Global crypto market aaj thora pressure mein nazar aa raha hai. CoinMarketCap ke mutabiq total cryptocurrency market cap $2.99 trillion par aa chuki hai, jo last 24 hours mein 1.07% down hai. Is se clear hota hai ke short-term sentiment thora weak hai aur investors cautious mood mein hain.
Bitcoin (BTC) ne pichlay 24 ghantay mein $88,136 se $89,676 ke darmiyan trade kiya. Abhi BTC $88,455 ke qareeb trade ho raha hai, jo ke 1.30% decline show karta hai. Matlab market mein selling pressure zyada hai, lekin koi panic wali situation nahi.
Baaki major coins bhi zyada tar red zone mein hain. Ethereum (ETH) $2935 par hai (-0.87%), BNB $880 (-1.33%), XRP $1.89 (-1.29%), SOL $126.51 (-0.49%), jab ke DOGE bhi thora weak hai (-1.32%).
Lekin interesting baat ye hai ke kuch altcoins ne strong performance dikhayi: NOM +115%, ZKC +70%, aur ENSO +69% — jo ye show karta hai ke market mein selective buying abhi bhi chal rahi hai.
Macro side par bhi kaafi important news aa rahi hai. Brazil ka central bank crypto businesses ke liye guidelines issue kar raha hai, US Senate mein crypto regulation par bills discuss ho rahe hain, aur geopolitical tensions ki wajah se institutions crypto ki taraf zyada dekh rahe hain. Eric Trump ka statement ke sovereign wealth funds crypto ki taraf shift ho rahe hain long-term perspective se bullish signal deta hai.
Overall, market short-term mein thori weak hai, lekin long-term story abhi bhi zinda hai. Smart money abhi wait-and-watch mode mein hai, jab ke fast movers sirf strong narratives wale coins mein entry le rahe hain.
Bitcoin Price Prediction: Early 2026 Mein $100K BTC Ke Chances Kam Kyun Ho Gaye?
Bitcoin market ka mood kaafi thanda hota ja raha hai. Prediction markets ke data ke mutabiq, early 2026 mein Bitcoin ka $100,000 dobara cross karna ab kaafi mushkil lag raha hai. October crash ke baad se investors aur traders zyada cautious ho chuke hain, aur risk lene ka jazba pehle jaisa nahi raha.
Major prediction platforms jaise Polymarket aur Kalshi par traders ne apni expectations clear kar di hain. Data dikhata hai ke February 2026 tak Bitcoin ke $100K hit karne ke chances 10% se bhi kam hain. Polymarket par yeh probability lagbhag 6% hai jabke Kalshi par around 7%.
January 14 ko Bitcoin ne 2026 ka ab tak ka highest level $97,900 touch kiya tha, lekin uske baad selling pressure wapas aa gaya. Last time Bitcoin November 13 ko $100,000 se upar trade hua tha, uske baad strong correction ne market sentiment ko reset kar diya.
History dekhi jaye to pehle bhi Bitcoin ne 25–26% ke drawdowns ke baad recovery ki hai, aur kuch cases mein 90 din ke andar six figures wapas aaye. Lekin is dafa prediction market traders itne optimistic nahi hain. Zyada traders ka maanna hai ke Bitcoin agar $100K wapas gaya bhi, to mid ya late 2026 mein hi possible hai.
Prediction markets yeh bhi signal de rahe hain ke pehle downside dekhne ko mil sakti hai:
65% chance ke Bitcoin $80,000 tak gir sakta hai
54% odds $70,000 ka bottom
50% odds $65,000
42% chance ke $60,000 tak bhi dip aaye
Is cautious approach ki wajah macro factors hain, jaise ke tight financial conditions, high bond yields, aur geopolitical risks. Is sab ke bawajood, long-term players jaise Strategy (MicroStrategy) apni Bitcoin holding par confident hain. Market data ke mutabiq, 75% chance hai ke Bitcoin 2026 mein Strategy ke average cost basis (~$75,979) se neeche trade kare, lekin sirf 26% odds hain ke Strategy apna Bitcoin sell karegi.
