Projections for the Federal Reserve Interest Rates at the Beginning of 2026
According to information from BlockBeats, the FedWatch tool from CME indicates that there is a 24.4% probability that the Federal Reserve will make a 25 basis point cut at the meeting in January of next year. The chance of rates remaining at the current level is 75.6%.
For March, the data indicates a 50.5% probability of maintaining rates. There is also a 41.4% chance of a cumulative cut of 25 basis points by that time, while the possibility of a cumulative reduction of 50 basis points is estimated at 8.1%.
The next meetings of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) are scheduled for January 28 and March 18, 2026.


