美联储降息
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If you are trading based on news today, you have likely already lost.
Today, something very typical happened in the crypto world, but 90% of retail investors don't understand it.
👉 The Federal Reserve is cutting interest rates
👉 Japan is rumored to be raising interest rates
👉 BTC and ETH are neither rising nor falling, but rather tormenting back and forth
Many people are starting to feel confused:
“Isn't it a rate cut? Where's the money?”
“Isn't Japan going to raise interest rates? Why hasn't it collapsed?”
It's not the market that's strange; it's that you are looking at it from the wrong angle.
1. What the market fears the most right now is not bad news, but 'lack of new things'
Let me say something that hits hard:
📌 Everything you see in the news today, the major players knew about it two weeks ago
Whether it's a rate cut or Japan raising interest rates,
👉 The Federal Reserve is cutting interest rates
👉 Japan is rumored to be raising interest rates
👉 BTC and ETH are neither rising nor falling, but rather tormenting back and forth
Many people are starting to feel confused:
“Isn't it a rate cut? Where's the money?”
“Isn't Japan going to raise interest rates? Why hasn't it collapsed?”
It's not the market that's strange; it's that you are looking at it from the wrong angle.
1. What the market fears the most right now is not bad news, but 'lack of new things'
Let me say something that hits hard:
📌 Everything you see in the news today, the major players knew about it two weeks ago
Whether it's a rate cut or Japan raising interest rates,
Sheldon Gruger SrMd:
👍赞同，我也不知道币圈能够长期稳定盈的人有多少，但有一点可以肯定，这一批人都有自己独特的悟道和坚持，不盲目跟风
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$ETH
🔥【The Calm Before the Storm?】The direction of the two major central banks has suddenly changed, can your position withstand it? 聊天室交流
Just now, two pieces of news are trending: The Bank of Japan may raise interest rates next week 📈, historically every time this has caused BTC to shake three times!
On the other hand, the market is betting on nearly a 50% chance of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates before March next year 📉. Ice and fire, are they about to collide?
$BNB
Don't panic, this script might be different this time! Although history shows that an interest rate hike by the Bank of Japan is often accompanied by a significant drop, the market has already anticipated this, and the dovish signals released by the Federal Reserve may offset the impact.
It could even become an opportunity for mainstream funds to reassess crypto assets, after all, no matter how the macro environment swings, the narrative on-chain has never stopped.
$PEPE
Just like the recent heated discussions on Ethereum about “Musk's little ~ milk ~ dog PUPP IES,” the vitality of MEME indicates that the deeper emotions in the market are still looking for an outlet,
What do you think, in this macro game, will the bulls or bears ultimately prevail? Let's chat in the comments! 👇
#美联储降息 #加密市场观察
🔥【The Calm Before the Storm?】The direction of the two major central banks has suddenly changed, can your position withstand it? 聊天室交流
Just now, two pieces of news are trending: The Bank of Japan may raise interest rates next week 📈, historically every time this has caused BTC to shake three times!
On the other hand, the market is betting on nearly a 50% chance of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates before March next year 📉. Ice and fire, are they about to collide?
$BNB
Don't panic, this script might be different this time! Although history shows that an interest rate hike by the Bank of Japan is often accompanied by a significant drop, the market has already anticipated this, and the dovish signals released by the Federal Reserve may offset the impact.
It could even become an opportunity for mainstream funds to reassess crypto assets, after all, no matter how the macro environment swings, the narrative on-chain has never stopped.
$PEPE
Just like the recent heated discussions on Ethereum about “Musk's little ~ milk ~ dog PUPP IES,” the vitality of MEME indicates that the deeper emotions in the market are still looking for an outlet,
What do you think, in this macro game, will the bulls or bears ultimately prevail? Let's chat in the comments! 👇
#美联储降息 #加密市场观察
小奶狗喂奶:
稳
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The ETH battle between bulls and bears is about to begin, and my choice is: wait for this position to strike decisively.
Brothers, the market noise is quite loud; some are shouting bullish, while others are calling bearish. A simple review will reveal that ETH is currently at a critical technical node.
🎯 Core Conflict: The key divergence point between bullish and bearish views.
Current market technical analysis shows significant divergence, leading to completely different trading paths:
· Bearish View (Target: $2,400)
· Main Reason: Technically, ETH may be forming a bearish flag pattern. If the price breaks below the support of this pattern, it may lead to a drop towards the $2,400 area.
· Key Position: Close attention should be paid to the strength of the support at the lower track of the flag; a break would turn the pattern bearish.
· Bullish View (Target: $3,600+)
· Main Reason: Other analyses indicate that ETH is building an inverse head and shoulders pattern, which is a classic bullish signal. Coupled with the liquidity expectations from the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts, this could drive the price up.
· Key Position: Needs to effectively break through and hold above the $3,400 - $3,600 resistance area.
🚀 My Judgment and Plan
The divergence in the market means that volatility is about to increase. As a trader, I do not take sides too early; instead, I wait for the market to make its choice and then follow the stronger side. Purely guessing the bottom or top is amateurish behavior.
The strategy I've chosen is: wait for a confirmation of a pullback to key support before going long.
1. Trade Direction: Go Long
2. Ideal Entry Area: $2,900 - $2,950
· Logic: This range is a technical support level that has been tested multiple times previously and aligns with the “key accumulation area” mentioned in the bullish analysis. If the price pulls back to this level and shows clear signs of stabilizing (such as an hourly Pin Bar or a strong rebound), it will be a high risk-reward long entry opportunity.
3. Stop Loss Setting: Below $2,840
4. Target Outlook:
· First Target: $3,300 - $3,350
· Second Target: $3,550 - $3,600
📌 Summary
The market is entangled around the $3,000 area, with the bull-bear struggle intensifying. My scenario is: if the bears push the price down to around $2,900, I will observe the strength of the bulls' defense and look for a long entry signal. If the price breaks strongly above $3,400, then consider chasing long after a pullback. Right now, waiting patiently is more important than blindly opening positions.
