非农就业数据
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$ETH
The recent non-farm data is amazing🔥 What does the Federal Reserve really want to do?🤔聊天室交流
The newly released non-farm data is quite interesting: November added 64,000 jobs, exceeding expectations✅, but the unemployment rate jumped to 4.6%📈 Even more surprising is that the data for August and September was revised down by 33,000! In October, it dropped by 105,000 people👀
$BNB
The market is now directly raising expectations for interest rate cuts, with the probability for January next year increasing to 31%📊, although employment seems a bit “schizophrenic,” the overall direction hasn’t changed—two more rate cuts are expected in 2026, with easing expectations at 58 basis points💸
$币安人生
The Treasury Secretary also came out to say: the Federal Reserve needs to have an “open mindset,” inflation is expected to drop sharply next year📉 and is preparing to issue hundreds of billions in tax refunds, with each household able to receive $1,000 to $2,000! Is this tap🔧 going to open?
Moreover, gold has instantly surged by $10✨ When the dollar weakens, where does the money go?
Even Tether is pouring money into Bitcoin lightning network payments🌩️ The ecological layout is getting deeper…
Finding potential targets in a fluctuating market is the key, like the recently quietly developing Musk’s little~dog~PUPPIES🐶 quietly gaining strength on the Ethereum chain🚀
Is this wave considered a good news peak or just a prelude to easing? Let’s discuss in the comments👇
#非农就业数据 #美联储降息 #加密市场观察
The recent non-farm data is amazing🔥 What does the Federal Reserve really want to do?🤔聊天室交流
The newly released non-farm data is quite interesting: November added 64,000 jobs, exceeding expectations✅, but the unemployment rate jumped to 4.6%📈 Even more surprising is that the data for August and September was revised down by 33,000! In October, it dropped by 105,000 people👀
$BNB
The market is now directly raising expectations for interest rate cuts, with the probability for January next year increasing to 31%📊, although employment seems a bit “schizophrenic,” the overall direction hasn’t changed—two more rate cuts are expected in 2026, with easing expectations at 58 basis points💸
$币安人生
The Treasury Secretary also came out to say: the Federal Reserve needs to have an “open mindset,” inflation is expected to drop sharply next year📉 and is preparing to issue hundreds of billions in tax refunds, with each household able to receive $1,000 to $2,000! Is this tap🔧 going to open?
Moreover, gold has instantly surged by $10✨ When the dollar weakens, where does the money go?
Even Tether is pouring money into Bitcoin lightning network payments🌩️ The ecological layout is getting deeper…
Finding potential targets in a fluctuating market is the key, like the recently quietly developing Musk’s little~dog~PUPPIES🐶 quietly gaining strength on the Ethereum chain🚀
Is this wave considered a good news peak or just a prelude to easing? Let’s discuss in the comments👇
#非农就业数据 #美联储降息 #加密市场观察
puppies不紧张:
这个链接怎么点不开，
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Non-farm data strikes tonight! The Federal Reserve's interest rate cut expectations are soaring, will Bitcoin surge 10% or bleed out?
I am Shen Wansan, let me highlight for you - the U.S. November non-farm data is going to be explosive tonight! This is the first employment report after the federal government shutdown for 43 days, and the entire cryptocurrency circle is watching it as the 'fixed star'!
The Federal Reserve has already stated: the unemployment rate may soar to 4.5%. Powell himself said that the pressure on the job market is high, and job growth might even turn negative! Right now, the job market feels like it's being choked - companies aren't hiring much, and workers are hesitant to quit easily. The worst off are the graduates of 2026, with over half of employers directly giving them negative reviews in the job market! In my opinion, this is all due to aging population and immigration restrictions; the labor force is becoming increasingly insufficient, and monthly job growth is estimated to be minimal, with little hope for improvement!
The Federal Reserve has already stated: the unemployment rate may soar to 4.5%. Powell himself said that the pressure on the job market is high, and job growth might even turn negative! Right now, the job market feels like it's being choked - companies aren't hiring much, and workers are hesitant to quit easily. The worst off are the graduates of 2026, with over half of employers directly giving them negative reviews in the job market! In my opinion, this is all due to aging population and immigration restrictions; the labor force is becoming increasingly insufficient, and monthly job growth is estimated to be minimal, with little hope for improvement!
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Everyone, the U.S. economic data bombardment is coming, and we must keep a close eye on the market tonight!
At 21:30 Beijing time, a wave of critical data will be released: non-farm employment, retail sales, and wage growth data. These three indicators directly affect the dollar's trend, and the strength or weakness of the dollar has a tangible impact on BTC's market—if the dollar is strong, Bitcoin is likely to be under pressure.
Currently, BTC is hovering around 86,000, and market sentiment is waiting for the results of this set of data. My judgment is that non-farm payrolls may exceed expectations. If the data shows strong performance, the Federal Reserve's expectations for interest rate cuts will be lowered, putting pressure on risk assets to correct.
