比特币跳水29万人爆仓

Japanese media: The Bank of Japan is expected to raise interest rates to 0.75%, the highest in 30 years

On December 15, according to the Nikkei News, the Bank of Japan will hold a monetary policy meeting on December 18-19 to raise the current policy interest rate of 0.5%, which has now entered the final coordination stage. The most likely scenario is a rate increase of 25 basis points to 0.75%, reaching the highest interest rate level in 30 years since 1995.

Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda and other executives have hinted at the intention to submit a rate hike proposal, and surveys show that more than half of the 9 policy board members, including the Governor and Deputy Governor of the Bank of Japan, are expected to support the rate hike.

Currently, no policy board member has explicitly stated opposition to the rate hike, and the Japanese government generally holds a favorable attitude towards the rate increase. The Bank of Japan will make a final decision after assessing whether there will be a stock market crash and a sharp appreciation of the yen, among other market disturbances. If the rate hike is implemented on Friday, it will be the first increase in policy interest rates in 11 months since January 2025. #币圈 #比特币跳水29万人爆仓

#比特币跳水29万人爆仓
Another day of fluctuations, with a sluggish market. But friends, don't let your guard down; Fridays have always been a big deal. Considering this week's market is overall showing a range of fluctuations, there is a high probability of a significant move on Friday. In terms of live trading arrangements, early morning long positions are currently held, and friends who follow Zhuo Wei's early morning strategy can hold patiently, waiting for the market to continue rising.

Currently, the overall upward trend of the market has not shown any reversal signals, and bullish momentum continues to be released, maintaining a steady upward trend. The hourly chart indicates that the market is oscillating and fluctuating in the upper Bollinger Band region, with long and short forces temporarily balanced. However, the middle Bollinger Band has formed strong support; after the market corrects and pulls back to the middle band, it quickly rebounds. The bottom shadow of the K-line continues to appear, fully reflecting strong buying power below, and the short-term bullish trend has a strong certainty of continuation. The evening trading strategy remains unchanged; continue to maintain a bullish outlook.

Long positions around 92000 for Bitcoin Target 94000
Long positions around 3230 for Ethereum Target 3350 #币圈 #比特币

Currently, the 4H is still oscillating. A new concentration of chips signal has appeared at position 1, which may dip after a spike to choose a direction at the key support level. #比特币跳水29万人爆仓
It may first test the new position's 15min support level at 88250～87250, and there will be a rebound near 8.9 to observe the sentiment. If the sentiment is positive, it may return to 90k, oscillating at the 15min level over the weekend, and choose a direction on Monday. On Monday, only 2H level points can be placed.
There is a message for everyone: 15min sideways for about a week can be taken at the 2H level points, while 15min sideways for one to two months requires points at the 4H level or above.
The lower 2H support level looks at 85600～84600.
The upper 2H resistance level looks at 93600～94680.

Many people ask me what the secret to trading is. Actually, it's quite simple: go with the trend, do what the trend dictates, and follow the trend as king. It's not about guessing or relying on intuition. Since Monday, I have been laying out short positions, and I am currently on a winning streak; this is the trend. I made it very clear in the morning to continue looking down, but many people always think that since it has already dropped so much, will it continue to drop? They have already been educated by the market, fearing wolves in front and tigers behind, which only leads to poor performance. We are also approaching our take-profit point for the short position, and it will be another successful trade, quite comfortably.

After the daily candle closed in the red, it formed a bearish structure, a classic bearish trend. It is precisely because I understood this structure that I could judge the following trend. It has already broken below the 115000 mark, and the hourly level is starting to diverge. With our short positions continuously profiting, we will definitely continue to look down, aiming for total profit, which makes the mindset much more relaxed. Still, remember to maintain good defense.

#比特币 #比特币跳水29万人爆仓 Firmly establish your goals, avoid impulsiveness and blindly following trends, maintain a stable mindset, and take what you should take.
In the evening, arrange multiple long positions and collect again, exiting with a space of 1078 points.

This Friday, the United States will announce the August core PCE price index, which is the key inflation indicator most closely watched by the Federal Reserve. The market expects a year-on-year growth rate of 2.9%. The data result will directly affect the Federal Reserve's subsequent interest rate cut decisions and the trends in global financial markets. Outcomes above expectations, in line with expectations, or below expectations may lead to different results! #比特币跳水29万人爆仓

34356651111 The pancake has once again pulled back, probing the 80000 level to stop the decline. Is this a signal for the bears to stop? The key is whether 78000 is effectively broken. If it breaks, then the bears will receive a real signal. This position is also a new low for the past six months.
However, personally, I think that breaking this position will require time to convert space, so it will still be somewhat difficult for it to drop in the short term. I am more inclined to continue a wide-range fluctuation. We can observe the specific trend as we go along.
On the four-hour level, the price is forming an M-shape, and the bottom is about to form a double bottom. Therefore, we can look for bullish support on the pullback. After all, if we chase after it at this position, it would be a bit aggressive and could easily end up on the floor, making it somewhat not worth the loss. If we look for bullishness, even if it breaks down, we can exit in time. After all, even if it probes downwards, there isn't much space left, so the bullish advantage is greater than the bearish.
As for our reference position, we look bullish around 81500-81000, with a target of the 86000 area.