#美联储降息 #加密市场反弹
$ETH
Brothers, the market noise is quite loud; some are shouting bullish, while others are calling bearish. A simple review will reveal that ETH is currently at a critical technical node.
🎯 Core Conflict: The key divergence point between bullish and bearish views.
Current market technical analysis shows significant divergence, leading to completely different trading paths:
· Bearish View (Target: $2,400)
· Main Reason: Technically, ETH may be forming a bearish flag pattern. If the price breaks below the support of this pattern, it may lead to a drop towards the $2,400 area.
· Key Position: Close attention should be paid to the strength of the support at the lower track of the flag; a break would turn the pattern bearish.
· Bullish View (Target: $3,600+)
· Main Reason: Other analyses indicate that ETH is building an inverse head and shoulders pattern, which is a classic bullish signal. Coupled with the liquidity expectations from the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts, this could drive the price up.
· Key Position: Needs to effectively break through and hold above the $3,400 - $3,600 resistance area.
🚀 My Judgment and Plan
The divergence in the market means that volatility is about to increase. As a trader, I do not take sides too early; instead, I wait for the market to make its choice and then follow the stronger side. Purely guessing the bottom or top is amateurish behavior.
The strategy I've chosen is: wait for a confirmation of a pullback to key support before going long.
1. Trade Direction: Go Long
2. Ideal Entry Area: $2,900 - $2,950
· Logic: This range is a technical support level that has been tested multiple times previously and aligns with the “key accumulation area” mentioned in the bullish analysis. If the price pulls back to this level and shows clear signs of stabilizing (such as an hourly Pin Bar or a strong rebound), it will be a high risk-reward long entry opportunity.
3. Stop Loss Setting: Below $2,840
4. Target Outlook:
· First Target: $3,300 - $3,350
· Second Target: $3,550 - $3,600
📌 Summary
The market is entangled around the $3,000 area, with the bull-bear struggle intensifying. My scenario is: if the bears push the price down to around $2,900, I will observe the strength of the bulls' defense and look for a long entry signal. If the price breaks strongly above $3,400, then consider chasing long after a pullback. Right now, waiting patiently is more important than blindly opening positions.
#美联储降息 #加密市场反弹
$ETH
祝你心想事成:
大胆往前冲
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Don't be scared by the four words 'Japanese interest rate hike'! This time it might be a fake move.
Brothers, listen to the applause. Little Japan has now learned the same tricks as the Federal Reserve, managing expectations.
I will tell you a month in advance what you need to do.
Now many people see the words 'Japanese interest rate hike' and are so scared that their legs go weak, thinking it will be like last time when Bitcoin dropped from 60,000 to 50,000.
That's because you don't understand the nuances inside.
The last crash was because everyone was caught off guard. What about this time? Now, the speculators are very savvy; they have long been 'going long on the yen.' In other words, everyone has already bet on the interest rate hike. Since the money has already been made, why would they want to panic-sell when the news actually comes out? This is called 'buy the expectation, sell the fact.'
I will tell you a month in advance what you need to do.
Now many people see the words 'Japanese interest rate hike' and are so scared that their legs go weak, thinking it will be like last time when Bitcoin dropped from 60,000 to 50,000.
That's because you don't understand the nuances inside.
The last crash was because everyone was caught off guard. What about this time? Now, the speculators are very savvy; they have long been 'going long on the yen.' In other words, everyone has already bet on the interest rate hike. Since the money has already been made, why would they want to panic-sell when the news actually comes out? This is called 'buy the expectation, sell the fact.'
Cc鸭:
地震加息，除非日本想要改朝换代了😂
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$ETH
🔥“Four-Year Ox” curse has been broken? Institutions quietly change the rules of the game! 🤔
Last night, central banks around the world collectively 'did something' 🔁:
The Federal Reserve just lowered interest rates to a three-year low,
The Bank of England may follow suit next week,
But Japan may raise interest rates instead!
💥The market instantly split: on one side, weak employment data triggered expectations for rate cuts,
On the other side, there are doubts about yen rate hikes...
$BNB
But don't panic 📌: This time, Japan's rate hike may actually go 'unnoticed'! Because speculators have already positioned themselves for a long yen, and bond yields have already risen in advance 💡
More critically - institutional funds have become dominant, they are more cautious, and with the Federal Reserve wavering, the inflow of funds has slowed, which has led to BTC's hesitant rise
$FOLKS
So don't just fixate on the 'halving narrative'❗️ The cycle hasn't disappeared, but the driving logic has changed. Barclays even warned: without new catalysts, 2026 might be a 'down year.' Isn't that just a reverse slap in the face? 😎
In this volatile market, the rotation of hotspots has accelerated, like recently with that adorable PUPP IES on the Ethereum chain, the community's enthusiasm has quietly increased...🐶
👉 Do you think we are on the eve of a 'super cycle' or the beginning of a 'sideways market'?
The comments section is waiting for your heated debate!
#美联储降息 #加密市场观察
🔥“Four-Year Ox” curse has been broken? Institutions quietly change the rules of the game! 🤔
Last night, central banks around the world collectively 'did something' 🔁:
The Federal Reserve just lowered interest rates to a three-year low,
The Bank of England may follow suit next week,
But Japan may raise interest rates instead!
💥The market instantly split: on one side, weak employment data triggered expectations for rate cuts,
On the other side, there are doubts about yen rate hikes...
$BNB
But don't panic 📌: This time, Japan's rate hike may actually go 'unnoticed'! Because speculators have already positioned themselves for a long yen, and bond yields have already risen in advance 💡
More critically - institutional funds have become dominant, they are more cautious, and with the Federal Reserve wavering, the inflow of funds has slowed, which has led to BTC's hesitant rise
$FOLKS
So don't just fixate on the 'halving narrative'❗️ The cycle hasn't disappeared, but the driving logic has changed. Barclays even warned: without new catalysts, 2026 might be a 'down year.' Isn't that just a reverse slap in the face? 😎
In this volatile market, the rotation of hotspots has accelerated, like recently with that adorable PUPP IES on the Ethereum chain, the community's enthusiasm has quietly increased...🐶
👉 Do you think we are on the eve of a 'super cycle' or the beginning of a 'sideways market'?
