cryptocurrency market, prompting investors to reassess their positions.
While $BTC remains a focal point, other cryptocurrencies are also feeling the impact of this uncertainty. Investors are advised to stay vigilant as market dynamics shift, particularly with the backdrop of traditional financial movements influencing crypto valuations.
#BTC Price Analysis# #Macro Insights# #CMC
Market analysts are closely monitoring the implications of potential interest rate cuts from the Bank of Japan, which could further exacerbate downward trends not only for $BTC but also for various altcoins. The anticipation of these monetary policy adjustments may create a ripple effect across the cryptocurrency market, prompting investors to reassess their positions.
While $BTC remains a focal point, other cryptocurrencies are also feeling the impact of this uncertainty. Investors are advised to stay vigilant as market dynamics shift, particularly with the backdrop of traditional financial movements influencing crypto valuations.
#BTC Price Analysis# #Macro Insights# #CMC
ترجمة
📊 Tuesday Crypto Pulse - $BTC and Market Highlights
Happy Tuesday, everyone! Crypto markets are reacting to a mix of network stress, institutional accumulation, and macro optimism. Here’s what matters today 👇
🔥 Top Crypto Headlines
• Bitcoin hash rate dropped by ~8% following raids in China targeting illegal mining farms - a short-term network shock, but historically such events tend to rebalance difficulty over time.
• Strategy retained its position in the Nasdaq 100, reinforcing Bitcoin exposure within traditional equity indices.
• Citigroup forecasts the S&P 500 reaching 7,700 in 2026, signaling continued optimism for risk assets in the medium term.
• Last week, Strategy acquired 10,645 BTC (~$980M), while BitMine added 102,259 ETH (~$298M) to its balance sheet - institutional accumulation remains strong.
• Nvidia unveiled Nemotron 3, new open-source AI models for code, text, and general-purpose tasks, strengthening the AI–crypto narrative.
• MetaMask added Bitcoin support, expanding BTC accessibility for millions of users.
• Research warns that liquidity on crypto exchanges is critically low, raising concerns about potential market instability similar to past flash crashes.
• Ripple’s RLUSD stablecoin is set to launch on Optimism, Base, Ink, and Unichain, accelerating multi-chain stablecoin adoption.
📌 Institutional buying continues, infrastructure is expanding, but liquidity risks and network disruptions remain key variables to watch.
#BTC Price Analysis##Bitcoin Price Prediction: What is Bitcoins next move?#
Happy Tuesday, everyone! Crypto markets are reacting to a mix of network stress, institutional accumulation, and macro optimism. Here’s what matters today 👇
🔥 Top Crypto Headlines
• Bitcoin hash rate dropped by ~8% following raids in China targeting illegal mining farms - a short-term network shock, but historically such events tend to rebalance difficulty over time.
• Strategy retained its position in the Nasdaq 100, reinforcing Bitcoin exposure within traditional equity indices.
• Citigroup forecasts the S&P 500 reaching 7,700 in 2026, signaling continued optimism for risk assets in the medium term.
• Last week, Strategy acquired 10,645 BTC (~$980M), while BitMine added 102,259 ETH (~$298M) to its balance sheet - institutional accumulation remains strong.
• Nvidia unveiled Nemotron 3, new open-source AI models for code, text, and general-purpose tasks, strengthening the AI–crypto narrative.
• MetaMask added Bitcoin support, expanding BTC accessibility for millions of users.
• Research warns that liquidity on crypto exchanges is critically low, raising concerns about potential market instability similar to past flash crashes.
• Ripple’s RLUSD stablecoin is set to launch on Optimism, Base, Ink, and Unichain, accelerating multi-chain stablecoin adoption.
📌 Institutional buying continues, infrastructure is expanding, but liquidity risks and network disruptions remain key variables to watch.
#BTC Price Analysis##Bitcoin Price Prediction: What is Bitcoins next move?#
ترجمة
Do you think ETH fundamentals or technicals will decide the next move?
BeInCrypto Global
--
JPMorgan’s Ethereum Push Meets a Critical Chart Test — Rebound or Breakdown?