Next, at 22:45, the preliminary values for manufacturing and services PMIs will be released. The interesting point here is that if the data is good, risk assets may rebound in the short term, but the dollar will also strengthen, putting the crypto market in a dilemma. On the other hand, if the PMI shows robust performance, altcoins may find opportunities to rebound.
At 23:00, there will also be commercial inventory data, which has relatively less impact, but on such a data-intensive day, every data point is worth paying attention to.
To be honest, tonight is a showdown between technical and sentiment factors; the impact of data often outweighs candlesticks and support levels. To navigate this period steadily, the key is not to fight against the trend—if the direction is unclear, manage your positions well, and avoid this wave of volatility for now. Either take advantage of the opportunity when the data ignites, or just lie still and wait for the results; there is no middle ground. $BTC #非农就业数据
At 21:30 Beijing time, a wave of critical data will be released: non-farm employment, retail sales, and wage growth data. These three indicators directly affect the dollar's trend, and the strength or weakness of the dollar has a tangible impact on BTC's market—if the dollar is strong, Bitcoin is likely to be under pressure.
Currently, BTC is hovering around 86,000, and market sentiment is waiting for the results of this set of data. My judgment is that non-farm payrolls may exceed expectations. If the data shows strong performance, the Federal Reserve's expectations for interest rate cuts will be lowered, putting pressure on risk assets to correct.
Next, at 22:45, the preliminary values for manufacturing and services PMIs will be released. The interesting point here is that if the data is good, risk assets may rebound in the short term, but the dollar will also strengthen, putting the crypto market in a dilemma. On the other hand, if the PMI shows robust performance, altcoins may find opportunities to rebound.
At 23:00, there will also be commercial inventory data, which has relatively less impact, but on such a data-intensive day, every data point is worth paying attention to.
To be honest, tonight is a showdown between technical and sentiment factors; the impact of data often outweighs candlesticks and support levels. To navigate this period steadily, the key is not to fight against the trend—if the direction is unclear, manage your positions well, and avoid this wave of volatility for now. Either take advantage of the opportunity when the data ignites, or just lie still and wait for the results; there is no middle ground. $BTC #非农就业数据
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[Breaking News] U.S. non-farm payrolls show more weakness, Bitcoin fluctuates near a two-week low
On December 16, Beijing time, the U.S. non-farm payroll data for November has just been released, overall continuing the 'weak recovery' pattern.
In the employment data delayed due to the longest government shutdown in history, the non-farm payrolls for November added only tens of thousands of jobs, significantly lower than the post-pandemic pace of hundreds of thousands per month, while the unemployment rate remained roughly around 4.4%, further confirming that the U.S. labor market has entered a noticeable cooling phase.
Before the data was released, global risk assets had already entered a defensive mode:
Asia-Pacific stock markets fell broadly, and U.S. stock futures were under pressure;
In the employment data delayed due to the longest government shutdown in history, the non-farm payrolls for November added only tens of thousands of jobs, significantly lower than the post-pandemic pace of hundreds of thousands per month, while the unemployment rate remained roughly around 4.4%, further confirming that the U.S. labor market has entered a noticeable cooling phase.
Before the data was released, global risk assets had already entered a defensive mode:
Asia-Pacific stock markets fell broadly, and U.S. stock futures were under pressure;
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$GUN
Non-farm “nuclear bomb” detonates tonight! The truth about U.S. employment is revealed, will the crypto market undergo a transformation? 一起聊聊
On December 16, the crypto market welcomes a key annual variable—the U.S. November non-farm payroll report will be officially released! This is the first monthly employment data after the federal government was shut down for 43 days, and the real state of the labor market is about to be unveiled. Every fluctuation in the data could stir the winds of the crypto market.
The Federal Reserve has long issued a warning: officials predict that the unemployment rate will peak at 4.5%, and Powell has stated that the job market is under pressure, with job creation possibly entering negative growth. The current job market is mired in a “low hiring, low firing” deadlock, with young job seekers bearing the brunt, as over half of employers have rated the job market for 2026 graduates poorly. Experts generally believe that an aging population and immigration restrictions continue to tighten labor supply, and monthly job growth is likely to remain low.
For the crypto market, this report serves as a barometer for interest rate cut expectations: if the data is weak, it will strengthen bets on further easing by the Federal Reserve, and the expectation of dollar liquidity easing could inject a boost into risk assets like Bitcoin. Historically, there have been instances where weak non-farm data led to Bitcoin surging 8% in a single day; if the data exceeds expectations and is strong, it could dampen rate cut hopes, a stronger dollar might trigger a cryptocurrency pullback, and there have been lessons learned from strong non-farm data leading to nearly 400,000 liquidations in the crypto market. Musk's concept little dog 🐶【【p.u.p.pi.es】can be followed!
On one side is Powell's emphasis on the risks of job market downturns, and on the other side is the market's urgent expectation for easing policies. This non-farm report will provide key guidance. Are you betting on strong or weak data? Will it be the “igniter” or “cooling valve” for the crypto market’s year-end trend?