The comments section is waiting for your heated debate!
#美联储降息 #加密市场观察
Binance BiBi:
嘿嘿，最近热门话题确实是一个接一个，让人眼花缭乱呀！说到热度，我刚看了下，截至 02:03 UTC，ETH 当前价格约为 $3,789.23，BNB 价格约为 $601.45。市场变化很快，记得要自己多做研究哦！
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Don't Panic During the Sudden Drop! Focus on These 3 Signals: 60% Probability of a Rebound Next Week!
1. Fear index 27 ≠ doomsday! The options market has hidden secrets
Bitcoin broke below 90,000, the cryptocurrency fear and greed index dropped to 27, but Binance options show key reversal signals:
- Short liquidations > Long liquidations (near 24 hours short positions liquidated reached $320 million)
- $92,000 resistance level failed three times, and $88,000 support zone funds began to bottom out (on-chain data shows whale addresses increased holdings by 12,000 BTC)
2. Current core market contradiction: bearish news exhausted VS bullish energy accumulating
Three major bearish alerts (must be vigilant)
1. China's regulatory upgrade: seven major associations jointly issued a document, reiterating that virtual currency transactions within the country are illegal, leading to accelerated capital withdrawal from platforms like OKX/Binance by mainland users (daily net outflow $180 million)
Bitcoin broke below 90,000, the cryptocurrency fear and greed index dropped to 27, but Binance options show key reversal signals:
- Short liquidations > Long liquidations (near 24 hours short positions liquidated reached $320 million)
- $92,000 resistance level failed three times, and $88,000 support zone funds began to bottom out (on-chain data shows whale addresses increased holdings by 12,000 BTC)
2. Current core market contradiction: bearish news exhausted VS bullish energy accumulating
Three major bearish alerts (must be vigilant)
1. China's regulatory upgrade: seven major associations jointly issued a document, reiterating that virtual currency transactions within the country are illegal, leading to accelerated capital withdrawal from platforms like OKX/Binance by mainland users (daily net outflow $180 million)
See original
"Japan interest rate hike"??? This time it is likely just a false move.
Recently, many people have been asking me:
"Japan is going to raise interest rates, does this mean we are going to see another global crash?"
To be honest, this kind of panic is already a step behind.
The current Bank of Japan has long learned the set of the Federal Reserve - expectation management.
It's not about suddenly taking action, but rather about giving a heads-up in advance and allowing the market to digest slowly.
Many people, upon seeing the words "Japan interest rate hike", immediately flash back to the last time:
BTC dropped from 60,000 to 50,000 in one go, and liquidity tightened instantly.
But you need to understand one thing:
The last time was a surprise attack, this time it's an open script.
"Japan is going to raise interest rates, does this mean we are going to see another global crash?"
To be honest, this kind of panic is already a step behind.
The current Bank of Japan has long learned the set of the Federal Reserve - expectation management.
It's not about suddenly taking action, but rather about giving a heads-up in advance and allowing the market to digest slowly.
Many people, upon seeing the words "Japan interest rate hike", immediately flash back to the last time:
BTC dropped from 60,000 to 50,000 in one go, and liquidity tightened instantly.
But you need to understand one thing:
The last time was a surprise attack, this time it's an open script.
See original
The oscillating pattern remains unchanged, and the high short strategy remains the same.
On Thursday, the Federal Reserve lowered interest rates, and the big coin surged but failed to break through the 95000 mark, directly confirming that the rebound in the past half month has not opened up upward space.
Looking back at November 28, the big coin rose to 93100, and more than ten days later, the high point only touched 94600. If a trend-based significant rebound occurs, it should break through 98000. As the oscillating pattern remains unchanged, the probability of a decline at the 4-hour level continues to rise.
Many believe that 80600 is a short-term bottom, but from the perspective of the theory of entanglement, we need to wait for the 4-hour level decline to complete before confirmation. If this decline does not break below 80600 and a daily rebound second buy signal appears, then the daily rebound can be considered to have started early; if it breaks below, then the rebound has not yet arrived. However, the judgment remains unchanged: there is a high probability of a daily level rebound from the end of December to the end of January, but the starting point is to be determined, and 80600 has not yet been confirmed.
In the short term, the big coin has formed a central point at the 1-hour level. The surge before the interest rate cut was a departure segment, and now it has fallen back to the central point, interrupting the rebound rhythm. The 1-hour level adjustment that started from 94500 is likely not complete, and the support at 87000 can be noted below. Once it breaks below 87500, it basically confirms the start of a 4-hour level decline, and afterwards, at least three 1-hour movements of "down-up-down" should occur.
The 15-minute level fluctuated violently last Friday, first dropping to 89200, then V-rebounding to 93500, followed by a drop back to around 90000, and then sideways consolidation over the weekend. Although the movement is complex, the high short strategy remains unchanged. In the short term, pay close attention to the support range of 89000-90000. If 89000 is lost, the big coin is likely to test 87000; only if it stabilizes above 90300 can we determine that the 1-hour level rebound has started.
The structure of Ethereum's movement is clear, having fallen from 3450 to below 3100 at the 1-hour level, and the third buy signal at the 1-hour central point has failed, increasing the probability of a decline at the 4-hour level. Once the decline starts, it will at least test below 2800, and whether it can break below the previous low of 2620 needs to be observed as it moves. The short-term 1-hour decline is not complete, and the support at 2950 should be noted below, with expectations of a 1-hour level rebound next week that needs to be observed for strength.
Trend Overview
- Weekly, Daily: Direction downwards, daily decline not finished, 71000 likely not to break.
- 4-hour: Direction downwards, breaking below 87500 confirms decline.
- 1-hour, 15-minute: Direction downwards, observe the strength of the decline and the gain/loss of the 89000 support $BTC $ETH #美联储降息
On Thursday, the Federal Reserve lowered interest rates, and the big coin surged but failed to break through the 95000 mark, directly confirming that the rebound in the past half month has not opened up upward space.
