The market continues to decline, pressured by the Federal Reserve's hawkish expectations!
#加密市场观察 #大盘行情 $BTC $ETH 📉 Market overview (as of December 15) · Overall performance: The market has declined across the board, with a total liquidation amount of $270 million in contracts within 24 hours, affecting over 110,000 people, with long positions severely damaged. · Major assets: · Bitcoin (BTC): At one point, it fell below the $88,000 mark, with a decline of about 2.5%. · Ethereum (ETH): Decline of about 2%, rebounding after dipping to $3000. · Sector situation: The decline is widespread, with the Layer 2 sector leading the drop (-3.59%), and sectors like DeFi and Meme also experiencing declines.
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Tonight's speeches by Federal Reserve officials will severely impact market trends!!!
Tonight (December 17), several Federal Reserve officials will deliver speeches. Below are the specific times (converted to Beijing time). ⏰ Today's events related to the Federal Reserve. Tonight's focus is on the speeches of several Federal Reserve officials, whose remarks may reveal clues about the future direction of monetary policy. The specific arrangements are as follows: · 21:15: Fed Governor Waller will speak. · 22:05: New York Fed President Williams will speak at the meeting. In addition, earlier today, Atlanta Fed President Bostic made remarks, stating that his stance is 'not set in stone' and is focusing on data in the coming weeks. This week (December 16 to 18) is a concentrated release period for several key economic data in the U.S. (such as non-farm employment, retail sales, CPI), and the overall market sentiment is relatively sensitive.
Important! U.S. Non-Farm Data Released Tonight at 9:30 PM!
#美联储降息 #加密市场观察 The U.S. Non-Farm Payroll report for November 2025 is scheduled to be released at 21:30 Beijing time on December 16 (Tuesday). Due to the previous government shutdown, this report will combine the non-farm employment data for October and November. 📊 Market Key Expectations and Focus Points Due to the combined release of data and the special background, the market generally expects this report to present a complex situation, with a focus on the following points: Key Data Forecast · Non-Farm Payroll (November): The market generally expects an increase of 50,000 jobs, but the forecast range varies from a decrease of 20,000 to an increase of 127,000, indicating significant divergence.
The market has fallen sharply again, the reason is...
#加密市场观察 #大盘动态 $BTC 1. General price decline: · Bitcoin: Fell by more than 3.7% within 24 hours, touching a low of about $85,155, which is approximately a 30% drop from the historical high point at the beginning of October. · Ethereum: Dropped below $2,900, with a 24-hour decline of over 5%. According to monitoring, an investor holding a large long position has incurred tens of millions of dollars in floating losses. · Other mainstream coins and concept stocks: Ripple, Dogecoin, and other mainstream altcoins have generally fallen, and cryptocurrency-related concept stocks in the U.S. market, such as Coinbase, have also declined simultaneously. 2. Market trading characteristics: Overall market value has retreated, but trading volume is low, showing a state of 'volume contraction and price adjustment', indicating a strong wait-and-see atmosphere in the market, lacking clear catalysts.
#美国非农数据公布 #加密市场观察 $BTC The third week of December 2025 (December 15-19) is crucial for the cryptocurrency market. A series of delayed key economic data from the U.S. will be released, which will directly impact the market's expectations for the Federal Reserve's future interest rate path and may reshape short-term risk appetite. Core Focus: Key Data from the U.S. Delayed Release Due to the prior U.S. government shutdown, several important reports were delayed and will be released next week, providing the market with an economic 'panorama.' Tuesday (December 16) · Event: U.S. Non-Farm Payroll Report for November $
Cryptocurrency Market Outlook! The following analysis is an important reference!
Current overall market characteristics and macro background 1. Macro Liquidity Environment: Assuming the Federal Reserve has entered a moderate rate-cutting cycle, global liquidity is marginally improving. The willingness of traditional capital to allocate to high-risk assets is a core variable. Attention should be paid to how changes in the US Dollar Index and US Treasury yields affect capital flows. 2. Regulatory Clarity: By the end of 2025, the cryptocurrency regulatory framework in major economies (such as the United States and the European Union) should be clearer. The compliance process will determine the speed and scale of institutional capital entering the market. 3. Market Maturity: Products like Bitcoin ETFs and Ethereum ETFs may have matured, and the market structure has fundamentally changed compared to 2021-2022, with increased linkage to traditional finance.
Important! Three steps to attract traffic and increase followers through red envelopes, where are the key points?
