Let me ask a painful question: Is it true that when you recently opened the market software, your screen was filled with the sound of 'waiting for the waterfall'? The more others shout, the more anxious you become, stuck in a position where you can't move or not move? Have you even woken up at three in the morning to check the market, afraid of missing out on so-called 'bottom-fishing opportunities' or 'top-exiting windows'?
Don't rush to take your seat. To be honest, most people in the crypto space cannot escape the fate of being led by emotions — especially with the recent global market turmoil triggered by Japan's interest rate hike, which has magnified this anxiety tenfold.
If you go around the community, you'll see how extreme the atmosphere is now: some people have bet their entire savings on shorting, constantly shouting in the group, 'Waiting for Bitcoin to break ten thousand,' as if they could achieve financial freedom with this wave at any moment; there are even more exaggerated cases where some have uninstalled market software, claiming 'Out of sight, out of mind,' when in reality they're just afraid of seeing a rebound that might shatter their mentality.
But as someone who has been in this market for eight years, I have to pour some cold water on you: when have the big players ever followed the script of the majority?
This is the first key point I want to talk about today: the core logic of the market is 'anti-human nature'. When everyone reaches a 'bearish consensus', it is often a precursor to a market reversal. This time, when Japan raised interest rates, global risk assets shook a bit, but mainstream cryptocurrencies not only didn't crash, but instead staged a counter-trend rebound, which is actually the best proof — this indicates that short-term risks have mostly been released, and the market is not as fragile as everyone thinks.
Some people might say: 'That's not right, the big influencers I follow are all bearish!' Here's an industry insider rule for you: many of the 'big influencers' you see don't actually make money from trading. Their core income comes from commission rebates, traffic ads, and even membership fees from paid communities. The more extreme the market, the more radical their opinions become, attracting more attention and followers — as for whether they are actually shorting? Most likely not, and they might have quietly bought the dip when you were frantically shorting.
In the past few days, many platforms have released real trading rankings, and you can check them out. Many of the loudest 'big influencers' shouting bearish sentiments have actually had their accounts blown up to zero long ago, yet they still stubbornly claim 'I'm just experiencing a short-term correction'. This kind of self-deceiving behavior is something beginners should never imitate.
Trading has never been about being 'stubborn'; it's about 'understanding yourself'. I have stumbled into countless pitfalls myself, losing seven figures in the early years due to chasing highs and selling lows, and getting cut by so-called 'insider information'. But after all these years of struggle, I have summarized a truth: those who can survive in the crypto circle are not the ones who can predict the market most accurately, but those who can control their emotions and stick to discipline.
Here's another highly practical suggestion for you, which is a strategy I am currently using: in extreme market conditions, 'not losing money' is winning. In the recent market, the volatility has been large and unpredictable; being able to preserve your principal without losing money already puts you ahead of 90% of people. Those who claim to be making money like crazy in the past few days are either lucky or boasting — those who truly have this ability have long since made a fortune quietly and don’t have time to flaunt their gains online every day.
Returning to the current market situation, my view is very clear: there's no need to panic in the short term, nor blindly chase highs. This rebound is more like an 'emotional repair', not the start of a new bull market. Next, focus on the pullback opportunities of mainstream coins; wait for the pullback to key support levels, and then enter with smaller positions for trial and error, which is much safer than chasing highs now. Remember, the crypto circle is not lacking in opportunities; what’s lacking is the patience to survive until the day the opportunity comes.
Lastly, let me say something heartfelt: this market has never been about 'who makes money faster', but rather 'who lasts longer'. Constantly arguing with the market and debating with others will only make your emotions more chaotic and your operations more distorted, leading to faster losses. It's better to focus your energy on improving your skills, study K-line patterns and capital flows more, listen less to noise, and maintain discipline — this is the core of long-term survival in the crypto circle.
If you currently feel helpless and confused about trading, and want to learn more about the crypto world and get first-hand cutting-edge news, follow me @标哥说币
