比特路哥
XRP Holder
Frequent Trader
4.6 Years
公众号：比特路哥
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Bullish trend emerges, what is the intention behind Bitcoin's violent pull-up last night?
After ten years of deep cultivation in the cryptocurrency market, I am increasingly convinced of a core logic: trends come not from predictions, but from following what happens. True long-term profits stem from accurately identifying trends, firmly following trends, and decisively exiting when trends exhaust, achieving a unity of knowledge and action.
Recently, Road Brother has publicly hinted in multiple articles that the bulls are about to usher in a new upward trend, and has repeatedly emphasized the importance of positioning in advance. Yesterday's market trend was consistent with expectations, as Bitcoin experienced a bottom formation at 80600 on November 21 and a short-term trend driven by market makers on December 8. After leveraging high positions, the bottom support has been continuously raised. As the market's short positions accumulate to a certain extent, market makers will inevitably use a large bullish candle to blow up the short leverage. This short-term large bullish candle trend is the most common trading method of market makers. Specifically, it can be referenced against the previous market trend before the Bitcoin ETF approval in January 2024 (see below Figure 3). This means that the bearish trend of Bitcoin's monthly line with a 36% pullback has basically ended in the short term.
Recently, Road Brother has publicly hinted in multiple articles that the bulls are about to usher in a new upward trend, and has repeatedly emphasized the importance of positioning in advance. Yesterday's market trend was consistent with expectations, as Bitcoin experienced a bottom formation at 80600 on November 21 and a short-term trend driven by market makers on December 8. After leveraging high positions, the bottom support has been continuously raised. As the market's short positions accumulate to a certain extent, market makers will inevitably use a large bullish candle to blow up the short leverage. This short-term large bullish candle trend is the most common trading method of market makers. Specifically, it can be referenced against the previous market trend before the Bitcoin ETF approval in January 2024 (see below Figure 3). This means that the bearish trend of Bitcoin's monthly line with a 36% pullback has basically ended in the short term.
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Post clearly before December 8
The market trend went high leverage
There will definitely be a big bullish candle to explode the accumulated short positions
The market is completely consistent with Brother Lu's judgment, with more than 20 likes
Today will continue to update the subsequent trend judgment #BTC走势分析
The market trend went high leverage
There will definitely be a big bullish candle to explode the accumulated short positions
The market is completely consistent with Brother Lu's judgment, with more than 20 likes
Today will continue to update the subsequent trend judgment #BTC走势分析
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I can confidently tell you about this trend
The 15-minute chart shows the trend of drawing a door
The dealer is intentionally going for high leverage in the short term
The dealer is preparing for a big bullish move later
The bottom is slowly being raised after a certain amount of short positions accumulate, there will be a surge
Before the 10th, Bitcoin will rise to at least around 95000
Friends who share the same view can give a thumbs up #BTC走势分析
The 15-minute chart shows the trend of drawing a door
The dealer is intentionally going for high leverage in the short term
The dealer is preparing for a big bullish move later
The bottom is slowly being raised after a certain amount of short positions accumulate, there will be a surge
Before the 10th, Bitcoin will rise to at least around 95000
Friends who share the same view can give a thumbs up #BTC走势分析
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Bitcoin BTC after November 20th, although the lows during this period are constantly rising, the price has not broken through and stabilized above 93200. Regardless of what kind of bottoming pattern appears within this range, it can be regarded as the main force’s "feint to the east, strike to the west, can’t show strength but can show weakness" trick, all belong to a downward continuation structure.
Even if it recovers 93200, the pressure around 100,000 is heavier, and it is just a small-range operation, which will not change anything in the trend. In fact, the faster it rises, the faster it falls, so only high throwing and a second retest after recovering 93200 are reserved. The first rise during the breakout process will not be chased. Conversely, this week focuses on reserving low long positions after a significant drop.