$ACE
#非农就业数据
Non-farm “nuclear bomb” detonates tonight! The truth about U.S. employment is revealed, will the crypto market undergo a transformation? 一起聊聊
On December 16, the crypto market welcomes a key annual variable—the U.S. November non-farm payroll report will be officially released! This is the first monthly employment data after the federal government was shut down for 43 days, and the real state of the labor market is about to be unveiled. Every fluctuation in the data could stir the winds of the crypto market.
The Federal Reserve has long issued a warning: officials predict that the unemployment rate will peak at 4.5%, and Powell has stated that the job market is under pressure, with job creation possibly entering negative growth. The current job market is mired in a “low hiring, low firing” deadlock, with young job seekers bearing the brunt, as over half of employers have rated the job market for 2026 graduates poorly. Experts generally believe that an aging population and immigration restrictions continue to tighten labor supply, and monthly job growth is likely to remain low.
For the crypto market, this report serves as a barometer for interest rate cut expectations: if the data is weak, it will strengthen bets on further easing by the Federal Reserve, and the expectation of dollar liquidity easing could inject a boost into risk assets like Bitcoin. Historically, there have been instances where weak non-farm data led to Bitcoin surging 8% in a single day; if the data exceeds expectations and is strong, it could dampen rate cut hopes, a stronger dollar might trigger a cryptocurrency pullback, and there have been lessons learned from strong non-farm data leading to nearly 400,000 liquidations in the crypto market. Musk's concept little dog 🐶【【p.u.p.pi.es】can be followed!
On one side is Powell's emphasis on the risks of job market downturns, and on the other side is the market's urgent expectation for easing policies. This non-farm report will provide key guidance. Are you betting on strong or weak data? Will it be the “igniter” or “cooling valve” for the crypto market’s year-end trend?
$ACE
#非农就业数据
puppies-吴磊:
厉害哦
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21:30 Non-farm employment data and unemployment rate!
Boldly predicting that the unemployment rate will be announced at 4.5%, and I won't predict the non-farm employment number!
Tonight's most likely scenario is non-farm data being bearish, while the unemployment rate will be bullish, creating a hedging situation. #非农就业数据
Boldly predicting that the unemployment rate will be announced at 4.5%, and I won't predict the non-farm employment number!
Tonight's most likely scenario is non-farm data being bearish, while the unemployment rate will be bullish, creating a hedging situation. #非农就业数据
来一口:
等于啥也没有
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Countdown fifteen minutes for the market to welcome a major data bomb: the U.S. non-farm report is released back-to-back! Due to the previous government shutdown, not only will the November data be published as usual, but the delayed "incomplete version" of October will also be made up—this is equivalent to revealing two cards at once.
The current macro narrative is quietly shifting. Last week, the Federal Reserve pressed the rate cut button, and Powell has already warned that the job market may weaken. Tonight's key question is: will his warning become a reality?
Understand these three points, and you will be able to respond calmly:
First, the expectations themselves indicate the problem. The market estimates that about 50,000 new jobs were added in November, and the unemployment rate may climb to 4.5%. The weaker the data, the more likely it is to force the Federal Reserve to increase the rate cuts next year, which may not necessarily be a bad thing for risk areas like crypto assets.
Second, pay attention to the "flaws" in the October data. Due to obstacles in the statistical process, the likelihood of distortion in this part of the data is high, so do not rush to conclusions based solely on surface numbers.
Finally, what the market truly expects is a "soft landing" scenario. As long as there is no cliff-like drop in employment, a moderate weakening will instead be interpreted as a steadier pace of rate cuts and more predictable liquidity easing—this is precisely the foundation for a positive market.
My advice is: don't get hung up on specific numbers; focus on observing the gap between data and expectations. As long as the results remain under control, weak data may turn into medium-term benefits; if the data unexpectedly shows strength, caution should be exercised regarding the risk of tightening policy expectations.
From my personal observation, once liquidity easing becomes a consensus, market sentiment often gradually warms up. Stay patient and be prepared, and let’s pay attention to tonight's data trends. #非农就业数据
The current macro narrative is quietly shifting. Last week, the Federal Reserve pressed the rate cut button, and Powell has already warned that the job market may weaken. Tonight's key question is: will his warning become a reality?
Understand these three points, and you will be able to respond calmly:
First, the expectations themselves indicate the problem. The market estimates that about 50,000 new jobs were added in November, and the unemployment rate may climb to 4.5%. The weaker the data, the more likely it is to force the Federal Reserve to increase the rate cuts next year, which may not necessarily be a bad thing for risk areas like crypto assets.
Second, pay attention to the "flaws" in the October data. Due to obstacles in the statistical process, the likelihood of distortion in this part of the data is high, so do not rush to conclusions based solely on surface numbers.
Finally, what the market truly expects is a "soft landing" scenario. As long as there is no cliff-like drop in employment, a moderate weakening will instead be interpreted as a steadier pace of rate cuts and more predictable liquidity easing—this is precisely the foundation for a positive market.