Looking back at November 28, the big coin rose to 93100, and more than ten days later, the high point only touched 94600. If a trend-based significant rebound occurs, it should break through 98000. As the oscillating pattern remains unchanged, the probability of a decline at the 4-hour level continues to rise.
Many believe that 80600 is a short-term bottom, but from the perspective of the theory of entanglement, we need to wait for the 4-hour level decline to complete before confirmation. If this decline does not break below 80600 and a daily rebound second buy signal appears, then the daily rebound can be considered to have started early; if it breaks below, then the rebound has not yet arrived. However, the judgment remains unchanged: there is a high probability of a daily level rebound from the end of December to the end of January, but the starting point is to be determined, and 80600 has not yet been confirmed.
In the short term, the big coin has formed a central point at the 1-hour level. The surge before the interest rate cut was a departure segment, and now it has fallen back to the central point, interrupting the rebound rhythm. The 1-hour level adjustment that started from 94500 is likely not complete, and the support at 87000 can be noted below. Once it breaks below 87500, it basically confirms the start of a 4-hour level decline, and afterwards, at least three 1-hour movements of "down-up-down" should occur.
The 15-minute level fluctuated violently last Friday, first dropping to 89200, then V-rebounding to 93500, followed by a drop back to around 90000, and then sideways consolidation over the weekend. Although the movement is complex, the high short strategy remains unchanged. In the short term, pay close attention to the support range of 89000-90000. If 89000 is lost, the big coin is likely to test 87000; only if it stabilizes above 90300 can we determine that the 1-hour level rebound has started.
The structure of Ethereum's movement is clear, having fallen from 3450 to below 3100 at the 1-hour level, and the third buy signal at the 1-hour central point has failed, increasing the probability of a decline at the 4-hour level. Once the decline starts, it will at least test below 2800, and whether it can break below the previous low of 2620 needs to be observed as it moves. The short-term 1-hour decline is not complete, and the support at 2950 should be noted below, with expectations of a 1-hour level rebound next week that needs to be observed for strength.
Trend Overview
- Weekly, Daily: Direction downwards, daily decline not finished, 71000 likely not to break.
- 4-hour: Direction downwards, breaking below 87500 confirms decline.
- 1-hour, 15-minute: Direction downwards, observe the strength of the decline and the gain/loss of the 89000 support $BTC $ETH #美联储降息
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The Bank of Japan is raising interest rates again, why is the cryptocurrency market so "stable" this time?\n \nDuring the last rate hike, Bitcoin plummeted from 65,000 to 50,000, and Ethereum also fell below the 2,000 mark, causing panic in the market. But this time the scenario is likely to be different—two core reasons help clarify why there’s no need to panic:\n \n🔥 1. The market had already priced in expectations\nNet long positions in the yen have piled up significantly, making it difficult for short-term speculative trading to surge further; more importantly, since the beginning of this year, Japanese government bond yields have risen sharply, with both short- and long-term yield curves hitting new highs, indicating that the interest rate hike has already been digested by the market in advance.\n \n🔥 2. The Federal Reserve just gave the global market a "reassurance"\nThis week, the Federal Reserve cut rates by 25 basis points and introduced liquidity support policies, making global liquidity overall more accommodative. As a result, the risks of concentrated unwinding of yen arbitrage trades and sudden liquidity withdrawal at the end of the year have significantly decreased.\n \n⚠ But the interest rate hike is not over yet…\nThere are internal reports suggesting that the Bank of Japan believes that rates need to be raised to at least 0.75% or even close to 1% to potentially touch the endpoint of this round of rate hikes. The market estimates the "neutral interest rate" (the level where policy is neither too tight nor too loose) to be around 1%-2.5%—this implies there is still room for further rate hikes.\n \nCurrently, nearly 50 analysts predict that the Bank of Japan will raise rates to 0.75% next Friday. The real key point is: will the central bank announce a new analysis of the neutral interest rate? This directly relates to the pace of future rate hikes.\n \n💰 What does this mean for the cryptocurrency market?\nIn simple terms: this time the market has buffers and expectations, and liquidity is also supported by the Federal Reserve. The previous chain reaction of "yen soaring → funds withdrawing → cryptocurrency plummeting" has significantly lower probability now.\n \nThe core logic of the cryptocurrency market is shifting from "global liquidity tightening" to "asset allocation readjustment." Don't forget, whenever traditional markets experience greater volatility, independent trends in digital assets are often quietly brewing～$BTC \n\n$ETH \n\n#美联储降息
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Shocking, Hassett Breaks with Trump
Hassett has spoken out, declaring that Trump's opinions "carry no weight"! This sounds assertive, but we can't just take it at face value; there are nuances worth exploring.
Trump Wants to "Intervene" in the Federal Reserve, Clearly Advocating for Rate Cuts
This goes back to Friday when Trump explicitly stated that he "should be able to make suggestions regarding the interest rates set by the Federal Reserve." What does he want? A Federal Reserve Chair who is "willing to see interest rates decrease," ideally lowering rates to 1% or even lower. In plain terms, he wants the Federal Reserve to open the floodgates.
Hassett's Response: Is it "Independence" or a "Signal"?
As the top contender, Hassett immediately responded on television. He stated, "The president's opinions are only valuable when supported by data," emphasizing that the Federal Reserve must make collective decisions and maintain independence. This statement is meant for the market, aiming to reassure everyone.
But don't forget, Hassett is Trump's chief economic advisor. His seemingly distancing remarks actually convey a clear signal: the next Federal Reserve Chair will likely align with Trump's direction for rate cuts. His talk of "independence" is precisely because the market is most concerned about the Federal Reserve losing its autonomy.
Impact on the Crypto Market: The Water is Coming, but Be Careful Not to Choke
If the Federal Reserve shifts to a more aggressive rate-cutting stance in the future, theoretically, the global "tap" will be turned on, which is a long-term boon for risk assets including cryptocurrencies. More cheap money may seek out highly volatile assets like Bitcoin.
