📅 2025-12-14
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🟡 1. Bitcoin BTC
1️⃣ Current status (a sentence from retail investors)
👉 BTC is oscillating downwards, facing short-term pressure around ~90K.
2️⃣ Key position (simple understanding)
• 🧱 Short-term support: ~88,000-90,000
• 🚧 Short-term pressure: ~94,000-99,000
The current price is repeatedly tormenting retail investors' emotions in this range.
3️⃣ Retail perspective interpretation
• Market risk appetite is weak, U.S. stocks/macroeconomic news affect BTC sentiment.
• The short-term does not have a clear upward signal, so do not chase the rise.
• A downward breakout at 88K may intensify selling pressure (danger signal).
4️⃣ My attitude (no calls, just logic)
👉 It currently feels more like a consolidation phase, direction to be confirmed.
Conservative retail investors can wait for a pullback confirmation, it's not advisable to chase highs.
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🟢 II. Ethereum ETH
1️⃣ ETH vs BTC sentiment (in simple terms)
• ETH follows BTC's trend with fluctuations, and there is also repair pressure.
2️⃣ Short-term market structure
• Support: ~3,050-3,000 USD
• Resistance: 3,200-3,350 USD (short-term range)
Currently, ETH is holding above key support.
3️⃣ Retail perspective interpretation
• Compared to BTC, ETH has on-chain ecological support, but it is difficult to strengthen independently in the short term.
• If ETH cannot hold the key support, it will intensify short-term fluctuations.
4️⃣ My attitude (true thoughts)
👉 ETH appears more "fragile but has opportunities",
Support must be held to be worth observing.
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🔎 III. BTC ↔ ETH relative relationship (simplified)
• ETH/BTC is still in a fluctuating structure, overall there is no strong one-sided trend.
Simply put:
?
? BTC controls the overall situation, ETH just follows the fluctuations.
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🔔 IV. Retail reminder (a phrase for today)
Today the market feels like a "rubber band waiting for direction to emerge",
Can't go up, can't break down, good opportunities after confirmation.#美联储降息 $