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A lot of folks saw the Fed's rate decision last night, with 9 members agreeing to the hike, and they think it’s a sure thing. That’s a pretty shallow understanding of the market. I can tell you, people with that mindset are likely to lose money in trading.

When Trump took office, he set the stage for a weak dollar and a loose monetary policy. Without that backdrop, BTC wouldn’t have broken through 10k last year, soaring all the way to 126k. This year, gold and the stock market exploding are all part of the U.S. strategy—no need to get into specifics; I laid it out clearly in my previous articles. $BTC

If you take a look at who’s holding the U.S. stocks, you’ll likely understand why the market has been in a bull run from '21 to '26.
#BTC #ETH

It's no surprise that the $BTC dipped back into the 6.3-6.4 zone (refer to chart 2 from the previous post).

This is actually tied to the Fed's hawkish statements. The dot plot shows 9 members have little expectation for rate hikes, but the Fed's stance has lowered the expectations for rate cuts in the second half of the year, which is the core reason behind the drop in BTC and gold.

But don’t just take the Fed's words at face value; these could all just be smokescreens. We need to see what actions they actually take. The U.S. stock indices, including stocks like $SPCX and $MUB in tech and AI, are still bullish. There might be some minor pullbacks in the stock market, but there's a high probability of a continued rise leading up to the mid-term elections. The Fed's monetary policy on September 17 will be crucial.

In three months, the stock market could be at a temporary peak, and any further upward movement will need the grand narrative of rate cuts to support it. Only then will investors be willing to buy at these high levels, ensuring liquidity remains robust for capital to cash out.

For BTC, before September, we might see a small pullback in the stock market, leading to another bottom below 60k. This bottoming process could take around two months. Once the crypto market completes this bottoming phase, it will offer great value, absorbing some of the liquidity released from the high levels of the stock market. #BTC #ETH

The World Cup might have to embrace the buzz and attention that comes from underdogs pulling off surprises. This kind of upset packs a punch similar to a blockbuster story, which kind of explains why no team has ever defended their title in history. Once a single team starts racking up consecutive wins, the allure of the World Cup diminishes rapidly; folks prefer to watch a fresh champion rise to the throne.

The market cap of $SPCXB has surpassed Amazon, now ranking fifth in US stock market cap. $MUB has also seen a 7x and 5x growth in just one year, joining the trillion-dollar club.

With Trump's weak dollar strategy and loose monetary policy, we can expect more trillion-dollar companies emerging in the future, as traditional currency depreciation accelerates.

Inflation is nearly unavoidable in the coming years.

For $BTC , the bear market cycle doesn't have much time left; a real bottom is expected to be formed soon, followed by the onset of the next bull run. #BTC #ETH

BTC's drop came faster than expected. We're looking to bounce back to the 64-63K range. The peace agreement is just a temporary boost for the price; it won't directly shift the bearish trend.

The new Fed chair's expectations for interest rate cuts in the second half of June 18 are crucial for the market. This will determine whether we truly find a bottom at the 55K or 48K range.

As discussed in the previous article, Trump's weak dollar strategy and loose monetary policy remain the main themes moving forward. The trend of trillion-dollar market cap companies in the US stock market inevitably leads to the devaluation of traditional currencies.

In a nutshell, this crypto market bear phase is entering its tail end, and this bull run will definitely be shorter than most people anticipate. $BTC
#BTC #ETH

$SPCX has seen a pump of over 60% in just a week, outperforming your hold of $ETH for five years. So, it’s no wonder the crypto market is slipping into a bear phase, with investors bailing and trading volume dropping. #ETH

$BTC This bounce is officially over. Essentially, this rebound was triggered by the peace treaty news, allowing the whales to take advantage and liquidate shorts. Without that, there wouldn't have been enough buying pressure to break through 65,000. Currently, the bearish trend is far from over. The rate decision on June 18 makes it reasonable for institutions to exit their positions to mitigate risk.

The timing of the peace treaty is right before the rate decision, and the high oil prices have brought inflation to the U.S., allowing them to catch a breather and continue pushing the weak dollar strategy and loose monetary policy. However, whether the new Fed will lean dovish or cut rates is still up in the air, and the market needs to settle before there's enough confidence.

Looking at the overall performance of the U.S. stock market, the likelihood of rate hikes in the next year is very low. Trump's weak dollar strategy and loose monetary policy will continue. In this context, not just Spacex, but a growing number of companies with trillion-dollar valuations are emerging, and the intentions behind this are crystal clear.

As for the crypto market, the bear market seems to be nearing its end. I hope we can complete the bottoming process soon, as this bear market may not last too long. #BTC #ETH

Back in April, Bitcoin was hovering above 80k, and I wrote extensively about how the market was heading into a bear cycle. Many folks brushed it off, but come June, Bitcoin plummeted to a low of 59k.

A lot of traders are obsessed with short-term plays, leveraging heavy positions to gamble on quick price movements. This is like putting your neck under the guillotine; it's well-known that Bitcoin's short-term action is incredibly hard to predict. A single news event can trigger volatility, and when you layer on high leverage, it becomes a recipe for disaster. Not to mention the hefty fees that come with leveraging—your chances of actually coming out ahead are really slim.

