Good morning, brothers. After the big drop, the recent market has been in a low point without rebounding. But some reversal signals have appeared. Is 2026 really going to be a big bear year? Let's analyze the subsequent trends. The CPI released this Friday is favorable. The U.S. core CPI year-on-year rate is lower than expected, reaching a nearly 5-year low! The probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates before April is 30%, while the likelihood of a rate cut before June exceeds 80%. At the same time, the proportion of whales has surged, indicating that whales are continuously accumulating. This is also a good phenomenon. Overall, BTC should have bottomed out. However, there is still one last bearish factor that hasn't been resolved: the possibility of the U.S. attacking Iran. Currently, the U.S. Pentagon has notified the second aircraft carrier strike group to prepare for deployment to the Middle East, in response to potential Iranian military actions. Trump said yesterday that he prefers to reach an agreement with Iran, but achieving this is very difficult. The day before yesterday, I analyzed for everyone that, from Trump's political logic, initiating a war is a high-risk gamble; if war is waged, support rates will decline. Oil prices will rise, inflation will rise, and the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts will be hopeless. In the midterm elections this November, the Republican Party is undoubtedly going to lose. The Bitcoin business of his family will also suffer greatly. Therefore, the probability of not going to war is 70%, and the probability of going to war is 30%. One factor that may contribute to the recovery of the market is the peaceful resolution of the Iranian issue within the next 2 months. Before that, BTC is unlikely to have a significant rebound in the near term, and it may drop to around $60000 at the lowest. During this period, it is advisable to buy and invest steadily. But in any case, we are very close to the bottom; the bear market should have completed half of its process. In this market, let's follow and earn money with the small dogs; the returns are quite good, with several golden dogs in a day.