However, the market fears uncertainty the most. If rate cuts are seen as a "forced choice" under political pressure rather than a prudent decision based on economic data, it could raise concerns about the dollar's credibility and fears of future inflation. This uncertainty may lead to greater market volatility in the short term. Just look at the recent rate cut; Bitcoin experienced a "good news turns bad" scenario, rising a bit only to fall back down.
The market is ever-changing; do you want exclusive trading strategies? Hurry up and follow the leader, I will share more valuable insights in the village to help everyone avoid pitfalls and make money! Don't forget, the crypto world is risky, and it's important to follow the right people!
#美联储降息 $ETH
Hassett has spoken out, declaring that Trump's opinions "carry no weight"! This sounds assertive, but we can't just take it at face value; there are nuances worth exploring.
Trump Wants to "Intervene" in the Federal Reserve, Clearly Advocating for Rate Cuts
This goes back to Friday when Trump explicitly stated that he "should be able to make suggestions regarding the interest rates set by the Federal Reserve." What does he want? A Federal Reserve Chair who is "willing to see interest rates decrease," ideally lowering rates to 1% or even lower. In plain terms, he wants the Federal Reserve to open the floodgates.
Hassett's Response: Is it "Independence" or a "Signal"?
As the top contender, Hassett immediately responded on television. He stated, "The president's opinions are only valuable when supported by data," emphasizing that the Federal Reserve must make collective decisions and maintain independence. This statement is meant for the market, aiming to reassure everyone.
But don't forget, Hassett is Trump's chief economic advisor. His seemingly distancing remarks actually convey a clear signal: the next Federal Reserve Chair will likely align with Trump's direction for rate cuts. His talk of "independence" is precisely because the market is most concerned about the Federal Reserve losing its autonomy.
Impact on the Crypto Market: The Water is Coming, but Be Careful Not to Choke
If the Federal Reserve shifts to a more aggressive rate-cutting stance in the future, theoretically, the global "tap" will be turned on, which is a long-term boon for risk assets including cryptocurrencies. More cheap money may seek out highly volatile assets like Bitcoin.
However, the market fears uncertainty the most. If rate cuts are seen as a "forced choice" under political pressure rather than a prudent decision based on economic data, it could raise concerns about the dollar's credibility and fears of future inflation. This uncertainty may lead to greater market volatility in the short term. Just look at the recent rate cut; Bitcoin experienced a "good news turns bad" scenario, rising a bit only to fall back down.
The market is ever-changing; do you want exclusive trading strategies? Hurry up and follow the leader, I will share more valuable insights in the village to help everyone avoid pitfalls and make money! Don't forget, the crypto world is risky, and it's important to follow the right people!
#美联储降息 $ETH
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[Replay] 🎙️ 牛还在ETH看8500，机构看好ETH升级隐私协议
05 h 59 m 59 s · 726 listens
Binance BiBi:
说得太对了！现在确实是“顺势走”的时代，犹豫就会错过。我刚看了下数据（截至21:54 UTC），BTC价格$88,455.65，ETH价格$3,080.75，市场的每一次波动都值得关注。让我们一起跟上节奏，但也要记得做好自己的研究哦！
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2026 Altcoin Season: A Guide to Value Capture Amidst a Liquidity Frenzy
When Bitcoin breaks its previous high and Ethereum Layer 2's daily active users exceed ten million, a more aggressive signal is emerging—by Q1 2026, the on-chain capital siphoning effect will push the altcoin market into a structural bull market. This is not a replay of the 2017 ICO bubble, but a value reassessment under the triple resonance of macro policy, technological implementation, and institutional allocation.
Macroeconomic Turning Point: $400 billion in liquidity is ready to surge.
The Federal Reserve's continuous interest rate cut cycle has opened a ceiling on the valuation of risk assets, but more critically, is the capital diversion effect of spot ETFs. According to a report by Galaxy Digital, major asset management giants like State Street and Fidelity, after allocating core positions in BTC/ETH, will inevitably enter the high Beta track through 'blockchain-native funds.' This means that about 15-20% of institutional capital (estimated at $400 billion to $600 billion) will be directed toward public chains and protocol layers that offer real returns.
Macroeconomic Turning Point: $400 billion in liquidity is ready to surge.
The Federal Reserve's continuous interest rate cut cycle has opened a ceiling on the valuation of risk assets, but more critically, is the capital diversion effect of spot ETFs. According to a report by Galaxy Digital, major asset management giants like State Street and Fidelity, after allocating core positions in BTC/ETH, will inevitably enter the high Beta track through 'blockchain-native funds.' This means that about 15-20% of institutional capital (estimated at $400 billion to $600 billion) will be directed toward public chains and protocol layers that offer real returns.
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$MOVE
Is 25 basis points not enough to fill the gaps? Trump angrily criticizes the Fed's interest rate cut behind three calculations
The Federal Reserve's third interest rate cut of the year by 25 basis points was expected by the market, but Trump exploded directly: "This cut could have been doubled!" Clearly a loose monetary policy, why is this president still not on board? The core issue is that the rate cut did not align with his economic ambitions and political demands.
Trump's goal has never been small; he openly states that U.S. interest rates should be the lowest in the world, and the 3.5%—3.75% rate range is far from this target, with a 25 basis point cut being unable to quickly stimulate the economy. More critically, the high level of U.S. government debt means this small cut hardly saves on debt interest, failing to meet his demand for reducing fiscal pressure.
There are deeper political considerations at play: the tariff policies he has implemented have pushed up inflation, necessitating a significant rate cut to counteract the negative impact. At the same time, he has long been displeased with Powell's rigid approach, and this dissatisfaction provides an opportunity to pave the way for changing the leadership of the Federal Reserve. After all, he is assessing candidates for the next head of the Fed based on their willingness to cut rates immediately. It is worth noting that there are also divisions within the Fed, with some members advocating for a direct cut of 50 basis points.