The only real way to win in this market is to manage your position sizes, not let your gains or losses mess with your mindset, and to ride the big trends over time. Embrace the power of compounding; this applies across all markets, whether crypto, gold, or stocks. It’s the only way for smaller investors to build significant wealth. $BTC #BTC #ETH

With Trump's weak dollar strategy in play, we're gonna see more and more companies with trillion-dollar valuations worldwide. This is a trend we can't ignore in the coming years.

The stock market hasn't peaked yet, continuously siphoning global liquidity. If the crypto market doesn't truly hit bottom, then all rebounds will just be short-term effects. For investors, it's crucial to align with the big trends and position ourselves in the right time cycles to have a shot at winning. $BTC #BTC #ETH

#opg $OPG What is OpenGradient (OPG)?

OpenGradient is a decentralized network specifically built for AI inference, where every computation can be cryptographically verified without trusting any single party.

Nowadays, when AI agents are managing portfolios, approving loans, or conducting content moderation, there's no mechanism to verify which model version is running, what prompts are being used, or whether the output results have been tampered with.

OpenGradient fundamentally addresses this issue by running models on a permissionless network of specialized nodes, settling proofs on-chain, and making the entire process (from request to response) fully auditable.

As of the mainnet launch in April 2026, the network has hosted over 2,000 models, verified over 500,000 proofs, processed over 2 million inferences, and served over 2 million users in its ecosystem.

OpenGradient has garnered support from a16z Crypto, Coinbase Ventures, SV Angel, and Foresight Ventures, raising $9.5 million to build what’s dubbed the AI economic infrastructure layer.

$ETH is currently the most oversold it's ever been in its history.
Investors are making a quick exit.

- Down -70% from its ATH
- Price is back to where it was 4 years ago
- Monthly RSI is more oversold than at the bottom of the bear markets in 2018 and 2022

In the last bear cycle, ETH plummeted -82% from its ATH and formed a bottom in June 2022

Do you think we've hit the bottom this cycle, or will ETH drop further?

The US and Israel have reportedly reached an agreement, and the Strait is open. Every time these agreements are announced, it typically pumps the crypto prices, and this time is no exception. However, with the crucial interest rate decision on June 18, this agreement feels more like the US couldn't handle rising oil prices, leading to inflation. High inflation will directly impact the US's interest rate cut policies.

Trump's administration pushed for a weak dollar policy. This is evident from the overall rise in US stocks this year, with the whole world passively following suit. Currency devaluation is the trend moving forward, with gold and stock markets on the rise and more trillion-dollar companies emerging.

However, the crypto market hasn't seen significant gains. The root cause lies in the shrinking market size, as investors have shifted to other markets where there are better and more diverse products available. So, despite a temporary price pump due to the agreement, the overall trend remains bearish. After the rate decision, we can expect a drop as the market seeks a bottom. Only after establishing a solid bottom will the crypto space be able to trend upwards. $BTC #BTC #ETH

As I expected, it ended in a draw.
Speaking of which, if it weren't for the little bear saving the day in the first half, we would have been in serious trouble. That Brazilian center-back got completely wrecked by Morocco.

$BTC The weekend liquidity is pretty weak, so we’re unlikely to see any big moves in the short term. The rebound lacks sustainability, plus we're stuck in a dense resistance zone around 64300-65000, making it tough to break through. On June 15, there's a chance Japan might hike rates, and then on June 17, we've got the Fed's interest rate decision. If institutions continue to offload for safety next week, the trend will likely keep hammering down to find support below. So, this week, 64000 could be the peak for this phase, and it might just be the best shorting point we get.

One more thing, even if we see a short-term break above 65000, there's an 80% chance it will come with a major spike, possibly dropping below 61000 in an instant. Just wait a few days and revisit this judgment – I bet it won't be wrong. #BTC #ETH

Bros, Brazil vs Morocco
First big showdown
I have a feeling it's gonna end in a draw
What do you guys think? $BTC

$BTC is set to enter a downtrend again, looking to find support below 60k, and I’m putting this on record.

Spacex is officially listed, and the big coin is about to end its consolidation phase.

Starting mid-June, trading volume and liquidity in the crypto market will be drained, and Spacex's high volatility will attract most investors. Right now, BTC at 63500 is the perfect short position, and the market is poised for another dip below the 60k level. #BTC #ETH

Spacex is officially starting to extract liquidity today.
BTC just needs to kick off a downtrend to see a serious crash.
#BTC #ETH

Can $ETH still hit 10k?
We've seen two bull runs from 21-25.
E reached a peak of 4900, will this time be different?
Let's hear from someone big about #BTC #ETH .

$ETH 2021-2025 Two Bull Markets
Assuming an average purchase price of 2000
The maximum return is only double
No matter how much hype and narratives were pushed before
Today, it's more about unfulfilled promises
Even lagging behind stocks, that's the reality
Investors are gradually losing patience
This is reflected in the actions, as retail traders continue to exit.
#ETH #BTC