#美联储降息
FOMC two major officials explain why they oppose interest rate cuts: inflation risks are too high, and we should be more cautious!
Chicago Fed Chairman Goolsbee stated that he cast a dissenting vote this week because he wants to wait for more economic data to determine whether the impact of tariffs on inflation is only temporary.
The prudent approach is to wait for more information.
Inflation remains too high.
He is still optimistic that interest rates can decrease "a significant amount" next year. However, the government shutdown in October and November delayed the release of several key economic reports, which made him more concerned about recent interest rate cuts based on previous inflation data.
Paulson described the labor market as "under pressure but not collapsing."
She will have voting rights in 2026.
She continues to believe that monetary policy is somewhat restrictive, although recent easing measures will provide some cushioning for the labor market.
If the economy experiences high growth due to AI-driven productivity booms, the required policy response will differ from situations where high inflation is also a risk.