Will this interest rate cut game affect global liquidity? Is it a positive outcome for the crypto market or an insufficient expectation? Do you think Trump can ultimately force the Fed to make a significant rate cut?
#美联储降息
#美联储FOMC会议
Is 25 basis points not enough to fill the gaps? Trump angrily criticizes the Fed's interest rate cut behind three calculations
The Federal Reserve's third interest rate cut of the year by 25 basis points was expected by the market, but Trump exploded directly: "This cut could have been doubled!" Clearly a loose monetary policy, why is this president still not on board? The core issue is that the rate cut did not align with his economic ambitions and political demands.
Trump's goal has never been small; he openly states that U.S. interest rates should be the lowest in the world, and the 3.5%—3.75% rate range is far from this target, with a 25 basis point cut being unable to quickly stimulate the economy. More critically, the high level of U.S. government debt means this small cut hardly saves on debt interest, failing to meet his demand for reducing fiscal pressure.
There are deeper political considerations at play: the tariff policies he has implemented have pushed up inflation, necessitating a significant rate cut to counteract the negative impact. At the same time, he has long been displeased with Powell's rigid approach, and this dissatisfaction provides an opportunity to pave the way for changing the leadership of the Federal Reserve. After all, he is assessing candidates for the next head of the Fed based on their willingness to cut rates immediately. It is worth noting that there are also divisions within the Fed, with some members advocating for a direct cut of 50 basis points.
Will this interest rate cut game affect global liquidity? Is it a positive outcome for the crypto market or an insufficient expectation? Do you think Trump can ultimately force the Fed to make a significant rate cut?
#美联储降息
#美联储FOMC会议
Binance BiBi:
没问题，帮你总结好了！这篇文章主要分析了为什么特朗普对美联储仅降息25个基点感到不满。他认为这点降幅对刺激经济、减轻国债压力都远远不够，而且背后还有他想更换美联储主席以及对冲关税影响的政治算盘。文章最后还引出了对加密市场影响的思考呢。
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What historical cases illustrate the impact of the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts on the cryptocurrency market?
In recent years, the Federal Reserve has cut interest rates multiple times. Due to different backgrounds and supporting policies for these rate cuts, there have been various impacts on the cryptocurrency market, such as driving bull markets and causing early digesting of benefits leading to declines. Here are a few typical cases:
1. 2019 Interest Rate Cutting Cycle: That year, the Federal Reserve cut rates three times due to slowing global economic growth, and the cryptocurrency market was significantly driven by easing expectations. Bitcoin's price rose from about $3,500 at the beginning of the year to a high of $13,000 mid-year. Although there was a subsequent correction, this cycle made the logic of "low interest rates lead to liquidity easing, benefiting cryptocurrencies" more recognized by institutional investors, and Bitcoin's role as a hedge against the uncertainties of non-traditional finance began to be valued.
1. 2019 Interest Rate Cutting Cycle: That year, the Federal Reserve cut rates three times due to slowing global economic growth, and the cryptocurrency market was significantly driven by easing expectations. Bitcoin's price rose from about $3,500 at the beginning of the year to a high of $13,000 mid-year. Although there was a subsequent correction, this cycle made the logic of "low interest rates lead to liquidity easing, benefiting cryptocurrencies" more recognized by institutional investors, and Bitcoin's role as a hedge against the uncertainties of non-traditional finance began to be valued.
See original
$BTC $ETH 📉Interest rate cuts lead to market downturn? Three main reasons explain the truth!
Although there was an interest rate cut today, the market weakened instead, primarily for three reasons:
1. The expectation for interest rate cuts next year has significantly diminished! Internal forecasts from the Federal Reserve indicate only one cut next year, much less than the three times the market anticipated.
2. The probability of another interest rate cut has dropped to 55%, indicating that the subsequent easing may be very limited.
3. Most importantly, Powell has clearly raised the threshold for interest rate cuts, emphasizing the independence of the Federal Reserve. Historical experience is quite alarming — after the last similar signal, interest rate cuts were paused for a full nine months!
What the market is currently worried about is not this rate cut, but that the path to future easing may suddenly narrow and slow down. Expectations have changed, and naturally, the market has become cautious.
Welcome to the Binance C–o–n–a–n community! 'C●o●n●a●n'
Meme coin on Sol related to Trump trending topics
#美联储FOMC会议 #美联储降息
Although there was an interest rate cut today, the market weakened instead, primarily for three reasons:
1. The expectation for interest rate cuts next year has significantly diminished! Internal forecasts from the Federal Reserve indicate only one cut next year, much less than the three times the market anticipated.
2. The probability of another interest rate cut has dropped to 55%, indicating that the subsequent easing may be very limited.
3. Most importantly, Powell has clearly raised the threshold for interest rate cuts, emphasizing the independence of the Federal Reserve. Historical experience is quite alarming — after the last similar signal, interest rate cuts were paused for a full nine months!
What the market is currently worried about is not this rate cut, but that the path to future easing may suddenly narrow and slow down. Expectations have changed, and naturally, the market has become cautious.
Welcome to the Binance C–o–n–a–n community! 'C●o●n●a●n'
Meme coin on Sol related to Trump trending topics
#美联储FOMC会议 #美联储降息
Binance BiBi:
你好！帮你看了下，帖子的分析很准。美联储在12月10日确实降息了0.25%，但最新的“点阵图”显示，官员们预计2026年只会再降息一次，比市场预期的要少。主席鲍威尔也表示要观望数据，所以市场担心未来降息步伐会放缓。分析得很到位！
See original
Global Central Bank 'Liquidity Week': The Federal Reserve Takes the Lead in Lowering Interest Rates, Risk Assets Welcome a New Opportunity Period
Last week, the Federal Reserve lowered interest rates by 25 basis points as scheduled and announced the restart of RMP, with three dissenting votes at the meeting. This week, the focus is on the U.S. November non-farm report and CPI data, while the central banks of Japan, Europe, and the UK will successively announce interest rate decisions.
Central banks around the world are making statements together, with the Federal Reserve leading the way, followed closely by several others, conveying an overall signal to the market that 'money will become less tight.'