Combined with other internal-level trends, since it is the first time breaking the trend, I do not believe it will continue to fall, or wait for the retail army of weekly bounce to continuously buy or hold positions. Coupled with the main force's chips escaping at key positions, this has led to a complex structure within limited volatility.
Summary: The current structure is tentatively defined as a downward continuation pattern in a bearish trend, and this pattern is in the late stage of sideways movement. Before recovering 93200, mainly reserve space-type secondary pullbacks at the daily level. The support I will provide later will generally be relatively low, please understand. Those who can operate should control the holding time within 2-4 hours focusing on short-term structures, those who cannot operate do not need to do anything recently.
Short-term support 83300, 84500, 86000 (watching the market for quick in and out), short-term resistance 93200~94600 (stagnation area) second resistance 95400~96700 (after reaching nearby, a retest of 94600 can be done)
Note: In the trends of various levels, the forces of both bulls and bears are intertwined, and the trend is not clear. While preventing further declines, the focus is on reducing operations. Wait for a significant bullish or bearish candlestick to appear before looking again. #BTC走势分析
Even if it recovers 93200, the pressure around 100,000 is heavier, and it is just a small-range operation, which will not change anything in the trend. In fact, the faster it rises, the faster it falls, so only high throwing and a second retest after recovering 93200 are reserved. The first rise during the breakout process will not be chased. Conversely, this week focuses on reserving low long positions after a significant drop.
Combined with other internal-level trends, since it is the first time breaking the trend, I do not believe it will continue to fall, or wait for the retail army of weekly bounce to continuously buy or hold positions. Coupled with the main force's chips escaping at key positions, this has led to a complex structure within limited volatility.
Summary: The current structure is tentatively defined as a downward continuation pattern in a bearish trend, and this pattern is in the late stage of sideways movement. Before recovering 93200, mainly reserve space-type secondary pullbacks at the daily level. The support I will provide later will generally be relatively low, please understand. Those who can operate should control the holding time within 2-4 hours focusing on short-term structures, those who cannot operate do not need to do anything recently.
Short-term support 83300, 84500, 86000 (watching the market for quick in and out), short-term resistance 93200~94600 (stagnation area) second resistance 95400~96700 (after reaching nearby, a retest of 94600 can be done)
Note: In the trends of various levels, the forces of both bulls and bears are intertwined, and the trend is not clear. While preventing further declines, the focus is on reducing operations. Wait for a significant bullish or bearish candlestick to appear before looking again. #BTC走势分析
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The Federal Reserve is set to initiate new quantitative easing, will Bitcoin welcome an epic bull market? (In-depth analysis)
The crypto market put on a 'rollercoaster' performance late at night, with both bulls and bears fiercely competing around key points, with fluctuations exceeding 4000 points in just a few hours.
Last night, the crypto market experienced a short-term 4000-point rollercoaster! Mainstream crypto assets suddenly plunged to 87800 before violently surging to 91700, then falling back to 89000 this morning and making a strong rebound, re-establishing above the 90,000 mark. The second-largest crypto asset also experienced dramatic fluctuations, first dipping to 2900, then climbing to 3150, currently hovering around 3100, which is basically consistent with Lu Ge's assessment of the market trend yesterday.
The price seems to have returned to the starting point, but the market has completed a brutal washout. The behind-the-scenes driver of all this is the 'Super Data Week' that is about to explode this week.
Last night, the crypto market experienced a short-term 4000-point rollercoaster! Mainstream crypto assets suddenly plunged to 87800 before violently surging to 91700, then falling back to 89000 this morning and making a strong rebound, re-establishing above the 90,000 mark. The second-largest crypto asset also experienced dramatic fluctuations, first dipping to 2900, then climbing to 3150, currently hovering around 3100, which is basically consistent with Lu Ge's assessment of the market trend yesterday.
The price seems to have returned to the starting point, but the market has completed a brutal washout. The behind-the-scenes driver of all this is the 'Super Data Week' that is about to explode this week.
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Is Bitcoin lying in wait? With the interest rate decision news coming to fruition and risk aversion fading, will the crypto market usher in a new upward trend?