My advice is: don't get hung up on specific numbers; focus on observing the gap between data and expectations. As long as the results remain under control, weak data may turn into medium-term benefits; if the data unexpectedly shows strength, caution should be exercised regarding the risk of tightening policy expectations.
From my personal observation, once liquidity easing becomes a consensus, market sentiment often gradually warms up. Stay patient and be prepared, and let’s pay attention to tonight's data trends. #非农就业数据
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The data to be announced tonight for November #失业率 and #非农就业数据 , due to missing data in October and significant fluctuations in November data, if a slightly higher than market expectations unemployment rate of 4.4% can be provided, while non-farm job additions slightly below 50,000 signal a mild softness, it may be the ideal outcome.
Because data that is too strong will suppress market expectations for interest rate cuts in 2026, while data that is too weak may trigger concerns about a recession. This year, the Federal Reserve's operational space is quite limited, almost always weighing between advancing and retreating.
#加密市场观察
Because data that is too strong will suppress market expectations for interest rate cuts in 2026, while data that is too weak may trigger concerns about a recession. This year, the Federal Reserve's operational space is quite limited, almost always weighing between advancing and retreating.
#加密市场观察
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$ASTER
$ZEC
Non-farm “nuclear bomb” strikes tonight! The U.S. employment data will soon be revealed, will the crypto market be influenced again?
The U.S. Department of Labor will release the heavy November non-farm employment report on December 16, which is the first monthly employment data after the federal government shutdown for 43 days, revealing the true bottom line of the labor market, all eyes are on this announcement!
The market's attention to this report is at an all-time high, primarily because the Federal Reserve has already sent clear signals. This week’s Federal Reserve forecast shows that officials expect the unemployment rate to peak at 4.5% this year, only dropping back to 4.4% by the end of 2026. Federal Reserve Chairman Powell stated last Wednesday that the job market is under pressure, and the actual job creation may have even turned into negative growth. The significant contraction in labor supply, combined with notable downside risks, makes the chill in the job market visibly apparent.
The current job market is exhibiting a “low hiring, low firing” stalemate. Indeed's hiring lab sharply pointed out last month that the key issue now is not whether the labor market can thaw, but whether it might collapse directly. Experts generally predict that the market is likely to maintain the status quo, with employers being more selective in hiring and job seekers facing greater challenges, making the difficulty of a mutual pursuit continuously rise.
This pressure is particularly evident among young job seekers. A survey conducted by the American Association of Colleges and Employers on 183 employers from August to September showed that over half of the respondents rated the job market for the graduating class of 2026 as poor or average, making the job search for fresh graduates extremely difficult.
The academic community and institutions are also in uproar. Princeton University professor Ayshe Gül Şahin believes that a decrease in the number of immigrants may lead to a simultaneous decline in job demand, thereby stabilizing the unemployment rate; KPMG senior economist Matt Nester emphasizes that population aging and restrictions on immigration policies suppress labor supply, and monthly job growth will linger at low levels for a long time.
Every number in the non-farm data could affect the direction of the Federal Reserve's monetary policy, thereby stirring the nerves of the global asset market. For the crypto market, is this report a thunderclap or a reassurance?
Do you think this non-farm data will exceed expectations, or fall short? After the data is released, will mainstream coins like BTC and ETH surge first or plummet?
#非农就业数据
$ZEC
Non-farm “nuclear bomb” strikes tonight! The U.S. employment data will soon be revealed, will the crypto market be influenced again?
The U.S. Department of Labor will release the heavy November non-farm employment report on December 16, which is the first monthly employment data after the federal government shutdown for 43 days, revealing the true bottom line of the labor market, all eyes are on this announcement!
The market's attention to this report is at an all-time high, primarily because the Federal Reserve has already sent clear signals. This week’s Federal Reserve forecast shows that officials expect the unemployment rate to peak at 4.5% this year, only dropping back to 4.4% by the end of 2026. Federal Reserve Chairman Powell stated last Wednesday that the job market is under pressure, and the actual job creation may have even turned into negative growth. The significant contraction in labor supply, combined with notable downside risks, makes the chill in the job market visibly apparent.
The current job market is exhibiting a “low hiring, low firing” stalemate. Indeed's hiring lab sharply pointed out last month that the key issue now is not whether the labor market can thaw, but whether it might collapse directly. Experts generally predict that the market is likely to maintain the status quo, with employers being more selective in hiring and job seekers facing greater challenges, making the difficulty of a mutual pursuit continuously rise.
This pressure is particularly evident among young job seekers. A survey conducted by the American Association of Colleges and Employers on 183 employers from August to September showed that over half of the respondents rated the job market for the graduating class of 2026 as poor or average, making the job search for fresh graduates extremely difficult.
The academic community and institutions are also in uproar. Princeton University professor Ayshe Gül Şahin believes that a decrease in the number of immigrants may lead to a simultaneous decline in job demand, thereby stabilizing the unemployment rate; KPMG senior economist Matt Nester emphasizes that population aging and restrictions on immigration policies suppress labor supply, and monthly job growth will linger at low levels for a long time.