Increase followers by posting red envelope threads in Binance Square, the core is 'strategic baiting', rather than blindly throwing money. Simply distributing red envelopes may attract a lot of 'wool party', who will leave after claiming, which is not beneficial for long-term growth. To achieve rapid, precise, and efficient follower growth, please follow the systematic strategies below: 1. Core preparation before posting (foundation) 1. Define target users: What type of people do you want to attract? Are they trading newcomers, DeFi players, NFT collectors, or enthusiasts of a specific chain? The content should revolve around their interests. 2. Optimize personal homepage: · Professional avatar and nickname: Establish trust.
The market is generally bearish! In the shadow of uncertainty, one should treat the future objectively
#加密市场观察 #美联储降息 The current decline in the cryptocurrency market is the result of multiple pressures from macro, technical, liquidity, and sentiment factors. Most analysts hold a cautious or bearish view on this month's trend. 📉 The main driving factors of the market trend this month Factor category specific performance and impact Macroeconomic environment • The benefits of the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts have been priced in by the market in advance, failing to drive an increase • Expectations for rate cuts in 2026 have weakened, hitting risk assets Technical aspects • Bitcoin is trapped in a narrow range of $88,000-$93,000 • Key resistance level (such as $95,000) is hard to break through, and support level ($80,000) is under test
Buy the Expectation, Sell the News! How Will the Market Move After the Rate Cut?
#美联储降息 #加密市场观察 $BTC $ETH The core event in the crypto market last week (from December 2 to 13) was the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut. Although this is the third consecutive rate cut in 2025, the market exhibited a typical 'buy the expectation, sell the news' pattern, and did not see the expected rise from investors. 📅 Review of Last Week's Market and Macroeconomic Impact 1. Core Macroeconomic Event: The Federal Reserve cut interest rates · Event: The Federal Reserve announced a 25 basis point interest rate cut on December 10. · Market Reaction: The interest rate cut has been fully priced in by the market (with a probability of 82.8%). After the announcement, the price of Bitcoin only briefly rose by 2-3% before turning down, creating a situation of 'buy the expectation, sell the news.'
#大盘走势 #加密市场观察 $BTC $ETH Bitcoin (BTC) · Trend Judgment: Weak oscillation, focus on key support and resistance. · Key Resistance Level: 92000 - 92500 USD · Key Support Level: 88500 - 89000 USD · Trading Strategy Reference: · Short Position Strategy: If the price rebounds to the 92300-93000 USD area, consider a light short position, with a stop loss set above 95500 USD, targeting below 91500 USD. · Long Position Strategy: If the price retreats to the 88300-87300 USD area, consider a light long position, with a stop loss of 500 points, targeting above 89500 USD.
Ethereum (ETH)
· Trend Judgment: Following Bitcoin's oscillation, focus on breakout conditions. · Key Resistance Level: 3295 - 3245 USD · Key Support Level: 3081 - 3031 USD · Trading Strategy Reference: · Short Position Strategy: If the price rebounds to the 3295-3245 USD area, consider a light short position, with a stop loss of 30 points, targeting below 3190 USD. · Long Position Strategy: If the price retreats to the 3081-3031 USD area, consider a light long position, with a stop loss of 30 points, targeting above 3180 USD.
💡 Day Trading Precautions
· Strict Risk Control: Intraday volatility may intensify, be sure to set appropriate stop losses and take profits. If the support and resistance levels mentioned above are effectively broken, it may indicate a change in short-term trends. · Focus on Events: Closely monitor news regarding the Bank of Japan's policy expectations that may arise today in Beijing time; any hawkish signals could impact the market. · Light Positioning as Main Strategy: In an unclear oscillating market, light positioning is key to controlling risks. In summary, the core operation on December 12 is to engage in high selling and low buying near key price levels while closely observing the market's reaction to the Bank of Japan's policy expectations.
Recent core dynamics overview! Complex games after expectations are met!
#美联储降息 <t-53/>#加密市场观察 $BTC $ETH On December 12, 2025, the latest cryptocurrency dynamics and U.S. macroeconomic news revolve around the market's reaction to the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts. The key points are as follows: ⚡️ Overview of core dynamics throughout the day · Cryptocurrency performance: Bitcoin prices have fluctuated dramatically, briefly falling below $92,000 and then recovering to briefly surpass $93,000. The market has generally seen a decline. · Key macro data: The number of initial unemployment claims in the U.S. surged to 236,000 last week, marking the largest weekly increase since March 2020. · Federal Reserve policy: The Federal Reserve announced on December 10 its third interest rate cut of the year, lowering the target range for the federal funds rate to 3.50%-3.75%.
Tonight at 9:30, U.S. unemployment claims data will be released!
