Currently still following yesterday's route
Route conclusion: Main line A [Oscillation absorption → Upper clearance pull-up] remains unchanged, currently in the last accumulation phase before confirmation.
Clearing structure: Changes are very critical (bullish)
Below has already become 'not tasty', above has started to become 'fat'
2900 is already the 'cost zone that the main force is willing to defend'
Washing leverage, not retreating large funds
This matches the historical pattern of 'about to pull up a segment'.
Current status of the three routes
🔵 Main line A (65% → 70%) [Maintain]
Oscillation absorption → Upper clearance pull-up
Condition: Basically met
Status: Entering the final build-up
🟡 Sub-line B (25% → 20%)
False break below 2900 → Quick pullback
Only triggers when BTC suddenly drops
Even if it happens, it is to pull back even stronger
🔴 Dangerous line C (10% → 10%)
Lost below 2850 → Deep drop to 2750
Needs: Accelerated outflow of funds + structural damage
Currently not supported at all
👉 The route has not changed, only the main line probability is increasing.
🅰️ PDM-A | Potential large gains (executable)
Core area for long positions (main cost)
Entry range: 2880–2920
Risk point: 2850
Failure point: 2800
Extreme level (worst case): 2750
📈 Potential target (segmented):
First segment: 3050–3120
Second segment: 3200–3300 (clearing driven)
👉 This is a standard structure with ≥10% space for large gains
🅱️ PDM-B | Confirm large gains (add position after triggering)
Upgrade conditions (all must be met):
Stabilizing above 3000 (not a spike)
OBV crosses MAOBV
Funds have shown continuous net inflow
📌 After triggering:
Pullback to 3000–3020 = Add position
Target directly at 3200+
Now is not the time for 'already pulling',
But rather, 'the main force has already washed out those who needed to be washed, only a trigger action is missing.'
Around 2900, it belongs to:
Not sure if it can be pulled, but it would be a loss to not pull in this position.
Existing position near 2900: Hold on, no need to rush
No position: Can only wait for a pullback to 2920↓ before entering
Above 3000: Only adding, not chasing
#ETH走势分析 #巨鲸动向 #主力意图 #主力资金 $BTC
