🔥🔥$BTC 🔥Tonight the storm is coming! The non-farm "unfreezing" data ignites the market, but the truth is hidden in the fog...
🔥The U.S. economic data has finally "unfrozen"; tonight the non-farm report takes the lead, but this late release is destined to be chaotic, bumpy, and full of suspense! At 9:30 PM Beijing time on Tuesday, the November non-farm employment report will make a grand appearance, but this time, it is no longer the familiar "barometer" we know.
❗️Government shutdown for 43 days, data is "incomplete": October unemployment rate is rendered invalid, November data collection is delayed, and the Labor Statistics Bureau unusually "opens a blind box". Even more magical is that this report will offer a "buy one get half free"—accompanied by an incomplete October employment data, but lacking support from the unemployment rate, making it one of the most controversial releases in history.
❗️Predictions are polarized: Economists' forecasts for November non-farm growth range from -20,000 to +127,000, with a huge divergence! Goldman Sachs warns that government layoffs will drag down the data, while Bank of America believes the impact is minimal. The unemployment rate may rise to 4.4% or even 4.6%, wage growth slows, and consumer pressure intensifies.
‼️Even scarier is the "no comparison": The October CPI report has been canceled, and although retail sales data is being released simultaneously tonight, the direction of inflation remains a mystery. There is no month-on-month data, only year-on-year comparisons—markets will rely on "fragments" to piece together the Federal Reserve's path for next year.
‼️"Smart money" has begun to position itself: Whales are quietly accumulating, and ETFs have regained inflows. Meanwhile, retail investors are still struggling with whether the data is good or bad?
Tonight is not just a data release; it is a cognitive game.
Are you ready?