From the current trend, the bears still control the main theme, with high points continuously being pressed down. Yesterday's highest impact was blocked near 85300, followed by a decline in a震荡 'M' top formation, with an upper level forming a series of pressures, indicating significant bear suppression. The overall situation on the daily and weekly charts is still very clear, with the MA5—MA10 weekly moving averages maintaining a si cross suppression. It is still operating below the 85000 mark, so we remain bearish on crude.

#Finance##比特币跳水29万人爆仓

84500-85000 range, looking at 83000-82000

ETH has shown a deep downward trend in the early stage, with prices significantly dropping from around 4650, reaching a strong support line at 4000, resulting in a notable decline. Recently, it has been oscillating in a low range, which is part of the recovery phase after the drop, with the tug-of-war between bulls and bears concentrated near the support level.

From the 4-hour perspective, the current price is below the middle track, indicating a slight dominance of short-term bearish forces. The upper Bollinger band at 4330 serves as an important short-term rebound resistance level. The lower Bollinger band at 4050 is a key support level, and the previous low of 4000 also reinforces the support in this area.

The area around the lower Bollinger band at 4050 and the previous low at 4000 is strong support. If the price can hold above this, there may be rebound momentum; if it breaks below, it may further decline. The middle Bollinger band at 4190 is the first resistance level. If broken, it could target the upper band at 4330, and if it continues to break through, the rebound potential may further open up.

The current market is in a low oscillation period after a decline, with fierce competition between bulls and bears in the support range. In the short term, it is crucial to pay attention to the effectiveness of the lower band support and the breakthrough of the middle band resistance. If the support holds and breaks upward through the middle band, rebound opportunities can be explored; if the support breaks down, the downward trend may continue.
It is recommended to remain cautious and make decisions based on the breakout direction of key levels. #比特币跳水29万人爆仓

A few days ago, Federal Reserve bigwig Powell spoke up, saying they cannot touch Bitcoin. As soon as this was said, Bitcoin immediately fell from a high of 108,000 to 92,500. Today, another bigwig from the Federal Reserve, Daly, came out and said that cryptocurrencies cannot be compared to gold and are far from truly becoming 'money.' Daly believes that cryptocurrencies should be viewed separately and should not always be tied to gold. She said that cryptocurrencies are quite complex and need to be studied properly before defining them. She also mentioned that cryptocurrencies can be money, can be trading tools, or can be assets that sometimes rise and sometimes fall like stocks, but they simply cannot be said to be like gold. Daly's view is somewhat different from Powell's. Powell previously said that Bitcoin is like virtual gold, used for speculation, and cannot be used as money because it is too unstable. Although Daly agrees that cryptocurrencies cannot be used as money yet, her explanation is more detailed. Daly explained that for cryptocurrencies to become true money, their value must grow along with the economy and cannot rise simply because people want it to. Just like the dollar bills, their price does not rise just because more people are using them; the value of the dollar depends on how fast our economy grows compared to other countries. For cryptocurrencies to be considered money, they need to develop this characteristic first. Although the road for cryptocurrencies to become money is still long, this does not stop everyone from speculating on them. Since Trump was elected, Bitcoin has skyrocketed, surpassing 100,000 on December 4th. Stocks related to cryptocurrencies are also soaring quickly. Now, even some bigwigs who usually only buy stocks and bonds have started buying cryptocurrencies. Trump's new administration has even specifically sought out a venture capitalist named David Sacks to manage cryptocurrency matters, and perhaps the U.S. will even establish a Bitcoin reserve in the future. In short, cryptocurrencies are currently incredibly popular, and everyone believes they have limitless potential. An analyst even predicted that by the end of 2026, Bitcoin could rise to 225,000 dollars. It seems that more and more bigwigs are optimistic about Bitcoin, which is definitely key.

Looking back at the market trends in the early morning, the speech from Old Bao, and the implementation of interest rate cuts. Overall, the market experienced a back-and-forth wash with both long and short positions, and the dog fund eventually took action against small retail investors. Afterwards, it aligned with our expectations, and the overall market welcomed an upward trend. Bitcoin started to rebound from the 114623 level and reached a peak of 116772 in the early morning. Ethereum touched a low of 4404 in the early morning and is currently above 4600. After one hour of trading, Old Hu has already led everyone to profit and exit.