Summary yeh hai ke long-term belief zinda hai, lekin short-term excitement almost khatam ho chuki hai.
Bitcoin ka $126K se $80K tak sharp drop zyada tar market psychology ki wajah se hua, na ke fundamentals ki wajah se. Crypto analyst Plan C ke mutabiq, traders ne emotional aur speculative soch ke under selling start kar di.
Unhon ne is situation ko gambler’s fallacy se compare kiya — jaise coin teen dafa heads aaye to log samajhne lagte hain ke ab tail aana “zaroori” hai. Isi tarah, kai traders ne yeh assume kiya ke Bitcoin ka strong rally ke baad girna “overdue” ho chuka hai, jis ne panic selling ko trigger kiya.
Plan C ka kehna hai ke is drop ke peechay na koi strong on-chain weakness thi aur na hi koi major macro issue. Zyada tar reaction sentiment, expectations aur crowd behavior ki wajah se aaya, jo crypto market mein aam baat hai.
Yeh analysis yeh batata hai ke short-term price moves aksar logic se zyada emotion aur psychology par depend karti hain, khas tor par Bitcoin jaise volatile assets mein.
ChainCatcher ke mutabiq Arkham ke on-chain data se pata chala hai ke 06:10 par Cumberland DRW ne 50 BTC Bullish.com ko transfer kiye. Is transfer ke baad Cumberland DRW ne apna baqi 19.99988732 BTC aik aur address par move kar diya jo “bc1q8s3h3” se start hota hai.
Is qisam ki large Bitcoin transfers aam tor par market participants ke liye important signal hoti hain, kyun ke yeh institutional activity, liquidity movement, ya possible trading intentions ko reflect karti hain. Exchange par BTC ka transfer kabhi kabhi selling pressure ka ishara bhi ho sakta hai, jab ke doosri surat mein yeh sirf internal fund management ya custody change bhi ho sakta hai.
Filhal market participants on-chain data ko qareebi tor par monitor kar rahe hain taake yeh samajh saken ke yeh transfer short-term price movement par koi asar dalta hai ya nahi. Aise transactions crypto market mein transparency aur data-driven analysis ki ahmiyat ko bhi highlight karte hain.
Altcoin Market Mein Recovery Ke Asaar, Bitcoin Ahm Resistance Ke Qareeb
Crypto market mein halia dinon ke dauran altcoins ke hawale se kuch behtari dekhne ko mili hai. Coinglass ke data ke mutabiq, kai centralized aur decentralized exchanges par altcoins ke funding rates wapas neutral zone ki taraf aa rahe hain, jo is baat ka ishara hai ke market dheere dheere stable ho rahi hai.
BlockBeats ke mutabiq, jab Bitcoin $90,000 ke qareeb pohanch raha hai to overall market sentiment phir se thora sa bearish hota nazar aa raha hai. Abhi tak funding rates negative territory mein nahi gaye, jo is baat ki nishandahi karta hai ke strong selling pressure abhi fully activate nahi hua. Yeh situation pichhle phase se mukhtalif hai jahan Bitcoin aur Ethereum ke rates neutral thay jabke altcoins zyada tar negative funding rates face kar rahe thay.
Funding rates asal mein ek mechanism hota hai jo perpetual contracts ke prices ko underlying asset ke qareeb rakhne ke liye use hota hai. Is process mein long aur short traders aapas mein payment exchange karte hain, exchange khud koi fee charge nahi karta. Agar funding rate 0.01% se zyada ho to market bullish samjhi jati hai, jabke 0.005% se neeche hone par bearish sentiment ka signal milta hai.
Is waqt altcoins ke liye short term relief rally ke asaar hain, lekin Bitcoin ka $90,000 resistance ek critical level bana hua hai. Agar Bitcoin yahan se rejection leta hai to altcoins par bhi pressure aa sakta hai.
Crypto Market Mein Internal Factors Ki Wajah Se Naya Phase Shuru
BlockBeats ke mutabiq, CoinKarma ne social media par bataya hai ke cryptocurrency market ab ek internal competition phase mein daakhil ho chuki hai. Is phase mein short-term price movements zyada tar market ke andar ke funds aur liquidity par depend kar rahe hain, kyun ke is waqt koi bari external capital inflow nazar nahi aa rahi.