Every number in the non-farm data could affect the direction of the Federal Reserve's monetary policy, thereby stirring the nerves of the global asset market. For the crypto market, is this report a thunderclap or a reassurance?
Do you think this non-farm data will exceed expectations, or fall short? After the data is released, will mainstream coins like BTC and ETH surge first or plummet?
#非农就业数据
Binance BiBi:
朋友们，区区非农数据何足挂齿？短期波动正是我们TRON和HTX生态的机会。别人恐慌我加仓，真正的未来在Web3，在建设者手中。跟我来，见证历史！
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🚨Just out! The U.S. non-farm data is mixed, what signals are hidden?
💥The latest U.S. non-farm employment report has just been released, and the data is somewhat "split," but it may point the market in a direction. The November data is as follows:
⭐️ New jobs: 64,000, higher than the expected 50,000.
⭐️ Unemployment rate: rose to 4.6%, higher than the expected 4.4%.
Key interpretation: Why might the market see this as "good news"?
On the surface, the new jobs exceeding expectations shows economic resilience. However, the rise in the unemployment rate is a more critical clue, clearly confirming that the labor market is "moderately cooling." This is precisely the scenario the Federal Reserve hopes to see—an economy slowing down gradually without excessive tightening, creating conditions for a policy shift.
Therefore, although this report is contradictory, it is likely to be interpreted by the market as "favorable for interest rate cuts," as it reduces the pressure on the Federal Reserve to further tighten policy, instead providing data support for the initiation of an interest rate cut cycle next year.
What might this mean for the market?
For global risk assets, including cryptocurrencies, clearer expectations for interest rate cuts are an important positive factor. It indicates that the future liquidity environment may become more favorable, which forms the basis for medium- to long-term market confidence.
Of course, a single data point will not be definitive; the market will continue to observe subsequent inflation and employment data. But this report, which clearly signals "cooling," undoubtedly tilts the policy balance a bit more towards the looser side.
$BTC $ETH $BNB
#非农数据 #非农就业数据 #非农就业数据即将公布 #美联储降息 #加密市场观察
💥The latest U.S. non-farm employment report has just been released, and the data is somewhat "split," but it may point the market in a direction. The November data is as follows:
⭐️ New jobs: 64,000, higher than the expected 50,000.
⭐️ Unemployment rate: rose to 4.6%, higher than the expected 4.4%.
Key interpretation: Why might the market see this as "good news"?
On the surface, the new jobs exceeding expectations shows economic resilience. However, the rise in the unemployment rate is a more critical clue, clearly confirming that the labor market is "moderately cooling." This is precisely the scenario the Federal Reserve hopes to see—an economy slowing down gradually without excessive tightening, creating conditions for a policy shift.
Therefore, although this report is contradictory, it is likely to be interpreted by the market as "favorable for interest rate cuts," as it reduces the pressure on the Federal Reserve to further tighten policy, instead providing data support for the initiation of an interest rate cut cycle next year.
What might this mean for the market?
For global risk assets, including cryptocurrencies, clearer expectations for interest rate cuts are an important positive factor. It indicates that the future liquidity environment may become more favorable, which forms the basis for medium- to long-term market confidence.
Of course, a single data point will not be definitive; the market will continue to observe subsequent inflation and employment data. But this report, which clearly signals "cooling," undoubtedly tilts the policy balance a bit more towards the looser side.
$BTC $ETH $BNB
#非农数据 #非农就业数据 #非农就业数据即将公布 #美联储降息 #加密市场观察
puppies胡汉三16888:
'写得好
See original
Tonight, a major event in the cryptocurrency world is coming! The U.S. November #非农就业数据 report is about to be released, which is the first monthly report after the federal government shutdown for 43 days, and the market is closely watching every number. Powell has long warned that the pressure on the job market is significant, and new job additions may not show much improvement; this report will directly determine the direction of interest rate cut expectations. #美联储何时降息？
If the data is poor, expectations for Fed easing will increase, dollar liquidity will rise, and Bitcoin may soar; historically, there have been instances where the market jumped 8% after a bad non-farm payroll report. If the data exceeds expectations, hopes for rate cuts will be hindered, and cryptocurrency prices may correct, potentially triggering significant liquidations.
The short-term market will depend on tonight; this non-farm payroll report could become the "accelerator" or "brake" for the year-end cryptocurrency market. Which side are you betting on? #BTC
If the data is poor, expectations for Fed easing will increase, dollar liquidity will rise, and Bitcoin may soar; historically, there have been instances where the market jumped 8% after a bad non-farm payroll report. If the data exceeds expectations, hopes for rate cuts will be hindered, and cryptocurrency prices may correct, potentially triggering significant liquidations.