From the current market perspective, Bitcoin and Ethereum are experiencing a daily level of highs and lows after consecutive days of rising, showing the first signs of retreat after probing higher, reflecting a slowdown in the short-term upward pace. After continuous highs, the force has slowed down, while also increasing the base of volatility between long and short positions, resulting in larger pullback space. In the midnight session, a back-and-forth tug-of-war occurred with strong rebounds after hitting the lows, breaking the previous strong upward pattern, and transitioning to a top adjustment in the short term. At the 4-hour level, Bitcoin's first pullback found slight support at the middle Bollinger band, while the early morning decline indicates a lack of strength to recover the previous highs, suggesting a shift to high-level oscillation corrections. Meanwhile, the space correction will also change the structure. Today's short-term trading strategy is to look for adjustments in high shorts while supporting points align for short-long positions.

Bitcoin: Short near 117000, target 115500
Ethereum: Short near 4610, target 4550
#比特币跳水29万人爆仓 #美联储重启降息步伐 #美国讨论BTC战略储备

Did not meet expectations, the overall fluctuations are not significant, and I can only continue to be patient
#币圈 #比特币跳水29万人爆仓

Is the market crash in a bull market actually a "washout" strategy? Here are the insider tips you need to know!

Although the bull market seems prosperous, have you noticed that there are occasional waves of sharp declines? Don’t worry, this is not a market crash, but rather a "washout" quietly taking place!

🌪️ Why do sharp declines frequently occur in a bull market?

Many of you may ask: "Shouldn't a bull market be all about rising prices? Why are there still sharp declines?" In fact, these declines are not market collapses, but the market is "cleaning out" retail investors!

In a bull market, many retail investors tend to follow the trend and have a strong holding mentality with high trading stickiness. If a portion of them isn’t washed out through sharp declines, the main players would have to spend a significant amount of capital to push up the price, as retail investors would quickly sell off once they make a profit, creating huge market pressure.

🔥 What exactly does "washout" mean?
In simple terms, the main players use sharp declines to force retail investors to cut their losses and exit. Once these retail investors leave, only the main players with large capital remain in the market, allowing them to easily control the price and further push it up, making huge profits. Conversely, retail investors are eliminated in this process, becoming the "sacrificial victims" of the market.

💰 Why is it necessary to clean out retail investors?
It sounds a bit cruel, but this is the brutal game of the market. Without this round of "washout," the main players would face enormous resistance when pushing up prices. Retail investors, having made a small profit, would choose to exit, resulting in the main players losing the money they could have earned while pushing up prices to retail investors.

Therefore, by washing out retail investors through sharp declines, the main players not only increase their profit margins but also make future price increases smoother.

🎯 To summarize:
So, when you see waves of sharp declines in a bull market, don’t rush to panic. This is likely the market preparing to wash out and set the stage for subsequent price increases. And those steadfast investors who resist the urge to sell often end up earning even more later on.

A new week, wishing everyone great profits.
  Today, let's discuss how to resolve time conflicts across different timeframes?
  Why say this? When opening charts of different timeframes, the trends can vary.
  For example, weekly, monthly, daily, hourly, and minute charts.
  If the weekly chart shows a pullback, but the daily chart shows an uptrend, and the hourly chart also indicates a pullback, how should one handle this? Which one should be the baseline?
  It must be said that conflicting signals from different timeframes within the same market is one of the challenges of technical analysis.
  An uptrend on the daily chart, from the perspective of the monthly chart, may just be three lines, while the uptrends or pullbacks on the hourly or minute charts may just be fluctuations within the daily range. How can we resolve such conflicts?
  If the daily chart is a point, then the weekly or monthly charts are high-precision scopes, viewing the market from the frontlines of the trend, rendering conflicts self-resolving.
  Conflicts are the most troublesome issues in trading, but one can analyze the market from multiple timeframes and filter out noise and reverse trends.
#Finance##比特币跳水29万人爆仓

9.25 Morning Analysis and Suggestions by Auntie Wei

In the 4-hour chart of Bitcoin, the price has consolidated at the lower track and has strongly broken through the middle track with five consecutive candles. This is the first breakthrough of the middle track after the sharp drop on Monday, indicating a recovery in bullish sentiment. Currently, the KDJ lines are accelerating upward, and the MACD energy bar has turned from negative to positive, solidifying the rebound trend, with further upward momentum still available.

On the hourly chart, after testing the upper track with consecutive bullish candles, the price has entered a sideways consolidation phase, with alternating small bearish and bullish candles, and no significant pullbacks have occurred. An upward structure is gradually forming, and the short-term strategy focuses on looking for rebounds and buying on dips.

Trading Suggestions: Consider going long on Bitcoin near 113000, with a target at 114000; for Auntie Wei, consider going long near 4130, with a target at 4230.
(Personal opinions for reference only, everything is subject to actual trading!) #比特币跳水29万人爆仓 #狗狗币ETF进展 $BTC $ETH