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🤩 The Ethereum hourly chart is really flat, it's been lying down for several hours...
I guess everyone is waiting for the direction of the Bank of Japan's interest rate hike results tomorrow morning🧭... But there is also an ICP data release tonight at 21:30, don't overlook it...
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🔥🔥🔥The UK is about to cut interest rates, while Tokyo presses the rate hike button? Global monetary battles are brewing!

‼️Tonight, it is highly likely that the Bank of England will cut rates by 25 basis points, delivering a “loose gift” before the end of the year. With inflation cooling and economic contraction, Bailey may lean towards dovishness, and rates could drop to 3.75%. The market has bet that the tide of rate cuts is nearing its end, but suspense arises—at the same time, the Bank of Japan may raise rates to 0.75% tomorrow!

‼️On one side, the UK is “loosening” for its weak economy, while on the other, Japan is “accelerating” to curb inflation. One is easing, the other is tightening, causing a sudden reversal in global capital flows. The cost of yen arbitrage is soaring, the pressure on the pound is increasing, and turbulence in the US bond market is imminent.

🔥What’s even more alarming is the complete divergence in the policies of the central banks of the US, Japan, and the UK: the US is observing, the UK is retreating, and Japan is advancing. Will this “monetary bumper car” ignite a massive capital migration? Or will it quietly rewrite the global financial landscape? The eye of the storm is forming, can you smell the gunpowder? 🌪️😰 It’s a bit confusing, with one side cutting rates and the other side raising them, how will the market trend? Leave a comment in the section below! ❗️

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🔥🔥🔥At two in the morning, Wall Street is brightly lit, and Bitcoin's heartbeat jumps like an EKG, with red and green interspersed, pulling the nerves of the world.

‼️"Will China take over?" No one dares to answer. This is not just a price game, but a psychological battle. Vance's line, "America should embrace Bitcoin," is like a poker master setting the stage, tempting you to place a bet.

‼️America is revving up to push for a "strategic Bitcoin reserve," lifting banking restrictions, with policy frenzy driving prices to the top. After a peak of one hundred thousand dollars, it plummeted 15%, and the NVT ratio crashed into a bear market, with 25% of holders losing money—bubbles are on the verge of bursting.

⚠️Strangely, 95% of stablecoins are pegged to the dollar, and 80% are directed towards U.S. Treasury bonds. Bitcoin appears decentralized, but in reality has become a closed-loop tool of "dollar—crypto—Treasury bonds," serving as a "porter" under U.S. debt pressure.

🔥Will China jump in? No. Behind strict regulation is a respect for financial safety. Bitcoin is a "dammed lake," beautiful yet dangerous. The U.S. sets the stage while China remains calm—it's conservative, but also far-sighted.

❗️This is not just a contest of innovation and risk, but a choice between survival and destruction.
🚨Are you brave enough to enter the arena?👁️

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🔥🔥🔥Waller speaks out: Employment is weak! Is the Fed's rate cut on the horizon?

🚨"Dovish" heavyweight Waller speaks again: The U.S. labor market is "very weak," and it's time for a rate cut! He stated at the Yale CEO Summit that interest rates are still 50 to 100 basis points above neutral levels, and there is clear room for rate cuts, but "there's no need to be aggressive," and we can proceed steadily.

‼️In the face of inflation concerns, he firmly refuted: "I believe inflation will decline." The economy may recover by 2026, and employment is expected to bounce back. When discussing artificial intelligence and tariffs, he candidly admitted, "The impact is still unclear," leaving some suspense.

⚠️More notably, Trump will interview Waller, and the race for Fed Chair reaches a climax! Waller emphasizes central bank independence: "I have spent 20 years studying it." He does not shy away from interacting with the White House but vows to defend the Fed's autonomy.

🔥On one side is presidential pressure, and on the other is economic downturn; will Waller become the next "helmsman"? A storm is coming, and the world is watching!
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#巨鲸动向 #ETH走势分析 #加密市场观察

🔥🔥🔥Keep an eye on this Friday! The Bank of Japan's interest rate hike may trigger a chain reaction, putting trillions in U.S. Treasury bonds at risk?