Ethereum has been one of the hardest-hit major assets in the latest crypto market selloff. The ETH price is down over 6% in the past 24 hours, extending weekly losses to roughly 9%, as macro pressure and liquidations weigh on prices.
Against this weak backdrop, a fresh institutional headline has shifted attention back to Ethereum’s fundamentals. JPMorgan has announced the launch of its first tokenized money market fund on Ethereum, seeded with $100 million. The key question now is whether this development can help the ETH price stabilize and rebound, or whether technical pressure will force a deeper breakdown.
JPMorgan’s Tokenized Fund Adds Long-Term Support, but the Chart Faces a Test
JPMorgan’s move reinforces Ethereum’s role as an institutional settlement infrastructure. The bank is launching a tokenized money market fund, called MONY, on Ethereum through its digital asset platform, with an initial $100 million allocation before opening to outside investors.
From a long-term perspective, this strengthens Ethereum’s credibility with traditional finance. In the short term, however, price action remains under pressure. On the daily chart, Ethereum is approaching a bearish EMA crossover, where the 100-day exponential moving average is close to slipping below the 200-day EMA.
ETH Price Faces Risk: TradingView
Want more token insights like this? Sign up for Editor Harsh Notariya’s Daily Crypto Newsletter here.
An EMA is a trend indicator that reacts faster to price changes. When the faster EMA drops below the slower one, it often signals weakening momentum.
This setup means that even positive headlines may struggle to spark a sustained rebound unless Ethereum clears key resistance levels. Plus, the EMA crossover forming with the ETH price struggling to hold onto the $2,910 support underscores the technical weakness.
On-Chain Signals Support a Rebound Case if Support Holds
While the chart looks fragile, on-chain data presents a conditional rebound scenario. The percentage of Ethereum addresses in profit has fallen sharply since December 10, alongside an 11% price drop. This metric is now at its lowest reading since early December.
In prior instances, similar local lows have aligned with short-term rebounds. On December 1, a dip in this metric preceded a move from around $2,800 to $3,190 in a single day, roughly a 14% gain. Another local low on December 5 was followed by a near 10% ETH price increase.
Sellers Might Be Losing Hold: Glassnode
This does not guarantee a bounce, but it shows selling pressure has reached zones where buyers previously stepped in, provided price support of $2,910, from the technical chart shared earlier, remains intact.
Ethereum (ETH) Price Levels That Decide Rebound or Breakdown
Ethereum is now testing a critical support near $2,910. A daily close below this level would invalidate the rebound setup and expose downside toward $2,710, followed by $2,620 if market stress intensifies.
For the rebound case to stay alive, ETH must reclaim $3,240. A daily close above that level would ease downside pressure and open the door toward $3,440. Until that happens, any upside should be viewed as corrective rather than trend-confirming.
Ethereum Price Analysis: TradingView
Ethereum is now caught between long-term institutional optimism and near-term technical weakness. Whether the JPMorgan headline leads to a rebound or gives way to a breakdown depends on how the price behaves at these critical levels in the days ahead.
Against this weak backdrop, a fresh institutional headline has shifted attention back to Ethereum’s fundamentals. JPMorgan has announced the launch of its first tokenized money market fund on Ethereum, seeded with $100 million. The key question now is whether this development can help the ETH price stabilize and rebound, or whether technical pressure will force a deeper breakdown.
JPMorgan’s Tokenized Fund Adds Long-Term Support, but the Chart Faces a Test
JPMorgan’s move reinforces Ethereum’s role as an institutional settlement infrastructure. The bank is launching a tokenized money market fund, called MONY, on Ethereum through its digital asset platform, with an initial $100 million allocation before opening to outside investors.
From a long-term perspective, this strengthens Ethereum’s credibility with traditional finance. In the short term, however, price action remains under pressure. On the daily chart, Ethereum is approaching a bearish EMA crossover, where the 100-day exponential moving average is close to slipping below the 200-day EMA.
ETH Price Faces Risk: TradingView
Want more token insights like this? Sign up for Editor Harsh Notariya’s Daily Crypto Newsletter here.
An EMA is a trend indicator that reacts faster to price changes. When the faster EMA drops below the slower one, it often signals weakening momentum.