CoinKarma ke mutabiq, market consolidation ke baad kuch internal funds ke behavior mein tabdeeli ke asaar mil rahe hain. Iska ek bara signal USDC/USDT premium index ka positive hona hai, jo is baat ki taraf ishara karta hai ke BTC/USDT pair par selling pressure kam ho raha hai.
Saath hi, overall market liquidity indicator bhi USDC/USDT premium ke saath resonate kar raha hai. Is se short term mein bottom rebound structure banne ka strong imkaan hai.
Lekin CoinKarma ne warning di hai ke medium aur long term outlook abhi bearish reh sakta hai, kyun ke agar selling pressure lambe arsey tak barqarar raha to market dobara pressure mein aa sakti hai.
Market Signal: Short Term Bullish | Medium–Long Term Bearish
BNB Chain ne apna 2026 ka technical roadmap announce kar diya hai jisme 2025 ke liye bhi important milestones highlight kiye gaye hain. Network ka main goal high-load conditions mein zero downtime hasil karna hai, jabke transactions, stablecoin volume aur real-world assets (RWA) mein musalsal growth ko ensure kiya jayega. Ye roadmap BNB Chain ke past experience par based hai jahan reliability, speed, low cost aur fairness par focus raha hai.
2025 ke dauran BNB Chain multiple hard forks introduce karegi jisme Pascal, Lorentz, Maxwell aur Fermi shamil hain. In upgrades ke baad block time 3 seconds se kam ho kar 0.45 seconds aur finality time 1.125 seconds tak aa jayega. Network bandwidth ko 133 million Gas per second tak barhaya jayega taake meme coin surges ya BNB price rallies ke dauran bhi stability maintain rahe. TVL mein lagbhag 40.5% yearly growth, daily transactions 31 million aur stablecoin market cap $14 billion tak pohanchne ka estimate diya gaya hai, jabke RWA ka scale $1.8 billion se upar ja sakta hai.
2026 mein focus Binance Smart Chain ko ek powerful EVM transaction chain banane par hoga jahan dual-client strategy use ki jayegi. Geth client stability ke liye aur Reth-based client high performance ke liye kaam karega. Target hai 20,000 TPS, sub-second finality aur software optimizations ke zariye Gas fees ko aur kam karna. Saath hi parallel execution aur better storage solutions ke zariye state size ke issues handle kiye jayenge.
Infrastructure level par multi-layer sharding aur distributed processing introduce ki jayegi, jabke application layer par privacy framework aur AI agent middleware developers ke liye kaam asaan banayega. Long term mein BNB Chain next-generation transaction chain design kar rahi hai jo 2026–2028 ke darmiyan near-million TPS aur millisecond confirmations ka aim rakhti hai, saath hi decentralization aur security ko bhi strong banaya jayega.
Bitcoin aaj kal $88,000–$89,000 ke range mein stable trade kar raha hai jab ke buyers ne $86,900 ka strong support successfully defend kiya. Yeh level short-term momentum ke liye kaafi important hai, kyun ke BTC pichhle kuch hafton se consolidation phase mein hai.
ETF side par picture mixed hai. Overall Bitcoin spot ETFs se outflows dekhe gaye, lekin BlackRock ka IBIT ETF stable raha, jo yeh show karta hai ke institutions abhi market se bahar nahi nikal rahe, balkay hold mode mein hain. Is dauran capital ka kuch hissa altcoins jaise XRP aur SOL ki taraf rotate hua, jis ki wajah se Bitcoin ki upside temporarily limited rahi.
On-chain data ek positive sign de raha hai. Whales ne last 30 din mein kaafi BTC accumulate kiya hai, jis se exchange supply kam hui aur selling pressure reduce hua. Long-term holders bhi strong nazar aa rahe hain, jo historically bullish setups ka signal deta hai.
Technical analysis ke mutabiq, $90,500 ek major resistance hai. Agar Bitcoin daily close is level ke upar deta hai, to strong upside move possible hai. Lekin agar $86,900 toot jata hai, to price $83,800 area tak wapas ja sakta hai. Filhaal market cautious optimism ke sath chal rahi hai.
