Nayon12

$BTC decision time is very close.

A daily close above the $89,500 level will trigger a rally towards the $100,000 level.

A daily close below the $85,000 level will dump BTC below the $80,000 zone.

CPI inflation data quality has rarely been worse:

In October, a record 40% of core CPI items were estimated, with 22 percentage points coming from rents and 18 points from other commodities and services.

Under normal conditions, the BLS measures CPI inflation using ~90,000 monthly price observations spanning across 200 product and service categories.

When price data is unavailable, the BLS fills the gaps with estimated values, which typically account for ~10% of all entries.

Overall, 34% of all inflation components were estimated using other items or geographies.

This marks the 5th consecutive reading above 30% and more than triple the average seen from 2022 to 2024.

Confidence in economic data is eroding.

The US ETF industry is having a historic year:

US-listed ETFs have attracted a record $1.4 trillion in net inflows so far in 2025.

This surpasses the previous full year record by +$300 billion and is more than double the 2023 figure.

Furthermore, ETF trading volume is up to a record $57.9 trillion year-to-date, +$630 billion higher than 2024's total.

On top of this, the number of ETF launches in 2025 is up to 1,100, an all-time high, and +123% more than 2023 levels.

The last time all metrics saw a record in a single year was in 2021.

Investor demand ETFs is at record highs.

The global working age population is shrinking:

The percentage of people aged 15 to 64 in the world population is down -20 points since 1960, to 55%.

Over this period, the sharpest decline was recorded in China, at -36 percentage points, to 44%.

In the US, the working age population proportion fell -13 percentage points, to 54%.

On the other hand, the European Union saw a +2 percentage point increase, to 57%.

Overall, the number of countries where the working age population is shrinking is up by +48 since 1980, to 50.

That number is estimated to increase to 77 by 2040.

Demographics are set to be a major headwind for growth in developed global economies.

🚨BREAKING: GOLD just hit $4,500 for the first time in history, and it’s up 71% in 2025.

Gold has added nearly $13 trillion to its market cap in a single year, which is insane.

SILVER has just hit $72, up 148% in 2025, and is now the world's 3rd largest asset.

US S&P 500 just gave its highest daily close in history, and is up 43% from the April 2025 crash lows.

BITCOIN ?

It's down -30% from its ATH in Oct, down -13% in 2025, and is about to close its worst Q4 in the last 7 years.

While every other asset class is exploding and making historic highs for months, bitcoin is barely holding support.

There is no logical explanation for this. it’s just pure market manipulation by the big players.

$BTC dumpt bereits!

Wenn wir unter $86.800 fallen, erwarte ich einen schnellen Rückgang auf $84.000–$85.000.

Ich habe es bereits 28.283 Mal gesagt, aber versuche hier nicht, fallende Messer zu fangen, der Markt ist extrem schwach.

Sei einfach geduldig und warte auf eine gute Short-Gelegenheit.

Ist es jetzt eine gute Short-Gelegenheit bei der lokalen Unterstützung? Nein, es ist kein guter Einstieg.

Gestern bei $90.350 war ein guter Einstieg. Jetzt musst du einfach geduldig sein und auf das nächste Setup warten.

Copper soars to $12,000 for the first time in history 📈📈

$AMZN ist in diesem Jahr der schlechteste Mega-Cap, mit nur 5% im Plus..

Das Wachstum von AWS wird voraussichtlich im nächsten Jahr auf 25% wieder anziehen, da die AWS-Cluster von Anthropic ihre volle Kapazität erreichen.

Trotz der starken Wachstumschancen wird es nur mit dem 19-fachen operativen Cashflow gehandelt..

Top-Auswahl für 2026.

This man had 8 arrests in just one jail in 2025, 4 in 2023, 1 in 2020, a misdemeanor conviction in 2024, and a felony assault conviction in 2012

All for assault. He refuses to stop hurting people

But if we locked him and other 10+ criminals away, violence would decline ~20%

BREAKING: Spot gold prices surge above $4,500/oz for the first time in history.

Gold is now a $31.5 TRILLION asset, nearly 7 TIMES larger than Nvidia.

BREAKING: The odds of the Fed PAUSING rate cuts in January 2026 surge to a new high of 86%, per Polymarket.