Bitcoin's potential Christmas rebound depends on the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision!
The year-end rebound is usually referred to as the 'Christmas Rally.' In previous years, there has indeed been a rebound in December. Currently, due to improved liquidity conditions and a 90% chance of the Federal Reserve cutting rates in early December, the crypto market may be poised for a rebound.
Despite the positive macroeconomic factors, overall market sentiment is still dominated by fear. Institutional and retail investors remain hesitant and have not invested capital, leaving the market in a stalemate until ETF inflows and other institutional signals confirm stability. Therefore, the Federal Reserve's upcoming interest rate decision will be crucial. If the Fed cuts rates on December 10 and ends quantitative tightening, Bitcoin could experience a short-term rise in the 'Christmas Rally,' provided there are no major geopolitical shocks.
The year-end rebound is usually referred to as the 'Christmas Rally.' In previous years, there has indeed been a rebound in December. Currently, due to improved liquidity conditions and a 90% chance of the Federal Reserve cutting rates in early December, the crypto market may be poised for a rebound.
Despite the positive macroeconomic factors, overall market sentiment is still dominated by fear. Institutional and retail investors remain hesitant and have not invested capital, leaving the market in a stalemate until ETF inflows and other institutional signals confirm stability. Therefore, the Federal Reserve's upcoming interest rate decision will be crucial. If the Fed cuts rates on December 10 and ends quantitative tightening, Bitcoin could experience a short-term rise in the 'Christmas Rally,' provided there are no major geopolitical shocks.
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Is Bitcoin facing a bottoming crisis? Expectations for interest rate hikes in Japan reignite, and the cryptocurrency market encounters liquidity tightening
On the morning of December 1, the cryptocurrency market experienced another sharp decline, with Bitcoin briefly falling below $87,000, and the intraday decline exceeding 5%; Ethereum also saw an intraday drop of over 5%, falling below $2,900. According to Coinglass, over $500 million worth of cryptocurrency contracts were liquidated within 24 hours, affecting 177,200 people.
Cryptocurrency concept stocks fell in early trading. As of the time of reporting, OK Group (01499) dropped 12.5%, trading at HKD 0.189; Yunfeng Financial (00376) fell 9.74%, trading at HKD 3.43; OSL Group (00863) declined 3.89%, trading at HKD 16.05.
Meanwhile, influenced by the hawkish comments from the Bank of Japan, expectations for interest rate hikes in Japan have increased, causing the Nasdaq futures index to decline almost in sync with the drop in the cryptocurrency market.
Cryptocurrency concept stocks fell in early trading. As of the time of reporting, OK Group (01499) dropped 12.5%, trading at HKD 0.189; Yunfeng Financial (00376) fell 9.74%, trading at HKD 3.43; OSL Group (00863) declined 3.89%, trading at HKD 16.05.
Meanwhile, influenced by the hawkish comments from the Bank of Japan, expectations for interest rate hikes in Japan have increased, causing the Nasdaq futures index to decline almost in sync with the drop in the cryptocurrency market.
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When will Bitcoin break through $150,000?
Preface:
Every time the market declines, the same scene always appears: a group of people jumps out saying, 'See, I told you it was a scam'; then when the market turns, the same group lines up, chases the highs, and shouts about how great it is. This extreme back-and-forth of emotions has made me numb after eight years in this industry.
It's not that people are unwilling to believe in the future, but rather — when a bear market arrives, people become afraid to believe in the future.
But the fact is: When we talk about price, we are actually talking about the future. Because price is never 'now', but the market's discounting of the future. If we continue to only focus on price, the future will slip away from us.
Every time the market declines, the same scene always appears: a group of people jumps out saying, 'See, I told you it was a scam'; then when the market turns, the same group lines up, chases the highs, and shouts about how great it is. This extreme back-and-forth of emotions has made me numb after eight years in this industry.
It's not that people are unwilling to believe in the future, but rather — when a bear market arrives, people become afraid to believe in the future.
