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Analyste & stratège crypto | Insights & tendances | Éducation & trading responsable | #Bitcoin #Altcoins #DeFi | 🇫🇷
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🐳 Bitcoin Wallets Are Fewer - But Stronger
Something interesting is happening with $BTC.
📉 Since March 3, the number of wallets holding at least 1 BTC is down 2.2%. On the surface, that looks bearish.
📈 But here’s the twist:
Wallets with more than 1 BTC now hold 136,670 more coins.
🤔 In simple terms:
• Fewer wallets
• Bigger holders
• More accumulation at the top
This doesn’t look like panic selling. It looks like #Bitcoin slowly moving into stronger hands.
#BTC Price Analysis#
#Bitcoin Price Prediction: What is Bitcoins next move?#USGDPUpdate
Something interesting is happening with $BTC.
📉 Since March 3, the number of wallets holding at least 1 BTC is down 2.2%. On the surface, that looks bearish.
📈 But here’s the twist:
Wallets with more than 1 BTC now hold 136,670 more coins.
🤔 In simple terms:
• Fewer wallets
• Bigger holders
• More accumulation at the top
This doesn’t look like panic selling. It looks like #Bitcoin slowly moving into stronger hands.
#BTC Price Analysis#
#Bitcoin Price Prediction: What is Bitcoins next move?#USGDPUpdate
Übersetzen
Why Bitcoin’s December Range May Be Ending Soon
Bitcoin holding between $85,000 and $90,000 for most of December has less to do with sentiment and more to do with derivatives structure.
Heavy options exposure near spot forced market makers to hedge aggressively, buying dips and selling rallies. This behavior suppressed volatility and locked price into a narrow corridor, even as macro conditions improved and risk assets moved higher.
That dynamic changes as year-end options expire. With roughly $27B in open interest rolling off and a strong call bias still in place, the hedging pressure that pinned price fades quickly.
Implied volatility remains near monthly lows, suggesting the market is underpricing movement just as structural constraints are removed.
When positioning dominates price for weeks, the resolution often comes fast once those constraints disappear.
Bitcoin holding between $85,000 and $90,000 for most of December has less to do with sentiment and more to do with derivatives structure.
Heavy options exposure near spot forced market makers to hedge aggressively, buying dips and selling rallies. This behavior suppressed volatility and locked price into a narrow corridor, even as macro conditions improved and risk assets moved higher.
That dynamic changes as year-end options expire. With roughly $27B in open interest rolling off and a strong call bias still in place, the hedging pressure that pinned price fades quickly.
Implied volatility remains near monthly lows, suggesting the market is underpricing movement just as structural constraints are removed.
When positioning dominates price for weeks, the resolution often comes fast once those constraints disappear.
Übersetzen
Why Markets Are Choosing Gold and Copper Over Bitcoin in 2025
This year’s market behavior tells a clear story. Investors are prioritizing assets they can touch, store, and rely on when confidence in financial systems weakens or when growth demands real infrastructure.
Gold has surged as fears around fiscal sustainability, currency debasement, and political instability intensify. Copper has followed, driven by the AI boom, electrification, and global infrastructure build-out. Both assets represent tangibility in a world questioning paper promises.
Bitcoin, despite being positioned as both digital gold and high-end tech, has not captured either flow. Institutions have largely priced in ETFs and regulatory clarity, while sovereigns continue to favor gold as their hedge of choice.
This divergence does not necessarily mean Bitcoin has lost relevance. Historically, gold tends to lead during periods of monetary stress, with Bitcoin reacting later and often with greater volatility.
The current market is not rejecting crypto. It is demanding proof, patience, and timing.
This year’s market behavior tells a clear story. Investors are prioritizing assets they can touch, store, and rely on when confidence in financial systems weakens or when growth demands real infrastructure.
Gold has surged as fears around fiscal sustainability, currency debasement, and political instability intensify. Copper has followed, driven by the AI boom, electrification, and global infrastructure build-out. Both assets represent tangibility in a world questioning paper promises.