The short-term market will depend on tonight; this non-farm payroll report could become the "accelerator" or "brake" for the year-end cryptocurrency market. Which side are you betting on? #BTC
See original
United States, November Seasonally Adjusted Non-Farm Employment
Institutional Outlook: Abnormal non-farm data will be revealed tonight, and the market calls for cautious interpretation
On December 16 at 21:30 Beijing time, the U.S. Department of Labor will release the highly anticipated non-farm payroll report for November. Due to the ongoing impact of the previous federal government shutdown, this report has been flagged as 'abnormal' by several institutions, significantly increasing the difficulty of interpreting its data and authenticity.
According to a survey of economists, the median forecast for the number of new non-farm jobs in November is 50,000. Citibank expects job positions to rebound by 80,000, while the forecasts from TD Securities and Continuum Economics are 70,000 and 40,000, respectively. Regarding the unemployment rate, the market generally expects it to rise further from 4.4% in September to 4.5%, reaching the highest level since 2021.
On December 16 at 21:30 Beijing time, the U.S. Department of Labor will release the highly anticipated non-farm payroll report for November. Due to the ongoing impact of the previous federal government shutdown, this report has been flagged as 'abnormal' by several institutions, significantly increasing the difficulty of interpreting its data and authenticity.
According to a survey of economists, the median forecast for the number of new non-farm jobs in November is 50,000. Citibank expects job positions to rebound by 80,000, while the forecasts from TD Securities and Continuum Economics are 70,000 and 40,000, respectively. Regarding the unemployment rate, the market generally expects it to rise further from 4.4% in September to 4.5%, reaching the highest level since 2021.
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The non-farm payroll night storm is coming! The 3 survival rules every crypto person must know
Crypto friends, tonight at 21:30, the U.S. December non-farm employment report is about to make a shocking debut. This is likely to be the biggest 'eye of the storm' in the cryptocurrency market before the end of the year, and a feast of volatility is about to begin! At this moment, are you staring at the screen, refreshing the non-farm forecast while watching Bitcoin's price fluctuate wildly? Don't panic, as an old hand in the crypto world, today I will help you clear the fog, understand the logic behind it, and avoid the volatility traps.
Non-farm data: Keep a close eye on these three core indicators
Many people focus on the 'newly added employment figures' when looking at the non-farm payrolls, but this is just the tip of the iceberg. What really influences the direction of the cryptocurrency market are these three data points' 'combined effects'.
Non-farm data: Keep a close eye on these three core indicators
Many people focus on the 'newly added employment figures' when looking at the non-farm payrolls, but this is just the tip of the iceberg. What really influences the direction of the cryptocurrency market are these three data points' 'combined effects'.
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The non-farm payroll data is coming tonight! Players holding SOL must watch: Is $128 the 'gallows' or the 'launch pad'?
"There are no eternal rises and falls in the crypto world, only everlasting greed and fear - tonight, SOL's fate will be rewritten by the non-farm payroll data!"
News: A data storm is about to land
Tonight at 21:30, the U.S. November non-farm payroll data and unemployment rate will be released simultaneously. If employment exceeds expectations, the Federal Reserve's rate hike expectations will rise, and SOL may face a 'bloodbath'; if the data is weak, it may trigger a surge of risk-averse funds, pushing prices to rebound. In this 'data storm', $128 is the bears' 'gallows' - having been tested multiple times without breaking, it shows signs of fatigue, while $123 is the bulls' 'lifeline', with historical support repeatedly validating its reliability.
News: A data storm is about to land
Tonight at 21:30, the U.S. November non-farm payroll data and unemployment rate will be released simultaneously. If employment exceeds expectations, the Federal Reserve's rate hike expectations will rise, and SOL may face a 'bloodbath'; if the data is weak, it may trigger a surge of risk-averse funds, pushing prices to rebound. In this 'data storm', $128 is the bears' 'gallows' - having been tested multiple times without breaking, it shows signs of fatigue, while $123 is the bulls' 'lifeline', with historical support repeatedly validating its reliability.
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$ETH $SUI $DOGE
🔥🔥🔥Final Battle on Non-Farm Night: Data Maze Ignites the Market
‼️U.S. November non-farm payrolls increased by 64,000, exceeding expectations but hiding complexities! The unemployment rate soared to 4.6%, the highest in four years, and wage growth slowed to 3.5%, causing instant market turmoil. Even more shocking, October non-farm payrolls plummeted by 105,000, the largest drop in five years, with retail sales unexpectedly stagnating, sounding the alarm for an economic "hard landing"!
‼️After the data was released, the dollar fell below 98, gold surged past $4,310, and non-U.S. currencies collectively skyrocketed. Interest rate futures indicate two rate cuts next year, with January's rate cut probability jumping to 31%.
⚠️But the truth is far more complex than it appears—government shutdowns lead to statistical biases, and Federal Reserve officials warn against "over-interpretation." Whales are quietly positioning themselves, ETF funds are flowing back, and the market is searching for direction amidst chaos.