But the fact is: When we talk about price, we are actually talking about the future. Because price is never 'now', but the market's discounting of the future. If we continue to only focus on price, the future will slip away from us.
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Practical Mindset in the Trend Fluctuations of the Cryptocurrency Market
Short-term trading is a trading model in the cryptocurrency market that wins by speed—without getting entangled in long-term trends, focusing on capturing profit opportunities in short-term price fluctuations, with the core being a decision-making system and risk control ability that is 'fast, accurate, and decisive.' For traders in the crypto space, short-term operations are both a tool for rapidly accumulating profits and a training ground for mindset, discipline, and skills.
1. The core logic of short-term trading: earning 'certainty' through short-term price differences.
The 24-hour uninterrupted trading and extreme volatility of the cryptocurrency market provide a natural environment for short-term trading. However, the essence of short-term profit is certainly not 'betting on the market' but rather capturing high-probability short-term price turning points through technical analysis and market observation.
1. The core logic of short-term trading: earning 'certainty' through short-term price differences.
The 24-hour uninterrupted trading and extreme volatility of the cryptocurrency market provide a natural environment for short-term trading. However, the essence of short-term profit is certainly not 'betting on the market' but rather capturing high-probability short-term price turning points through technical analysis and market observation.
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Follow the trend: The trading philosophy accumulated over ten years in the cryptocurrency world
Follow the trend: The trading philosophy accumulated over ten years in the cryptocurrency world
After deepening my knowledge in the cryptocurrency market for a decade, I am increasingly convinced of a core logic: trends do not come from predictions but from following. True long-term profits stem from accurately identifying trends, firmly adhering to them, and decisively exiting when trends weaken, achieving unity of knowledge and action.
1. Identify the situation: Multi-period resonance determines direction
I never rely on a single indicator to judge the market. A truly strong trend must manifest through multi-period resonance: when the 4-hour line and the daily line form a same-direction resonance, and key moving averages (such as MA20, MA60) show a clear bullish arrangement, it signals an effective upward trend worth participating in; conversely, if the larger cycle trend is downward, any small cycle rebound may be a trap for enticing buyers. I always adhere to a trading principle: "The larger cycle determines the direction, the smaller cycle finds the entry point," and refuse to blindly speculate in markets with unclear trends.
After deepening my knowledge in the cryptocurrency market for a decade, I am increasingly convinced of a core logic: trends do not come from predictions but from following. True long-term profits stem from accurately identifying trends, firmly adhering to them, and decisively exiting when trends weaken, achieving unity of knowledge and action.
1. Identify the situation: Multi-period resonance determines direction
I never rely on a single indicator to judge the market. A truly strong trend must manifest through multi-period resonance: when the 4-hour line and the daily line form a same-direction resonance, and key moving averages (such as MA20, MA60) show a clear bullish arrangement, it signals an effective upward trend worth participating in; conversely, if the larger cycle trend is downward, any small cycle rebound may be a trap for enticing buyers. I always adhere to a trading principle: "The larger cycle determines the direction, the smaller cycle finds the entry point," and refuse to blindly speculate in markets with unclear trends.
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11.26 Afternoon Trading Strategy
The current Bitcoin price is around 87764. Observing the Bollinger Bands on the 1-hour level, it is currently operating in the middle to upper band range. Due to the recent appearance of alternating bullish and bearish candlestick patterns, the short-term direction is unclear, and it is in a consolidation phase. Some candlesticks have shown upper and lower shadows, reflecting intense competition between bulls and bears.
The KDJ indicator shows that the K line and D line are in the neutral zone, with no obvious overbought or oversold signals.
The MACD indicator shows that the DIF line is below the DEA line, and the MACD histogram is positive, indicating that there is some short-term rebound momentum, but it is not strong.
For Bitcoin, it is recommended to dip-buy lightly near 87010--86100, with a target towards 88432--89252.
For Ethereum, it is recommended to dip-buy lightly near 2930--2890, with a target towards 2998--3040.