🚨This Friday, a call from Tokyo may cause Wall Street to lose sleep all night!

⚠️The Bank of Japan is about to raise interest rates, potentially reaching a 30-year high! The market bets on a 25 basis point hike to 0.75% this Friday, and Kazuo Ueda is more likely to signal "continued tightening." With rising inflation and increasing wages, the rate hike is imminent.

‼️But the real storm is on the horizon— the U.S.-Japan interest rate differential is narrowing sharply, putting arbitrage trades on the line! The "sure-win game" of investors borrowing cheap yen to buy U.S. bonds may come to an end. Currently, the 10-year U.S.-Japan government bond spread has narrowed to 2.2%, far below last year's 3.3%.

⚠️Even more frightening is that Japanese investors may withdraw hundreds of billions previously invested in U.S. bonds on a large scale. At a time when the U.S. deficit is high and the AI valuation bubble is fragile, capital outflows are like adding insult to injury!

🔥Nomura strategists warn: arbitrage trading is facing a "life-or-death moment." Bear Trap Report states bluntly: this collapse is inevitable.
⏰On Friday, a decision from Tokyo could ignite the global market! Are you ready?👁️
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😰😰What happened? 📉 So ruthless, harvesting desperately before the interest rate hike, truly ruthless 😧
#ETH走势分析 #加密市场观察 #日本加息

🔥🔥🔥Federal Reserve's "hawkish" hints: independence and the key to interest rate cuts

‼️A comment from Fed Governor Waller has stirred the markets. Against the backdrop of layoffs under the Trump administration and Venezuela becoming a new oil source for the U.S., Waller sent a dual signal: interest rate cuts? It's all about inflation, not the President. He stated plainly that only a substantial decline in inflation could lead to a loosening of interest rates, extinguishing the market's fantasy of "political rate cuts."

‼️He admitted to having interactions with the government but emphasized that he does not take orders — the Fed's anchor is always data, not White House directives. More intriguingly, current rates are 50-100 basis points above neutral levels, serving as a "buffer zone" that both locks in the effectiveness of tightening and leaves a retreat path for the future.

🔥Is this a warning from the hawks, or a prelude to interest rate cuts? In the battle between data and politics, the Fed's next step may determine the direction of the U.S. economy. The truth may be more shocking than expected. $ETH
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#巨鲸动向 #ETH走势分析 #加密市场观察

🔥🔥🔥Why is one stepping on the accelerator while the other is slamming on the brakes? The global market is playing a terrifying game of bumper cars?

‼️This is not a drill, but a real financial drama unfolding. On one side, the Bank of Japan is preparing to raise interest rates to "tighten the faucet," while on the other side, the Federal Reserve hints at lowering rates to "open the valve." One is taking in water, the other is letting it out, and trillions of dollars in capital are quietly reallocating.

‼️Why such contradictions? Because behind it lies the game of survival and hegemony. On the streets of Japan, housewives complain about rice prices rising by half, coffee doubling, and electricity and gas soaring, while wages remain stagnant for thirty years. Inflation is burning, and the central bank has no choice but to raise interest rates for self-rescue. But this brake has hit hard against America's soft underbelly.

‼️America plays globally through "yen arbitrage": borrowing nearly zero-interest yen to buy high-yield U.S. bonds, making a profit from the interest rate spread. This game has allowed America to sustain a colossal $36 trillion national debt. Now, Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda suggests that the "free lunch is over," and even if interest rates rise slightly to 0.75%, it could trigger a capital flight—selling U.S. bonds, exchanging for yen, and repaying loans, with a stampede imminent.