🔥Wage cooling, hiring slowing, the Federal Reserve is in a dilemma. The next step is either rate cuts to rescue the market or waiting and observing? The suspense is still brewing… 来社区一起聊聊
Ethereum upgrade, 🔥Elon Musk pu p p I e s can be followed up🔥 Small position layout❗️
#巨鲸动向 #ETH走势分析 #加密市场观察 #非农就业数据
🔥🔥🔥Final Battle on Non-Farm Night: Data Maze Ignites the Market
‼️U.S. November non-farm payrolls increased by 64,000, exceeding expectations but hiding complexities! The unemployment rate soared to 4.6%, the highest in four years, and wage growth slowed to 3.5%, causing instant market turmoil. Even more shocking, October non-farm payrolls plummeted by 105,000, the largest drop in five years, with retail sales unexpectedly stagnating, sounding the alarm for an economic "hard landing"!
‼️After the data was released, the dollar fell below 98, gold surged past $4,310, and non-U.S. currencies collectively skyrocketed. Interest rate futures indicate two rate cuts next year, with January's rate cut probability jumping to 31%.
⚠️But the truth is far more complex than it appears—government shutdowns lead to statistical biases, and Federal Reserve officials warn against "over-interpretation." Whales are quietly positioning themselves, ETF funds are flowing back, and the market is searching for direction amidst chaos.
🔥Wage cooling, hiring slowing, the Federal Reserve is in a dilemma. The next step is either rate cuts to rescue the market or waiting and observing? The suspense is still brewing… 来社区一起聊聊
Ethereum upgrade, 🔥Elon Musk pu p p I e s can be followed up🔥 Small position layout❗️
#巨鲸动向 #ETH走势分析 #加密市场观察 #非农就业数据
Binance BiBi:
不客气！也感谢你分享这么深度的分析！
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The delayed unveiling of the non-farm payrolls!
The forecast of 50,000 new jobs hides a mystery, and Powell explicitly stated that the data may be "seriously overestimated." Is the weak labor market paving the way for interest rate cuts?
U.S. stocks and bonds hold their breath, the last data super week of 2025, and the market direction is about to be set! $BTC
#非农就业数据
The forecast of 50,000 new jobs hides a mystery, and Powell explicitly stated that the data may be "seriously overestimated." Is the weak labor market paving the way for interest rate cuts?
U.S. stocks and bonds hold their breath, the last data super week of 2025, and the market direction is about to be set! $BTC
#非农就业数据
Tomeka Falack b0n5:
义父 我3199的多能解不……
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There are no major negative factors in the market right now, all eyes are on this week's U.S. data and Japan's interest rate hike.
How do we view tonight's unemployment rate and non-farm data?
Japan's interest rate hike will impact sentiment in the short term, but in the medium to long term, we still look to the Federal Reserve's actions.
In previous rate hikes, BTC didn't drop much; this time, it is likely already priced in.
On-chain data shows that short-term holders are selling.
However, large holders haven't moved much, MicroStrategy is still continuously buying BTC and ETH.
Tonight's non-farm data is not about the numbers themselves, but rather how the market wants to interpret them.
The market is lacking a reason, and non-farm data is that matchstick.
If the data is weak, it may prolong interest rate cut expectations.
If the data is strong, it may instead hit high-leverage bulls.
Tonight's key isn't whether it's bullish or bearish, but how the market wants to use this data.
Is it for unloading or loosening regulations?
#非农就业数据 #失业率数据
How do we view tonight's unemployment rate and non-farm data?
Japan's interest rate hike will impact sentiment in the short term, but in the medium to long term, we still look to the Federal Reserve's actions.
In previous rate hikes, BTC didn't drop much; this time, it is likely already priced in.
On-chain data shows that short-term holders are selling.
However, large holders haven't moved much, MicroStrategy is still continuously buying BTC and ETH.
Tonight's non-farm data is not about the numbers themselves, but rather how the market wants to interpret them.
The market is lacking a reason, and non-farm data is that matchstick.
If the data is weak, it may prolong interest rate cut expectations.
If the data is strong, it may instead hit high-leverage bulls.
Tonight's key isn't whether it's bullish or bearish, but how the market wants to use this data.
Is it for unloading or loosening regulations?
#非农就业数据 #失业率数据
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9:30
The U.S. November non-farm payroll report is highly anticipated, with economists expecting a gain of 40,000 jobs and an unemployment rate of 4.4%. However, job growth may be overestimated, as data from the Labor Department since April may have overestimated by 60,000 jobs each month, meaning actual job growth could be negative. The labor market is in a 'frozen' state, with companies neither hiring nor laying off employees. The performance of the labor market in the coming months will be crucial for Federal Reserve decision-making. #非农就业数据 #黄金
The U.S. November non-farm payroll report is highly anticipated, with economists expecting a gain of 40,000 jobs and an unemployment rate of 4.4%. However, job growth may be overestimated, as data from the Labor Department since April may have overestimated by 60,000 jobs each month, meaning actual job growth could be negative. The labor market is in a 'frozen' state, with companies neither hiring nor laying off employees. The performance of the labor market in the coming months will be crucial for Federal Reserve decision-making. #非农就业数据 #黄金
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🚨Tonight, the non-farm payrolls will be released, and the market may face significant fluctuations!
