Are we at the beginning of a Bear Market or are we in a unique opportunity window?
When analyzing the chart, I noticed that when it comes to the long term, the price of Bitcoin may find buying demand in the range of 87k to 84k, so, even though in the short term we may suffer from drops, in the long term we are still in areas of buying interest.
What do you think?
Are we in the Bear Market or in a window of opportunity to buy cheap?
MACRO MARKET – WEDNESDAY (17/09) – Before the day's data
📊 The big day of #fomc has arrived. Before the data at 3 PM, the markets are already breathing expectation — and each asset seems to be in a waiting rhythm. Let's go to the overview:
CLIMATE IN THE USA Wall Street opened the trading session mixed: 📈 Dow Jones up slightly ➖ S&P 500 stable 📉 Nasdaq operating contained, pressured by tech The technology sector feels the weight of news about Nvidia, with reports that Chinese companies may cut chip purchases, adding caution in the middle of Fed week. _____________________________________________________
Today the market pauses. The Federal Reserve announces its decision on interest rates, releases new economic projections, and shortly after, Jerome Powell takes the podium for the press conference. Everything starts at 3 PM (BRT).
⏰ Agenda: • 📌 FOMC Economic Projections • 📌 Monetary Policy Statement • 📌 Federal Funds Rate (currently between 4.25% and 4.50%) • 🎙️ 3:30 PM: Powell's press conference
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🔥 What does the market expect? • The majority bet (95%) is for a cut of 0.25 percentage points. • There is a smaller chance (around 17%) of a more aggressive cut of 0.50 percentage points — a scenario that would surprise and could boost volatility.
The detail that will really affect prices is Powell's tone: • If he signals more cuts → stocks and crypto could accelerate. • If he is cautious → there is a risk of "sell the news" and profit-taking.
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💵 Dollar & Stocks The dollar has been retreating against the euro and other currencies, approaching four-year lows. In the U.S., stock futures are slightly rising, fueled by expectations of a more dovish Fed and retail data that will also be released today.
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🚀 Cryptocurrencies $BTC $ETH Bitcoin remains above $116,000, boosted by robust inflows into spot ETFs (over $2.3 billion in the last week). This flow shows that investors are willing to take on risk even before the Fed's decision.
👉 Some analysts project that if the cut comes with continuous inflows into ETFs, BTC could aim for up to $150,000. But be careful: Powell's speech will be crucial to confirm or curb this expectation.
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📌 Possible scenarios: • ✅ Cut of 0.25 percentage points + dovish speech → relief, stocks and crypto up. • 🚀 Cut of 0.50 percentage points → stronger rally, especially in tech and crypto. • ⚠️ Cautious speech → negative volatility, dollar may gain strength. • ❌ No cut → shock, strong risk realization.
After a parabolic high of $WLD finally the asset is showing exhaustion of buying strength, so we may possibly have a correction down to US$ 1.58 ~ US$ 1.49.
After a parabolic high of $WLD finally the asset is showing exhaustion of buying strength, so we may possibly have a correction down to US$ 1.58 ~ US$ 1.49.
After a parabolic high of $WLD finally the asset is showing exhaustion of buying strength, so we may possibly have a correction down to US$ 1.58 ~ US$ 1.49.
I posted this analysis of $XAI on 06/09 making a bullish projection for the currency, and I even rode a good long on it!
The result was this: +18% appreciation since the first analysis I posted!
Ana de Mattos
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Bullish
After the price of $XAI tightened at the bottom of the day 01/09, we can observe that the buying flow has increased, along with institutional action (black bar of the volume).
The price of #Solana is entering a bullish impulse wave, with high buyer flow.
Although a high financial volume entered at the top when $SOL reached US$ 214, this movement is likely to be a breakout, an ignition movement for the continuation of the uptrend.
If this movement is confirmed without retracement, Solana could target the range of US$ 240 as a medium-term goal.
However, if the price of $SOL experiences a slight retracement, US$ 206 will serve as a support point.
The highlight of today goes to #Worldcoin , which between the days 01 to 08 of September, that is, up to the moment of this publication, had an appreciation of 57.18%.
The $WLD stopped being traded at US$ 0.83 and reached a maximum of US$ 1.30 in the aforementioned period.
Despite all the accumulated increase, when analyzing the flow it is possible to observe that the buying force continues, suggesting that in the medium term the asset seeks the liquidity regions of US$ 1.40.
However, if a selling flow enters and reverses the movement, the short and medium-term supports are at price ranges of US$ 1.10 and US$ 1.00.
Point of attention: soon we will have token unlocks, so stay alert to the movements.