Binance Square ne ek naya feature introduce kiya hai jahan users ab Binance App ke andar se li gayi screenshots direct share kar sakte hain image source label ke sath. Jab aap trading, assets ya P&L pages se screenshot le kar direct Binance Square par post karte ho, to image ke neeche automatically “Sourced by user sharing on Binance” ka label show hota hai. Is feature ka main maqsad transparency aur trust build karna hai taake viewers ko pata ho ke screenshot seedha Binance app se li gayi hai. Ye feature content creators aur traders dono ke liye faidemand hai kyun ke credibility improve hoti hai aur fake ya edited images se bachao hota hai. Yaad rahe, ye label sirf reference ke liye hota hai; Binance image ki accuracy verify nahi karta. Feature use karne ke liye Binance App version 3.7 ya us se upar hona zaroori hai.
Ethereum ki price ne ek aham whale cost level ko touch karne ke baad strong rebound dikhaya hai. On-chain data ke mutabiq jab bhi ETH is average whale holding cost par aata hai, bari buying activity start ho jati hai. November 21 ke baad se in whales ne 4.8 million se zyada ETH accumulate kiya hai jo circulating supply ka taqriban 4% banta hai. Is se market mein strong confidence aur long-term accumulation ka signal milta hai. Agar yeh support toot bhi jaye, to $2,300 ke qareeb realized price agla strong support ho sakta hai, jo historically buyers ke liye attractive zone mana jata hai.
Crypto market mein optimism barhta ja raha hai jab mashhoor analyst Tom Lee ne kaha ke pehle gold upar jayega aur uske baad Bitcoin aur bhi zyada strong rally karega. Tom Lee ke mutabiq, historical trends yeh show karte hain ke jab gold apni strength dikhata hai to Bitcoin thori delay ke baad us se zyada tez move karta hai. Investors is signal ko long-term bullish indicator ke taur par dekh rahe hain, khaaskar jab macro uncertainty aur inflation concerns barqarar hain. Yeh statement market sentiment ko positive direction mein push kar sakti hai aur Bitcoin ke liye aane wale time mein strong upside ka ishara deti hai.
Crypto market ne pichlay 24 ghanton meintrong volatility dikhai jahan total 182 million dollar ki liquidations record hui. Is mein sab se zyada nuksan long positions ko hua jo 121 million dollar tak liquidate ho gayin jabke short positions ka nuksan 60.35 million dollar raha. Yeh data batata hai ke market mein over leverage ka pressure zyada tha aur price movement ne longs ko zyada hit kiya. Aisi situation aksar short term panic aur weak hands ke exit ko show karti hai jiske baad market thora stabilize bhi ho sakta hai agar selling pressure kam ho jaye.
Bitcoin ko quantum computing ke future se related ek naya challenge face karna par sakta hai. Casa ke co-founder aur Bitcoin expert Jameson Lopp ke mutabiq, quantum computers long term mein Bitcoin ke cryptographic system ke liye risk ban sakte hain. Yeh discussion pichlay 18 mahinón se chal rahi hai, jahan experts ka kehna hai ke agar quantum technology bohat tez develop hui, to Bitcoin network ko quantum-resistant banane ke liye badi technical changes karni par sakti hain.
Jameson Lopp ne clear kiya ke short term mein Bitcoin ko koi foran khatra nahi hai. Lekin agar future mein quantum computers practical ho gaye, to Bitcoin network ko upgrade karna, wallets migrate karna aur funds ko secure karna ek bohat lamba process hoga jo 5 se 10 saal tak bhi le sakta hai. Is process mein large-scale coordination aur unprecedented fund migration ki zarurat hogi.
Experts ka maanna hai ke abhi Bitcoin community ko panic ki zarurat nahi, lekin preparation zaroori hai. Bitcoin ke developers aur ecosystem ko future risks ko mad-e-nazar rakh kar research aur planning jari rakhni chahiye taake long term security ensure ki ja sake.