🔥U.S. bond prices are plummeting, yields are surging, financing costs are skyrocketing, and credit ratings are flashing yellow lights. What's more frightening is that the once most loyal "creditor big brother" may turn away. This is not just a financial shock; it is a signal of waning hegemony. 来社区聊聊后市

🚨Meanwhile, China may welcome new opportunities. With the yen appreciating and the competitiveness of Japanese goods declining, fields such as new energy vehicles and consumer electronics present excellent opportunities for us to fill the void. But the suspense remains: how will America retaliate? Can Japan truly break through? The storm has just begun, who will laugh last? The ether upgrades, 🔥Musk's pu p p I e s can be kept an eye on🔥small position layout‼️
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🔥🔥🔥Non-farm payrolls unexpectedly weak + Japan's hawkish pressure, is the Fed's rate cut outlook clouded?

‼️The latest U.S. non-farm data is unexpectedly strong, with new jobs exceeding expectations, but the unemployment rate is climbing, sending mixed signals to the market. The Fed's rate cut bets are wavering, and the January meeting may remain on hold. Powell emphasized: more data is needed to confirm economic cooling, and rate cuts are not urgent.

🔥Meanwhile, the Bank of Japan's 'hawkish' stance continues, and two days later, it may maintain its commitment to raise interest rates, downplaying neutral rate forecasts and instead guiding based on actual economic data. The market expects the interest rate to reach 0.75% on December 19, a new thirty-year high.

‼️The synchronized tightening of U.S. and Japanese monetary policies is exacerbating global liquidity contraction. Yen arbitrage costs are rising, capital repatriation pressure is increasing, and risk assets like Bitcoin are under pressure. If the U.S. and Japan continue their 'anti-inflation' paths, the Fed's rate cut window may narrow, and global markets may face the calm before the storm. Cryptocurrency investors should respond cautiously, control leverage, and closely monitor U.S.-Japan policy linkage. $ETH
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🔥🔥🔥Heavy Warning! Goldman Sachs Explodes with News: The 'Gate' for Fed Rate Cuts May Open, and Rates Could Fall Below 3% by 2026!

🚨Goldman Sachs Latest Statement: The Fed may be more 'dovish' next year than the market expects! Last week's rate cut + Powell's rare warning on employment risks sends a strong signal — the gate for rate cuts is opening!

‼️Chief Strategist Josh Schiff pointed out that the Fed is becoming increasingly sensitive to the deterioration of the labor market, and the resistance to further rate cuts is weakening. Unemployment data in the coming months will become the policy 'barometer', far more important than non-farm payroll numbers!

🔥Goldman Sachs predicts: The rate cut cycle will last until 2026, with the federal funds rate potentially dropping below 3%! Slowing inflation + weak employment will create room for easing.

🔥Even more astonishing, the yield curve will steepen, and the dollar could weaken in the medium term. Is a market upheaval imminent? This monetary shift may rewrite the global asset landscape! The suspense is high, awaiting data to trigger the explosion! $SOL
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#加密市场观察 #ETH走势分析

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🔥🔥🔥Major reversal! Musk generously donates to the Republican Party, breaking the ice with Trump in preparation for the 2026 midterm elections!

🚨According to a report on the 16th by Global Network citing the American Axios website, Musk has quietly poured significant funds into the Republican Party's 2026 midterm elections, making substantial bets on congressional and Senate campaigns, marking the complete 'thaw' of his previously broken relationship with Trump!

‼️Insiders have revealed that Musk has recently made large donations to help the Republican Party regain control of Congress and will continue to 'blood transfuse' throughout the election cycle. The specific amount will be revealed in next month's financial report.

‼️In July of this year, Musk was in fierce opposition to the Trump administration over the 'Big and Beautiful' bill, even establishing the 'American Party' to go solo. However, he has now 'firmly returned' to the Republican camp, which is shocking.

‼️Although representatives from both sides declined to comment, Musk appeared at the White House in November to attend a dinner hosted by Trump for the Saudi Crown Prince, indicating a clear warming of relations. Insiders say: 'The two have reconciled, but it is hard to return to the previous closeness.' The alliance between business tycoons and political powerhouses is restarting, and a storm is brewing in American politics?