The above is just a personal opinion and for reference only.
When we trade, we still need to judge based on the specific situation at that time and pay attention to the timing of entry and exit. Poor entry points can limit profit potential, and not exiting in time can turn a profit into a loss. Therefore, in contract trading, the important thing is still the ability to adapt to changes and not be dogmatic. #BTC
The current Bitcoin price is around 87764. Observing the Bollinger Bands on the 1-hour level, it is currently operating in the middle to upper band range. Due to the recent appearance of alternating bullish and bearish candlestick patterns, the short-term direction is unclear, and it is in a consolidation phase. Some candlesticks have shown upper and lower shadows, reflecting intense competition between bulls and bears.
The KDJ indicator shows that the K line and D line are in the neutral zone, with no obvious overbought or oversold signals.
The MACD indicator shows that the DIF line is below the DEA line, and the MACD histogram is positive, indicating that there is some short-term rebound momentum, but it is not strong.
For Bitcoin, it is recommended to dip-buy lightly near 87010--86100, with a target towards 88432--89252.
For Ethereum, it is recommended to dip-buy lightly near 2930--2890, with a target towards 2998--3040.
The above is just a personal opinion and for reference only.
When we trade, we still need to judge based on the specific situation at that time and pay attention to the timing of entry and exit. Poor entry points can limit profit potential, and not exiting in time can turn a profit into a loss. Therefore, in contract trading, the important thing is still the ability to adapt to changes and not be dogmatic. #BTC
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🔥🔥11.25 Midday Operation Strategy
The current price of Bitcoin is around 87772. Observing the Bollinger Bands at the 1-hour level, it is currently oscillating in the upper-middle band area. After rebounding to a high, it has experienced a pullback, and currently, the K-line is oscillating near the middle band at 87676, showing an overall trend of rising then correcting.
KDJ Indicator: The K-line is below the D-line, and the J-line is at a low position, indicating short-term pullback pressure.
MACD Indicator: The DIF line is below the DEA line, and the MACD histogram is negative, indicating that short-term bullish momentum has weakened.
In the short term, after experiencing a rapid rebound, prices have entered a consolidation phase with pullback pressure, but the middle band of the Bollinger Bands provides some support. The subsequent trend should pay attention to the strength of the middle band support. If it stabilizes, it may continue to rebound; if it breaks down, it may test the lower band at the position of 85784.
In the short term, it is suggested to short near the rebound to the position of 88634--89532, targeting around the position of 87032--86253.
For Ethereum, it is suggested to short near the rebound to the position of 2960--2995, targeting around the position of 2890--2850 #eth
The current price of Bitcoin is around 87772. Observing the Bollinger Bands at the 1-hour level, it is currently oscillating in the upper-middle band area. After rebounding to a high, it has experienced a pullback, and currently, the K-line is oscillating near the middle band at 87676, showing an overall trend of rising then correcting.
KDJ Indicator: The K-line is below the D-line, and the J-line is at a low position, indicating short-term pullback pressure.
MACD Indicator: The DIF line is below the DEA line, and the MACD histogram is negative, indicating that short-term bullish momentum has weakened.
In the short term, after experiencing a rapid rebound, prices have entered a consolidation phase with pullback pressure, but the middle band of the Bollinger Bands provides some support. The subsequent trend should pay attention to the strength of the middle band support. If it stabilizes, it may continue to rebound; if it breaks down, it may test the lower band at the position of 85784.
In the short term, it is suggested to short near the rebound to the position of 88634--89532, targeting around the position of 87032--86253.
For Ethereum, it is suggested to short near the rebound to the position of 2960--2995, targeting around the position of 2890--2850 #eth
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The cryptocurrency BTC has fallen below the price of 85000, directly triggering the liquidation of over 440 million long positions. If it rises to 102700, it could trigger the liquidation of 10.7 billion short positions. In my time trading cryptocurrencies, I have never seen such a stark difference in long and short positions. The longs have effectively surrendered, which means that the upcoming period will likely be a turbulent time for short sellers? #BTC走势分析
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Bitcoin falls to 80,000, with the short-term market still dominated by bears.
