Aston在下不求

The Bitcoin Four-Year Cycle Is Dead! Bitwise CIO: The Crypto Market Has Entered a Decade-Long Endurance Phase
#BTC☀️
The three key forces that once drove Bitcoin’s four-year cycle have significantly weakened. With institutional investors entering the market and regulatory frameworks becoming more robust, the crypto market is moving into a decade-long endurance phase, requiring investors to develop new mental models to navigate future trends.
#btc走勢
Over the past few weeks, in meetings with institutional investors, the question I’ve been asked most often is: Does Bitcoin’s four-year cycle still have any relevance?

The so-called four-year cycle refers to the historical pattern in which Bitcoin experienced three years of gains followed by a sharp decline in the fourth year.

This question is critical, because under four-year-cycle logic, next year would be a difficult one for Bitcoin—and for the broader crypto market as a whole.
#
While I cannot precisely predict the price trajectory of crypto assets next year, I believe it is unwise to blindly assume that the four-year cycle will mechanically repeat itself.

After all, the four-year cycle is not some ironclad law of nature carved into stone by a “crypto god.” It emerged from the interaction of three specific driving forces:

Bitcoin halving events: The mining reward on the Bitcoin blockchain is cut in half roughly every four years.

Interest-rate cycles: The sharp rises in interest rates in 2018 and 2022 both acted as major catalysts for crypto market downturns.

Boom-and-bust market dynamics: Every major crypto crash year—2014, 2018, and 2022—followed an exceptionally strong rally. For example, Bitcoin surged 5,530% in 2013, 1,349% in 2017, and 57% in 2021. During periods of market euphoria, fraud and speculative bubbles tend to proliferate, and when those bubbles burst—such as the regulatory crackdown on ICOs in 2018 or the collapse of the FTX exchange in 2022—they directly triggered sharp market sell-offs in the same year.$BTC

我见识了真正厉害的交易员在进场时的果断与执行力，也希望大家都能从中有所收获。$BTC

但我想跟大家说一句：交易之前，一定要先了解自己的性格。
像我已经清楚自己是一个乌龟型交易员 🐢，所以我要修炼的是不要羡慕兔子型交易员 🐰。#龟兔赛跑

🐢知道自己的使命——稳扎稳打，一步一步向前走。
🐢并不是靠速度赢🐰，而是等待🐰犯错，然后实现反超。#turtletrading

就像10/11那天，我看到很多🐰直接出局。也有一些假🐢爆倉
也许有一部分🐰活了下来，但这正是做🐢的痛苦所在：
人生必须有所取舍。

知道什么事情不该做，往往比选择做什么更加重要。
#圣诞行情
交易如人生。
当你看透交易的时候，或许也正是在看透人生。

祝各位交易员
交易顺利，稳步前行。

He sido testigo de la decisión y firmeza con la que entran al mercado los traders realmente talentosos, y espero que todos puedan sacar algún aprendizaje de ello.

Pero quiero decirles algo importante: antes de operar, uno debe conocerse a sí mismo.
Yo ya sé que soy un trader tipo tortuga 🐢, así que lo que debo entrenar es no envidiar a los traders tipo conejo 🐰.

La 🐢 conoce su misión: avanzar con constancia, paso a paso, sin prisa pero sin pausa.
La 🐢 no vence a la 🐰 por velocidad, sino esperando a que la 🐰 cometa un error, y entonces dar la vuelta a la carrera.#比特币流动性

Tal como ocurrió el 11/10, vi a muchas 🐰 quedar fuera directamente.
Puede que algunas hayan sobrevivido, pero ahí reside precisamente el dolor de ser una 🐢:
la vida exige renuncias.

Saber qué no hacer es incluso más importante que elegir qué hacer.
#ChristmasFun
El trading es como la vida.
Cuando logras ver a través del trading, quizá al mismo tiempo también comprendes la vida.

Les deseo a todos los traders
mucho éxito y operaciones fluidas.

888

888

888

888

#CZBİNANCE Let’s listen more to conversations among top-tier leaders to expand our own knowledge.巴基斯坦🇵🇰#巴基斯坦加密 #englishLearner 聽CZ說英文#StockConnect pakistan’s那我們打開世界觀吧#世界自由金融 让我们多听顶流人士的对话，增长自己的知识$BTC