On December 11, 2025 (tonight), data related to U.S. unemployment claims will be released. 📅 Today's Data Release Details Data Name: U.S. Continuing Claims for Unemployment Benefits Release Time: December 11, 2025 (Thursday) 21:30 Beijing Time Data Cycle: As of the week ending November 29 Forecast Value: 1,947,000 Previous Value: 1,939,000 U.S. unemployment claims data is one of the key high-frequency indicators for the market's judgment on the Federal Reserve's monetary policy direction, mainly affecting the cryptocurrency market through the following channels: 1. Core Path: Impact on Federal Reserve Policy Expectations · Data above expectations (increase in unemployment claims): may be seen as a signal of economic weakness, enhancing market expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts. Rate cut expectations typically weigh on the dollar, while a weaker dollar theoretically supports cryptocurrency assets like Bitcoin priced in dollars.
In the past week, the most eye-catching in the privacy track has probably been $FHE. It isn't a "sudden surge," but rather the simultaneous ignition of three lines: emotion, narrative, and demand, which made the market realize: FHE (Fully Homomorphic Encryption) has really started to find its use. As Mind Network announced its expansion to Solana, the entire market felt like it was pressed with the acceleration button. Because this means three things are happening: • AI agents can "think privately" on-chain, no longer exposing data to the network, and full-chain computation can also remain encrypted. • The privacy capabilities of the Pippin ecosystem have been fully upgraded, with stealth addresses and Agent-to-Agent private transactions becoming usable features. • Cross-chain privacy execution is brought to the forefront, allowing funds and instructions between different chains to flow securely in an encrypted state. These features are not concepts but key pieces that truly enable AI, DeFi, and cross-chain systems to operate in a "closed loop." It's no wonder the changes at the trading level are so obvious: Prices are steadily rising, trading volumes are continuously increasing, and discussions are on the rise. Especially with Binance's contract rankings remaining active, it further indicates that funds are entering to layout the next phase of privacy computing. Privacy is not a return of an old narrative but a fundamental necessity in the AI + cross-chain era. And $FHE stands right at this crossroads. Next, we will focus on observing: • Whether the turnover in the range is healthy enough • Whether the Solana ecosystem linkage continues to land • Whether Mind Network's FHE module further expands The privacy track has once again felt a long-lost sense of "futuristic." Will $FHE be the stepping stone for the next round? We will continue to watch. #FHE (🧧Welfare value 50U)
Hawkish Rate Cuts / Powell's Speech Early Morning: Overall Dovish with Caution
#美联储降息 #美联储FOMC会议 Powell's speech early this morning is hard to simply categorize as purely 'dovish' or 'hawkish', but rather as a 'hawkish guidance under a dovish stance'—while ruling out the possibility of interest rate hikes, it also clearly indicates that the pace of future rate cuts will slow down or even pause. 🕊️ The 'dovish' signals in the speech Powell provided several clear signals to reassure the market: · Clearly ruled out interest rate hikes: He stated, 'Rate hikes are not anyone's baseline expectation,' directly dispelling market concerns about a tightening policy shift. · Emphasized dual risks: He acknowledged that the economy faces a 'double-edged sword'—both a slowing labor market and inflationary pressures are present, and attributed recent inflation to a 'one-time shock from tariffs', suggesting that its persistence may not be strong.
Storm tonight? The Federal Reserve announces the interest rate decision at 3 AM!
On December 10, 2025, the crypto market is in a critical 'waiting period', with the trends and sentiment of major assets revolving around a core event that is about to happen. 📈 Latest market dynamics and core events The current core focus of the market is entirely on the interest rate decision to be announced by the Federal Reserve (Fed) at 12:00 AM Beijing time on December 11. · Performance of major assets: Before the announcement, market trading is cautious. Bitcoin (BTC) once reached the $94,000 mark during the day, but overall remains oscillating within the $90,000-$95,000 range. Ethereum (ETH) is also fluctuating, with prices above $3,100.
Really bold, Ethereum broke 3300, the market is performing as scripted. Yesterday's long positions made a big profit.
温暖的爱米
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Bullish
#美联储重启降息步伐 #加密市场观察 $BTC $ETH In the early hours of Thursday, the Federal Reserve is very likely to announce a rate cut. The script for the past few days should be a sharp upward movement, with Ethereum breaking 3300. Then, once the rate cut is confirmed, there will be a spike, breaking new lows before consolidating and oscillating upwards. So, today there is an opportunity to buy between 3050 and 3100, accumulating positions in batches. Before the interest rate decision, it's better to take profits and wait for developments. Buy the expectation, sell the fact. The script is written, let's see how the market performs, hehe.