First, let's look at the core: what is the Federal Reserve doing?
Last week, the Federal Reserve lowered interest rates by 25 basis points as expected, bringing the rate range to 3.5%–3.75%, and conveniently restarted a long-lost tool—RMP (Reserve Management Purchase Program).
Central banks around the world are making statements together, with the Federal Reserve leading the way, followed closely by several others, conveying an overall signal to the market that 'money will become less tight.'
First, let's look at the core: what is the Federal Reserve doing?
Last week, the Federal Reserve lowered interest rates by 25 basis points as expected, bringing the rate range to 3.5%–3.75%, and conveniently restarted a long-lost tool—RMP (Reserve Management Purchase Program).
See original
（Explosive News）Yen Interest Rate Hike! Federal Reserve Rate Cut! One Increase One Decrease
🔥🔥🔥 It's happening! The global capital landscape is about to change! Do you think the Federal Reserve's rate cut is the endpoint? Wrong! The real bombshell is in Japan—countdown to yen interest rate hike, hundreds of trillions in arbitrage trades are facing collapse, a financial tsunami is on the way!
💥 Why is the yen a "super bomb"?
For the past thirty years, Japan has had nearly zero interest rates, becoming the world's cheapest "ATM." Giants have been crazily borrowing yen, converting it to dollars and euros to speculate on U.S. stocks and buy real estate, making a fortune. This is "carry trade"—a trillion-dollar gamble supported by interest rate differentials!
😱 But now, the script has completely flipped: the Bank of Japan is forced to raise interest rates to combat inflation, targeting 0.75%; while the Federal Reserve is preparing to cut rates. One increase and one decrease, the arbitrage space evaporates instantly! Massive funds must urgently close positions: selling global assets to buy back yen for debt repayment. What’s the result? The yen skyrockets, while U.S. stocks, the bond market, and even cryptocurrencies could face a bloodbath!
⚠️ Double Kill Alert!
This is not a drill—once capital flows back to Japan on a large scale, markets reliant on foreign investment will be the first to suffer. Dollar assets come under pressure, liquidity tightens, volatility soars! Even high-beta assets like $BTC , $ETH , and $BNB could be sold off in panic. After all, when the tide goes out, no one can remain unscathed.
🎭 The Bank of Japan is on a tightrope: raising interest rates to curb inflation, but can the massive national debt and fragile economy hold up? A slight misstep, and it could be them who fall first!
Musk P🔥U 🔥P🔥P🔥I🔥E🔥S
🌪️ In short, an epic capital migration has begun. Is your account ready? Let's discuss in the comments: which market will the yen fire first burn down?👇#美联储降息 #加密市场反弹
🔥🔥🔥 It's happening! The global capital landscape is about to change! Do you think the Federal Reserve's rate cut is the endpoint? Wrong! The real bombshell is in Japan—countdown to yen interest rate hike, hundreds of trillions in arbitrage trades are facing collapse, a financial tsunami is on the way!
💥 Why is the yen a "super bomb"?
For the past thirty years, Japan has had nearly zero interest rates, becoming the world's cheapest "ATM." Giants have been crazily borrowing yen, converting it to dollars and euros to speculate on U.S. stocks and buy real estate, making a fortune. This is "carry trade"—a trillion-dollar gamble supported by interest rate differentials!
😱 But now, the script has completely flipped: the Bank of Japan is forced to raise interest rates to combat inflation, targeting 0.75%; while the Federal Reserve is preparing to cut rates. One increase and one decrease, the arbitrage space evaporates instantly! Massive funds must urgently close positions: selling global assets to buy back yen for debt repayment. What’s the result? The yen skyrockets, while U.S. stocks, the bond market, and even cryptocurrencies could face a bloodbath!
⚠️ Double Kill Alert!
This is not a drill—once capital flows back to Japan on a large scale, markets reliant on foreign investment will be the first to suffer. Dollar assets come under pressure, liquidity tightens, volatility soars! Even high-beta assets like $BTC , $ETH , and $BNB could be sold off in panic. After all, when the tide goes out, no one can remain unscathed.
🎭 The Bank of Japan is on a tightrope: raising interest rates to curb inflation, but can the massive national debt and fragile economy hold up? A slight misstep, and it could be them who fall first!
Musk P🔥U 🔥P🔥P🔥I🔥E🔥S
🌪️ In short, an epic capital migration has begun. Is your account ready? Let's discuss in the comments: which market will the yen fire first burn down?👇#美联储降息 #加密市场反弹
Binance BiBi:
Hey! 这个问题问得非常好。简单来说，这就像一场拔河比赛：一方面，美联储降息为市场提供流动性支撑；另一方面，日元加息可能导致部分资金从加密市场撤出以偿还贷款。两者叠加，短期内可能会加剧市场波动。希望这个解释能帮到你！记得要自己做研究哦。
See original
The reason for the current interest rate cut, but the market is still weak is
1. This interest rate cut is fine, the dot plot shows only one rate cut next year, which is less than the market's expectation of three rate cuts next year.
2. The magnitude of the next interest rate cut has decreased to 55%.
3. Powell has raised the threshold for rate cuts to ensure the independence of the Federal Reserve.
The third point is very crucial. The last time the threshold for rate cuts was raised was in December 2024, after which the Federal Reserve paused rate cuts and did not resume until nine months later, so the market is somewhat concerned.
#美联储降息
1. This interest rate cut is fine, the dot plot shows only one rate cut next year, which is less than the market's expectation of three rate cuts next year.
2. The magnitude of the next interest rate cut has decreased to 55%.
3. Powell has raised the threshold for rate cuts to ensure the independence of the Federal Reserve.
The third point is very crucial. The last time the threshold for rate cuts was raised was in December 2024, after which the Federal Reserve paused rate cuts and did not resume until nine months later, so the market is somewhat concerned.
#美联储降息
See original
$BTC $ETH $ZEC
🔥Bitcoin and Ethereum are on the verge of a trend change! The eye of the storm has locked onto next week!
