bitcoin

Bitcoin (BTCUSD) berührte heute zum ersten Mal nach 2 Monaten (seit dem 28. Oktober) sein 1D MA50 (blaue Trendlinie) und wurde sofort abgelehnt. Dies ist potenziell ein frühes Zeichen dafür, dass der Markt nicht nur weiterhin bärisch bleibt, sondern sich auf eine starke Abwärtsbewegung vorbereitet.
Das kann jedoch nicht bestätigt werden, solange das 1W MA100 (rote Trendlinie) hält, das, wie Sie sehen, 3 Mal seit dem 21. November getestet und gehalten wurde (alle Kerzen darüber geschlossen).
Die oben genannten MA-Trendlinien verlaufen entlang einer Linie mit niedrigeren Hochs und höheren Tiefs und fungieren seit dem Allzeithoch (ATH) im Oktober als Widerstand und Unterstützung des Marktes.

Der Ökonom Peter Schiff, bekannt für seine kritische Haltung gegenüber dem Markt für digitale Währungen, hat erneut ein katastrophales Szenario für Bitcoin vorhergesagt. Obwohl sich seine Geschichte negativer Vorhersagen selten bestätigt, führt Schiff eine starke Kampagne gegen das Asset und besteht darauf, dass es an echtem Wert mangelt. In einem kürzlichen Beitrag im sozialen Netzwerk X zog der Analyst einen Vergleich zwischen dem Verhalten von Silber und dem, was er für Bitcoin erwartet, jedoch mit entgegengesetzten Trajektorien.

Estamos a solo 48 horas de cerrar un año que quedará grabado en los libros de historia financiera. Tras alcanzar un máximo histórico (ATH) de $126,000 el pasado 6 de octubre, el panorama actual de Bitcoin ($BTC$) nos obliga a hacer una pausa y analizar con cabeza fría.
Actualmente, el precio oscila en la zona de los $88,000 - $90,000, y el sentimiento en el Square está dividido.

Bitcoin ha intentado recuperar los $90,000 en varias ocasiones durante esta última semana de diciembre. Sin embargo, la liquidez es baja debido a las festividades y nos encontramos ante una resistencia psicológica y técnica muy fuerte.

El 2025 fue el año de la política cripto en EE. UU. Tras la creación de reservas estratégicas y un entorno regulatorio más claro, el mercado ha madurado. Sin embargo, la rotación de capital hacia refugios como el Oro (que cotiza en máximos de $4,500) sugiere que los inversores están siendo cautelosos ante las tensiones comerciales globales.

Estamos en una fase de "re-acumulación". Bitcoin está limpiando el exceso de apalancamiento para construir una base sólida. El 2025 nos dio el ATH que soñábamos; el 2026 pondrá a prueba la resiliencia de los verdaderos holders.

#bitcoin #BTC #MarketAnalysis #crypto2025 #BinanceSquare

Hier ist der Fahrplan für die Währung $BTC für 2026: allmählicher Anstieg in Richtung $180.000
• Erstes Quartal (Januar - März 2026)
Erwarteter Preisbereich: $90.000 bis $110.000.
Zustand: Stabilität und Konsolidierung (Consolidation).
Die Motivationen und Daten: In diesem Zeitraum wird erwartet, dass der Markt Preisschocks bis Ende 2025 absorbiert. Langfristige Investoren beginnen, ihre Positionen über dem psychologischen und starken Niveau von 90.000 zu stärken.

When I look at #bitcoin right now, what stands out isn’t what the price is doing, but what it isn’t doing. It’s not breaking out, and it’s not falling apart either. Price has been moving sideways for a while, stuck in a tight range, and to most people that looks like indecision.
Volume is quiet, candles are small, and nothing on the surface feels urgent. But when I dig a little deeper, especially into the futures market, the picture changes. What really caught my attention is how derivatives traders are behaving while the spot price goes nowhere. Open interest keeps climbing, which tells me traders are adding positions rather than stepping back. That usually doesn’t happen when people are nervous or expecting a drop. It looks more like quiet confidence. Instead of waiting for a breakout to happen, many traders seem to be positioning as if they expect one. I’ve seen this pattern before. Long periods of consolidation tend to build pressure. When price stays compressed, liquidity stacks up on both sides. Eventually something gives, and when it does, the move is often sharper than people expect. Futures traders understand this better than most. They’re willing to step in early, take on leverage, and accept some risk in exchange for being positioned ahead of the move. Funding rates add another layer to this. Right now they’re slightly positive, but nothing extreme. That matters. When funding gets too high, it usually means everyone is leaning the same way, which makes the market fragile. That’s not what I’m seeing here. The bias is bullish, but it feels controlled. That tells me this isn’t a hype driven trade. It’s more calculated. Options markets tell a similar story. Implied volatility is low, which means options are relatively cheap. I see traders taking advantage of that by buying calls above current price levels. To me, that signals expectation of expansion, not collapse. There’s clearly more interest in upside exposure than in heavy downside protection, and that says a lot about sentiment. Macro conditions also factor into how I’m thinking about this. Liquidity doesn’t feel as tight as it did earlier, and risk assets in general have been holding up better than many expected. Bitcoin tends to respond to those shifts, especially now that institutional participation plays a larger role. Futures traders are usually quicker to adjust to these changes than spot buyers, which might explain why positioning looks more optimistic than price action. Supply dynamics support this view too. Long term holders don’t seem eager to sell at these levels. Coins aren’t moving much, and that reduces available supply. When supply stays locked up like this, price doesn’t need a massive surge in demand to move higher. Futures traders are clearly aware of that imbalance and seem willing to bet on it. There’s also a psychological element at play. Sideways markets drain energy. Bulls get bored, bears lose conviction, and everyone waits for confirmation. That’s usually when surprise moves happen. In my experience, markets love to move when most people stop paying attention. The current futures positioning feels like a response to that setup. Of course, none of this guarantees a rally. Futures traders can be early, and sometimes early feels wrong before it feels right. If price breaks down instead, leverage will unwind fast. But even there, risk looks measured. Liquidation levels aren’t sitting dangerously close, which suggests traders have planned for volatility rather than blindly chasing upside. From a structure standpoint, Bitcoin still looks healthy on higher time frames. Higher lows remain intact, and key averages are clustered below price. That gives traders clear levels to manage risk. When I see that kind of structure combined with rising derivatives interest, it usually tells me something is building. So while Bitcoin might look boring on the chart right now, I don’t think the market is asleep. Futures traders are leaning forward, not stepping away. They’re not celebrating a breakout that hasn’t happened, but they’re clearly preparing for one. When price stays quiet while positioning grows louder, I’ve learned to pay attention.
$BTC #BTC90kChristmas #BTC☀ #StrategyBTCPurchase #BinanceAlphaAlert