99% OF PEOPLE WILL LOSE EVERYTHING IN 2026, No rage bait or clickbait listen..
Fed just released new macro data and it’s WORSE than expected.
If you currently hold assets, you’re not going to like what comes next:
A global market crash is approaching, yet most people don’t even realize what’s happening.
A systemic funding issue is quietly forming beneath the surface, and almost no one is positioned for it.
The Fed has already been forced into action.
The balance sheet has expanded by roughly $105 billion. The Standing Repo Facility added $74.6 billion. Mortgage-backed securities jumped $43.1 billion. Treasuries rose just $31.5 billion.
This is not bullish QE.
This is the Fed injecting liquidity because funding conditions tightened and banks needed cash.
When the Fed is absorbing more MBS than Treasuries, it tells you the collateral coming to the window is deteriorating. That only happens under stress.
Now add the bigger problem most people are ignoring.
U.S. national debt is at an all-time high. Not just nominally - structurally. Over $34 trillion and rising faster than GDP.
Interest expense alone is exploding, becoming one of the largest line items in the federal budget. The U.S. is issuing more debt just to service existing debt.
That’s the definition of a debt spiral.
At these levels, Treasuries are no longer “risk-free.”
They’re a confidence instrument. And confidence is what’s starting to crack. Foreign demand for U.S. debt is weakening
Domestic buyers are price-sensitive. The Fed becomes the buyer of last resort - whether they admit it or not. This is why funding stress matters so much right now.
You cannot sustain record debt levels when funding markets tighten. You cannot run trillion-dollar deficits when collateral quality is deteriorating.
And you cannot keep pretending this is normal.
This isn’t just a U.S. problem either. China is doing the exact same thing at the same time. The PBoC injected more than 1.02 trillion yuan via 7-day reverse repos in a single week.
Different country. Same issue. Too much debt. Too little trust.
And a global system built on rolling over liabilities that no one actually wants to hold. When both the U.S. and China are forced to inject liquidity simultaneously, this isn’t stimulus. It’s the global financial plumbing starting to clog.
Markets always get this phase wrong. People see liquidity injections and assume it’s bullish. It isn’t.
This isn’t about supporting prices. It’s about keeping funding alive. And when funding breaks, everything else turns into a trap.
The order is always the same. Bonds move first. Funding markets show stress before equities. Stocks ignore it - until they can’t. Crypto sees the most violent drops.
Now look at the signal that actually matters. Gold is at all-time highs. Silver is at all-time highs. This isn’t a growth narrative or an inflation trade. This is a rejection of sovereign debt.
Capital is leaving paper promises and moving into hard collateral. That doesn’t happen in healthy systems. We’ve seen this exact setup before.
→ 2000 before the dot-com collapse. → 2008 before the global financial crisis. → 2020 before the repo market seized.
Every time, recession followed soon after. The Fed is cornered.
If they print aggressively to absorb record debt issuance, precious metals surge and signal loss of control. If they don’t, funding markets lock up and the debt burden becomes unserviceable.
Risk assets can ignore this for a while - but never forever. This is not a normal cycle. This is a balance-sheet, collateral, and sovereign debt crisis developing quietly.
I’ve studied macro for 10 years and I called almost every major market top, including the October BTC ATH.
Follow and turn notifications on. I’ll post the warning BEFORE it hits the headlines.
$ETH update HTF liquidation is yet not taken fully so there is possibility to visits back to 2080- 2000$ but Overall expecting good HTF bounce around these zone :
Daily bear flag already broke. Both liquidity pockets reacted (≈3% then ≈6%), but sell pressure stayed dominant — meaning those were relief bounces, not reversals.
BTC has now printed a lower low for the first time in ~450 days. That’s structural damage. Bear narrative is accelerating without ever getting a real CEX altseason — ugly setup.
Next high-probability reaction zones from the 2024 mega range: • $70,000 — VAH • $67,000 — POC • $61,000 — VAL That Feb–Nov 2024 range ($57k–$73k) is now the magnet. Expect bounces there, not trend flips. If the full bear-flag target plays out, extension sits near $46,000 (≈35–38% from here). Sounds extreme, but BTC already erased ~20% in 6 days. At this pace, that level becomes reachable within couple weeks — not in a straight line, but via violent relief rallies followed by deeper legs down. Upside will exist. But downside is heavier. This is distribution → repricing, not accumulation.
If there’s no bounce here, I think we could see the same scenario as in 2022 in blue, with a bear flag forming in the middle of the impulsive move down.
NGL, if $ETH goes under 1000$, I’ll go all in like never before.
• Third golden cross confirmed ✅ • Launch zone mirrors 2018 & 2022 mega-runs • Dominance bouncing off key macro support • Market structure points to aggressive growth into 2026