The US stock market closed in the green yesterday, indicating a positive feedback regarding the Federal Reserve's rate cut in December. However, not many stocks closed in the green, primarily because Nvidia was down, dragging down the US stock market. But Nvidia rose again after hours, so we are still in a very complex and fluctuating process.
The cryptocurrency market is basically like this: Bitcoin has risen from around 80600 at its lowest to about 85000, with some correction, but the extent isn't large.
Normally, the Federal Reserve's shift from not cutting rates to cutting rates in December can be seen as a huge change. In the past, this would have led to a surge in the US stock market. However, the US stock market is currently worried about two things: the first is the burst of the AI bubble, and the second is the economic recession in the US following the burst of the AI bubble. If the US does go into recession, then the rate cut in December could be a recessionary rate cut, which has a 70% chance of leading to a decline in the stock market. These two worrying issues cannot be resolved simply by someone saying two sentences.
The cryptocurrency market is basically like this: Bitcoin has risen from around 80600 at its lowest to about 85000, with some correction, but the extent isn't large.
Normally, the Federal Reserve's shift from not cutting rates to cutting rates in December can be seen as a huge change. In the past, this would have led to a surge in the US stock market. However, the US stock market is currently worried about two things: the first is the burst of the AI bubble, and the second is the economic recession in the US following the burst of the AI bubble. If the US does go into recession, then the rate cut in December could be a recessionary rate cut, which has a 70% chance of leading to a decline in the stock market. These two worrying issues cannot be resolved simply by someone saying two sentences.
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The recent trend of the pancake is extremely confusing
There is a short-term low probability test of support near 7,7000-7,5000
It is actually not very meaningful to consider risks again at this position
The mid-term trend opportunity that occurs once every six months cannot be ignored
You must consider whether this is the only opportunity in your life #BTC走势分析
There is a short-term low probability test of support near 7,7000-7,5000
It is actually not very meaningful to consider risks again at this position
The mid-term trend opportunity that occurs once every six months cannot be ignored
You must consider whether this is the only opportunity in your life #BTC走势分析
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BTC has already broken the key boundary line between bulls and bears
The daily technical pattern has entered a bear market
The key support level for BTC is between 75000-77000 #BTC
The daily technical pattern has entered a bear market
The key support level for BTC is between 75000-77000 #BTC
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11/21 Bitcoin Technical Analysis: Multi-Cycle Trends Reveal Bearish Dominance
On the evening of November 21, 2025, the Bitcoin price was $82,299, with a drop of 10.30% in the past 24 hours, and the overall technical structure still shows a clear bearish dominance. Although there was a technical rebound during the session, the bullish strength was clearly insufficient, and the rebound faced strong resistance in the $84,500-$83,600 range, with overall market sentiment leaning towards pessimism.
Comprehensive interpretation of multi-cycle technical indicators
30-minute level: weak rebound fails to change the downward trend
In a short time frame, Bitcoin's technical indicators show weak signs of rebound. The three key moving averages MA7, MA25, and MA99 remain in a bearish arrangement, although the slope is beginning to flatten. The MACD indicator has formed a golden cross, but the momentum is clearly insufficient, and the histogram shows a discontinuous state. The RSI indicator hovers around 49, indicating that the rebound lacks a strong foundation. This time level signal clearly points to: the current rebound is only a technical repair and far from forming a trend reversal.
Comprehensive interpretation of multi-cycle technical indicators
30-minute level: weak rebound fails to change the downward trend
In a short time frame, Bitcoin's technical indicators show weak signs of rebound. The three key moving averages MA7, MA25, and MA99 remain in a bearish arrangement, although the slope is beginning to flatten. The MACD indicator has formed a golden cross, but the momentum is clearly insufficient, and the histogram shows a discontinuous state. The RSI indicator hovers around 49, indicating that the rebound lacks a strong foundation. This time level signal clearly points to: the current rebound is only a technical repair and far from forming a trend reversal.