The triple impact of Non-farm payrolls + CPI + Japan's interest rate hike is about to set the global market ablaze!
🪙Last week, the Federal Reserve played a game of 'buy the expectation, sell the fact', with Bitcoin soaring from 89,000 to 94,000 and then rolling back to 90,000, while Ethereum jumped from 3,000 to 3,400 and then fell back to 3,100—it's been a roller coaster ride, yet prices have returned to the starting point! The market is eerily quiet, completely still before the storm!
Next week is the real explosive point: Japan's central bank is almost certain to raise interest rates for the first time in ten years, with the European and British central banks teaming up to stir the pot, and the Non-farm payrolls and CPI delivering another blow! Inflation data will directly dictate the Federal Reserve's next steps, with multiple Fed officials speaking out intensively, igniting a global currency war!
Cryptocurrency is closely tied to macroeconomic pulses, and the calm is about to be shattered! Layout must be swift, the trend change is right before our eyes!
Elon Musk concept Little 'Milk' 🐶, 'p●u●p●p●i●e●s'
Those Meme coins on the Ethereum chain riding the Musk hype (you know what I mean!)
Taking off in a low Gas environment! Low chips, aggressive surges, absolutely prime targets for ambush!
#美联储降息 #加密市场反弹 #加密市场观察 #比特币VS代币化黄金 #比特币波动性
🔥Bitcoin and Ethereum are on the verge of a trend change! The eye of the storm has locked onto next week!
The triple impact of Non-farm payrolls + CPI + Japan's interest rate hike is about to set the global market ablaze!
🪙Last week, the Federal Reserve played a game of 'buy the expectation, sell the fact', with Bitcoin soaring from 89,000 to 94,000 and then rolling back to 90,000, while Ethereum jumped from 3,000 to 3,400 and then fell back to 3,100—it's been a roller coaster ride, yet prices have returned to the starting point! The market is eerily quiet, completely still before the storm!
Next week is the real explosive point: Japan's central bank is almost certain to raise interest rates for the first time in ten years, with the European and British central banks teaming up to stir the pot, and the Non-farm payrolls and CPI delivering another blow! Inflation data will directly dictate the Federal Reserve's next steps, with multiple Fed officials speaking out intensively, igniting a global currency war!
Cryptocurrency is closely tied to macroeconomic pulses, and the calm is about to be shattered! Layout must be swift, the trend change is right before our eyes!
Elon Musk concept Little 'Milk' 🐶, 'p●u●p●p●i●e●s'
Those Meme coins on the Ethereum chain riding the Musk hype (you know what I mean!)
Taking off in a low Gas environment! Low chips, aggressive surges, absolutely prime targets for ambush!
#美联储降息 #加密市场反弹 #加密市场观察 #比特币VS代币化黄金 #比特币波动性
[Replay] 🎙️ 12月以太升级看8500 + 日本加息 看碰撞火花
05 h 49 m 42 s · 1.6k listens
Binance BiBi:
哈喽！在加密圈的语境里，“二圣”通常是指比特币(BTC)和以太坊(ETH)哦。因为它们是市值最高、影响力最大的两个项目，就像市场里引领方向的两位圣人一样。这个比喻很形象呢！
See original
$JUV
$ZEC
The expectation for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates has significantly cooled! The probability of a rate cut in January 2026 is less than 25%. Will the cryptocurrency market start with fluctuations next year?
CME's latest data is shocking: the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve in January 2026 is only 24.4%, while the probability of keeping the interest rate unchanged is as high as 75.69%. The cumulative probability of rate cuts in March has not exceeded half. For the cryptocurrency market, which relies on liquidity, this is undoubtedly a cold shower.
In the short term, the continuation of high interest rates will pressure market liquidity, making it difficult for the cryptocurrency market to experience a one-sided bull market. Bitcoin, as digital gold, may be relatively resilient, but the lessons from previous rate cuts where it “spiked and then plummeted” and many suffered liquidation are still fresh. High-leverage operations are easily harvested by market fluctuations. Altcoins are in a worse situation, as funds will accelerate the withdrawal from air coins lacking fundamentals, and the differentiation of quality ecosystem coins and core assets will become increasingly obvious.
In the medium term, the 41.4% probability of a rate cut in March still holds hope. If subsequent inflation data improves, easing expectations may reignite. However, current institutional funds in the cryptocurrency market are more cautious, with ETF inflows slowing down. The market is likely to be in a phase of consolidation rather than a frenzied surge.
Do you think we can expect a rate cut from the Federal Reserve in March? Is now the time to buy core coins or hold and observe?
#美联储降息
#加密市场观察
$ZEC
The expectation for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates has significantly cooled! The probability of a rate cut in January 2026 is less than 25%. Will the cryptocurrency market start with fluctuations next year?
CME's latest data is shocking: the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve in January 2026 is only 24.4%, while the probability of keeping the interest rate unchanged is as high as 75.69%. The cumulative probability of rate cuts in March has not exceeded half. For the cryptocurrency market, which relies on liquidity, this is undoubtedly a cold shower.
In the short term, the continuation of high interest rates will pressure market liquidity, making it difficult for the cryptocurrency market to experience a one-sided bull market. Bitcoin, as digital gold, may be relatively resilient, but the lessons from previous rate cuts where it “spiked and then plummeted” and many suffered liquidation are still fresh. High-leverage operations are easily harvested by market fluctuations. Altcoins are in a worse situation, as funds will accelerate the withdrawal from air coins lacking fundamentals, and the differentiation of quality ecosystem coins and core assets will become increasingly obvious.
In the medium term, the 41.4% probability of a rate cut in March still holds hope. If subsequent inflation data improves, easing expectations may reignite. However, current institutional funds in the cryptocurrency market are more cautious, with ETF inflows slowing down. The market is likely to be in a phase of consolidation rather than a frenzied surge.
Do you think we can expect a rate cut from the Federal Reserve in March? Is now the time to buy core coins or hold and observe?
#美联储降息
#加密市场观察
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