Crypto market 2025 mein ek structural shift se guzar rahi hai jahan retail investors ki jagah institutions lead role le chuki hain. IOSG ke founding partner Jocy ke mutabiq, ab market speculation se nikal kar long-term allocation ki taraf move kar rahi hai. Data yeh show karta hai ke institutions ke paas lagbhag 24% holdings hain jab ke retail investors ka 66% tak exit ho chuka hai, jo ek clear market turnover ko represent karta hai.
Bitcoin ne 2025 mein agarche overall 5% decline dekha, lekin isi dauran $126,080 ka all-time high bhi touch kiya. Yeh is baat ka signal hai ke price short-term weak ho sakti hai, magar institutions price nahi balkay cycles dekh kar accumulate kar rahi hain. ETF inflows ka $25 billion tak pohanchna is confidence ko aur strong karta hai.
Aane wale time mein, khas taur par 2026 ke first half mein policy support aur institutional buying Bitcoin ko $120k–$150k range tak push kar sakti hai. Haan, midterm elections ke baad volatility barhne ka risk zaroor hai, lekin history batati hai ke aise pessimism ke phases best opportunities bhi laate hain.
Overall, crypto market ek mature phase mein enter kar chuki hai jahan long-term vision, regulation aur institutional capital next bull cycle ki foundation rakh rahe hain.
Bitcoin aur Gold ke darmiyan value ratio aik bohot aham support level par aa gaya hai Cointelegraph ke mutabiq Bitcoin ki value 20 ounces of gold tak gir chuki hai jo early 2024 ke baad pehli dafa dekha gaya hai Analysts ke liye yeh level bohot critical mana ja raha hai kyun ke yahin se market bullish ya bearish direction choose karti hai
Crypto analyst Michaël van de Poppe ka kehna hai ke is waqt Gold overvalued lag raha hai jab ke Bitcoin undervalued zone mein hai History mein jab bhi Bitcoin aur Gold ek sath bottom banate hain to aksar trend reversal dekhne ko milta hai Daily RSI par bullish divergence ke signs aa rahe hain jo short term bounce ka ishara dete hain
Haan weekly RSI abhi bhi low hai jo thora pressure show karta hai lekin agar 20 ounce support hold karta hai to yahan se consolidation ke baad upside move possible hai
Ethena ke Total Value Locked mein bari girawat dekhi gayi hai October ke peak ke baad PANews aur unfolded ke data ke mutabiq Ethena ka TVL 3 October 2025 ko 14.98 billion dollar par tha jo ab 55 percent se zyada gir kar 6.63 billion dollar reh gaya hai Is girawat se yeh signal milta hai ke users aur capital Ethena protocol se nikal raha hai jo trust aur demand par pressure ko show karta hai TVL ka itna strong drop DeFi sector ke liye negative indicator mana jata hai aur short term mein project ke liye risk barhata hai
ChainCatcher ke mutabiq Arkham data ne reveal kiya hai ke Fireblocks Custody se 137000 SOL aik anonymous address HcW2Uu par transfer kiye gaye hain Ye transfer onchain activity mein ek bari movement samjhi ja rahi hai Aisi transfers aksar ya to internal fund movement hoti hain ya phir future selling ya staking strategy ka hissa hoti hain Market is tarah ke large transfers ko closely monitor karti hai kyun ke short term volatility ka risk barh sakta hai
Federal Reserve Governor Milan ne signal diya hai ke woh apni term khatam hone ke baad bhi position par reh sakte hain jab tak unka successor officially confirm nahi ho jata Yeh decision aise waqt par samne aaya hai jab U.S. President Donald Trump naye Federal Reserve Chair ke liye candidates consider kar rahe hain kyunki Chair Powell May mein step down karne wale hain
Milan ka rehna policy continuity ke liye important samjha ja raha hai Unhon ne kaha ke interest rate decisions par unka dissent future policy direction par depend karega Is development se markets ko short term stability ka signal milta hai kyunki leadership gap ka risk kam ho jata hai
Overall yeh news macro perspective se neutral hai lekin uncertainty kam hone ki wajah se risk assets ke liye thodi supportive bhi ho sakti hai