Bitcoin, despite being positioned as both digital gold and high-end tech, has not captured either flow. Institutions have largely priced in ETFs and regulatory clarity, while sovereigns continue to favor gold as their hedge of choice.
This divergence does not necessarily mean Bitcoin has lost relevance. Historically, gold tends to lead during periods of monetary stress, with Bitcoin reacting later and often with greater volatility.
The current market is not rejecting crypto. It is demanding proof, patience, and timing.
Übersetzen
🚨 $BTC Regime Score is flashing an early signal most traders miss…
Bull/Bear structure is compressing
Regime score hovering near the critical equilibrium zone (~16%)
This zone historically marks transitions, not trends
When the score stays below zero → distribution & downside volatility
Sustained break above the regime baseline → trend expansion & momentum return
Right now, $BTC is NOT trending it’s coiling
The longer the compression, the stronger the next impulse
Smart money doesn’t chase candles. They position before the regime flips.
#BTC Price Analysis# #OnChainAnalysis #MarketRegime
Bull/Bear structure is compressing
Regime score hovering near the critical equilibrium zone (~16%)
This zone historically marks transitions, not trends
When the score stays below zero → distribution & downside volatility
Sustained break above the regime baseline → trend expansion & momentum return
Right now, $BTC is NOT trending it’s coiling
The longer the compression, the stronger the next impulse
Smart money doesn’t chase candles. They position before the regime flips.
#BTC Price Analysis# #OnChainAnalysis #MarketRegime
Übersetzen
FACT: XXI CAPITAL ACCUMULATED OVER 40,000 #BITCOIN$BTC WORTH $3,800,000,000 THIS YEAR
IT HASN'T EVEN STARTED BUYING. BULLISH 🚀
IT HASN'T EVEN STARTED BUYING. BULLISH 🚀
Original ansehen
Ehrlich gesagt, ich bin es leid, auf Charts zu starren.
Ich bin seit 2017 in diesem Markt. Ich habe die Euphorie gesehen, als Taxifahrer mir sagten, ich solle Krypto kaufen. Ich habe die Verzweiflung gesehen, als mein Portfolio in einer Woche um -75% blutete. Ich dachte, ich wäre an alles gewöhnt.
Aber das... das fühlt sich anders an.
Alles scheint zu steigen, Institutionen sind hier, ETFs sind aktiv. Dennoch gibt es diese seltsame Spannung in der Luft. Es ist nicht die einfache Euphorie des letzten Bullenmarktes. Es fühlt sich an wie die Ruhe vor etwas Großem, entweder einem lebensverändernden Pump oder... nun, du weißt schon.
Gestern Abend habe ich das Terminal geschlossen und bin einfach ohne mein Telefon spazieren gegangen. Manchmal braucht man eine Erinnerung daran, dass das Leben nicht nur grüne und rote Kerzen sind.
Kamm zurück und kaufte ein wenig mehr $BTC
Denn trotz der Nerven glaube ich langfristig daran.
Wie gehst du gerade mit dem Druck um? Bist du ängstlich oder völlig entspannt?
#BTC Preisanalyse# #Makro Einblicke#Binanceholdermmt #
Ich bin seit 2017 in diesem Markt. Ich habe die Euphorie gesehen, als Taxifahrer mir sagten, ich solle Krypto kaufen. Ich habe die Verzweiflung gesehen, als mein Portfolio in einer Woche um -75% blutete. Ich dachte, ich wäre an alles gewöhnt.
Aber das... das fühlt sich anders an.
Alles scheint zu steigen, Institutionen sind hier, ETFs sind aktiv. Dennoch gibt es diese seltsame Spannung in der Luft. Es ist nicht die einfache Euphorie des letzten Bullenmarktes. Es fühlt sich an wie die Ruhe vor etwas Großem, entweder einem lebensverändernden Pump oder... nun, du weißt schon.