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🔥Who can calculate how many years it will take to spend 10 a day?
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🔥🔥🔥The U.S. non-farm data is a bombshell! 64,000 new jobs exceed expectations, yet the unemployment rate has soared to 4.6%, reaching a three-year high!

‼️The U.S. non-farm employment surged by 64,000 in November, far exceeding expectations, but the unemployment rate rose to 4.6%, the highest since 2021! Behind the “contradictory” data lies a hidden mystery: the government shutdown caused a delay in the October data release, with October employment unexpectedly plummeting by 105,000, and the figures for August and September were also revised down. The efficiency department layoffs under the Trump administration have already reduced federal employees by 271,000!

‼️Analysts pointed out that although private sector employment is recovering, with an average increase of 75,000 jobs over the past three months, the rising unemployment rate raises doubts about the Federal Reserve's pace of interest rate cuts. The FOMC may pause interest rate cuts, with only one rate cut expected next year. Powell warned: the data may be overestimated, and immigration policies are distorting the labor market.

🚨The Federal Reserve meeting on January 27 is approaching, and the suspense of interest rate cuts is heightened! Will it be a “soft landing” for employment or a “hidden collapse”? The market is holding its breath!

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⚠️Do you dare to invest borrowed money in the cryptocurrency market? This may not be an investment, but the beginning of a descent into the abyss.

‼️Borrowing money to trade cryptocurrencies is neither a legal fund turnover nor should it simply be regarded as gambling. It is a high-risk, high-speculation illegal financial activity, essentially using leverage to amplify risks and returns through illegal speculation. Trading cryptocurrencies is explicitly prohibited in China, borrowing for this purpose is illegal, loan contracts are invalid, and lenders find it difficult to recover their principal. Even if there is an IOU, it may not be protected by law due to violating public order and good morals.

‼️Unlike gambling, trading cryptocurrencies appears to have "technical analysis," but in reality, it is highly volatile, and leveraged trading can magnify losses exponentially. Once the market reverses, forced liquidation and losing all principal can happen in an instant. More dangerously, it can trigger systemic financial risks, and even incite crimes such as fraud and money laundering.

⚠️In South Korea, there were young people who borrowed money to trade cryptocurrencies, and after the LUNA crash, they lost everything, with some jumping off buildings; in Vietnam, scammers swindled funds from 30,000 people. These tragedies are not far from us.

🚨So, don't be blinded by the idea of "getting rich quickly." You may think you are investing, but you could be stepping into an irreversible trap. Are you really ready? $ETH
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🔥🔥🔥Non-farm payrolls meet interest rate hikes, the sword of the cryptocurrency market hangs high❗️
‼️Yesterday's non-farm payroll data was unexpectedly strong, with new jobs far exceeding expectations, and the unemployment rate stable at a low level, throwing cold water on the already complicated expectations for the Federal Reserve to lower interest rates—market bets on rate cuts in March next year instantly cooled, bitcoin dropped below $88,000, and altcoins fell even more. The more critical variable lies in the East: on December 19, the Bank of Japan is highly likely to raise interest rates to 0.75%, which will be the first 'strong rate hike' in 30 years.

‼️The connection between the two events is hidden in 'carry trades': for the past 30 years, the yen's ultra-low interest rates have led global speculators to borrow and leverage to buy US Treasuries, US stocks, and even cryptocurrencies, with a scale of up to $4-20 trillion. Once Japan raises interest rates, the cost of borrowing yen will soar, and these funds will prioritize returning to Japan to 'fill the holes', making cryptocurrencies the first targets for selling. 来社区聊聊后市行情

🚨The future direction of the cryptocurrency market depends entirely on the competition between these two forces: the 'high interest rate expectations' supported by non-farm payrolls and the 'liquidity contraction' triggered by Japan's interest rate hike. Will they resonate? If both overlap, bitcoin may test the support level of $80,000; if the Federal Reserve subsequently releases dovish signals to 'hedge', the cryptocurrency market may stabilize. But in any case, this liquidity change triggered by non-farm payrolls and Japan's interest rate hike has made the sword hanging over the cryptocurrency market even sharper, awaiting the Federal Reserve's subsequent policy to reveal the mystery.