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OK Leader Calls for MEME, Dogecoin Price Back in the Spotlight, Altcoin Feast in Q4?
In recent days, I have been busy with various matters related to home renovation and haven't had the time to update in a timely manner. Of course, I have spent many pages discussing the investment opportunities in the altcoin market for this fourth quarter. Market rules dictate that those who are early create; those who follow are late; and those who are unaware consume. Smart friends understand this immediately: the early phase of a trend allows for bold trial and error, which not only carries very low risk but also offers extremely high returns. Since September, the market has seen significant increases, with SOL rising 25% and DOGE rising 50% over ten trading days. The SOL chain's Hippo MOODENG has seen a 50% increase in a single trading day, and WLD has doubled over two trading days, along with the vast majority of altcoins experiencing increases of over 10%. Now that we are in mid-September, looking back, the early part of September had the highest profitability with almost no risk. Even the slight pullback yesterday was within expectations. Currently, the bullish trend is still ongoing, and I refer to this stage as the 'initiation period' of the bullish trend.
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#ETH 9.14 Market Analysis Interpretation
From the daily perspective, KDJ and MACD golden cross resonance has increased with volume, BOLL has currently shifted from a downward trend to an upward oscillation, although the ultra-short-term BOLL has broken; in terms of the main chart, MA5 and MA10 daily moving averages are oscillating upward, but there is a significant gap between the main chart coin price and the five-day moving average. Although Ethereum has continued to rise strongly during the day, technically, overall, it is still slightly oscillating downward in the early morning and tomorrow morning.
From the 12-hour perspective, KDJ and MACD bullish momentum has decreased, and BOLL has broken; in terms of the main chart, MA three-day moving averages are strongly arranged in a bullish manner, but Ethereum has stabilized at the green TD9 and encountered lagging, while the adjacent Bitcoin has currently formed a green TD13, so overall it is leaning towards oscillating downward in the early morning, mainly for technical recovery.
Summary: I personally expect that the overall trend in the early morning and tomorrow morning will oscillate downward, primarily focusing on technical recovery in the short term, with key support levels around the daily MA5 moving average, roughly in the price range of 4530-4460.
If this round of pullback cannot effectively break below the support, the subsequent Ethereum weekly TD9 will continue to encounter lag (in plain language, if the bottom support does not break, it will continue to increase in volume), with strong resistance remaining around the 4900-5100 range.
The above is my personal market analysis for the early morning, for everyone's reference.
From the daily perspective, KDJ and MACD golden cross resonance has increased with volume, BOLL has currently shifted from a downward trend to an upward oscillation, although the ultra-short-term BOLL has broken; in terms of the main chart, MA5 and MA10 daily moving averages are oscillating upward, but there is a significant gap between the main chart coin price and the five-day moving average. Although Ethereum has continued to rise strongly during the day, technically, overall, it is still slightly oscillating downward in the early morning and tomorrow morning.
From the 12-hour perspective, KDJ and MACD bullish momentum has decreased, and BOLL has broken; in terms of the main chart, MA three-day moving averages are strongly arranged in a bullish manner, but Ethereum has stabilized at the green TD9 and encountered lagging, while the adjacent Bitcoin has currently formed a green TD13, so overall it is leaning towards oscillating downward in the early morning, mainly for technical recovery.
Summary: I personally expect that the overall trend in the early morning and tomorrow morning will oscillate downward, primarily focusing on technical recovery in the short term, with key support levels around the daily MA5 moving average, roughly in the price range of 4530-4460.
If this round of pullback cannot effectively break below the support, the subsequent Ethereum weekly TD9 will continue to encounter lag (in plain language, if the bottom support does not break, it will continue to increase in volume), with strong resistance remaining around the 4900-5100 range.
The above is my personal market analysis for the early morning, for everyone's reference.
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