Gestern Abend habe ich das Terminal geschlossen und bin einfach ohne mein Telefon spazieren gegangen. Manchmal braucht man eine Erinnerung daran, dass das Leben nicht nur grüne und rote Kerzen sind.
Kamm zurück und kaufte ein wenig mehr $BTC
Denn trotz der Nerven glaube ich langfristig daran.
Wie gehst du gerade mit dem Druck um? Bist du ängstlich oder völlig entspannt?
#BTC Preisanalyse# #Makro Einblicke#Binanceholdermmt #
Übersetzen
📉
Market 24-Hour Recap: Crypto Slips Despite Cooling Inflation & Rate Cuts
Inflation cooled and rates were cut, but traders still sold risk assets. $BTC is down about 2% near $88,100 as many lock in profits after the recent run, with added nerves around potential ETF-linked liquidation pressure if the dip deepens.
$ETH also followed the market lower, sliding over 2% to around $2,940 as selling spread across majors. On days like this, “good macro” doesn’t always matter - positioning and risk-off mood can overpower the headlines fast.
#BTC Price Analysis# #ETH
#Bitcoin Price Prediction: What is Bitcoins next move?#USNonFarmPayrollReport
Market 24-Hour Recap: Crypto Slips Despite Cooling Inflation & Rate Cuts
Inflation cooled and rates were cut, but traders still sold risk assets. $BTC is down about 2% near $88,100 as many lock in profits after the recent run, with added nerves around potential ETF-linked liquidation pressure if the dip deepens.
$ETH also followed the market lower, sliding over 2% to around $2,940 as selling spread across majors. On days like this, “good macro” doesn’t always matter - positioning and risk-off mood can overpower the headlines fast.
#BTC Price Analysis# #ETH
#Bitcoin Price Prediction: What is Bitcoins next move?#USNonFarmPayrollReport
Übersetzen
📊
Brazil’s Largest Bank Recommends Bitcoin as a Portfolio Hedge
Brazil’s largest private bank, Itaú Unibanco, is advising investors to allocate 1%–3% of their portfolios to $BTC, framing it as a diversification tool rather than a speculative bet.
According to Renato Eid, head of beta strategies at Itaú Asset Management, Bitcoin should serve as a complementary asset, not a core holding. The focus is on long-term positioning, not market timing, with $BTC offering returns that are largely uncorrelated with domestic economic cycles.
The recommendation is closely tied to currency risk. After the Brazilian real hit record lows in late 2024, Itaú highlighted Bitcoin’s potential role as a partial hedge against FX volatility, alongside its function as a global store of value.
Itaú’s guidance references BITI11, a Brazil-listed Bitcoin ETF launched in partnership with Galaxy Digital. The fund currently manages over $115 million, providing local investors with regulated BTC exposure and international diversification.
The move reflects a broader institutional shift. Similar allocation ranges have been suggested by global banks, signaling that Bitcoin is increasingly viewed not as an outlier, but as a structured portfolio component in emerging-market risk management.
Question: Is a 1%–3% $BTC allocation becoming the new conservative baseline for institutional portfolios?
#BTC Price Analysis##Bitcoin Price Prediction: What is Bitcoins next move?# #BTC
#Brazil
Brazil’s Largest Bank Recommends Bitcoin as a Portfolio Hedge
Brazil’s largest private bank, Itaú Unibanco, is advising investors to allocate 1%–3% of their portfolios to $BTC, framing it as a diversification tool rather than a speculative bet.
According to Renato Eid, head of beta strategies at Itaú Asset Management, Bitcoin should serve as a complementary asset, not a core holding. The focus is on long-term positioning, not market timing, with $BTC offering returns that are largely uncorrelated with domestic economic cycles.
The recommendation is closely tied to currency risk. After the Brazilian real hit record lows in late 2024, Itaú highlighted Bitcoin’s potential role as a partial hedge against FX volatility, alongside its function as a global store of value.
