$BTC Golden September, the turning point has arrived
Crypto Insider 9/27
I. Economic data analysis:
(1) On November 7, the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut rose to 50%, and the probability of a 50 basis point rate cut was 50%
(2) Geopolitics: Israel refused to cease fire, and the Israeli Prime Minister said that he would continue to fight Hezbollah with all his strength
(3) Today, Trump's chance of winning the election is 49% (up 1 from yesterday), and Harris's chance of winning the election is 50%. Harris broke his silence and promised to support cryptocurrency investment
(4) ETF dynamics: total inflow of 365 million, net inflow for 6 consecutive days
(5) PCE core data 2.7% monthly rate 0.1%
(6) Japan's next prime minister is "out"! The yen surged in the short term
II. On-chain data and market sentiment:
(1) Market sentiment 61 (up 11 from yesterday)
(2) Mining data analysis: 698.1 eh/s, handling fee 7.39 gas:2 S19 shutdown coin price: 60382-63126U
(3) Pain point of option No. 27 58,000 Nominal amount 5.7 billion
(4) BNB will reduce its position after CZ is released from prison
Potential negatives in the near future
1. Middle East situation
2. Japanese economic policy (change of prime minister, pay attention to the backstab of interest rate hike at the end of the year)
3. Uncertainty before the election
4. Large option No. 27
Potential positives in the near future
1. After the adjustment period of ETH spot ETF, it will enter the rising cycle
2. BlackRock ETF launches options
3. CZ is released from prison on the 29th, which is good for BNB and Binance Eco Coin
The above content is for information sharing only,
and does not constitute any investment advice!
Investment is risky, please be cautious when entering the market!
#美国二季度核心PCE符合预期 #美联储11月降息预期升温 #比特币盈利供应能否推动价格上涨?