Fed Chair Powell is about to halt rate cuts again, even as core inflation hits its lowest level since March 2021.

BREAKING: Platinum prices surge above $2,200, now at their highest since June 2008.

Platinum prices are now on track for their 9th consecutive daily gain, the longest streak in at least 2 years.

Over this period, platinum prices have rallied +32% and are just 5% away from the intraday all-time high set in March 2008.

Year-to-date, platinum prices have surged +142%, putting the metal on track for the best year since at least the 1960s, far surpassing the previous records of +87% in 1978 and +96% in 1979.

This comes as the London market is seeing tightened physical supply, with banks moving metal to the US to hedge against potential tariffs.

At the same time, exports to China have been strong this year, while the launch of platinum futures trading in Guangzhou is boosting demand.

The platinum market is experiencing a supply-driven squeeze.

Wenn Sie vor 10 Jahren 10.000 $ in Nike investiert hätten, hätten Sie...

9.860 $ heute.

$NKE

Ein Wal hat eine Short-Position von $166,822,000 $BTC eröffnet.

Er hat auch Short-Positionen von $54,856,000 $ETH und $18,790,000 $SOL eröffnet.

Shocking stat of the day:

Interest costs on US public debt may reach as much as $2.2 trillion over the next decade.

This would mark a +127% increase from the $970 billion reported in FY2025.

This comes as the government is projected to borrow ~$2 trillion annually over the next decade, pushing interest payments even higher alongside rising debt.

As a result, at least ~50% of the money borrowed each year will go solely to service this debt.

The US is on an unsustainable fiscal path.

Such a divergence has rarely ever been seen in markets:

In 2024 and 2025, investors expected implied correlations between individual S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 stocks to fall to the lowest levels in at least 23 years.

Low implied correlation means most stocks are expected to move independently rather than rise or fall with the broader market.

In other words, even if major indices go up, many individual stocks may not see similar gains.

Looking ahead to 2026, the market expects an average S&P 500 single-stock correlation of ~23%, the lowest reading in 23 years.

This points to a highly concentrated market, where a small group of mega-cap stocks continues to drive overall performance.

The market has never been this concentrated.

Wenn Sie vor genau 5 Jahren 10.000 $ in Nike $NKE investiert hätten, hätten Sie heute 4.378 $ (Dividenden inklusive) 🚨 Nicht schlecht

US demographic challenges are rising:

The number of American families with children under 18 is down to 33 million, the lowest since 1993.

This figure has declined by ~3 million since 2008, despite the US population increasing by 36 million people.

This marks a shift from the post-World War II demographic boom when family formation was rising.

Declining birth rates and an aging population are driving this trend.

Over time, this may put pressure on labor force growth, economic expansion, and social program spending.

The US may soon face a demographic crisis.

Show me the incentive and I’ll show you the outcome…”

BREAKING: Gold just hit a new ATH, and history shows that Bitcoin always follows it with a lag.

This chart shows when liquidity conditions improve, money often moves in a sequence:

Gold moves first.
Bitcoin moves later.

You can see it repeating on the chart.

2016-2017:

Gold starts trending up first.
Bitcoin is still slow at the start.
Then later, Bitcoin accelerates hard.

2020–2021:

When QE started, gold pushed to new highs first.
Bitcoin was still below its old ATH and stayed stuck for a while.
At one point, BTC was still far below ATH while gold was already strong.

Then the sequence flipped:

Gold momentum weakened and topped out. And that is when Bitcoin started the big move.

That is the main point. Bitcoin did not lead that cycle at the start. It followed after gold slowed down.

2025 Setup - The liquidity is improving again:

- The Fed has already done 3 rate cuts
- The Treasury is doing $40B per month in T-bill buying
- Global money supply is at all-time highs

And the price action is matching the same pattern:

Gold is already trending strong.
Bitcoin is still lagging.

Gold is highly overbought right now, so we can expect some weakling in coming weeks orand we can finally see money rotation from Gold to BTC.

Bitcoin market cap - $1.8 trillion
Gold market cap - $31 trillion
(Gold has added nearly $17 trillion in just the last 2 years, which is 4x of Japan’s GDP)

So if in the next 5 years Bitcoin reaches just 30% of gold's market cap, the price per BTC would be $450,000 per BTC.