This setup means that even positive headlines may struggle to spark a sustained rebound unless Ethereum clears key resistance levels. Plus, the EMA crossover forming with the ETH price struggling to hold onto the $2,910 support underscores the technical weakness.
On-Chain Signals Support a Rebound Case if Support Holds
While the chart looks fragile, on-chain data presents a conditional rebound scenario. The percentage of Ethereum addresses in profit has fallen sharply since December 10, alongside an 11% price drop. This metric is now at its lowest reading since early December.
In prior instances, similar local lows have aligned with short-term rebounds. On December 1, a dip in this metric preceded a move from around $2,800 to $3,190 in a single day, roughly a 14% gain. Another local low on December 5 was followed by a near 10% ETH price increase.
Sellers Might Be Losing Hold: Glassnode
This does not guarantee a bounce, but it shows selling pressure has reached zones where buyers previously stepped in, provided price support of $2,910, from the technical chart shared earlier, remains intact.
Ethereum (ETH) Price Levels That Decide Rebound or Breakdown
Ethereum is now testing a critical support near $2,910. A daily close below this level would invalidate the rebound setup and expose downside toward $2,710, followed by $2,620 if market stress intensifies.
For the rebound case to stay alive, ETH must reclaim $3,240. A daily close above that level would ease downside pressure and open the door toward $3,440. Until that happens, any upside should be viewed as corrective rather than trend-confirming.
Ethereum Price Analysis: TradingView
Ethereum is now caught between long-term institutional optimism and near-term technical weakness. Whether the JPMorgan headline leads to a rebound or gives way to a breakdown depends on how the price behaves at these critical levels in the days ahead.
ترجمة
right 👍
BeInCrypto Global
--
Bitcoin Price Risks a 15% Drop if This Key Level Breaks Before 2025 Ends — Here’s Why
The Bitcoin price is under renewed pressure. BTC is down about 4% over the past 24 hours and nearly 10% over the past 30 days, as selling pressure builds across the crypto market. While traders debate rebound versus breakdown, a critical long-term level has now surfaced that could decide how Bitcoin ends the year.
Both price structure and cycle analysis are converging around the same zone. If Bitcoin fails to defend it before the year closes, downside risks increase sharply.
A Make-or-Break Bitcoin Price Level Comes Into Focus
Bitcoin is currently trading close to the 2-Year Simple Moving Average (2Y SMA), which sits near $82,800. This level is not just another support. It is one of Bitcoin’s most important long-term cycle markers.
The 2Y SMA is calculated using daily closes, but it is interpreted on a monthly closing basis for cycle analysis. What matters is not intraday price action, but where Bitcoin closes the month.
Want more token insights like this? Sign up for Editor Harsh Notariya’s Daily Crypto Newsletter here.
Monthly BTC Data: TradingView
Last time when the Bitcoin price dropped under this SMA line in mid-2022, it corrected an additional 51% before attempting an upmove. That is why December 31 matters.
When the December monthly candle closes, the market locks in a full month of data. That candle becomes the official signal used by analysts to judge whether Bitcoin is holding a long-term trend or entering deeper structural weakness.
Historically, monthly closes below the 2Y SMA have marked extended bearish phases. Monthly defenses or reclaims above it have signaled cycle survival. Once the month closes, there might be no second chance.
Analysts tracking long-term Bitcoin cycles have flagged this same level as a structural line in the sand. The key takeaway is simple: Bitcoin needs to stay above this zone into month-end to avoid printing a confirmed breakdown signal.
Why This Support Is Under Pressure Right Now
The problem is not just technical. On-chain data shows growing stress beneath the surface.
Long-term holders, defined as wallets holding Bitcoin for more than 155 days, have been increasing their selling activity throughout December. According to long-term holder net position change data, net outflows rose from roughly 116,000 BTC earlier in the month to nearly 269,000 BTC by December 15.
Long-Term Investors Keep Selling: Glassnode
That is an increase in selling pressure of over 130% in just two weeks.
These are not short-term traders. This group typically sells only during periods of conviction or risk reduction. Their continued distribution adds weight to the downside and makes defending key support levels harder.
