I just came across this news, and I felt a chill down my back—Strategy actually paused increasing Bitcoin holdings last week and is crazily accumulating cash! This isn't just a simple portfolio adjustment; institutions are secretly fastening their seatbelts while most retail investors are still on the bus dancing wildly.
Is the market going to change? I sense a familiar smell of blood.
Friends, this isn't the first time. Every time during a bull market, there are always some 'smart money' who sense risk in advance. They aren't pessimistic about the future; they just smell short-term blood. Is market volatility increasing? That's just the official narrative. The real reason is: highly leveraged long positions are accumulating, and a decent correction could wipe out everyone at any moment.
I know what you are thinking right now—'The bull market is still here, just hold on.' But in May 2021 and before the LUNA crash in 2022, those bankrupt retail investors thought the same. History doesn’t repeat simply, but it always follows a similar rhyme.
My emergency operation advice (whether you listen is up to you)
Check your leverage immediately—if your contract position exceeds 3 times, I advise you to lower it tonight. The fastest way to lose money in a bull market is to blow up before dawn.
Cash is not trash—Is it foolish for Strategy to increase cash? No, that’s their bullet for buying the dip. When you are fully invested in altcoins, did you leave enough chips for the next opportunity?
Don’t let 'institutional FOMO' brainwash you—yes, the ETF has been approved, institutions have entered, but that doesn’t mean it only goes up and not down. Institutions are colder than retail investors; they don’t even say hello when they cut you.
My true judgment on the market (saying what others dare not say)
Short term (1-3 months): Increased volatility, a 15-25% correction is highly probable. Those self-media shouting 'eternal bull market' will collectively fall silent during the crash.
Medium term (6 months): If Bitcoin can correct healthily and stabilize, it will be the last sprint phase of altcoin season. But the premise is—you have to be alive to see that day.
Long term: I am still bullish on the big cycle, but the premise for the bull market not to die is that most people get washed out during the volatility.
Remember the heartfelt words of this 'old retail investor'
I have survived three cycles in this market, not because I am smart, but because I always maintain respect for the market. When even institutions start to be cautious, do you think you understand risk better than their risk control teams?
The biggest trap in a bull market is making people mistakenly believe that taking risks is bravery and greed is wisdom.
If you think this is alarmist, feel free to unfollow.
But if you want to still be able to count money with a smile at the end of the bull market, rather than crying over your rights—hit follow, the value of this analysis, you will come back to thank me in three months. Follow me@链上标哥 , don't get lost!
