Brothers! Today the global market has turned the 'risk aversion frenzy' script to the max. Those who haven't been watching the market should quickly come and catch up—gold and silver are skyrocketing like they've taken off like a firecracker, smashing through historical highs! Does this have anything to do with our crypto world? I'll put the conclusion upfront: not only is there a connection, but this is likely a key signal for whether Bitcoin can 'take off' next!
Let me give the newcomers some background; the veterans can jump straight to the latter half for the key information: Recently, the geopolitical situation has been as chaotic as a pot of porridge, with the U.S. taking action in Syria while chasing oil tankers at sea, causing global funds to panic in an instant. What to do when panicked? Naturally, they seek safety, and gold, as the traditional 'big brother' of risk aversion, has become highly sought after, with prices soaring.
At this point, someone will definitely ask: if gold rises, what does it have to do with Bitcoin? This is where I need to emphasize the core logic I've always highlighted—Bitcoin's narrative as 'digital gold' has never been a baseless hype, but is supported by solid historical data! Let me give you a key example: when the Russia-Ukraine conflict broke out in 2022, the market first collectively panicked and sold off, and both gold and Bitcoin fell initially. But then, they entered a synchronized rebound mode, and in the end, Bitcoin rebounded hard by over 200% from its low point. Many brothers who followed my lead to allocate spot assets made significant profits.
Returning to the present, my exclusive judgment is: in the next 1-2 weeks, focus on the 'spillover effect' of funds! Gold has now risen to historical highs, and some funds may feel that the valuation of traditional safe-haven assets is too high. At this point, they may turn to the crypto market—after all, Bitcoin, this 'digital gold', still has some room for imagination compared to gold, which is already at the peak. But there's a risk point I must remind everyone of: don't be blindly optimistic; if the dollar index strengthens in the short term, the market will likely fall into a consolidation phase, and funds will be torn between the dollar and crypto assets. Chasing high prices at this time is like jumping into a fire pit.
After discussing the judgments, let me give retail investors three practical suggestions, all of which are lessons I've learned from countless pitfalls. Those who understand will be able to avoid detours:
First, if you have Bitcoin in hand, hold tight and don't be easily shaken out! In a bull market, what you have most is event-driven impulse rises. If you panic and sell at the slightest fluctuation, you'll look back and see the price rising sharply, and it won't help to regret. Remember, the holding logic of core assets is to withstand small fluctuations and earn money during big trends.
Second, absolutely do not heavily chase those already skyrocketing niche coins! The core demand of funds now is 'risk aversion', not 'seeking high returns'. If funds flow back into mainstream coins later, those skyrocketing niche coins could drop like 'free fall' in an instant. By then, if you are chasing at the peak, there will be no place to cry—I have seen too many such unfortunate fools.
Third, if the market takes this opportunity to pull back, don't panic, it's a good thing! You can gradually allocate core assets, but absolutely do not go all in! I emphasize repeatedly that investing is not gambling; those who go all in are heroes, but most end up as 'martyrs'. Buying in batches can reduce risk and allow you to acquire cheaper chips during a pullback; this is the survival strategy for retail investors.
Finally, to summarize: during times of geopolitical turmoil, holding core assets is the way to go! The narrative of Bitcoin as 'digital gold' is likely to be reactivated by the market this time. Moving forward, I will keep a close eye on three key indicators: the flow of funds into gold, the trend of the dollar index, and the changes in Bitcoin's trading volume. Any new judgments will be shared promptly.
If you want to keep up with my analysis and not miss the upcoming allocation opportunities, hurry up and give a follow, light up the little red heart! Your support is my motivation to dig out valuable information. Feel free to discuss in the comments about how high you think Bitcoin can rise this time, and I will reply one by one. Follow me @链上标哥 so you don't get lost!