When long-term holders sell into weakness, it reduces the margin for error around critical price zones like the 2-year SMA.
Bitcoin Price Levels That Define Rebound or Breakdown
If Bitcoin fails to hold the $82,800–$81,100 region into the December close, downside risks expand quickly.
A confirmed break below this zone opens the door toward $73,300, which sits roughly 15% lower than the current level and sets the next major downside projection on the chart.
Bitcoin Price Analysis: TradingView
On the upside, Bitcoin must reclaim $88,200 to reduce immediate pressure. A sustained move above $94,500 would be needed to restore bullish structure and shift momentum back in favor of buyers.
Until then, Bitcoin remains trapped between long-term cycle support and rising selling pressure.
Both price structure and cycle analysis are converging around the same zone. If Bitcoin fails to defend it before the year closes, downside risks increase sharply.
A Make-or-Break Bitcoin Price Level Comes Into Focus
Bitcoin is currently trading close to the 2-Year Simple Moving Average (2Y SMA), which sits near $82,800. This level is not just another support. It is one of Bitcoin’s most important long-term cycle markers.
The 2Y SMA is calculated using daily closes, but it is interpreted on a monthly closing basis for cycle analysis. What matters is not intraday price action, but where Bitcoin closes the month.
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Monthly BTC Data: TradingView
Last time when the Bitcoin price dropped under this SMA line in mid-2022, it corrected an additional 51% before attempting an upmove. That is why December 31 matters.
When the December monthly candle closes, the market locks in a full month of data. That candle becomes the official signal used by analysts to judge whether Bitcoin is holding a long-term trend or entering deeper structural weakness.
Historically, monthly closes below the 2Y SMA have marked extended bearish phases. Monthly defenses or reclaims above it have signaled cycle survival. Once the month closes, there might be no second chance.
Analysts tracking long-term Bitcoin cycles have flagged this same level as a structural line in the sand. The key takeaway is simple: Bitcoin needs to stay above this zone into month-end to avoid printing a confirmed breakdown signal.
Why This Support Is Under Pressure Right Now
The problem is not just technical. On-chain data shows growing stress beneath the surface.
Long-term holders, defined as wallets holding Bitcoin for more than 155 days, have been increasing their selling activity throughout December. According to long-term holder net position change data, net outflows rose from roughly 116,000 BTC earlier in the month to nearly 269,000 BTC by December 15.
Long-Term Investors Keep Selling: Glassnode
That is an increase in selling pressure of over 130% in just two weeks.
These are not short-term traders. This group typically sells only during periods of conviction or risk reduction. Their continued distribution adds weight to the downside and makes defending key support levels harder.
When long-term holders sell into weakness, it reduces the margin for error around critical price zones like the 2-year SMA.
Bitcoin Price Levels That Define Rebound or Breakdown
If Bitcoin fails to hold the $82,800–$81,100 region into the December close, downside risks expand quickly.
A confirmed break below this zone opens the door toward $73,300, which sits roughly 15% lower than the current level and sets the next major downside projection on the chart.
Bitcoin Price Analysis: TradingView
On the upside, Bitcoin must reclaim $88,200 to reduce immediate pressure. A sustained move above $94,500 would be needed to restore bullish structure and shift momentum back in favor of buyers.
Until then, Bitcoin remains trapped between long-term cycle support and rising selling pressure.
ترجمة
🇺🇸 US Congress pauses crypto regulation $BTCregulation
US Congress has decided to delay work on the crypto market structure bill until next year. While the market is searching for positive signals, lawmakers are not in a hurry. No urgency, no pressure, just business as usual in Washington.
For now, crypto continues to operate without new rules, keeping the market in wait-and-see mode.
#BTC Price Analysis##Bitcoin Price Prediction: What is Bitcoins next move?#
US Congress has decided to delay work on the crypto market structure bill until next year. While the market is searching for positive signals, lawmakers are not in a hurry. No urgency, no pressure, just business as usual in Washington.
For now, crypto continues to operate without new rules, keeping the market in wait-and-see mode.
#BTC Price Analysis##Bitcoin Price Prediction: What is Bitcoins next move?#
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