Predictions for the cryptocurrency market in 2025. Looking ahead to possible trends in the new year.

Prediction 1: Will Bitcoin break its historical high (108,000 USD)?

I think the answer is a very straightforward “yes.” Under current market conditions, a new high for Bitcoin in 2025 should be a high-probability event.

Prediction 2: Will Bitcoin break 150,000 USD?

The answer is still “yes.” I expect that during this bull market, Bitcoin's peak will be between 150,000 and 180,000 USD, so the likelihood of breaking 150,000 is high.

Prediction 3: Will Bitcoin break 200,000 USD?

This is a more complex question. While Bitcoin may reach 200,000 in the future, it will be challenging to achieve this goal by 2025. I tend to predict “no”; it may require a longer cycle or an extended bull market to drive it.

Prediction 4: Will Bitcoin fall below 80,000 USD?

There is a certain probability (about 40%) that it will fall below this threshold, but a higher probability (60%) that it will not. I believe if the CME futures gap (around 77,000 to 80,000) is filled, it is more likely to happen in the next bear market.

Predictions about other cryptocurrencies

1. Ethereum (ETH):

Despite recent poor performance, its explosive potential cannot be ignored once it enters an independent market.

2. Cardano (ADA):

Cardano is expected to break its historical high (3.1 USD). Last November, its price quadrupled in a month, making this increase a possibility for a new historical high. I believe the probability of its price reaching 5 USD in 2025 is very high.

Other key predictions

1. Will there be a third country adopting Bitcoin as legal tender?

I am optimistic about this and believe that more countries may follow suit by 2025.

2. Can Bitcoin become a strategic reserve asset for the United States?

Although this topic is gaining attention in US politics, it is quite challenging to achieve through legislation. I predict that the likelihood of achieving this goal by 2025 is low, but I hope I am wrong.