Itaú’s guidance references BITI11, a Brazil-listed Bitcoin ETF launched in partnership with Galaxy Digital. The fund currently manages over $115 million, providing local investors with regulated BTC exposure and international diversification.
The move reflects a broader institutional shift. Similar allocation ranges have been suggested by global banks, signaling that Bitcoin is increasingly viewed not as an outlier, but as a structured portfolio component in emerging-market risk management.
Question: Is a 1%–3% $BTC allocation becoming the new conservative baseline for institutional portfolios?
#BTC Price Analysis##Bitcoin Price Prediction: What is Bitcoins next move?# #BTC
#Brazil
Übersetzen
#BITCOIN SHARKS ARE BUYING LIKE MADMEN RIGHT NOW!
Original ansehen
$BTC zeigt weiterhin Volatilität, wobei die jüngsten Rallyes auf erheblichen Verkaufsdruck in der Nähe der intra-day-Spitzenwerte stoßen. Dieser anhaltende Widerstand deutet darauf hin, dass Händler vorsichtig sind, insbesondere im Hinblick auf makroökonomische Faktoren, die die breitere Finanzlandschaft beeinflussen.
Marktanalysten beobachten genau die Auswirkungen möglicher Zinssenkungen der Bank von Japan, die die Abwärtstrends nicht nur für $BTC sondern auch für verschiedene Altcoins weiter verschärfen könnten. Die Erwartung dieser geldpolitischen Anpassungen könnte einen Ripple-Effekt auf den Kryptowährungsmarkt hervorrufen, der die Anleger dazu veranlasst, ihre Positionen neu zu bewerten.
Während $BTC ein zentraler Punkt bleibt, spüren auch andere Kryptowährungen die Auswirkungen dieser Unsicherheit. Anleger werden geraten, wachsam zu bleiben, da sich die Marktdynamik ändert, insbesondere vor dem Hintergrund traditioneller finanzieller Bewegungen, die die Krypto-Bewertungen beeinflussen.
#BTC Preis Analyse# #Makro Einblicke# #CMC
Marktanalysten beobachten genau die Auswirkungen möglicher Zinssenkungen der Bank von Japan, die die Abwärtstrends nicht nur für $BTC sondern auch für verschiedene Altcoins weiter verschärfen könnten. Die Erwartung dieser geldpolitischen Anpassungen könnte einen Ripple-Effekt auf den Kryptowährungsmarkt hervorrufen, der die Anleger dazu veranlasst, ihre Positionen neu zu bewerten.
Während $BTC ein zentraler Punkt bleibt, spüren auch andere Kryptowährungen die Auswirkungen dieser Unsicherheit. Anleger werden geraten, wachsam zu bleiben, da sich die Marktdynamik ändert, insbesondere vor dem Hintergrund traditioneller finanzieller Bewegungen, die die Krypto-Bewertungen beeinflussen.
#BTC Preis Analyse# #Makro Einblicke# #CMC
Übersetzen
🇺🇸
US Congress pauses crypto regulation $BTCregulation
US Congress has decided to delay work on the crypto market structure bill until next year. While the market is searching for positive signals, lawmakers are not in a hurry. No urgency, no pressure, just business as usual in Washington.
For now, crypto continues to operate without new rules, keeping the market in wait-and-see mode.
#BTC Price Analysis##Bitcoin Price Prediction: What is Bitcoins next move?#BinanceBlockchainWeek
US Congress pauses crypto regulation $BTCregulation
US Congress has decided to delay work on the crypto market structure bill until next year. While the market is searching for positive signals, lawmakers are not in a hurry. No urgency, no pressure, just business as usual in Washington.
For now, crypto continues to operate without new rules, keeping the market in wait-and-see mode.
#BTC Price Analysis##Bitcoin Price Prediction: What is Bitcoins next move?#BinanceBlockchainWeek
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