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🔥🔥🔥Did the shutdown actually become a 'divine assist'? The accuracy of non-farm data unexpectedly soared!
‼️ Did the U.S. government shutdown make non-farm data more accurate? It seems absurd, yet it has become a reality! Due to the delay in release caused by the shutdown, the employment reports for September and November unexpectedly gained an extended data collection period, with response rates soaring—September's collection rate reached 80.2%, and both October and November exceeded 73.8%, the highest in five years!
‼️ The Bureau of Labor Statistics revealed that companies continued to submit electronic reports, and after the restart, they received an extension to respond, resulting in more complete data. Economists pointed out that a higher collection rate means smaller revision margins, and the initial values may be closer to the truth than before.
❗️ 'The game between timeliness and accuracy has always been a difficult problem,' admitted former director Erica Groshen. And this time, the 'forced delay' may have just broken the balance. Michael Horrigan bluntly stated: Waiting an extra week or two may significantly shrink the revision margin.
🚨 The suspense continues: The December report will reveal the truth behind the revisions. Prior to this, Trump angrily denounced the data as a 'major error' and even sought to replace the director, casting a political shadow over this data dispute. The annual benchmark revision is more likely to set a record low, will the storm rise again?
⚠️🔥 This time, will the 'side effects' of the shutdown restore trust in the non-farm data? Stay tuned for the reveal!

#巨鲸动向 #美联储降息 #ETH走势分析

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🚨 Financial nuclear bomb countdown: Is Japan's interest rate hike triggering a global shockwave?

‼️ On December 19, the Bank of Japan may raise interest rates to 0.75%! Don't underestimate this 25 basis points—it could pry open the foundations of 30 years of zero interest rates, triggering ¥30-40 trillion arbitrage trades! The yield on Japan's 10-year government bonds has surged to 1.9%, just a step away from the 2% red line; once breached, a global sell-off may erupt!

‼️ For the past 30 years, Japan's “zero interest rate” has been the engine of global liquidity, with funds flowing into U.S. stocks and emerging markets. Now, the game has reversed! The interest rate hike will lead to a decline in government bonds, collateral devaluation, leverage collapse, and investors being forced to sell assets, with U.S. stocks being the first to suffer, and A-shares also cannot escape unscathed.

🔥 But who will be the real winner? Chinese government bonds, the renminbi, and high-dividend assets may rise! Gold is under short-term pressure, but remains a safe haven in the medium to long term.

⚠️ The suspense remains: Will the Bank of Japan press the trigger? Global markets are holding their breath in anticipation!

#巨鲸动向 #ETH走势分析 #加密市场观察 #日本加息

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😧 Spending one hundred million dollars a day for nineteen years.... No wonder Old Ma is researching rocket launches to Mars 🚀...
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🚨 Plans cannot keep up with changes. Who will ultimately become the future chairman of the Federal Reserve???
🔥🔥🔥 The competition for the Federal Reserve chair has taken a dramatic turn! On December 17, Jinshi Data revealed major news: Trump will interview current board member Waller, instantly breaking the “either-or” pattern and starting a three-way battle. Dark horse Waller, with flexible policies and deep market understanding, is not a traditional hawk but ignites Wall Street speculation with his “centrist” stance.
‼️ Previously popular candidates Waller and Hassett have lost their luster. Waller's inclusion is not just a change of candidates but also a suspense about policy direction—can he balance Trump’s ambition for “low interest rates + a strong dollar”? How will the White House make trade-offs between politics and the economy?
‼️ Wall Street has already taken action, the options market is boiling, and whales are quietly positioning themselves. Only a few weeks remain until the appointment, and every second could rewrite the ending. Can Waller make a comeback? With a single thought, Trump may reshape the global financial landscape. This power game is entering its most thrilling climax! It really changes three times a day; who will ultimately become the future chairman of the Federal Reserve?

#巨鲸动向 #加密市场观察 #ETH走势分析