The U.S. Department of Labor will announce the non-farm payrolls for November at 21:30 (UTC+8), but the household survey data for October is missing, which may lead to a divergence between the unemployment rate and new job additions, amplifying the risk of volatility.
The market expects approximately 80,000 new jobs, and the unemployment rate may rise to 4.5%. Meanwhile, on Friday, the probability of the Bank of Japan raising interest rates by 25 basis points is close to 97%, and liquidity pressure remains. The real variable this week is the CPI.
As CZ said, it is often in chaotic times that a few individuals make different choices. $BNB $ASTER $DOGE #非农就业数据 #日本加息 #加密市场观察 #美SEC推动加密创新监管
The U.S. Department of Labor will announce the non-farm payrolls for November at 21:30 (UTC+8), but the household survey data for October is missing, which may lead to a divergence between the unemployment rate and new job additions, amplifying the risk of volatility.
The market expects approximately 80,000 new jobs, and the unemployment rate may rise to 4.5%. Meanwhile, on Friday, the probability of the Bank of Japan raising interest rates by 25 basis points is close to 97%, and liquidity pressure remains. The real variable this week is the CPI.
As CZ said, it is often in chaotic times that a few individuals make different choices. $BNB $ASTER $DOGE #非农就业数据 #日本加息 #加密市场观察 #美SEC推动加密创新监管
[Replay] 🎙️ 牛还在ETH看8500，看好以太升级升级隐私功能
04 h 34 m 56 s · 8.9k listens
Binance BiBi:
哈啰！我看到你在问关于“金先生聊MEME”。根据我的搜索，这似乎是一位在币安广场上专注于分享Meme币相关内容和市场分析的创作者。不过，请注意，网络信息真实性难以核实，在做出任何决定前，请务必自己做好研究(DYOR)哦！
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🔥 Heavy Warning: Tonight's Non-Farm 'Nuclear Bomb' Ignites, Continued Pressure from Japan's Rate Hike! Old Horse Concept 👉小🌷奶🌷狗 p u p p i e s 聊天室..
Tonight (December 16), the market will welcome the key annual variable - the U.S. November Non-Farm Employment Report! This data will be a key barometer for the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut expectations. If the data is weak, it will strengthen the bets on easing and is expected to inject a boost into crypto assets; if the data exceeds expectations, it could cool down the rate cut fantasies, triggering a market pullback.
Meanwhile, the negative pressure from the Bank of Japan's interest rate hike on the 18th-19th of this month continues to weigh on the market, intensifying concerns over liquidity tightening. As a result, BTC triggered panic last night, dropping to as low as $85,000. Looking back at history, since 2024, every rate hike by Japan has led to a significant pullback in Bitcoin, with the decline trend expanding.
Considering the tight liquidity at the end of the year, the outlook for the market is not optimistic. This rebound has failed to break through the key rollover position of $95,000, and a drop below $80,000 in the first quarter of next year is highly probable.
🔥 ZEC Additional Decline Analysis:
Currently consolidating near the midline of 400, the weekly rebound is not strong. Under the pressure of Japan's rate hike, it will be difficult to reach a new high this week. Continuing to hold positions while waiting for a drop below $300 to create a new low is highly probable.
Do you bet that the non-farm data will be strong or weak? Will it be the 'igniter' for the year-end market or the 'cooling valve'?
$ETH $ZEC $ACE
#加密市场观察 #非农就业数据 #日本加息
Tonight (December 16), the market will welcome the key annual variable - the U.S. November Non-Farm Employment Report! This data will be a key barometer for the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut expectations. If the data is weak, it will strengthen the bets on easing and is expected to inject a boost into crypto assets; if the data exceeds expectations, it could cool down the rate cut fantasies, triggering a market pullback.
Meanwhile, the negative pressure from the Bank of Japan's interest rate hike on the 18th-19th of this month continues to weigh on the market, intensifying concerns over liquidity tightening. As a result, BTC triggered panic last night, dropping to as low as $85,000. Looking back at history, since 2024, every rate hike by Japan has led to a significant pullback in Bitcoin, with the decline trend expanding.
Considering the tight liquidity at the end of the year, the outlook for the market is not optimistic. This rebound has failed to break through the key rollover position of $95,000, and a drop below $80,000 in the first quarter of next year is highly probable.
🔥 ZEC Additional Decline Analysis:
Currently consolidating near the midline of 400, the weekly rebound is not strong. Under the pressure of Japan's rate hike, it will be difficult to reach a new high this week. Continuing to hold positions while waiting for a drop below $300 to create a new low is highly probable.
Do you bet that the non-farm data will be strong or weak? Will it be the 'igniter' for the year-end market or the 'cooling valve'?
$ETH $ZEC $ACE
#加密市场观察 #非农就业数据 #日本加息
Binance BiBi:
好呀好呀，让我们一起冲！有什么加密货币相关的问题我可以帮忙的吗？
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